By Modupe Gbadeyanka
Latest report by Agusto & Co has warned of an impending crisis in the Nigerian banking industry, National Daily is reporting.
The financial research firm has stressed that unless stakeholders and policy makers in the sector adopts time tested values to mitigate risks in the industry, the danger might lead to its eventual downfall.
Agusto & Co noted that the undue concentration of banks impaired loans to oil and gas could become the Achilles heel for Nigeria’s top five banks as crude, like most other tradable commodities has boom and bust cycles which are quite difficult to predict, the report stated.
“The undue concentration to oil and gas could become the Achilles heel for the top five banks. Crude oil, like most other tradable commodities has boom and bust cycles which are quite difficult to predict,” the report stated.
The report stated that Zenith, GTBank, First Bank, United Bank for Africa Plc, and Access Bank account for 47 percent of the total banking industry’s impaired loans.
According to National Daily, the loans were mainly in the oil & gas, transport & communication sectors, accounting for 37 percent and 11 percent respectively of the industry’s total classified loans.
In the oil & gas space, the top five banks, Zenith, GTBank, First Bank, United Bank for Africa Plc, and Access Bank accounted for 60 per cent of the loans disbursed to this sector, “which heightens concentration risks.”
A breakdown of the oil and gas sector loan disbursement showed that the top five banks granted over 66 percent of the banking industry’s total exposure to the upstream; 64 percent of total exposure to the midstream and 73 percent of the total loans granted to the downstream.
“On an average, each of the top five banks have disbursed over N500 billion to the oil & gas sector. This makes them vulnerable to the financial performance of this sector which has been enfeebled by global circumstances.
“The last two years saw intense weakening of the macroeconomic fundamentals against the backdrop of lower crude oil prices – Nigeria’s major revenue source – and the unorthodox demand management in the foreign exchange market.
“However we believe that these industry leaders need to strengthen risk management framework particularly in the areas of concentration risk, early warning signals and enhanced oversight governance,” it said.
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