Dipo Olowookere
By Investors Hub
The major U.S. index futures are pointing to a higher opening on Thursday, with stocks likely to move back to the upside following the pullback seen late in the previous session.
Early buying interest may be generated in reaction to some upbeat economic data, including a report from the Commerce Department showing a much bigger than expected increase in retail sales in the month of May.
Meanwhile, traders are also digesting the European Central Bank?s highly anticipated monetary policy announcement.
Following its monetary policy meeting, the ECB announced plans to begin winding down its massive bond-buying program.
The ECB said it plans to reduce the monthly pace of its net asset purchases to 15 billion from 30 billion after September before completely ending the program at the end of December.
Meanwhile, the ECB left interest rates unchanged and said it expects rates to remain at their present levels at least through the summer of 2019.
?The ECB?s announcement that it will end its asset purchases in December is probably a little bolder than markets had expected, but this is tempered by the pledge to keep interest rates on hold for more than a year,? said Jennifer McKeown, Chief European Economist at Capital Economics.
Stocks saw modest strength for much of the trading session on Wednesday but came under pressure following the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy announcement. The Nasdaq reached a record intraday high but pulled back into negative territory along with the other major averages.
The major averages all closed in the red, although the tech-heavy Nasdaq edged down just 8.10 points or 0.1 percent to 7,695.70. The Dow slid 119.53 points or 0.5 percent to 25,201.20 and the S&P 500 fell 11.22 points or 0.4 percent to 2,775.63.
The pullback by stocks came after the Fed announced its decision to raise interest rates by 25 basis points to a range of 1.75 percent to 2 percent.
While the rate hike was widely expected, the Fed seemed to surprise investors by forecasting two additional rate hikes this year after previously predicting one rate increase.
“With growth rebounding following the typical first quarter soft patch, and inflation continuing to accelerate, we have been penciling in a total of four hikes for this year,” said ING economist James Smith. “Looking at the latest ‘dot plot,’ it seems the Fed is increasingly heading in this direction too.”
The Fed reiterated that it expects further gradual rate increases but dropped language predicting rates are likely to remain below levels that are expected to prevail in the longer run.
The central bank said data received since its May meeting indicates that the labor market has continued to strengthen and that economic activity has been rising at a solid rate.
Annual overall inflation and core inflation have moved close to 2 percent, the Fed said and noted indicators of longer-term inflation expectations are little changed.
On the U.S. economic front, the Labor Department released a report showing a bigger than expected increase in producer prices in the month of May.
The Labor Department said its producer price index for final demand climbed by 0.5 percent in May after inching up by 0.1 percent in April. Economists had expected producer prices to rise by 0.3 percent.
Excluding food and energy prices, core producer prices rose by 0.3 percent in May after edging up by 0.2 percent in April. Core prices had been expected to show another 0.2 percent increase.
The report said the annual rate of producer price growth accelerated to 3.1 percent in May from 2.6 percent in April, reaching its highest level in over six years.
The annual rate of growth in core producer prices also ticked up to 2.6 percent in May from 2.5 percent in the previous month.
“The rebound in producer price inflation in May supports our view that core consumer price inflation will trend higher over the rest of this year,” said Michael Pearce, Senior U.S. Economist at Capital Economics.
He added, “That will keep the pressure on the Fed to keep raising interest rates once a quarter over the next year or so.”
Housing stocks moved sharply lower over the course of the session, with the Philadelphia Housing Sector Index plunging by 2.9 percent. The steep drop by the index came after it ended the previous session at its best closing level in almost two months.
The pullback by housing stocks partly reflected concerns about the impact of higher interest rates following the Fed announcement.
Rate-sensitive commercial real estate stocks also came under pressure, dragging the Dow Jones Retail Index down by 2 percent. The index ended the previous session at a five-month closing high.
Telecom and chemical stocks also saw notable weakness on the day, moving lower along with most of the other major sectors.
