Economy
Brent Climbs Above $78 as Supply Tightens
By Adedapo Adesanya
Brent crude oil rose above $78 a barrel on Friday, precisely to $78.09 per barrel after it appreciated by 1.09 per cent or 84 cents as global output disruptions forced energy companies to pull out large amounts of crude inventories.
Also during the session, the price of the United States West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures improved by 0.63 per cent or 93 cents to finish at $73.98 per barrel.
The Brent posted its highest value since October 2018, while the WTI since July 2021.
It was also the third week of gains for Brent and the fifth for WTI mostly due to US Gulf Coast output disruptions from Hurricane Ida in late August.
The market has been bullish since news of US crude stocks dropped to their lowest since October 2018 and the broader market received more clarity about the US Federal Reserve next policy moves.
After the US Fed signalled that it could begin tapering asset purchases as soon as November and potentially start raising interest rates as soon as next year, oil market participants turned their focus to global oil inventories, especially those in the United States.
The aftermath of Hurricane Ida is still curtailing oil production in the world’s largest producer, with 16 per cent of crude oil production in the Gulf of Mexico still offline, according to the latest data from the country’s Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE).
The market also gained as US oil refiners were hunting to replace Gulf crude, turning to Iraqi and Canadian oil while Asian buyers have been pursuing Middle Eastern and Russian grades, analysts and traders said.
Positives from one of the world’s biggest exporters, India helped the market as crude imports rose to a three-month peak in August, rebounding from July’s near one-year low.
And the fact that some members of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies (OPEC+) have struggled to raise output due to under-investment or maintenance delays during the pandemic also added to the bullish sentiment.
Iran, which wants to export more oil, said it will return to talks on resuming compliance with the 2015 Iran nuclear deal very soon, but gave no specific date. The return of Iranian oil may be damaging to the market since it is exempted from OPEC cuts.
Economy
MRS Oil, Three Others Sink NASD OTC Exchange by 0.22%
By Adedapo Adesanya
Four price decliners weakened the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange by 0.22 per cent on Thursday, January 15, with MRS Oil the gang leader after it lost N5.00 to close at N195.00 per share compared with the previous day’s N200.00 per share.
Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc declined during the session by 47 Kobo to settle at N40.50 per unit versus Wednesday’s closing price of N40.97 per unit, Geo-Fluids Plc depreciated by 21 Kobo to end at N6.59 per share versus N6.80 per share, and Lagos Building Investment Company (LBIC) Plc dipped by 2 Kobo to sell at N3.10 per unit, in contrast to the N3.12 it was traded at midweek.
The losses printed by the above quartet reduced the market capitalisation of the trading platform by N4.88 billion to N2.195 trillion from N2.2 trillion, while the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) sank by 8.03 points to 3,670.10 points from 3,678.13 points.
During the trading day, the volume of transactions was up by 7.1 per cent to 690,886 units from 645,002 units, but the value of trades went down by 29.2 per cent to N17.3 million from the N24.4 million recorded in the previous trading session, and the number of deals executed at the session dipped by 10.5 per cent to 17 deals from 19 deals.
At the close of trades, CSCS Plc remained the busiest stock by value on a year-to-date basis with a turnover of 2.9 million units worth N117.9 million, trailed by MRS Oil Plc with 270,773 units valued at N54.1 million, and Geo-Fluids Plc with 6.5 million units traded for N43.9 million.
But the most active stock by volume on a year-to-date basis was Geo-Fluids Plc with 6.5 million units sold for N43.9 million, followed by Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc with 3.1 million units traded for N1.9 million, and CSCS Plc with the same of 2.9 million units valued at N117.9 million.
Economy
Why Africa’s Investment Market May Look Very Different Soon
Africa’s investment market is entering a phase of visible transition, driven not by a single shock but by the gradual accumulation of structural changes. For years, the continent was often discussed through simplified narratives — either as an untapped frontier or as a high-risk environment requiring exceptional tolerance. That framing is beginning to lose relevance as investors reassess how and where capital actually performs under evolving global conditions.
What is changing first is not the volume of interest, but its direction. Capital is becoming more selective, less patient with inefficiency, and more focused on how investments interact with trade, logistics, and regional demand rather than isolated national stories. This shift is subtle, but it alters the underlying logic of how Africa is evaluated as an investment destination.
In this context, the growing attention around platforms and ecosystems such as westafricatradehub reflects a broader reorientation toward connectivity and execution. Investment discussions increasingly revolve around trade flows, supply chains, and integration mechanisms instead of abstract growth potential. The emphasis is moving from “where growth exists” to “where growth can realistically be accessed.”
Several forces are converging to accelerate this change. Global capital is operating under tighter constraints, with higher financing costs and stronger pressure to demonstrate resilience. At the same time, African markets are becoming more internally differentiated. Some regions benefit from improved infrastructure, digital adoption, and regulatory clarity, while others struggle to convert opportunity into consistent returns. This divergence makes generalized strategies less effective.
As a result, investors are adjusting their approach in practical ways, including:
- Prioritizing regions with established trade corridors rather than standalone markets
- Favoring business models tied to everyday demand instead of long-term speculation
- Structuring investments in stages rather than committing large amounts upfront
- Placing greater value on operational partners with local execution capacity
These adjustments do not signal reduced confidence, but a more disciplined allocation mindset.
Another factor reshaping the market is the changing perception of risk. Traditional concerns such as political stability and currency volatility remain relevant, but they are now weighed alongside newer considerations. Execution risk, infrastructure reliability, and regulatory consistency often matter more than macroeconomic projections. In some cases, smaller but better-connected markets outperform larger economies where friction remains high.
This evolution also affects which sectors attract attention. Instead of broad category enthusiasm, interest clusters around areas where investment aligns with trade and consumption realities. Logistics, processing, digital services, and trade-enabling infrastructure increasingly define where capital feels comfortable operating. Growth still exists elsewhere, but it is approached more cautiously.
Importantly, this transformation is not uniform or immediate. Africa’s investment market will not change overnight, nor will it move in a single direction. What makes the current moment distinct is the fading dominance of legacy assumptions. Investors are no longer satisfied with potential alone; they want visibility, access, and durability, mentioned the editorial team of https://westafricatradehub.com/.
In the near future, Africa’s investment landscape may look very different not because opportunities disappear, but because the criteria for recognizing them have changed. The market is becoming less about promise and more about precision — and that shift is quietly redefining where growth is expected to emerge next.
Economy
Naira Appreciates to N1,419/$1 as FX Pressure Eases Across Market Windows
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira appreciated on the US Dollar on Thursday, January 15 by 76 Kobo or 0.05 per cent in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) to N1,419.28/$1 from the N1,420.04/$1 it was traded in the previous session.
The Naira rallied against the Pound Sterling by N17.74 in the official market during the session to N1,893.35/£1 from N1,911.09/£1 and gained N5.56 on the Euro to close at N1,649.92/€1 versus Wednesday’s closing price of N1,655.48/€1.
At the GTBank forex desk, the Nigerian Naira appreciated against the greenback yesterday by N2 to sell at N1,425/$1 compared with the preceding day’s rate of N1,427/$1, and maintained stability against the Dollar in the parallel market at N1,490/$1.
Thursday’s appreciation was supported by relatively improved supply conditions, which helped to moderate demand pressures, across several FX segments.
Market analysts noted that further intervention from policies and supply from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) will continue to keep the FX market afloat while others including stronger external inflows from foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) and improving current account dynamics, will act as pillars.
Nigeria’s headline inflation rate declined to 15.15 per cent in December 2025 after a tweak to the data following the projection of a temporary “artificial spike” in the country’s December 2025 inflation rate.
The artificial spike is as a result of the base effect of December 2024, which is equated to 100, following the rebasing exercise which changed the base year from 2024 from 2009.
Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market was down after a US Senate committee postponed a key market structure bill, further cooling sentiment after a recent rally.
The US Senate Banking Committee postponed markup on the market structure bill after opposition from parts of the industry.
Litecoin (LTC) declined by 3.5 per cent to $72.03, Cardano (ADA) slumped by 2.4 per cent to $0.3931, Dogecoin (DOGE) weakened by 2.1 per cent to $0.1401, and Ripple (XRP) slipped by 1.1 per cent to $2.07.
Further, Solana (SOL) depreciated by 0.9 per cent to $143.04, Bitcoin (BTC) slipped by 0.6 per cent to $95,624.34, Binance Coin (BNB) went down by 0.2 per cent to $933.51, and Ethereum (ETH) shrank by 0.1 per cent to $3,310.08, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) were flat at $1.00 each.
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