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Economy

Brent Hits $81 Amid Fresh Supply Disruption, Tightness

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brent crude oil

By Adedapo Adesanya

Brent crude rose by 1.8 per cent or $1.43 on Friday to sell at $81.07 per barrel, posting its fourth consecutive weekly gain, buoyed by growing evidence of supply shortages in the coming months and rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine that could further hit supplies.

Also, the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude appreciated by 1.9 per cent or $1.42 during the trading session to settle at $77.07 a barrel, recording nearly 2 per cent weekly growth.

Geo-political tension gripped the market as Russia hit Ukrainian food export facilities for a fourth day in a row on Friday and practised seizing ships in the Black Sea.

This is the latest development in an escalation of tensions in the region since Russia withdrew this week from a United Nations-brokered safe sea corridor agreement.

Market analysts noted that a shutdown of the grain corridor could hit supplies of ethanol and biofuels that are blended with oil products at a time when global grain markets are already tightening, which would lead to refiners using more crude oil.

The seizure of ships could also add risks to oil and other goods exports in the region.

The Kremlin, which is the office of the Russian president, on Friday, said Ukraine’s actions posed a danger to civilian shipping in the Black Sea, and the situation around Russian exports requires analysis.

The disruption coupled with tight supply gave the market the boost going into the weekend.

Crude inventories in the US fell last week amid a jump in crude exports and higher refinery utilisation, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday.

Earlier on Monday, the EIA had forecast that US shale oil and gas production was likely to decline in August for the first time this year, adding to concerns about supply tightness.

Meanwhile, US energy firms this week reduced the number of oil rigs by seven, their biggest cut since early June, energy services firm Baker Hughes said. At 530, the US oil rig count, an early indicator of future output, is at its lowest since March 2022.

UAE Energy Minister Suhail al-Mazrouei told Reuters that current actions by the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) to support the oil market were sufficient for now.

He added the group was “only a phone call away” if any further steps were needed.

Chinese authorities unveiled plans to help boost sales of automobiles and electronics, a move welcomed by investors hoping that it would reinvigorate the country’s sluggish economy.

China has been touted as the main driver of oil demand this year, but underwhelming data has put the expectations in check.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Economy

NERC Orders Transparent Reporting of Transmission Loss Factors

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NERC

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) has issued a directive to ensure transparency in reporting the Regional Electricity Transmission Loss Factor, as it remains above the 7 per cent threshold.

In a public notice posted on its official X (formerly Twitter) on Monday, the order, contained in No. NERC/2026/026 is aimed at improving transparency and efficiency in Nigeria’s power grid through enhanced reporting of Regional Transmission Loss Factors (TLF).

The regulator disclosed that the order is backed by the provisions of the Electricity Act 2023, which enables the commission to regulate, monitor, and ensure efficiency in the power sector.

According to the statement, the Data from the Nigerian Independent System Operator (NISO) indicate that the national average TLF was 8.71 per cent in 2024 but was reduced to 7.24 per cent in 2025.

The statement added that the report exceeds the 7 per cent benchmark approved by NERC in the Multi-Year Tariff Order (MYTO).

The statement reads, “The Order dated 8 April 2026 establishes a formal framework for reporting transmission losses across regions operated by the Transmission Company of Nigeria (TCN).

“Taking effect from 13 April 2026, the Order is backed by provisions of the Electricity Act 2023, which empower NERC to regulate, monitor, and ensure efficiency in the electricity market.”

The directive reads, “NISO to install smart meters at all boundary regional interconnection points by December 2026 to accurately measure energy flows for each region of the transmission network.

“NISO to measure and document all energy flow of power transformers at transmission substations.

“NISO to file quarterly reports on TLF to NERC on a regional basis.”

It added, “TCN to file an action plan by July 2026 on the reduction of TLF to a value within the 7 per cent approved benchmarks in the regions.

“TCN to ensure that TLF across transmission regions shall not exceed 6.5 per cent by December 2026.”

NERC concluded that the order is designed to strengthen accountability in transmission operations and support better grid performance through structured loss reporting.

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Economy

Dangote Refinery Plans Cross-border Listing of Shares

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Dangote Refinery Crude Supply to Local Refineries

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigerian businessman, Mr Aliko Dangote, is planning to list shares of his $20 billion oil refinery on multiple African stock exchanges.

The landmark cross-border public offering on the continent was disclosed by the chief executive of the Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE), Mr Frank Mwiti, following a meeting held last week in Lagos between Mr Dangote and several heads of African exchanges.

Last year, Mr Dangote unveiled plans to list a 10 per cent stake in his Lagos-based refinery on the Nigerian Exchange this year.

According to a Bloomberg report, citing an email from the chief executive of FirstCap, Mr Ukandu Ukandu, Stanbic IBTC Capital Limited, Vetiva Advisory Services Limited, and FirstCap Limited have been appointed as advisers for the initial public offering of Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals FZE.

Mr Mwiti said the proposed listing is designed to cut across multiple markets and deepen investor participation across the continent.

“The plan is to structure a pan-African IPO,” he said.

Bloomberg also reported that a spokesman for the Dangote Group confirmed that discussions had taken place between Mr Dangote and exchange officials but declined to provide further details.

In February 2026, Mr Dangote said that the IPO could be launched within the next five months.

“But individually Nigerians too will have an opportunity in the next maximum four or five months, they will actually be able to buy their shares,” he said at the time.

He added that investors would have flexibility in how they receive returns.

“People will have a choice either to get their dividends in naira or to get their dividends in dollars because we earn in Dollars.”

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Economy

Ellah Lakes Eyes Greater Efficiency Across Operations, Better Processing Throughput

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Ellah Lakes

By Dipo Olowookere

Efforts are being made to ensure the throughput of Ellah Lakes Plc is increased to deliver long-term value for shareholders, the chief executive of the organisation, Mr Chuka Mordi, has said.

Mr Mordi was reacting to the audited 17-month financial statements of the firm ended December 31, 2025, as it transitions to a December financial year-end to enhance comparability with industry peers.

This action is also to strengthen reporting discipline and align financial reporting with the agricultural operating cycle, from planting through harvest and processing, providing a more accurate reflection of the company’s operational performance.

In the period under review, Ellah Lakes recorded N146.66 million in revenue, driven by initial harvests and sales of Fresh Fruit Bunches (FFBs), with the cash flows supporting operational stability as larger assets continue to mature.

However, the company suffered an operating loss of N3.84 billion, as the earnings per share (EPS) closed with a N1 loss.

Between July 2024 and December 2025, the organisation achieved a key operational milestone, with the commissioning of its upgraded 5-tonnes-per-hour crude palm oil mill in July 2025, strengthening its ability to process output internally and capture more value across its palm oil value chain as plantation maturity improves.

Also, it planted 17,000 seedlings and maintained 47,000 seedlings in the nursery, as part of a broader planting programme, supporting Ellah Lakes’ medium-term production pipeline and providing a stronger foundation for future output as more hectares move into productive phases.

“The 17-month period marks an important transition for Ellah Lakes as we progress from asset development into early-stage commercial operations.

“During the period, we commissioned our upgraded crude palm oil mill, advanced plantation development, and commenced pig farming activities, marking the beginning of revenue generation across our core value chains.

“While our reported results reflect the cost of expansion, start-up activities and non-recurring transaction-related expenses, they also establish the operational foundation required to scale the business.

“Our focus now is on improving yields from maturing plantations, increasing processing throughput, and driving greater efficiency across our operations. We remain committed to disciplined execution and capital stewardship as we work towards translating our asset base into stronger operating performance and long-term value for shareholders,” Mr Mordi stated.

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