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Economy

Nigeria Smiles as Brent Crude Oil Crawls Towards $82 per Barrel

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By Dipo Olowookere

On Tuesday, the Brent crude oil extended its rally as Saudi Arabia and Russia ruled out immediate production increases, after the United States’ call for increase in supplies by the top producers.

The commodity traded late on Tuesday at $81.80 per barrel at the global market after 17 cents or 0.21 percent, data obtained by Business Post showed.

The price of the Brent is projected to continue to rise at the market as the sanctions imposed by the US on Iranian crude exports take effect from November 4, 2018.

With the Nigerian government pegging its oil benchmark at $51 per barrel in the 2018 budget, the continue hike in the commodity is a welcome development.

Yesterday, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) advised government to take advantage of the rising oil prices to save for the raining days.

It warned that if care was not taken, the country’s economy may witness another recession, which it fell into in 2016 and exited a year later.

Since going out of recession in the second quarter of last year, Nigeria’s economy, the largest in Africa, has struggled.

In the second quarter of this year, the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) slowed to 1.50 percent from 1.95 percent, giving analysts something to worry about. The contraction was caused by drop in the price of crude oil during the period under review.

At the international market, crude oil prices are expected to stay under pressure on the back of a deadlock on supply between the top producers and the world’s largest economy, the United States.

President Donald Trump had asked members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and Russia increase their supplies to make up for the expected fall in Iranian exports, but they are adamant.

“Brent oil prices are set to rise further from current levels on supply disruption after Iran sanctions and a broader range of $80 to $90 per barrel looks achievable in the last quarter of this year,” said Abhishek Bansal, founder and chairman of ABans Group of Companies.

The OPEC has 15 member countries including Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Venezuela, Qatar, the UAE and Nigeria. At the start of 2017, OPEC members and Russia, a non-OPEC supplier, together agreed to curtail output in an oversupplied market.

According to CARE Ratings, after the sanctions on Iran exports come into effect, oil prices “are likely to go even higher given an expected drop in supply from major producers Iran and Venezuela and political and price escalation prevailing in the markets.”

“Now, as the deadline of sanctions on Iran is nearing and as the OPEC and non OPEC countries have consistently shown their reluctance over increasing production, the latest phase of bull rally has become more and more impulsive,” said Gaurav Katariya, research head (commodity), Arihant Capital Markets. “$82 may be a short lived resistance as the rally is very impulsive and any correction of, say, 3 to 4 percent, from here will only bring in strong buying.”

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

Economy

Company Income Tax Falls 49.8% to N1.49trn in Q4 2025

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Revenue from Company Income Tax (CIT) in the fourth quarter of 2025 decreased by 49.8 per cent to N1.487 trillion from N2.96 trillion in the third quarter of 2025, according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

The figure was contained in the NBS Company Income Tax (CIT) Q4 2025 Report released in Abuja on Wednesday by the stats office.

CIT is a statutory levy imposed on the profits of incorporated businesses in Nigeria. It is governed primarily by the Companies Income Tax Act (CITA) and administered by the Nigeria Revenue Service (NRS).

The report said domestic CIT received was N819.83 billion (55 per cent), while foreign CIT payment was N668.21 billion (45 per cent) in Q4 2025.

It said on a quarter-on-quarter basis, activities of extraterritorial organisations and bodies recorded the highest growth rate with 75.15 per cent,

The report said this was followed by Education and real estate activities at 54.20 per cent and 27.25 per cent, respectively.

“On the other hand, accommodation and food services activities recorded the least growth rate at -67.11 per cent, followed by activities of households as employers, undifferentiated goods and services producing activities of households for own use at -63.49 per cent.

“It said mining quarrying was recorded at -49.63 per cent.”

In terms of sectoral contributions, the report showed that the top three activities with the highest contribution in Q4 2025 were financial and insurance activities at 18.17 per cent, manufacturing at 17.30 per cent and mining and quarrying at 15.04 per cent.

It said, on the other hand, the activities of households as employers, undifferentiated goods and 0.002 per cent.

“This was followed by water supply, sewage, waste management and remediation activities with 0.04 per cent.

The report, however, said that, on a year-on-year basis, CIT collections in Q4 2025 increased by 13.38 per cent from Q4 2024.

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Economy

Nigeria’s Economic Recovery Yet to Improve Welfare, Says World Bank

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By Adedapo Adesanya

The World Bank has warned that Nigeria’s economic recovery has yet to improve household welfare as wage growth continues to lag behind inflation, leaving real incomes under pressure.

This was disclosed in its April 2026 Nigeria Development Update titled Nigeria’s Tomorrow Must Start Today: The Case for Early Childhood Development.

According to the report, while the Nigerian economy recorded moderate growth in 2026, following expansions of 4.1 per cent in 2024 and 4.0 per cent in 2025, the gains have not translated into improved living standards for most citizens.

It stated that growth was largely driven by the services sector, particularly ICT, financial services, and real estate, while agriculture and crude oil production made modest contributions.

On inflation, the report said price pressures have eased but remain in double digits, partly due to the impact of the Middle East conflict.

The lender noted that multidimensional poverty and weak early childhood development outcomes are threatening Nigeria’s long-term economic potential, despite signs of macroeconomic recovery.

The report explained that Nigeria is facing a deep early childhood development crisis, with poor outcomes in health, nutrition, and learning undermining productivity and future growth.

It emphasised that early childhood development, especially from pregnancy to age five, is critical to reversing the trend.

“Investments during this period generate lasting benefits, including better education outcomes, higher earnings, lower health costs, and stronger social cohesion. Investments during this period are highly cost-effective,” the report said.

The report highlighted alarming child welfare indicators, noting that 110 out of every 1,000 Nigerian children die before the age of five, 40 per cent are stunted, and 52 per cent are not developmentally on track before entering school.

It attributed these outcomes to persistent gaps in maternal healthcare, nutrition, early learning, and access to water and sanitation, particularly within the first 2,000 days of a child’s life.

The bank added that these outcomes remain “weak and highly unequal,” with significant disparities across income levels, regions, and states.

The report further revealed that favourable external inflows boosted reserves, with net external reserves rising to $34.8 billion at the end of 2025, while gross reserves reached $45.5 billion, equivalent to 8.7 months of imports.

However, it noted that Nigeria’s fiscal deficit widened slightly in 2025, as increased non-oil revenues were offset by higher state-level capital spending and federal recurrent expenditure.

“Federation Account Allocation Committee (FAAC) gross revenues rose from 7.9 per cent of GDP in 2024 to 8.5 per cent in 2025, driven by strong non-oil tax collections reflecting improved tax administration.

“This includes expanded e-filing and e-payments, higher compliance ahead of the implementation of the new tax bills, and the rollout of VAT e-invoicing, alongside a 0.2 per cent of GDP rise in subnational internally generated revenues,” the report stated.

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Economy

We Don’t Know When Our FY 2025 Results Will be Ready—Caverton

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By Aduragbemi Omiyale

One of the players in the Nigerian aviation sector, Caverton Offshore Support Group Plc, has informed the investing public that it is unsure when it will file its audited financial statements for 2025.

Companies listed on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited are required to submit their audited financial results at most three months after the end of the fiscal year.

For Caverton, it was supposed to release the financial statements for 2025 on or before March 31, 2026; however, it has not done the needful.

In a statement to explain the delay in the filing of the results, the company said it has not completed the audit, and does not know when this process will be concluded by its external auditor.

“The delay in filing the 2025 AFS arises from the fact that the audit of the company’s financial statements is still ongoing. The company is working closely with its external auditors to conclude the audit process.

“However, as at the date of this notice, the audit has not been finalised due to the need to complete certain outstanding review procedures and obtain final audit clearances to ensure the accuracy, completeness, and integrity of the financial statements,” Caverton explained.

It further said, “While significant progress has been made, the audit process has not reached completion, and as such, the company is currently unable to confirm a definitive timeline for the finalisation and filing of the AFS.”

“The company considers it prudent not to provide an anticipated filing date at this time in order to avoid providing information that may subsequently require revision,” it further stated in the statement signed by its scribe, Ms Amaka Obiora.

Caverton assured “its shareholders and the market that it remains fully committed to maintaining the highest standards of financial reporting, transparency, and regulatory compliance,” promising to promptly file the results “upon completion of the audit process.”

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