Economy
Private Credit Overtakes Equity as Preferred Funding Model in Africa—Report
By Adedapo Adesanya
Private credit is rapidly replacing equity-led growth as the dominant financing model across Africa, marking a fundamental shift in how businesses on the continent access capital, according to a new industry report released by TheBoardroom Africa.
The report, which draws insights from 30 senior executives, founders, investors and policymakers across more than 20 sectors, indicates that investors are increasingly prioritising cash flow stability and operational resilience over ambitious growth narratives and market-size projections.
According to the findings, the shift comes as global venture capital funding continues to contract and exit opportunities become more limited, forcing African businesses to adapt to a new financing reality.
Recall that the composition of capital has shifted meaningfully, with debt also playing a much larger role in sustaining funding volumes. In April 2026, startups raised $110 million, marking the lowest monthly funding volume since March 2025, when startups raised $52 million, and falls significantly short of the previous 12-month average of $275 million per month.
The report shared with Business Post said structured debt facilities, revenue-linked financing instruments and risk-partitioned credit solutions are gaining prominence as investors seek more predictable returns in challenging economic conditions.
The report notes that access to capital is no longer primarily driven by growth potential but by a company’s ability to demonstrate sustainable performance and financial discipline. As a result, accurate risk pricing, strong repayment records and operational credibility are becoming critical factors in attracting funding from both local and international investors.
TheBoardroom Africa, the continent’s executive search and leadership advisory firm, in the report identified four major structural shifts reshaping capital allocation, regulatory priorities and competitive positioning across African markets.
Beyond the transformation in financing models, the report highlights the growing role of artificial intelligence (AI) as an essential component of business operations. Across sectors such as financial services, healthcare, energy and compliance, AI has evolved from an experimental technology into a critical infrastructure supporting fraud detection, credit underwriting, workflow optimisation and regulatory monitoring.
The report also noted that competitive advantage is increasingly determined not by AI adoption alone but by the governance frameworks organisations establish to manage automated systems responsibly.
“Boards are increasingly expected to interrogate explainability, accountability, and automated decision-making as central governance concerns, not technical matters to delegate downward,” it said.
In healthcare, the study points to a significant transition from volume-based care models to value-based systems focused on patient outcomes and cost efficiency. Healthcare delivery is also becoming more decentralised, with outpatient centres, community-based facilities and virtual platforms playing a greater role in service provision.
The report further identifies impact investment as an important complement to public healthcare funding, helping to address financing gaps while supporting innovation and accessibility across the sector.
Another major trend identified is the evolution of corporate governance from policy-driven compliance to evidence-based accountability. Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) considerations, AI ethics, cybersecurity and social impact metrics are increasingly converging into a single framework through which organisations are assessed.
According to the report, investors and stakeholders are placing greater emphasis on demonstrable outcomes and audit trails rather than policy statements alone, making institutional integrity a key determinant of long-term competitiveness.
Commenting on the findings, the Founder and Chief Executive Officer of TheBoardroom Africa, Ms Marcia Ashong-Sam, said Africa’s leaders are increasingly building institutions capable of demonstrating the continent’s investment potential.
She noted that many of the most significant discussions shaping Africa’s future often remain confined to boardrooms and investment committees, adding that the report seeks to bring those insights into the public domain.
The report advised that the businesses best positioned for success will be those capable of proving resilience, governance strength and sustainable performance in an increasingly demanding investment environment.
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The Stanbic IBTC Bank Nigeria Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for the Nigerian private sector in July 2026 contracted to 52.5 points from 53.4 points in June 2026, a statement made available to Business Post has shown.
This occurred despite the business environment sustaining its growth last month, with an increase in new orders experienced, as inflationary pressures softened, and output and employment modestly rising.
The Head of Equity Research West Africa at Stanbic IBTC Bank, Mr Muyiwa Oni, said the PMI indicated that the private sector recorded its slowest since March 2026, as businesses also increased their input purchasing activity to keep up with current demand requirements and prepare for future workloads.
“Nigerian businesses reported improved customer demand in July while better pricing and new product launches also helped them to capture new orders arising from the increase in demand. These factors helped to keep the private sector activity in an expansionary territory, although this moderated when compared to June,” he was quoted as saying.
It was stated that while input costs increased at their slowest pace in five months, panellists reported higher costs for fuel and raw materials. Selling prices also softened in line with the picture for input costs in July.
Headline inflation eased slightly to 15.91 per cent y/y in June from 15.93 per cent y/y in May, snapping three consecutive months of price increases.
Although July inflation is likely to be higher m/m, it is expected to print lower, likely at 15.72 per cent y/y, primarily driven by favourable base effects from the corresponding period of last year, because there are no expectations of the magnitude of m/m inflation witnessed in July 2025 (1.99 per cent) to materialise this year.
“We retain our 2026 growth forecasts at 4.1 per cent as we see the oil sector growing by 3.45 per cent y/y in 2026, from 8.50 per cent y/y in 2025, while the non-oil sector is likely to grow by 4.11 per cent y/y, from 3.71 per cent y/y in 2025.
“The risks to our outlook include country-wide insecurity which may constrain food production, exchange rate pressures resurfacing, extreme-weather related conditions and higher fertiliser prices impacting crop yield, and a volatile global environment which may affect sentiment and constrain capital flows,” Mr Oni noted.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Sahara Upstream, a Nigeria-focused crude producer, has deployed a new 380,000-barrel tanker to boost exports from the OML 18 block as part of a wider push by domestic operators to invest in infrastructure and lift output and exports for Africa’s biggest oil producer.
The MT D Adesanya, which can hold more than 62,000 cubic metres of crude, will operate alongside the MT D Bayero, receiving crude from shuttle vessels at Bonny Anchorage, one of Nigeria’s main crude export hubs, before transferring it to the FSO Cawthorne storage facility.
Sahara said the tanker would help cut turnaround times, currently about 30 to 48 hours, and support a planned 50 per cent increase in exports from the block’s current level of about 950,000 barrels per month.
The block currently produces about 36,000 barrels per day, according to data from the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC), with Sahara targeting output of 60,000 barrels per day.
OML 18 is one of the Niger Delta’s oldest producing assets. It began production in 1970 and contains an estimated 1.5 billion barrels of oil equivalent in reserves.
Shell, Total and Eni sold their combined interests to Eroton in 2015 as part of a broader shift toward domestic ownership in Nigeria’s upstream sector.
This development comes as Sahara Upstream is deepening its exploration and production footprint through Asharami Energy Limited (AEL), its upstream E&P business, which says it is targeting 350,000 barrels of oil per day by 2030 through its subsidiary, Enageed Resources Limited (ERL).
The growth target comes as AEL also marks a major safety milestone, achieving 6 million Lost Time Injury (LTI)-free man-hours in its OML-148 operations — reinforcing the company’s commitment to operational excellence and safety leadership.
According to Asharami Energy, the milestone reflects its ability to execute complex operations safely, in line with Sahara’s Beyond XXX vision, which builds on the group’s 30-year legacy of responsible enterprise while marking its next chapter of impact, innovation, and sustainable growth.
The developments position Sahara Upstream and its subsidiaries among the domestic operators driving increased investment in Nigeria’s oil and gas infrastructure, as the group works to scale up production and exports for Africa’s biggest oil producer.
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
One of the leading energy firms in Nigeria, Aradel Holdings Plc, has expressed its desire to optimise its enlarged portfolio and improve operational efficiency in the second half of 2026.
The company is planning to build on the success it recorded in the first half of the year, where it grew its revenue by 577 per cent to N2.5 trillion from N368.1 billion in H1 2025.
The significant rise in earnings was driven by higher production volumes together with stronger realised crude oil and gas prices, with the average at $90.4/bbl and $2.08/mmscf, respectively.
In the period under review, the Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA) increased by 688 per cent to N1.4 trillion from N176.4 billion in the corresponding period of last year, while the operating profit surged by 789 per cent to N1.1 trillion from N118.6 billion due to higher revenue and crude handling income at N149.8 billion, partly offset by underlift cost and general and administrative costs.
The net cash generated from operations was N975.6 billion between January and June 2026 versus N140.8 billion in the same period of 2025, reflecting the cash generation of the enlarged organisation.
The net debt contracted by 70 per cent on a year-to-date basis to N46.5 billion from N475.1 billion as of December 31, 2025.
Aradel, in the period under consideration, improved its post-tax profit by 30 per cent to N191.0 billion from N146.4 billion, a development that impressed its chief executive, Mr Adegbite Falade, who said, “A firmer price environment supported performance, generating net cash from operating activities of N975.6 billion and a closing cash balance of N1.7 trillion.”
“Our enlarged portfolio provides more opportunities to generate stronger cash flow and returns for shareholders and unlocking that potential is our main focus.
“We reaffirm our full year production guidance of 110 – 140 kboepd and remain committed to operating responsibly in a changing energy landscape and to delivering lasting value for our stakeholders,” he stated.
