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Economy

Oil Prices Jump Over 6% as US-Iran Talks Stall, Supply Fears Deepen

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oil prices driving up Trump

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil prices surged over 6 per cent on Wednesday as deadlocked US-Iran ‌negotiations made investors more concerned about prolonged disruptions to Middle Eastern supply.

Brent crude settled at $118.03 per barrel after gaining $6.77 or 6.1 per cent, and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose by $6.95 or 7 per cent to $106.88 a barrel, the ⁠highest since April 7.

A White House official said that President Donald Trump had asked US oil companies about ways to mitigate the impact of a potentially months-long US blockade of Iranian ports

This added fresh concerns that disruptions to Middle Eastern oil supply could be prolonged.

Estimates show that over $50 billion worth of crude oil supply has been lost since the start of the Iran war.

Market analysts warned that if President Trump extends the blockade, supply disruptions would worsen further and continue to push oil prices higher.

Elsewhere, the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC), which is the state oil company of the United Arab Emirates (UAE), has notified some customers that they could load two crude grades outside of the Gulf next month because the Strait of Hormuz remains closed.

This comes after it decided to quit the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) years after Angola made the same decision.

Investors were also assessing the ramifications of the Middle East producer’s decision to quit the oil cartel.

Analysts do not expect any major near-term impact on the market. Over the near term, Middle Eastern producers will bring whatever they can to market.

Wood Mackenzie said the UAE’s exit is the most significant fracture in OPEC’s history, and it increases the risk of oversupply that could cause oil prices to decline from 2027.

Signs of tightening supply have started to show in the US as Energy Information Administration (EIA) data showed crude stocks fell over 6 million barrels last week.

Meanwhile, Reuters reported that OPEC+ will likely agree on a small oil output quota hike on Sunday despite the loss of the lion’s share of its exports due to the US-Israeli war with Iran.

The oil producer group will ⁠likely agree on an increase of around 188,000 barrels per day in oil output targets, the sources said. The increase is similar to last month’s hike of 206,000 barrels per day, minus the share of the UAE, which leaves the group from May 1.

The seven members meeting on Sunday are Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, ⁠Kazakhstan, Russia, and Oman. With the UAE leaving, OPEC+ includes 21 members, including Iran, but in recent years, only the seven nations plus the UAE have been involved in monthly production decisions.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Naira Crashes to N1,383 Per Dollar at NAFEX

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funds in Naira accounts

By Adedapo Adesanya

The value of the Naira crashed against the United States Dollar by N2.70 0r 0.2 per cent in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Monday, June 29, to N1,383.63/$1 from last Friday’s exchange rate of N1,380.93/$1.

This was influenced by FX pressure on the domestic currency, which also weakened its exchange rate against the Pound Sterling in the same market segment during the session by N6.06 to N1,831.64/£1 from the previous value of N1,824.90/£1. It also depleted the Nigerian currency against the Euro by 45 Kobo, trading at N1,578.03/€1 versus the preceding session’s N1,577.58/€1.

However, it maintained stability against the greenback at the parallel market and the GTBank forex desk yesterday at N1,395/$1 and N1,387/$1, respectively.

Despite the pressure on the Naira, it is still trading within the expected range, as a result of ongoing FX reforms, stronger market liquidity, and increased transparency in the FX market.

Unlike in previous years, the improved stability is reflected in the relatively narrow spread between the official exchange rate and rates in the Bureau de Change (BDC) segment, suggesting that reforms introduced by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) are helping to improve price discovery and reduce distortions.

Also, Nigeria’s external reserves, which provide the apex bank with the capacity to support the Naira and meet the country’s external obligations, have continued to trend upward. Most recent data published on the apex bank’s website showed that reserves rose to $51.29 billion as of June 26, 2026.

In the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin (BTC) lost momentum after it dropped below $60,000, remaining under its 200-week moving average as currency markets swung following the Japanese Yen slipping to four-decade lows against the US Dollar.

Strategy, the largest public holder of bitcoin, plans to sell more than $1 billion of BTC as part of a $1.25 billion monetisation program, a sharp break from Michael Saylor’s long-held “never sell” stance. BTC traded at $59,463.89.

Dogecoin (DOGE) went down by 0.9 per cent to $0.0723, TRON (TRX) slipped by 0.8 per cent to $0.3196, Cardano (ADA) dipped 0.2 per cent to $0.1446, and Ripple (XRP) dropped 0.1 per cent to close at $1.04.

On the flip side, Solana (SOL) gained 2.5 per cent to sell at $73.99, Ethereum (ETH) improved by 0.4 per cent to $1,587.51, and Binance Coin (BNB) added 0.01 per cent to sell for $552.58, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 each.

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Economy

NGX Diarrhoea Persists, Further Loses 1.57% Amid Panic Sell-Offs

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NGX investors

By Dipo Olowookere

Panic sell-offs by investors have left the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited losing weight very fast, as it further gave up 1.57 per cent on Monday.

Yesterday, only 17 equities ended on the advancers’ log, while 45 equities finished on the laggards’ chart, representing a negative market breadth index and weak investor sentiment.

All the major sectors of the bourse tasted defeat during the session, with the insurance counter down by 1.33 per cent. The banking space lost 1.22 per cent, the consumer goods index depreciated by 0.63 per cent, the industrial goods segment shed 0.39 per cent, and the energy sector tumbled by 0.06 per cent.

Consequently, the All-Share Index (ASI) stumbled by 3,682.70 points to 228,366.32 points from 232,049.02 points, and the market capitalisation slipped by N2.363 trillion to N146.542 trillion from N148.905 trillion.

Learn Africa lost 10.00 per cent to close at N9.00, MTN Nigeria also declined by 10.00 per cent to N747.00, Unilever Nigeria crashed by 10.00 per cent to N126.00, Austin Laz dropped 9.94 per cent to settle at N3.17, and Universal Insurance dipped by 9.90 per cent to quote at N28.12.

Conversely, Sovereign Trust Insurance gained 4.08 per cent to end at N2.04, Cornerstone Insurance chalked up 3.45 per cent to trade at N6.00, Neimeth appreciated by 3.03 per cent to N8.50, Livestock Feeds climbed by 1.92 per cent to N7.95, and C&I Leasing grew by 1.90 per cent to N5.35.

Business Post observed a surge in activity level on the first trading day of this week, with the trading volume, value, and number of deals up by 156.37 per cent, 137.50 per cent, and 38.50 per cent.

This was because market participants transacted 996.5 million stocks worth N43.7 billion in 61,813 deals on Monday compared with the 388.7 million stocks valued at N18.4 billion traded in 44,631 deals last Friday.

Ikeja Hotel exchanged 305.5 million shares for N13.2 billion, Access Holdings sold 289.9 million equities worth N6.6 billion, Dangote Sugar traded 29.4 million stocks valued at N1.9 billion, Chams transacted 22.0 million shares worth N87.9 million, and Zenith Bank traded 21.2 million equities for N2.4 billion.

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Economy

Oil Prices Climb Over 1% as Fragile US-Iran Truce Faces New Concerns

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Crude Oil Prices

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil prices settled higher by more than 1 per cent on Monday after attacks by the United States and Iran underscored ‌the fragility of their interim peace deal.

Brent crude futures gained $1.16 or 1.61 per cent to sell at $73.15 a barrel, while the US West ⁠Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude appreciated by $1.52 or 2.2 per cent to $70.75 per barrel.

The latest price movement appears to suggest that the market is concerned about a reduction in tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz following attacks on two commercial vessels on Thursday and Friday last week, and a further flare-up over the weekend.

The Thursday attack on the container ship Ever Lovely prompted some shipowners to pull back and wait for additional information about how safe transiting the Strait is. The US military on Friday carried out strikes on Iran in response to the attack on the vessel.

On Saturday, an Iranian attack on a Panama-flagged oil tanker, Kiku, while it was transiting the Strait of Hormuz, prompted additional strikes by the U.S. forces.

After the flare-up this weekend, the US and Iran appear to have agreed to cease attacks ahead of tentatively planned new talks this week.

Iranian and US technical teams working on the implementation of an interim peace deal are expected to meet in Doha ​in the coming days, even after both sides carried out strikes over the weekend that threatened to ​derail the accord.

Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi said Iranian and ​Omani experts will start talks on redefining transit paths through the Strait of Hormuz in the coming days, adding that his country will try to obstruct vessels outside of defined paths.

Analysts cautioned that traffic through the strait is far from being fully recovered, helping keep prices somewhat elevated as outbound Persian Gulf ​crude exports are quickly rebounding to at least 75 per cent of pre-war levels.

Middle East producers are pushing ahead with loading oil and Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) despite ​fresh ship attacks ⁠in the Strait of Hormuz and renewed strikes between the US and Iran in recent days.

Saudi oil giant Aramco resumed crude oil loadings on Friday at its Ras Tanura terminal, west of the Strait of Hormuz, after ⁠they were ​halted for nearly four months. Loadings continued even after a helicopter belonging to ​the company crashed on Sunday at Ras Tanura, killing 14 nationals. The cause of the crash was unknown.

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