Economy
Bitcoin Could Hit $200,000 Next Year, Ethereum $8,000—Analyst
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The Head of Research at Derive.xyz, Mr Sean Dawson, has disclosed that the price of Bitcoin could potentially reach $200,000 next year.
On Wednesday, the token cross the elusive $100,000 threshold buoyed by renewed interest in the crypto market after Mr Donald Trump won the presidential election of the United States held on November 5, 2024.
Mr Trump, who is returning to the White House for the second term after he occupied it from 2017 to 2021, is a fan of the crypto landscape and it is believed that his return would favour the market.
In the analysis done by the world-leading onchain options DeFi protocol, it was stated BTC has the 18 per cent chance of shattering that ceiling.
“While Bitcoin hits a major milestone of reaching above $100,000 for the first time today (yesterday), optimism has surged on Derive.xyz, with an 18.7 per cent chance of BTC reaching $200,000 by September 26, 2025 – four-times higher since the US election,” Mr Dawson said in a note to Business Post.
“Ethereum is not far behind with an all-time high prediction of 23.6 per cent chance of reaching $8,000 by the same date.
“Current market dynamics also show a 10.5 per cent probability of Ethereum hitting $6,000 and a 6 per cent chance for Bitcoin to reach $150,000, both by January 31.
“The sharp increase in the 25 delta skews for Bitcoin to 8.8 per cent and 10.3 per cent for 7 and 30 days, respectively, compared to 24 hours ago, shows that traders are heavily favouring calls over puts to maximise on potential upward movements.
“Additionally, Bitcoin’s ATM implied volatility has reflected these expectations with a significant increase, peaking at 72 per cent recently, before adjusting to 61 per cent. This indicates anticipation of substantial price movements in the coming week.
“The heightened market activity and trader confidence are mirrored in Derive.xyz‘s performance, with our total value locked (TVL) reaching a new peak of $94.8 million. This milestone solidifies Derive.xyz’s position as a dominant player in the DeFi space, poised to leverage these optimistic market trends, as we move toward a TGE on January 15,” he added.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange ended with a 0.92 per cent growth on Monday, January 6 as investors rebalance their portfolios.
Five stocks trading at Nigeria’s OTC securities exchange influenced the positive outcome yesterday, with the value of the bourse growing by N9.58 billion to N1.056 trillion from the N1.046 trillion it ended last Friday.
In the same vein, the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) increased at the close of business by 27.95 points to 3,080.29 points from the 3,052.34 points recorded at the previous session.
11 Plc jumped during the day by N23.21 to N255.31 per share from N232.10 per share, Acorn Petroleum Plc expanded by 14 Kobo to sell at N1.54 per unit versus N1.40 per unit, Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc went up by 2 Kobo to settle at 22 Kobo per share compared with the preceding day’s 20 Kobo per share, Afriland Properties Plc added 13 Kobo to close at N16.12 per unit versus N15.99 per unit, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc chalked up 24 Kobo to quote at N40.00 per share, in contrast to last Friday’s N39.76 per share.
On Monday, the volume of securities traded by investors went down by 83.7 per cent to 1.8 million units from 11.3 million units, and the value of shares traded yesterday depreciated by 63.5 per cent to N20.7 million from the N56.8 million recorded in the preceding session, but the number of deals increased by 7.4 per cent to 29 deals from 27 deals.
FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc was the most active stock by value (year-to-date) with 1.8 million units worth N72.4 million, followed by 11 Plc with 12,963 units valued at N3.2 million, and IGI Plc with 10.7 million units sold for N2.1 million.
IGI Plc closed the day as the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 10.6 million units sold for N2.1 million, trailed by FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc with 1.8 million units valued at N72.4 million, and Acorn Petroleum Plc followed with 1.2 million units worth N1.9 million.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira recorded a 0.16 per cent or N2.53 depreciation on the US Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM) on Monday, January 6 to close at N1,536.58/$1 compared with last Friday’s price of N1,534.05/$1.
However, in the same market segment, which is the official market, the domestic currency traded flat against the British Pound Sterling and the Euro during the trading session at N1,902.55/£1 and N1,579.52/€1, respectively.
It was a similar scenario in the parallel market yesterday, where the Naira value remained unchanged against the greenback at N1,655/$1 as the market was able to soak forex demand pressure for now.
Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market was positive on Monday as most of the tokens tracked by this newspaper turned green as anticipation of Donald Trump’s inauguration as US president is building bullish sentiment for Bitcoin (BTC) and the broader crypto market.
Mr Trump’s expected crypto policies and broader economic plans have brought back positive sentiment among traders — bumping up crypto prices.
Market analysts added that market volatility is expected to stay low until the US Nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report is released on Friday, which some believe will kick-start the new trading year with decision-makers fully back at work.
BTC gained 2.5 per cent during the session to sell at $101,864.32, Binance Coin (BNB) also appreciated by 2.5 per cent to close at $730.65, Ripple (XRP) increased its value by 1.4 per cent to $2.43, Dogecoin (DOGE) rose by 1.2 per cent to settle at $0.3907, Solana (SOL) recorded a 0.9 per cent growth to trade at $216.30, Cardano jumped by 0.7 per cent to end at $1.09, and Ethereum (ETH) expanded by 0.2 per cent to $3,673.05.
But the price of Litecoin (LTC) went down on Monday by 1.5 per cent to close at $112.92, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 each.
By Dipo Olowookere
The positive momentum witnessed at the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited in the beginning of the year continued on Monday as the bourse climbed further by 0.06 per cent at the close of transactions.
It was a tough battle between the bulls and the bears during the trading day, but the former won after the insurance and the banking sectors closed higher by 4.12 per cent and 0.74 per cent, respectively.
Business Post reports that the consumer goods, the industrial goods, and the energy counters went down by 0.35 per cent, 0.10 per cent and 0.07 per cent, respectively, as a result of profit-taking yesterday.
However, they could not affect the outcome of Customs Street when trading activities ended, leaving the All-Share Index (ASI) growing by 61.91 points to 103,648.24 points from 103,586.33 points, and the market capitalisation increased by N38 billion to N63.204 trillion from N63.166 trillion.
Investor sentiment remained strong on Monday after a positive market breadth index buoyed by 48 price gainers and 19 price losers.
Wema Bank and DAAR Communications chalked up 10.00 per cent each to sell for N11.00 and 77 Kobo, respectively, as Honeywell Flour gained 9.99 per cent to finish at N8.37, Coronation Insurance expanded by 9.96 per cent to N2.98, and Lasaco Assurance appreciated by 9.95 per cent to N4.09.
On the flip side, Cutix shed 5.45 per cent to quote at N2.60, Caverton lost 5.36 per cent to trade at N2.65, Jaiz Bank declined by 5.23 per cent to N3.08, Champion Breweries plunged by 4.53 per cent to N4.00, and Ikeja Hotel slipped by 4.26 per cent to N12.35.
Yesterday, the trading volume, value, and number of deals went up by 20.68 per cent, 62.20 per cent and 21.42 per cent, respectively.
A total of 856.0 million stocks valued at N13.3 billion were traded during the session in 16,505 deals versus the 709.3 million stocks worth N8.2 billion transacted in 13,593 deals last Friday.
On top of the activity chart was Chams, with 80.8 million equities sold for N191.5 million, Veritas Kapital traded 60.5 million shares worth N105.7 million, Access Holdings exchanged 54.3 million stocks valued at N1.4 billion, GTCO transacted 54.0 million shares worth N3.1 billion, and Prestige Assurance sold 48.9 million equities valued at N76.0 million.
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