Economy
Asian Shares Close Mixed on Fears of Imminent Recession
By Investors Hub
Asian stocks turned in a mixed performance on Wednesday as trade worries persisted and government bond yields edged back towards record lows, raising fears of an imminent recession.
China’s Shanghai Composite Index ended down 8.44 points, or 0.3 percent, at 2,893.76, a day after the government announced several measures to boost consumption. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index dipped 0.2 percent to 25,615.48.
Meanwhile, Japanese shares rose modestly, with defensive stocks rising as the downgrading of South Korea’s trade status took effect. The Nikkei average inched up 23.34 points, or 0.1 percent, to 20,479.42, while the broader Topix ended little changed with a positive bias at 1,490.35.
Telecommunication company NTT climbed 2.6 percent, mobile carrier KDDI advanced 2.5 percent and NTT Docomo added 1.9 percent.
Australian markets finished modestly higher, led by mining and energy stocks. The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index rose 29.40 points, or 0.5 percent, to 6,500.60, while the broader All Ordinaries Index ended up 35.20 points, or 0.5 percent, at 6,600.80.
Mining heavyweights BHP and Rio Tinto rallied 1.4 percent and 2.5 percent, respectively while energy stocks such as Oil Search, Woodside Petroleum and Origin Energy gained 1-2 percent.
Gold miners Newcrest Mining and Evolution Mining jumped around 3 percent after gold prices rose to a near six-and-a-half year closing high overnight.
Afterpay Touch Group soared 9.3 percent after saying growth in the United States was exceeding its expectations.
On the other hand, banks ANZ, Commonwealth and NAB fell between half a percent and 1.3 percent on concerns that a deepening debt yield curve inversion may compress their profitability.
Troubled wealth manager AMP shed 0.9 percent after suffering another rating downgrade. Macquarie Group shares were in a trading halt ahead of a capital raising.
Infant formula maker Bellamy’s Australia dropped 1.4 percent as it reported a 49 percent fall in full-year profit on lower revenues.
Seoul shares advanced following weightage changes in the MSCI index. The benchmark Kospi climbed 16.49 points, or 0.9 percent, to 1,941.09 even as Japan officially removed South Korea from a list of preferred trading partners.
Hyundai Motor shares rallied 2 percent after the company reached a tentative wage deal with its workers’ union.
Economy
Sell-Offs in Dangote Cement, Others Plunge NGX Further by 1.47%
By Dipo Olowookere
Sustained profit-taking in high-cap stock like Dangote Cement deepened the woes of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited on Wednesday.
The domestic equity market lost 1.47 per cent at midweek as the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) revealed that inflation in Nigeria was further elevated in December 2024 by 34.80 per cent, prompting investors to maintain their selling pressure stance.
Data showed that the industrial goods index depreciated by 4.70 per cent at the close of business as the insurance sector slumped by 3.47 per cent.
However, the consumer goods space improved by 0.99 per cent, the energy counter appreciated by 0.15 per cent, and the banking industry gained 0.02 per cent.
When the closing gong was struck by 2:30 pm to signal the close of trading activities yesterday, the All-Share Index (ASI) was down by 1,529.59 points to 102,095.95 points from 103,625.54 points and the market capitalisation went down by N933 billion to N62.257 trillion from N63.190 trillion.
Like the preceding trading day, investor sentiment was weak at midweek after Customs Street ended with 28 price gainers and 39 price losers, implying a negative market breadth index.
Universal Insurance and Dangote Cement were the biggest price losers as they shed 10.00 per cent each to close at 63 Kobo, and N387.90, respectively, as John Holt declined by 9.99 per cent to N8.47, Transcorp Power lost 9.97 per cent to close at N324.00, and Omatek tumbled by 9.89 per cent to 82 Kobo.
Conversely, Dangote Sugar, NASCON, and Sunu Assurances chalked up 10.00 per cent each to sell for N36.85, N38.50, and N6.71, respectively, as SAHCO rose by 9.95 per cent to N33.15, and Austin Laz grew by 9.94 per cent to N1.99.
Business Post reports that investors bought and sold 435.5 million equities valued at N9.4 billion in 12,098 deals during the session versus the 503.3 million equities worth N12.6 billion traded in 12,900 deals on Tuesday, indicating a decline in the trading volume, value, and number of deals by 13.47 per cent, 25.40 per cent and 6.22 per cent apiece.
Universal Insurance topped the activity log with the sale of 70.3 million shares for N46.4 million, AIICO Insurance traded 39.7 million equities valued at N67.5 million, Access Holdings exchanged 16.8 million stocks worth N414.0 million, Livestock Feeds transacted 16.8 million shares valued at N106.8 million, and Nigerian Breweries traded 16.2 million equities worth N518.2 million.
Economy
Bitcoin Trading Surges Ahead of Inauguration as Open Interest Hits $237m
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
As the world, particularly the United States prepare for the second coming of Mr Donald Trump to the White House next Monday, there have been significant interest in the cryptocurrency market.
Mr Trump, who was the President of the US from 2017 to 2021, won the 2024 presidential election by defeating the current Vice President, Ms Kamala Harris, who was the candidate of the Democratic Party, and will be sworn-in on Monday, January 20, 2025, for a second term in office.
The Head of Research at Derive.xyz, Mr Sean Dawson, while commenting on the renewed interest in Bitcoin ((BTC) and other digital coins in the market, said, “In the last 24 hours, BTC trading activity has surged, with open interest hitting an impressive $237 million.
“With 38 per cent of BTC contracts being calls bought and 37.3 per cent puts bought, it’s clear that traders are positioning for increased volatility, particularly with the inauguration just days away.
“This appetite for market swings likely reflects growing uncertainty in U.S. markets as expectations for a near-term rate cut diminish.”
“Additionally, bearish sentiment appears to be gaining traction, with BTC puts now making up 40 per cent of all open interest, a sharp increase from 20 per cent just last week. This shift suggests traders are hedging against potential downside risks as we approach the inauguration.
“Implied volatility (IV) trends further highlight this heightened uncertainty. BTC’s 7-day ATM IV has risen by 3 per cent to 56.5 per cent, while the 30-day IV is up 1.5 per cent, now at 57.5%. This steady climb points to a more volatile market sentiment leading up to the event,” he further said.
”ETH, on the other hand, has seen an even more pronounced spike in IV. Over the past 24 hours, ETH’s 7-day IV has surged by 6 per cent to 74 per cent, nearly double the rise seen in BTC.
“Meanwhile, its 30-day IV has climbed 2.5 per cent to 69.5 per cent. This disparity suggests ETH traders are anticipating greater immediate volatility, possibly due to its higher sensitivity to macroeconomic shifts and speculation surrounding post-inauguration policies.
“As the inauguration draws near, these trends underline a pivotal moment for traders, with both BTC and ETH markets reflecting a mix of caution and readiness for potential sharp moves,” Mr Dawson stated.
Economy
Nigeria’s Inflation Jumps to 34.80% in December 2024
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria’s inflation hit 34.80 per cent in December 2024 from 34.60 per cent in November 2024, spurred by festive activities.
This was disclosed by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) in its first published data after almost a month of blackout on its website following a purported hack.
The December 2024 headline inflation rate showed a marginal increase of 0.20 per cent compared to the November 2024 headline inflation rate.
This was due to December festive period increases in demand for goods and services.
On a year-on-year basis, the headline inflation rate was 5.87 per cent higher than the rate recorded in December 2023 (28.92 per cent). This shows that the headline inflation rate (year-on-year basis) increased in December 2024 compared to the same month in the preceding year (i.e., December 2023).
On the contrary, the month-on-month basis, the headline inflation rate in December 2024 was 2.44 per cent, which was 0.20 per cent lower than the rate recorded in November 2024 at 2.64 per cent.
This means that in December 2024, the rate of increase in the average price level is slightly lower than the rate of increase in the average price level in November 2024.
Meanwhile, the food inflation rate in the festive month was 39.84 per cent on a year-on-year basis, 5.91 per cent points higher compared to the rate recorded in December 2023 at 33.93 per cent.
The rise in food inflation on a year-on-year basis was caused by increases in prices of the following items; yam, water yam, sweet potatoes, etc (potatoes, yam & other tubers class), beer, pinto (tobacco class), guinea corn, maize grains, rice, etc (bread and cereals class), and dried fish-sadine, catfish dried, etc (fish class).
On a month-on-month basis, the Food inflation rate in December 2024 was 2.66 per cent which shows a 0.32 per cent decrease compared to the rate recorded in November 2024 at 2.98 per cent.
The decline can be attributed to the rate of decrease in the average prices of local beer (burukutu), pinto (tobacco Class), fruit juice in tin, malt drinks, etc (soft drinks class), rice, millet, maize flour, etc (bread and cereals class) and water yam, irish potatoes, coco yam, etc (potatoes, yam & other tubers class).
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