Economy
US Hurricane Fears Trigger 1% Rise in Oil Prices
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil prices rose about 1 per cent on Monday on concerns that a hurricane could disrupt production and refining along the US Gulf Coast.
Brent futures were up by 78 cents or 1.1% to settle at $71.84 a barrel, and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained $1.04 or 1.5% to trade at $68.71 per barrel.
In the US, the world’s largest oil-producing nation, oil and gas producers along the Gulf Coast started evacuating staff and curbing drilling to prepare for Tropical Storm Francine as it churned across the Gulf of Mexico.
Chevron Corp., Exxon Mobil Corp., and Shell Plc have evacuated staff and paused operations on oil platforms in the US Gulf Of Mexico ahead of an expected hurricane.
Reuters reported that the US National Hurricane Center projected Francine will strengthen into a hurricane on Tuesday before hitting the Louisiana coast.
The Gulf Coast accounts for about 50 per cent of the country’s refining capacity, according to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA).
The market is also looking at development revolving around the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, OPEC+ amid demand worries.
In Libya, an OPEC member, the country’s National Oil Corporation (NOC) declared force majeure on several crude cargoes loading from the port of Es Sider, with oil production curtailed by a political standoff over the central bank and oil revenue.
The OPEC+ oil producer group has agreed to delay a planned output increase of 180,000 barrels per day for October by two months in reaction to tumbling crude prices.
Last week during a virtual meeting, the eight OPEC+ members that were planning to start easing the cuts in October agreed that they would extend the current cuts until the end of November, “after which these cuts will be gradually phased out monthly starting December 1st, 2024.”
OPEC+ added the warning that it would still have “the flexibility to pause or reverse the adjustments as necessary”, referring to the additions to global supply.
The US government is due to release a crucial inflation report later this week and it could cement whether the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates as soon as this month. Lower rates can boost economic growth and oil demand.
The US central bank hiked rates aggressively in 2022 and 2023 to tame a surge in inflation.
Economy
Naira Strengthens to N1,379/1$ at Official Market
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira appreciated against the US Dollar by N3.95 0r 0.29 per cent to exchange at N1,379.68/$1 in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Tuesday, June 30, compared with the previous day’s N1,383.63/$1.
The positive movement was also seen against the Pound Sterling at the same official market window, where it gained N6.59 to trade at N1,825.05/£1 versus the preceding day’s N1,831.64/£1, and improved against the Euro by N5.05 to sell for N1,572.98/€1 compared with Monday’s price of N1,578.03/€1.
At the GTBank FX counter, the Nigerian Naira, however, lost N2 against the Dollar yesterday to quote at N1,389/$1, in contrast to the previous session’s N1,387/$1, and at the black market, it remained unchanged at N1,395/$1,
A look at the cryptocurrency market yesterday showed that Bitcoin (BTC) depleted for the fifth straight day, selling at $58,668.93. This sits below the levels that sparked rebounds in February and earlier in June, as well as the 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
Dogecoin (DOGE) crashed by 1.5 per cent to sell at $0.0713, Binance Coin (BNB) lost 1.4 per cent to close at $544.98, Ethereum (ETH) went down by 1.0 per cent to $1,574.60, TRON (TRX) depreciated by 0.8 per cent to $0.3164, and Ripple (XRP) dropped 0.8 per cent to finish at $1.03.
Conversely, Cardano (ADA) grew by 2.9 per cent to $0.1493, and Solana (SOL) increased by 0.3 per cent to $74.19, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) traded flat at $1.00 apiece.
Economy
Oil Market Gains as Iran-US Negotiations Face Fresh Uncertainty
By Adedapo Adesanya
The oil market rose on Wednesday morning amid concerns that breakdowns in discussions between Iran and the United States for a final agreement to end their war may extend supply disruptions in the key Middle East producing region.
Brent futures gained 33 cents or 0.45 per cent to trade at $73.28 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed 34 cents or 0.49 per cent to $69.84 a barrel.
US officials arrived in Qatar for talks on the Iran war, but will meet with mediators, not Iranian negotiators. The lack of direct talks further complicates efforts to find a lasting end to the conflict and fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
The representatives, which include US President Donald Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner and envoy Steve Witkoff, arrived in Doha for what the White House described as “high-level” talks on Tuesday, but Iran and host Qatar said they would meet with mediators, rather than the Iranians themselves.
The Wall Street Journal reported that while hardline military officials are pushing for full control of Hormuz, Iranian civilian leaders like President Masoud Pezeshkian are aiming to get access to billions in frozen assets, indicating different priorities.
Brent fell by around $45 a barrel between the first and second quarters of this year, its largest quarterly loss since 2008 during the financial crisis in the US. Crude futures meanwhile fell by around $31, their largest quarterly loss since 2020, when the COVID-19 pandemic crushed global oil demand.
The declines followed progress toward ending the Middle East conflict, pulling back from the sharp gains triggered earlier by the hostilities.
Analysts have cut their 2026 oil price forecasts after five straight monthly increases, as the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz eased concerns over prolonged supply disruptions.
Tanker traffic through the critical waterway has started to recover, with US Vice President JD Vance claiming that oil flows through the strait had been restored to pre-war levels.
The American Petroleum Institute (API) estimated that crude oil inventories in the US fell by 6.072 million barrels in the week ending June 26. In the week prior, US crude oil inventories fell by 765,000 barrels.
Official oil stock data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA)will be released later on Wednesday.
Economy
Nigeria’s FTSE Russell Frontier Market Status Upgrade Suffers Setback
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The planned reclassification of Nigeria’s Frontier Market status by FTSE Russell has suffered a major setback.
This is because the global index provider is reviewing this after the country transitioned into a T+1 settlement cycle on June 1, 2026, from a T+2 settlement cycle.
Last month, Nigeria became the first market in Africa to implement the shortened settlement framework designed to enhance efficiency, reduce risk, and improve global competitiveness.
The move, according to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), was to align the ecosystem with global best practices, where shorter settlement cycles are increasingly being adopted to improve post-trade efficiency, reduce counterparty risk, and strengthen investor confidence, reaffirming regulators’ commitment to continued modernisation of market systems and processes.
The Director General of SEC, Mr Emomotimi Agama, had enthused that, “The era of T+1 has begun. In just six months, Nigeria has successfully progressed from T+2 to T+1 settlement, joining a growing group of markets embracing faster and more efficient settlement cycles.
“This achievement signals that Nigeria is prepared to undertake the structural reforms required to compete for global capital.”
However, FTSE Russell seems not to buy into this development, as it raised concerns about it, pointing out that the shorter settlement period could effectively make the Nigerian market a prefunded market for international institutional investors, requiring them to provide funds before trades are completed.
It argued that compulsory pre-funding is considered a disadvantage under its Settlement Cycle (Delivery versus Payment) criterion, one of the five key Quality of Markets standards that countries must satisfy to qualify for Frontier Market status under its Equity Country Classification framework.
The platform said it would conduct a further assessment before taking a final decision on the proposed reclassification and would provide an update by the end of August 2026.
Nigeria was upgraded from Unclassified to Frontier Market status in March 2026, with the change initially scheduled to take effect in September.
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