Connect with us

Economy

Border Closure to Push Inflation to 11.32%—Analysts

Published

on

inflation-nigeria

By Dipo Olowookere

Analysts at Meristem Research have projected that inflation rate in Nigeria for the month of October 2019 will increase to 11.32 percent from 11.24 percent recorded in September, indicating a year-on-year 0.08 percent rise.

The firm said one of the major factors to cause this increase in inflation rate is the closure of land borders since August 2019, which has caused prices of food items to significantly moved up.

In its inflation report, Meristem Research noted that decline in prices of food items in August 2019 was caused by the harvest season, but things changed when federal government closed the country’s borders, which had impact on commodity prices, triggering a 0.22 percent uptick in inflation in September.

“Data from our most recent survey of commodity and food prices suggests a significant expansion in the prices of staples such as rice, poultry and oil in October.

“Just before announcement of the border closure in August, a 50kg bag of rice retailed for c.N12,000. As the full effect of the closure set in, prices surged by between 75.00 percent and 100.00 percent to N21,000 and NGN24,000 per bag,” the report said.

Continuing, it said, “Poultry products (chicken and turkey) and oils have also recorded average price expansions of 33.00 percent and 17.00 percent respectively over the same period.

“Combined, these items formed the strongest inflationary pressure points, as prices of other local staples remained relatively stable.”

Analysts at Meristem Research said the Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) also supports the view that inflationary pressures are building as the index for last month rose from 57.7 in September to 58.2.

“We envisage that the imminent upward review in energy tariffs and extension of the border closure period to January 31, 2020 should sustain pressure on the CPI in the near term,” it said.

On the global scene, the Food Price Index of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations ticked up by 5.97 percent year-on-year in October for the third consecutive month largely due to higher meat (+13.87 percent), dairy (+5.58 percent) and oils (+2.64%) prices.

“While this should ordinarily portend intensified inflationary pressures, owing to Nigeria’s large food import bill, the closure of the country’s land borders has emerged as the major upside risk to inflation,” the report said.

Concluding, Meristem Research said, “Following our evaluation of primary inflationary triggers in the economy, we forecast that headline inflation will tick up by 0.08 percent YoY, to 11.32 percent for October 2019.”

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

Advertisement
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Economy

NGX All-Share Index Crosses 200,000-Point Threshold After 1.55% Gain

Published

on

NGX All-Share Index

By Dipo Olowookere

The All-Share Index (ASI) of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited reached an all-time high of 201,474.89 points on Monday after adding 3,067.59 points or 1.55 per cent to its previous closing figures of 198,407.30 points.

Buying pressure in three of the five key sectors sustained the upward trend on Customs Street during the trading session, analysis of the market data revealed.

The industrial goods sector appreciated by 4.52 per cent, the banking index improved by 2.20 per cent, and the consumer goods space rose by 0.03 per cent.

However, the insurance sector experienced profit-taking, which crashed it by 0.43 per cent, and the energy counter lost 0.08 per cent due to sell-offs.

When the bourse ended for the day, the market capitalisation chalked up N1.969 trillion to settle at N129.330 trillion compared with last Friday’s M127.361 trillion.

BUA Cement led the advancers’ group yesterday after growing by 10.00 per cent to N297.00, Premier Paints jumped 9.79 per cent to N21.30, John Holt expanded by 9.52 per cent to N10.35, Guinea Insurance soared by 9.38 per cent to N1.40, and Fortis Global Insurance grew by 9.32 per cent to N1.29.

On the flip side, VFD Group led the laggards’ gang after it gave up 10.00 per cent to close at N11.25, Royal Exchange shed 9.63 per cent to settle at N1.69, Omatek depreciated by 9.62 per cent to N2.35, Sovereign Trust Insurance lost 9.00 per cent to quote at N1.92, and Regency Alliance slipped by 8.94 per cent to N1.12.

Yesterday, a total of 948.2 million stocks valued at N49.2 billion were traded in 72,735 deals compared with 591.0 million stocks worth N35.0 billion transacted in 53,066 deals in the preceding session, representing an improvement in the trading volume, value, and number of deals by 60.44 per cent, 40.57 per cent, and 37.07 per cent apiece.

The activity log was led by Sovereign Trust Insurance, which traded 72.6 million equities valued at N147.1 million, Access Holdings sold 69.9 million shares for N1.8 billion, First Holdco exchanged 67.0 million stocks worth N3.4 billion, Zenith Bank transacted 60.0 million equities valued at N6.0 billion, and Nigerian Breweries exchanged 55.0 million shares worth N4.0 billion.

Continue Reading

Economy

Oil Market Falls 3% as Ships Sail Through Disrupted Hormuz Route

Published

on

global oil market

By Adedapo Adesanya

The oil market was down about 3 per cent on Monday after some vessels sailed through the critical Strait ​of Hormuz that has been largely shut down during the escalating war with Iran.

Iran has allowed some Indian vessels to sail through the Strait of Hormuz, sinking Brent futures by $2.93 or 2.8 per cent to $100.21 a barrel, as the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude drowned $5.21 or 5.3 per cent to settle at $93.50 per barrel.

The country also asked India to release three tankers seized in ​February as part of talks seeking the safe passage of Indian‑flagged or India‑bound vessels through the strait.

This was confirmed by the US with Treasury Secretary, Mr Scott Bessent, saying the US is fine with some Iranian, Indian and Chinese ships going through the Strait of Hormuz for now, adding that any action to mitigate higher prices would depend on how long the war lasts.

Meanwhile, allies rebuffed US President Donald Trump’s call for help in unblocking the strait. He said his administration has contacted roughly seven countries that rely heavily on Middle Eastern crude shipments and expects them to help secure the route.

The majority of crude moving through the strait ultimately heads to Asian markets, including China, India, Japan and South Korea.

According to the Associated Press, Chinese officials declined to directly address the request when asked during a daily briefing on Monday, instead reiterating their broader call for de-escalation in the region.

The Executive Director of the International Energy Information (EIA), Mr Fatih Birol, said on Monday that member countries could release more oil ​into the market from strategic stockpiles after they agreed to the largest-ever release of 400 million barrels last week.

The European Union (EU) foreign ministers are discussing on Monday the potential to move an already operational mission in the Middle East region to try to help unblock the Strait.

President Trump also threatened further strikes on Iran’s Kharg Island, which handles about 90 per cent of the country’s exports, after hitting military targets there that spurred further retaliation from Iran. On its part, Israel said it has detailed plans for at least three more weeks of war.

Continue Reading

Economy

FG Introduces iDICE Startup Bridge to Fund Early, Post-MVP Startups

Published

on

iDICE Startup Bridge

By Adedapo Adesanya

The federal government has launched the iDICE Startup Bridge, a structured two-track initiative that will offer idea-stage founders grants of up to N10 million and equity investment of $100,000 for startups that have already built and launched their Minimum Viable Product (MVP).

Launched in 2023 with $617.7 million in funding, iDICE was designed to promote investment in Nigeria’s digital and creative sectors. iDICE, implemented through the Bank of Industry and financed by the African Development Bank, Agence Française de Développement, and the Islamic Development Bank, iDICE Startup Bridge, operates under the broader Investment in Digital and Creative Enterprises (iDICE) program. It is part of efforts to drive Nigeria’s digital economy growth.

It made its first startup investment in late 2025 through Ventures Platform, one of Africa’s most active seed-stage venture capital firms.

The iDICE Startup Bridge is the government’s latest effort under the initiative to deepen early-stage startup support through structured training, mentorship, and access to capital.

The Founders Lab, the first pathway under the Startup Bridge, opened for applications on March 16 and will close on April 20. Selected beneficiaries will embark on a 12-week capacity-building programme designed for idea-stage and early prototype founders. The programme focuses on validation, business model development, and MVP creation through a structured curriculum delivered by expert facilitators.

Each year, 250 participants will receive capacity-building support and mentoring, with the top 100 founders who meet programme milestones receiving grants of up to N10 million to support product development or the launch of their ventures.

The Growth Lab, scheduled to launch in a later phase, will target post-MVP startups demonstrating traction, revenue potential, and operational readiness. Selected startups will receive $100,000 in equity investment, along with support to scale operations, strengthen governance, and refine their fundraising strategy.

The programme will also provide a direct pipeline to institutional investors to enable follow-on funding, while startups that secure additional investment from qualified external investors may access match funding.

Speaking on this, Ms Cindy Ezerioha, Head of Founders Lab, iDICE Startup Bridge, said, “Each cohort will support 125 aspiring entrepreneurs, with a clear target of ensuring progress from concept to validated business models. This programme is built for people with innovative ideas, early prototypes, or unanswered questions about how to take their first real step.”

According to Vice President Kashim Shettima and Chairman of the iDICE Steering Committee, “This programme, created under the iDICE umbrella, gives young entrepreneurs across the country a real opportunity to build or scale, and we are confident in its ability to reshape early-stage enterprise development and innovation outcomes over time.”

The Bank of Industry, the implementing agency, says it has disbursed N636 billion to enterprises across various sectors in Nigeria, its largest annual disbursement. Out of this figure, N43 billion was disbursed to projects in the creative & digital sectors.

“We are happy to replicate our success over time with the iDICE Startup Bridge as well,” said Mr Olasupo Olusi, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of the Bank of Industry.

Continue Reading

Trending