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Brent Dips to $70 as Triple Whammy Threat Hits Oil Market

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global oil market

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Brent crude recorded its third consecutive loss on Wednesday by going down by $2.23 or 3.1 per cent to sell at $70 per barrel.

The United States crude benchmark, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) was also not left out as it depreciated by $2.61 or 3.7 per cent to settle at $67.95 per barrel.

It was observed that the oil market was dampened by a triple whammy surprise build in crude stockpiles and negative economic reports in the United States as well as worries about the spread of the coronavirus Delta variant.

The market, which was already hurting, was hit harder when the Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported an inventory build of 3.6 million barrels for the week to July 30.

This was higher than what analysts had expected, a 2.9 million barrels draw. At the previous week, the EIA had estimated an inventory draw of 4.1 million barrels.

Earlier, the American Petroleum Institute (API) had estimated a smaller-than-expected draw in crude oil inventories of 879,000 barrels for the week ending July 30.

Apart from this, the market was also faced with worries about soaring COVID as investors focused on the fast-spreading Delta variant which is resurging in China, the US, and many other countries from Europe to Southeast Asia and Australia.

In China, the city of Wuhan, the ground zero for the coronavirus, will test all its 12 million residents which have prompted authorities to impose strict measures to bring the outbreak under control.

In the US, about 40,000 people are currently hospitalized because of COVID-19, according to the Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center, same as it was this time last year. However, the death rates have dropped due to vaccines and mitigation efforts.

Globally, cases worldwide surpassed 200 million on Wednesday, as the more infectious variant threatens areas with low vaccination rates and strained healthcare systems.

The market was also impacted by a sharp slowdown in US job growth as data showed that private payrolls rose by 330,000 jobs, showing the smallest gain in private payrolls in five months in July and far lower than expected.

The latest scare outweighed concerns about supply from the Middle East, where a tanker was reportedly a target of a hijacking attempt off the coast of the United Arab Emirates.

On Tuesday, sources claimed Iranian-backed forces seized an oil product tanker off the coast of the UAE. This is the second attack on a tanker since Friday in the region, which includes the Strait of Hormuz.

The United Kingdom and the United States blamed Iran for the earlier incident, in which drones crashed into the vessel and killed two sailors.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

NASD Bourse Slips 0.22% as FrieslandCampina Leads Losers

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FrieslandCampina

By Adedapo Adesanya

Four stocks weakened the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange by 0.22 per cent on Tuesday, March 24, with Friesland Campina Wamco Nigeria Plc leading the pack after shedding N7.83 to trade at N108.73 per share compared with the previous day’s N116.00 per share.

Further, Food Concepts Plc lost 37 Kobo to close at N3.00 per unit versus Monday’s closing price of N3.37 per unit, Riggs Ventures Plc depreciated by 10 Kobo to 90 Kobo per share from N1.00 per share, and Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc dipped by 4 Kobo to 53 Kobo per unit from 57 Kobo per unit.

Consequently, the market capitalisation of the NASD bourse went down by N5.40 billion to N2.477 trillion from the previous session’s N2.482 trillion, and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) fell by 9.08 points to 4,140.30 points from 4,149.38 points.

Business Post reports that despite the loss, the trading platform witnessed the rise in the share prices of four securities, led by Okitipupa Plc, which gained N13.50 to sell at N250.00 per share compared with the previous day’s N236.50 per share. Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc added N2.61 to close at N78.94 per unit versus N76.33 per unit, First Trust Mortgage Bank Plc appreciated by 19 Kobo to N2.08 per share from N1.89 per share, and Impresit Bakalori Plc improved by 18 Kobo to N2.01 per unit from N1.83 per unit.

Tuesday’s trading data showed that the value of transactions increased by 518.9 per cent to N45.6 million from N7.37 million, and the volume of trades increased by securities rose by 126.34 per cent to 933,125 units from 412,260 units, while the number of deals went down by 9.4 per cent to 29 deals from 32 deals.

CSCS Plc remained the most traded stock by value (year-to-date) with 39.1 million units worth N2.4 billion, trailed by Infrastructure Guarantee Credit Plc with 400 million units valued at N1.2 billion, and Okitipupa Plc with 6.4 million units traded for N1.2 billion.

Resourcery Plc maintained its position as the most traded stock by volume (year-to-date) with 1.1 billion units exchanged for N415.7 million, followed by Infrastructure Credit Plc with 400 million units sold for N1.2 billion, and Geo-Fluids Plc with 131.2 million units transacted for N505.8 million.

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Economy

Naira Gains N5.75 to Close at N1,382/$ at NAFEX

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weakening Naira

By Adedapo Adesanya

Pressure on the Naira against the Dollar eased on Tuesday, March 24, by 0.41 per cent or N5.75 in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) to N1,382.63/$1 from the previous day’s N1,388.38/$1.

Also, the Nigerian currency gained N11.43 against the Pound Sterling in the official market during the session to sell for N1,848.86/£1 versus Monday’s closing rate of N1,860.29/£1, and improved its value against the Euro by N9.43 to settle at N1,599.98/€1 versus the preceding session’s price of N1,609.41/€1.

However, the Naira lost N17 against the Dollar at the GTBank forex desk to close at N1,388/$1, in contrast to the previous N1,371/$1, and closed flat against the US Dollar in the parallel market at N1,400/$1.

Analysts at Quest Merchant Bank said global factors are shaping investor sentiment, giving the local currency the needed strength to maintain stability in the currency market. The prolonged conflict in the Middle East has heightened risk aversion, reducing appetite for emerging-market assets.

The bank noted that de-escalation in geopolitical tensions, alongside Nigeria’s attractive yield environment, could help sustain offshore inflows and support the currency in the near term, though structural challenges remain.

As for the cryptocurrency market, profit-taking erased gains made by some tokens after it was reported that a one-month ceasefire in the Iran war could be announced soon as part of a wider deal, easing worries that gripped the markets.

Other terms of the deal reportedly include a dismantling of Iran’s existing nuclear capabilities and that country’s vow to “never seek” nuclear weapons.

The news was felt most immediately in the oil market, with Brent Crude dropping from $104 to below $100 in a few minutes.

Previously, US President Donald Trump announced a five-day pause on strikes against Iranian energy infrastructure.

Solana (SOL) depreciated by 1.4 per cent to $90.21, Ripple (XRP) slumped by 1.3 per cent to $1.40, Bitcoin dipped 0.6 per cent to $70,235.96, Ethereum (ETH) declined by 0.4 per cent to $2,143.38, and Binance Coin (BNB) dropped 0.3 per cent to sell for $636.19.

On the flip side, Cardano (ADA) rose 1.4 per cent to $0.2652, TRON (TRX) added 0.7 per cent to close at $0.3077, and Dogecoin (DOGE) appreciated by 0.3 per cent to $0.095, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 each.

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Economy

Oil Prices Mixed as US Proposes Plan to End Iran War

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Oil Prices fall

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil prices were mixed on Tuesday after reports ‌that the United States had sent Iran a 15-point plan to end the war in the Middle East.

Brent futures ‌went down by $0.83 ⁠or 0.9 per cent to $99.11 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate climbed $4.22 or 4.79 per cent to $92.35 per barrel.

President Donald Trump said on Tuesday that the US and Iran were “in negotiations right now” and suggested Tehran was eager to make a peace deal, even as the Islamic Republic denied it’s in direct talks with America.

President Trump, speaking in the Oval Office, said he decided to back off from his recent threat to order strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure

According to reports, ​the plan includes a one-month ceasefire to be announced, according to a mechanism that US Middle ​East envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared ​Kushner are working on.

The Strait of Hormuz was handling about 20 per cent of global seaborne oil supplies until the war broke out, before Iran virtually stopped flows via the critical waterway. With around a fifth of the world’s daily oil supply cut off by the Middle East war, prices are still ​more than 40 per cent higher than they were when the conflict erupted in late February.

The United Arab Emirates (UAE), which has seen its liquified natural gas (LNG) and most oil supply choked at the vital chokepoint, said Iran’s weaponisation of the energy and trade flows amounts to economic terrorism against every nation in the world.

Since the US-Israel strikes on Iran began on February 28, the daily traffic of over 100 vessels, including tankers, through the Strait of Hormuz, has slowed to a trickle of a handful of passages per week, all cargoes apparently approved for transit by Iran.

Iranian state media said that Iran would permit safe transit through the strait, except for ships associated with its “enemies.”

Amid the messaging clash between the US and Iran on negotiations, multiple outlets have reported that regional leaders are engaged in behind-the-scenes diplomatic efforts to help broker an end to the war.

The American Petroleum Institute (API) estimated that crude oil inventories in the US rose by 2.3 million barrels in the week ending March 20. Official data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) will be released later on Wednesday.

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