Economy
DMO Warns Tinubu Against More Borrowings
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Debt Management Office (DMO) has issued a warning to the federal government against additional borrowing, citing that 73.5 per cent of this year’s revenue will be used to service debt.
According to the fresh recommendations by the DMO to the Bola Ahmed Tinubu-led government, this high debt service-to-revenue ratio is unsustainable and poses a threat to debt sustainability.
The DMO recommended that the FG focus on increasing revenue generation to achieve a sustainable debt service-to-revenue ratio.
It suggested raising the projected FGN revenue from N10.49 trillion to about N15.5 trillion and noted that these recommendations were made after analysing the nation’s debt profile in 2022.
DMO’s analysis revealed that the total public debt-to-GDP ratio is projected to increase to 37.1 per cent in 2023, mainly due to new borrowings, FGN Ways and Means at the CBN, and estimated Promissory Notes issuance.
“While the baseline scenario indicates that the debt stock remains sustainable, the borrowing space has been reduced compared to the self-imposed debt limit of 40 per cent.
“The projected FGN Debt Service-to-Revenue ratio of 73.5 per cent for 2023 exceeds the recommended threshold of 50 per cent due to low revenue. This highlights the urgent need to significantly increase government revenue.”
The DMO emphasized the importance of adhering to existing legislation on government borrowing, such as the Fiscal Responsibility Act 2007 and the Central Bank of Nigeria Act 2007, to moderate the growth rate of public debt.
Furthermore, the DMO called for a focus on revenue mobilization initiatives and reforms to increase the country’s tax revenue to GDP ratio.
It also suggested encouraging private sector involvement in funding infrastructure projects through Public-Private Partnerships (PPP) and reducing borrowing by privatization or sale of government assets.
Results of 2022 MAC-DSA showed that the Total Public Debt-to GDP ratio is projected to increase to 37.1 per cent in 2023 relative to 23.4 per cent as of September 2022 due to the inclusion of the N8.80 trillion (New Borrowings) for the year 2023, the Ways and Means at the central bank of over N23 trillion and estimated Promissory Notes issuance of N2.87 trillion in the Debt stock under the Baseline Scenario.
The country’s debt stock remains sustainable under these criteria, but the borrowing space has been reduced when compared to Nigeria’s self-imposed debt limit of 40 per cent set in the MTDS, 2020-2023.
On the other hand, FGN’s Debt Service-to-Revenue ratio at 73.5 per cent in 2023, which exceeds the recommended threshold of 50 per cent due to low revenue, which means that there is a need to significantly increase government revenue.
Under the alternative scenario, the total public debt-to-GDP ratio at 45.4 per cent in 2023 exceeds Nigeria’s self-imposed debt limit of 40 per cent, while the FGN Debt Service-to-Revenue also exceeds the recommended threshold of 50 per cent.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Seven price gainers ensured that the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange ended the first trading week of the year 2025 in the positive territory, with a 0.55 per cent gain.
In the four-day trading week, the market capitalisation of the bourse went up by N9.74 billion to N1.046 trillion from the N1.036 trillion recorded in the last trading week of 2024, as the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) increased by 16.74 points to finish at 3,052.34 points, in contrast to the 3,035.61 points achieved in Week 52 of last year.
Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc topped the advancers’ chart after it closed higher by 33.3 per cent to close at 20 Kobo per unit versus 15 Kobo per unit, UBN Property Plc grew by 10 per cent to end at N1.98 per share compared with the previous week’s N1.80 share and Air Liquide Plc also gained 10 per cent to end at N8.80 per unit against the former value of N8.00 per unit.
Further, 11 Plc rose by 7.9 per cent to N232.10 per share from N215.00 per share, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc improved by 4.8 per cent to N23.05 per unit from N22.00 per unit, Food Concepts Plc jumped by 1.3 per cent to close at N1.60 per share versus N1.58 per share, and Geo-Fluids Plc appreciated by 0.8 per cent to N4.89 per unit versus N4.85 per unit.
On the flip side, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc shed 9.3 per cent to N39.76 per share from N43.84 per share, and Acorn Petroleum Plc depreciated by 9.1 per cent to N1.40 per unit from N1.54 per unit.
Last week, the volume of equities transacted went down by 41.8 per cent to 12.44 million units from 21.37 million units, the value of securities traded by investors slumped by 46.7 per cent to N61.62 million from N115.8 million, and the number of deals declined by 30.99 per cent to 49 deals from 71 deals.
FrieslandCampina Wamco Plc was the busiest stock in the week by value with N55.8 million, IGI Plc recorded N2.1 million, 11 Plc posted N1.5 million, CSCS Plc traded N1.1 million, and Geo-Fluids Plc recorded N0.59 million.
By volume, IGI Plc topped with 55.8 million units, FrieslandCampina Wamco Plc transacted 1.4 million units, UBN Property Plc recorded 0.276 million, Geo-Fluids Plc traded 0.120 million units, and CSCS Plc exchanged 0.047 million units.
By Modupe Gbadeyanka
Nigerians may soon begin to purchase petroleum products at the retail stations of Heyden Petroleum and Ardova Plc across Nigeria at lower prices.
This is because the two players in the nation’s downstream petroleum sector have entered into a bulk purchase agreement with the Dangote Petroleum Refinery.
Recall that a few weeks ago, MRS Oil Nigeria Plc sealed a deal with Dangote Refinery, enabling it to sell premium motor spirit (PMS), otherwise known as petrol, at N935 per litre across all its stations nationwide, addressing the long-standing issue of price disparities between states.
This action pushed the share price of MRS Oil at the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited to a new 52-week high last Friday, as investors became increasingly optimistic about the company’s future earnings prospects.
Propelled by the economic relief provided by President Bola Tinubu’s crude-for-naira swap initiative, Ardova Plc and Heyden Petroleum agreed to join Dangote Refinery to bring down the prices of petroleum products.
Reports indicate that the bulk purchase agreement with Dangote Petroleum Refinery will enable both Ardova and Heyden to secure a reliable and consistent supply of petroleum products from the world’s largest single-train refinery, ensuring a stable supply of fuel at competitive prices, benefiting consumers across the country.
The arrangement ensures that Ardova and Heyden will have access to a full range of refined products, thereby securing their operations with a reliable supply chain.
The partnership with Dangote Refinery is poised to have a transformative impact on Nigeria’s oil and gas market. By ensuring a stable and affordable supply of fuel products in the over 1,000 retail outlets of the two companies, the agreement will help to alleviate the recurring issue of fuel scarcity that has long plagued Nigeria.
“This framework will see Ardova Plc offtake a full slate of petroleum products from the refinery. While Ardova Plc has been a significant off-taker from the refinery since its inception, this new framework will institutionalise a more robust relationship between the two companies to further enhance the emerging competitive landscape in the downstream oil and gas industry in the country,” a statement from Ardova stated.
Ardova has been a key off-taker from the Dangote Refinery since its inception, but this new framework is expected to formalise and strengthen the partnership between the two companies, creating long-term benefits for both parties.
The Dangote Refinery, which began production in 2024, has already played a pivotal role in addressing these challenges. Its large-scale operations have helped alleviate the supply pressures that often lead to price hikes and fuel shortages.
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
All shares of Flour Mills of Nigeria Plc have been delisted from the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited trading platform.
This development was confirmed in a notice issued by the bourse last week to the investing public.
The disclosure was signed by the Head of the Issuer Regulation Department of the NGX, Mr Godstime Iwenekhai.
Before the action was taken, the stock exchange had suspended trading in the shares of the company ahead of its exit from the market.
“We refer to our market bulletin of 16 December 2024 with reference Number: NGXREG/IRD/MB93/24/12/16 wherein the market was notified of the suspension placed on trading in the securities of Flour Mills of Nigeria Plc in preparation for the delisting of the company.
“Following the approval of the company’s application to delist its entire issued share capital from Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX), please be informed that the entire issued share capital of Flour Mills of Nigeria were on Monday, December 30, 2024, delisted from the daily official list of NGX,” the statement said.
Flour Mills is leaving the local equity market after its majority shareholders agreed to acquire the stocks held by minority investors at N86 per unit.
The organisation is embarking on an ambitious $1 billion investment plan to expand its presence and impact across the African continent over the next four years, which is anticipated to create new opportunities and unlock value for the company, its employees, and economies throughout Africa.
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