Economy
UN Projects 3.1% GDP Growth for Nigeria in 2024
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria’s gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to grow by 3.1 per cent in 2024, according to the projections from the United Nations World Economic Situation and Prospects (WESP) report for 2024.
According to the report seen by Business Post, the moderate improvement in the country’s growth prospects for 2024 will be spurred by policy reforms of the Nigerian government in 2023, especially in the hydrocarbon sector.
The report warned that Nigeria’s ballooning public debt, persistent inflation, and rising cost of living, together with a weak business environment would pose a downward risk to growth prospects.
“Efforts to increase in-country oil refining capacity would likely reduce domestic fuel costs in 2024 and beyond,” the UN said.
The flagship forecast launched in New York on Thursday indicates that 2023 stronger-than-expected GDP growth coming out of the COVID-19 pandemic masked short-term risks and structural vulnerabilities in the world economy.
Globally, the UN expects a slowdown in global growth from an estimated 2.7 per cent in 2023 to 2.4 per cent in 2024.
The short-term outlook is based on persistently high-interest rates, further escalation of conflicts, sluggish international trade, and increasing climate disasters, which all pose significant challenges to global growth.
It points to a prolonged period of tighter credit conditions and higher borrowing costs, presenting strong headwinds for a world economy saddled with debt and in need of more investments to resuscitate growth, fight climate change, and accelerate progress toward the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).
According to the report, global inflation is projected to decline further, from an estimated 5.7 per cent in 2023 to 3.9 per cent in 2024.
It noted that price pressures are still elevated in many countries and any further escalation of geopolitical conflict will add to that.
In about a quarter of all developing countries, annual inflation is projected to exceed 10 per cent in 2024, the report highlights.
Since January 2021, consumer prices in developing economies have increased by a cumulative 21.1 per cent, significantly eroding the economic gains made following the COVID-19 recovery.
Consumer spending, a key driver of its economy, is likely to weaken due to various factors, including high interest rates and a softening labour market, the report says.
The United States, the world’s largest economy, is expected to see a drop in GDP growth from 2.5 per cent in 2023 to 1.4 per cent in 2024 and China, facing domestic and international headwinds, is projected to experience a moderate slowdown with growth estimated at 4.7 per cent in 2024, down from 5.3 last year.
Europe and Japan also face challenges with growth rates forecasted at 1.2 per cent for both regions in 2024.
In Africa, GDP growth in African economies is forecast to register moderate improvement in 2024, increasing to 3.5 per cent on average.
However, the 2024 WESP report calls for urgent action to address these diverse challenges.
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
Shareholders of Transcorp Plc should expect their phones to buzz with bank alerts very soon, as the board has proposed the payment of an interim dividend of 40 Kobo per share for the first half of the 2026 fiscal year.
The company announced the cash reward payment to investors in the unaudited financial statements submitted to the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited.
The interim dividend would be paid on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, subject to appropriate withholding tax deduction and to shareholders whose names appear in the Register of Members as of the close of business on Thursday, July 23, 2026.
Analysis of the results showed that the conglomerate delivered a strong revenue and profit performance, with improved margins and ratios notwithstanding challenges in the operating environment.
The performance was driven by the organisation’s disciplined cost management and operational efficiency, underpinned by a resilient business strategy and solid corporate governance ethos.
In the period under review, the power sector was impacted by gas supply constraints, as well as grid-related challenges, which saw a reduction in the overall power supply in the country.
Similarly, the hospitality business continues to innovate and leverage its assets to deliver superior service excellence.
These challenges impacted Transcorp’s earnings, which contracted to N241.5 billion in the first half of this year from N279.0 billion in the corresponding period of 2025, while profit after tax moderated to N54.4 billion from N65.2 billion in H1 2025.
“These results reflect the quality of the underlying business and resilience of the group’s earnings. Despite a lower revenue base arising from sector-wide power infrastructure constraints, we expanded our profit-before-tax margin to 31.4 per cent, from 30.7 per cent in the prior period, a direct result of disciplined cost optimisation and operational efficiency across our businesses.
“Our financial position remains strong, with a robust equity base which grew to N367.8 billion by half-year 2026. Our strength is hinged on the diversified earnings capability from key sectors, including the hospitality business, which grew its profit after tax by 21 per cent. This financial foundation gives us the confidence to protect and grow long-term value for our shareholders as operating conditions normalise,” the Chief Financial Officer of Transcorp, Mr Festus Izevbizua, stated.
Also, the chief executive of the firm, Mr Owen Omogiafo, said, “Despite disruptions to power transmission infrastructure and a challenging macroeconomic environment, Transcorp delivered a strong profit and an even stronger balance sheet, a reflection of our operational discipline and efficiency.
“At Transcorp Group, our operations are driven by our purpose to improve lives and transform Africa. We continue to create impact in the sectors that matter most to Nigeria’s future, and that same conviction continues to guide us through every phase of the cycle.
“Despite the constrained grid infrastructure seen in the first half of the year, we forged ahead, engaging with strategic partners to deliver much-needed power to Nigerians.
“Through our 5,000-capacity, multi-purpose event facility, Transcorp Centre, and our flagship 1,000-key Transcorp Hilton Abuja, we have continued to make the Federal Capital Territory the preferred location for business and leisure.
“Our strategy is clear, our balance sheet is robust, and our confidence in the value we are creating for our shareholders remains firm.”
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange lost its gaining streak on Wednesday, July 22, after it fell by 0.24 per cent despite the presence of five price gainers.
Yesterday, the market capitalisation went down by N6.32 billion to N2.631 trillion from the previous session’s N2.637 trillion, and the NASD Security Index (NSI) depreciated by 10.49 points to 4,383.48 points from 4,393.97 points.
The poor outcome was caused by the losses recorded by two securities, led by FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc, which lost N5.60 to settle at N147.55 per unit compared with Tuesday’s closing price of N153.15 per unit, and Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc, which tumbled by N1.01 to N98.32 per share from N99.33 per share.
On the flip side, Nipco Plc added N38.00 to sell at N422.00 per unit versus N384.00 per share, Afriland Properties Plc gained 75 Kobo to close at N15.76 per share versus N15.01 per share, Geo-Fluids Plc improved by 23 Kobo to N2.53 per unit from N2.30 per unit, Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc appreciated by 2 Kobo to 52 Kobo per share from 50 Kobo per share, and Food Concepts Plc increased by 1 Kobo to N2.49 per unit from N2.48 per unit.
At midweek, the volume of securities surged by 3,438.9 per cent to 11.4 million units from 322,147 units, the value of securities rose by 122.2 per cent to N43.1 million from N19.4 million, and the number of deals jumped by 81.5 per cent to 49 deals from 27 deals.
Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc remained the most active stock on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units valued at N8.4 billion, followed by Infrastructure Credit Guarantee (Infracredit) Plc with 2.3 billion units worth N6.5 billion, and CSCS Plc with 75.4 million units exchanged for N5.4 billion.
GNI Plc was also the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units sold for N8.4 billion, followed by Infracredit Plc with 2.3 billion units transacted for N6.5 billion, and Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units traded for N415.7 million.
By Dipo Olowookere
The domestic stock exchange slipped into the negative territory on Wednesday by 0.50 per cent after the consumer goods sector closed lower by 5.04 per cent despite the gains recorded by the other key sectors.
The insurance index shed 1.64 per cent, the banking space gained 1.51 per cent, and the industrial goods segment expanded by 0.81 per cent, while the energy counter closed flat.
At the close of business, the market capitalisation declined by N800 billion to N158.319 trillion from N159.119 trillion, and the All-Share Index (ASI) shrank by 1,241.19 points to 245,418.37 points from 246,659.56 points.
The duo of BUA Foods and Nestle Nigeria crumbled by 10.00 per cent each to N845.10 and N2,812.50, respectively. Mecure lost 9.94 per cent to trade at N69.30, International Energy Insurance slumped by 9.84 per cent to N4.40, and UAC Nigeria dipped by 7.75 per cent to N184.45.
On the flip side, the trio of Unilever Nigeria, Trans-Nationwide Express, and Cadbury Nigeria improved by 10.00 per cent each to quote at N137.50, N3.08, and N137.50, respectively. Thomas Wyatt moved up by 9.95 per cent to 4.09, and UPDC REIT jumped by 9.40 per cent to N12.80.
A total of 37 stocks ended on the advancers’ chart and 28 stocks finished on the laggards’ log, indicating a positive market breadth index and bullish investor sentiment.
Market participants transacted 1.3 billion shares worth N158.3 billion in 47,458 deals at midweek, in contrast to the 932.5 million shares valued at N49.3 billion traded in 50,059 deals in the preceding day. This implied that the number of deals declined by 5.20 per cent, while the trading volume and value increased by 39.41 per cent and 221.10 per cent, respectively.
First Holdco led the activity chart, with a turnover of 736.0 million units valued at N80.8 billion, Access Holdings exchanged 79.6 million units for N2.1 billion, GTCO transacted 34.1 million units worth N4.4 billion, Mutual Benefits sold 24.4 million units valued at N85.3 million, and Zenith Bank traded 21.5 million units for N2.6 billion.
