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Economy

Brent Crude Plunges 5% on Looming Recession Fears

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brent crude oil

By Adedapo Adesanya

Brent crude dipped by 5.7 per cent or $4.56 to $108.18 per barrel on Wednesday as the market fears a looming recession would drive down global oil demand.

Also, the price of the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was down by 6.24 per cent or $5.26 during the session to settle at $102.77 per barrel as analysts project that the action taken by the US Federal Reserve to rein in inflation with aggressive interest rate hikes may not produce the desired effect and will actually lead to a recession within a year or a year and a half.

Investors are continuing to assess how worried they need to be about central banks potentially pushing the world economy into recession as they attempt to curb inflation with interest rate increases.

As this happened, oil markets remain concerned that rate hikes in the US and other economies would stall an economic recovery and dampen fuel demand.

According to the US central bank chief, Mr Jerome Powell, on Wednesday, the Federal Reserve is not trying to engineer a recession to stop inflation but is fully committed to bringing prices under control even if doing so risks an economic downturn.

Moreover, the strong US Dollar is also weighing on oil prices, as a strong greenback makes oil purchases more expensive for holders of other currencies.

A rising US Dollar could impact the level of imports in oil-importing countries.

Prices were also dampened as the administration of Mr Joe Biden of the US remains locked in a dispute with the US oil industry over what led to a $5 a gallon fuel price in America, the world’s largest oil consumer.

This is coming as the American president is pushing for a temporary federal gas tax holiday.

Mr Biden called on US Congress to pass a three-month suspension of the federal gasoline tax to help combat record pump prices and provide temporary relief for American families this summer.

The market looked at it that even if the gasoline tax was suspended, retail prices would remain high, making it difficult to stimulate demand.

The American Petroleum Institute (API) reported a build this week for crude oil of 5.607 million barrels, while analysts predicted a draw of 1.433 million barrels.

It is the first build of over 5 million barrels since mid-February, according to API data.

The build comes as the US Department of Energy released 6.8 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserves in Week Ending June 17.

US crude inventories have shed some 68 million barrels since the start of 2021 and about 11 million barrels since the start of 2020, according to API data.

The market will be waiting for the official data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) due to be released later on Thursday.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Economy

Crude Oil Slumps Amid Hopes of Strait of Hormuz Reopening

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west texas intermediate WTI crude

By Adedapo Adesanya

Crude oil plummeted on Wednesday on hopes ​of the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz after US President Donald Trump agreed to a two-week ceasefire with Iran.

Brent crude futures moderated to $94.75 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude eased to $94.41 a barrel.

President Trump said on Wednesday that the US will work closely with Iran and will be talking about tariff and sanctions relief with Iran.

However, analysts cautioned that the ceasefire is a temporary two-week reprieve rather than a permanent resolution, and the global energy system remains fragile due to structural damage to regional infrastructure.

Reuters reported that Iran could open the strait in a limited and controlled way on Thursday or Friday ahead ​of a meeting between U.S. and Iranian ​officials in Pakistan.

Agence France-Presse (AFP) reported that two ships appeared to have transited the Strait of Hormuz since the US-Iran ceasefire deal. A Greek-owned bulk carrier and a Liberia-flagged vessel both transited the waterway early on Wednesday.

Meanwhile, Israel carried out its heaviest strikes on Lebanon since the conflict with Hezbollah broke out last month, even as the Iran-aligned group paused attacks on northern Israel and Israeli troops in Lebanon under the ceasefire.

Also, Saudi Arabia’s East-West Pipeline, a critical artery bypassing the Strait of Hormuz, was reportedly hit in an Iranian drone attack. Prior to the attack, the pipeline was pumping at its emergency capacity of 7 million barrels per day to bypass the shuttered strait.

The strikes occurred just hours after a US-Iran ceasefire announcement, which has so far failed to halt regional hostilities. Other facilities in the kingdom were also targeted in the wave of strikes, which the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) claimed included oil facilities owned by American companies in Yanbu.

US crude stocks rose by 3.1 million barrels to 464.7 million barrels ​during the week ended April 3, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said.

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Economy

Insurance Firms Must Submit 2025 Assessment Returns by May 31—NAICOM

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NAICOM Conplaint Management Portal

By Adedapo Adesanya

The National Insurance Commission has issued new guidelines for the collection, management, and administration of the Insurance Policyholders’ Protection Fund.

In a circular issued to all insurance institutions on Tuesday, the regulator also set May 31, 2026, as the deadline for insurers to submit their assessment returns for the 2025 financial year.

Recall that on August
 5, 2025, 
President Bola Tinubu signed
 into 
law
 the 
Nigerian 
Insurance 
Industry Reform 
Act (
NIIRA
2025).


This 
landmark legislation 
repeals 
the 
Insurance 
Act 
2003, 
and
 consolidates 
related 
provisions, 
ushering 
in 
a 
modern regulatory framework. It lays a strong foundation for sustainable growth and increased investment in the country’s insurance sector.

The commission said the guidelines were issued in exercise of its powers under the 2025 Act and other existing insurance laws and regulations to provide regulatory clarity, improve guidance, and ensure ease of compliance across the industry.

According to NAICOM, the guidelines establish a comprehensive structure for the operation of the IPPF, which serves as a statutory safety net to protect insurance policyholders in the event of distress or insolvency of a licensed insurer or reinsurer. The framework also provides direction on the reimbursement of loans by insurers and reinsurers.

NAICOM stated, “The guidelines ensure regulatory clarity, guidance and ease of compliance, as it provides a comprehensive regulatory framework for the collection, management, and administration of the Fund, which serves as a statutory safety net designed to protect insurance policyholders against distress and insolvency of a licensed insurer or reinsurer, including guidance for the reimbursement of loans by an insurer or reinsurer.

“Please be informed that the IPPF Assessment Returns in respect of the year 2025 shall be submitted to the Commission not later than 31st May 2026, while subsequent submissions shall be in line with Section 4.3 of the Guideline on Insurance Policyholders Protection Fund.”

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Economy

Dangote Refinery Sells Petrol at N1,200/L as Global Oil Prices Slump

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Dangote refinery import petrol

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Dangote Refinery on Wednesday returned the petrol price to N1,200 per litre, less than 24 hours after it increased it by 5 per cent.

The private refinery had raised the ex-depot price by N75 on Tuesday, citing pressure from volatile global oil markets, but quickly brought it back to N1,200 per litre from N1,275 per litre.

The swift downward review is directly linked to a sharp drop in international crude prices. Brent crude has plunged to $95.05 per barrel, after a 13 per cent decline, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude closed at $97.18, recording nearly a 14 per cent drop.

This development comes after US President Donald Trump announced a conditional two-week ceasefire with Iran, which eased fears of immediate supply disruptions in the global oil market.

“This will be a double-sided CEASEFIRE!” Trump said on social media, marking a sharp reversal from his earlier warning that “a whole civilisation will die tonight” if Iran failed to comply with US demands.

Iran’s Foreign Minister, Mr Abbas Araqchi, confirmed that the country would halt attacks provided strikes against Iran cease and transit through the Strait of Hormuz is coordinated by Iranian forces.

Despite the breakthrough, tensions remain elevated across the region, with several Gulf states reporting missile launches, drone activity, or issuing civil defence warnings.

While oil prices have fallen back below $100, they remain significantly elevated after surging by a record amount in March. Market analysts noted that regardless of how successful the ceasefire is, geopolitical risk related to the Strait of Hormuz is likely to remain elevated for the foreseeable future under the control of Iran.

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