Economy
Crude Oil Market Falls Further Amid Uncertainties
By Adedapo Adesanya
The crude oil market was depressed further on Thursday as investors became wary of uncertainties surrounding the environment.
The market has been faced with different issues lately arising from growing inventories, coronavirus induced demand drop, and fresh rounds of disputes between the US and China.
Yesterday, these factors combined to weaken the price of the Brent crude futures by 95 cents or 2.14 per cent to $43.34 per barrel. It also softened the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude by 77 cents or 1.84 per cent to $41.13 per barrel.
The coronavirus pandemic is causing a deepening demand fallout from the U.S. to Asia.
In America, the government is facing a looming deadline to pass another round of virus relief just as unemployment claims rose for the first time since March. In South Korea, data showed the nation’s economy sliding into a recession.
These all point out that demand will drop as many will not be able to afford to be on the road, something that will affect demand for crude.
Crude futures have been caught in a tight range over the past two months as reports of government stimulus and vaccine progress failed to overcome prospects for weakening demand amid a resurgent pandemic.
In the US, virus cases continue to surge and government data this week showed fuel demand weakening with measures to contain the pandemic keeping drivers off the road. Meanwhile, crude inventories also rose.
The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday that the sharp rise in coronavirus cases has started to hit US consumption as crude inventories rose by 4.9 million barrels in the week to July 17 to 536.6 million barrels.
This is coming at a time when the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies (OPEC+) are close to unleashing crude back onto the market.
Adding to the uncertainty in the market, US-Chinese relations deteriorated further as Washington gave Beijing 72 hours to close its consulate in Houston amid accusations of spying.
The Chinese Foreign Ministry said the move had severely harmed relations and that China would be forced to respond.
Even the benefit of a weaker Dollar did nothing to help the price of the commodity. The US Dollar on Thursday was trading at its lowest against a basket of currencies since September 2018.
In a normal circumstance, a weaker dollar usually spurs buying of dollar-priced commodities, like oil, because they become cheaper for holders of other currencies but that was not the case at the market.
Economy
SEC Okays 50% Hike in X-Alert Fee for Capital Market Transactions
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has approved a 50 per cent hike in the X-Alert service fee per transaction in the Nigerian capital market.
The X-Alert fee is a flat rate charged for sending real-time SMS/email notifications for transactions to investors from both buy and sell sides.
It was introduced by the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) to replace percentage-based charges, aimed at increasing transparency and reducing total transaction costs for investors.
Investors were earlier charged N4 per SMS, but the country’s apex capital market regulator has approved a 50 per cent increase in X-Alert service fee, meaning the new rate is N6 per SMS.
Business Post gathered from one of the players in the ecosystem that the effective date for the new price was Thursday, March 26, 2026.
“We wish to inform you of a revision to the X-Alert (SMS) service fee applicable to transactions executed on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX).
“Following approval by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the X-Alert fee has been reviewed upward from N4.00 to N6.00 per transaction,” the notice sighted by this newspaper read.
Economy
World Bank Projects 4.2% Growth for Nigeria Amid Risks
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria’s economy is projected to remain resilient in the face of mounting global uncertainties, with the World Bank forecasting a 4.2 per cent growth rate in 2026.
However, the global lender has warned that rising fuel costs and persistent inflation, worsened by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, could undermine household incomes and slow poverty reduction.
Speaking in Abuja, the bank’s lead economist for Nigeria, Mr Fiseha Haile, noted that while the ongoing US-Israel-Iran conflict has pushed up prices, overall economic activity has remained largely intact.
“Overall business activity has been expanding over the past few months, suggesting the impact on growth has been relatively contained. But the shock is still being felt through higher inflation,” Mr Haile said.
According to him, business activity has continued to expand in recent months, indicating that the broader impact on growth has been “relatively contained,” even as inflationary pressures intensify.
Nigeria’s inflation rate, though significantly reduced from around 33 per cent in December 2024 to 15.06 per cent in February 2026, remains elevated compared to regional peers.
“Inflation is still elevated and under increasing pressure, and that poses risks to incomes and poverty reduction,” Mr Haile said.
The renewed surge in fuel prices, reportedly rising by over 50 per cent during the Iran conflict, has had a ripple effect on transportation, food, and production costs, amplifying the cost-of-living crisis.
The World Bank urged Nigerian authorities to adopt prudent macroeconomic measures, including tightening monetary policy, avoiding blanket subsidies, and saving windfalls from higher oil prices to strengthen fiscal buffers.
It also recommended reconsidering restrictions on fuel imports as a potential tool to ease inflationary pressures.
The economic reforms under President Bola Tinubu — including the removal of fuel subsidies, exchange rate unification, and tax restructuring — were acknowledged as ambitious steps aimed at stabilising the economy.
These reforms have contributed to improved external buffers, with rising foreign exchange reserves and reduced volatility.
Additionally, Nigeria’s fiscal deficit stood at 3.1 per cent of GDP in 2025, while the debt-to-GDP ratio declined for the first time in a decade.
Yet, the World Bank cautioned that tighter global financial conditions could still pose risks to capital inflows, borrowing costs, and remittances.
Economy
FTSE Russell Restores Nigeria’s Frontier Market Status
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The Frontier Market status of Nigeria, earlier yanked off by FTSE Russell, has now been fully restored.
The platform earlier reclassified the country’s status to Unclassified following several uncertainties and economic issues.
But after recommendations from its Equity Country Classification Advisory Committee and Policy Advisory Board, the Frontier Market status has been restored by FTSE Russell, marking a significant milestone in the country’s reintegration into global investment indices and signalling renewed opportunity for international investors.
However, this will take effect from September 2026, with the outcome announced as part of the March 2026 interim review and communicated to investors across key global markets.
The decision reflects sustained improvements in Nigeria’s market infrastructure, accessibility, and overall investability, driven in large part by enhancements to the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) platform. These include strengthened trading systems, improved settlement processes, and increased transparency, all of which have contributed to a more efficient and accessible market environment for domestic and international investors.
According to the FTSE Quality of Markets assessment, Nigeria recorded Pass ratings across several core criteria, including regulatory oversight, capital repatriation, brokerage competitiveness, tax framework, and settlement efficiency, with a T+2 settlement cycle in operation. These gains reflect deliberate efforts to align market operations with global standards and improve the investor experience.
While acknowledging this progress, the review also highlighted areas for further development, including foreign exchange market depth, transaction cost efficiency, derivatives market availability, and certain custody and clearing mechanisms. Addressing these gaps will require continued coordination across regulators, market operators, and the broader financial ecosystem.
FTSE Russell noted that its country classification process combines detailed technical assessment with input from global institutional investors, ensuring that both structural conditions and real-world investor experience are reflected. The organisation also commended Nigerian market authorities for their continued engagement.
“This milestone reflects the strength of collaboration across Nigeria’s capital market ecosystem, but importantly, the deliberate efforts to strengthen the underlying market infrastructure that supports efficient trading, transparency, and investor access,” the chief executive of NGX Group Plc, Mr Temi Popoola, said.
“At NGX Group, we have remained focused on building a more resilient, accessible, and globally competitive platform, and this reclassification affirms the progress made.
“We will continue to work closely with regulators, market operators and stakeholders to deepen reforms, address identified gaps, and sustain momentum towards higher market classifications,” he added.
The Frontier Market designation is expected to enhance Nigeria’s visibility among global asset managers and index-tracking funds, potentially unlocking new capital inflows and broadening participation in the market.
As global investors increasingly prioritise markets with strong infrastructure, transparency, and accessibility, Nigeria’s re-entry into the FTSE Frontier Market universe underscores the critical role of market infrastructure in enabling capital formation and connecting local opportunities to global capital.
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