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Economy

Brent Hits $31 on Fresh Optimistic Outlook for Oil

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brent crude oil

By Adedapo Adesanya

Brent Crude hit $31 per barrel on Thursday after the International Energy Agency (IEA) gave an improved outlook for the global oil market.

According to the Paris-based agency, there would be an improved demand stronger than expected and supply in the year after a very difficult price crash in March.

As a result, Brent crude oil, the international benchmark, rose by 6.44 percent or $1.88 to trade at $31.07 per barrel on Thursday night, while the West Texas Intermediate crude oil, the US benchmark, rose by 8.5 percent or $2.18 to sell at $27.44 per barrel.

The IEA boosted its estimates for global oil demand in the second quarter of the year by 3.2 million barrels a day to 79.3 million.

However, it stated that consumption remained on track for a loss of almost 20 million barrels a day in the quarter compared with the same period in 2019 due to the pandemic.

For 2020 as a whole, the demand forecast was pushed up by 700,000 barrels a day, but said it still remains on track for an annual plunge of 8.6 million a day equivalent to 9 percent.

On the problem of oversupply, the firm said world oil production is on track for a historic decline in May to the lowest level in nine years. This is because the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its partners are slashing output, while others like the United States are forced to scale back drilling.

Global oil supplies are on course to drop by 12 million barrels a day in May compared with April as oil exporters led by Saudi Arabia and Russia implement deep production cuts that will take 10 percent off total production quotas.

Business Post reported earlier this week that the kingdom and other Middle East producers like the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait pledged to deepen those curbs even further in June.

The agency also said that cuts from countries outside OPEC+, including the US and Canada, meant output was 3 million barrels per day lower in April than it was at the start of 2020. It could be 4 million barrels per day in June, according to the report, and continue to fall even further.

However, despite its more optimistic approach, the IEA acknowledged some uncertain outlooks. It noted that it is unclear whether governments can resume economic activities without causing renewed outbreaks of the pandemic, and also worried about how far the OPEC+ alliance will implement promised supply curbs.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

MTN to Acquire Additional 75% Stake in IHS Holdings for Full Control

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MTN Cloud Accelerator

By Adedapo Adesanya

MTN Group, Africa’s largest mobile network operator, has entered advanced discussions to buy approximately 75 per cent of shares in IHS Holding Limited (IHS Towers) that it does not already own.

The move would give the South African telco full control of IHS, which is the leading independent tower operator in several of its key markets, providing colocation services and supporting the expansion of mobile networks in regions with growing demand for digital connectivity.

In a cautionary announcement to investors on Thursday, MTN confirmed it is considering a transaction to acquire the remaining stake in the New York Stock Exchange-listed IHS, following recent market speculation.

The potential offer price would be “at a level near the last trading price” of IHS shares on the NYSE as of February 4, 2025, a period when the stock has seen a sharp rise in recent months, reflecting renewed investor confidence in the sector.

No binding agreement has been reached, and MTN emphasised there is no certainty that the deal will proceed.

However, if completed, the transaction could materially impact MTN’s share price, prompting the company to advise shareholders to exercise caution in trading until further updates.

MTN already holds a significant stake in IHS and maintains a deep operational partnership across multiple African markets.

Over the past decade, MTN has sold thousands of passive network sites to IHS through sale-and-leaseback deals, including a major transaction in South Africa in 2022 involving over 5,700 towers.

These arrangements allowed MTN to free up capital from infrastructure while securing long-term tower access via master lease agreements.

A full buyout would represent a dramatic strategic pivot for MTN, effectively bringing tower infrastructure back in-house after years of outsourcing to specialised operators like IHS.

MTN has previously voiced concerns about corporate governance at IHS, adding context to its cautious approach in the announcement.

If the deal falls through, MTN said it would continue exploring options to unlock value from its IHS investment, consistent with its disciplined capital allocation strategy.

The potential acquisition underscores the evolving dynamics in Africa’s telecom infrastructure sector, where operators weigh the benefits of owning versus leasing critical assets amid rising data demands and economic pressures.

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Economy

NASD Exchange Moves Higher by 0.77%

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NASD OTC securities exchange

By Adedapo Adesanya

For the third consecutive trading session, the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange ended in the green territory, rising further by 0.77 per cent on Thursday, February 5.

Two price gainers helped the bourse to rally during the session, with the market capitalisation up by N16.87 billion to N2.197 trillion from N2.180 trillion and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) up by 3.18 points to 3,672 points from the 3,644.48 points in the midweek session.

The advancers’ group was led by Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS), which added N3.70 to sell at N48.67 per share versus the previous day’s N44.97 per share, and Afriland Properties Plc expanded by N1.01 to N15.01 per unit from N14.01 per unit.

It was observed that the alternative stock exchange recorded two price losers led by Geo-Fluids Plc, which further lost 51 Kobo to sell at N4.75 per share versus Wednesday’s closing price of N5.26 per share, and Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) declined by 6 Kobo to 59 Kobo per unit from 65 Kobo per unit.

During the session, the volume of securities transacted by investors slid by 51.9 per cent to 1.2 million units from 2.5 million units, the value of securities went down by 32.0 per cent to N12.0 million from N17.7 million, and the number of deals increased by 27.8 per cent to 23 deals from 18 deals.

At the close of trades, CSCS Plc was the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 16.2 million units exchanged for N659.9 million, followed by FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc with 1.7 million units traded for N117.8 million, and Geo-Fluids Plc with 12.3 million units valued at N79.1 million.

CSCS Plc remained the most active stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 16.2 million units sold for N659.9 million, trailed by Mass Telecom Innovation Plc with 13.6 million units valued at N5.5 million, and Geo-Fluids Plc with 12.3 million units worth N79.1 million.

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Economy

NGX Index Crosses 170,000 Points as Investors Sustains Buying Pressure

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All-Share Index NGX

By Dipo Olowookere

The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited recorded another milestone after it further closed higher by 1.18 per cent on Thursday amid renewed confidence in the market.

The All-Share Index (ASI) crossed the 170,000-point threshold during the session as it added 1,975.18 points to the preceding day’s 168,030.18 points to settle at 170,005.36 points.

Also yesterday, the market capitalisation of Customs Street was up by 1,268 trillion to N109.129 trillion from the N107.861 it ended a day earlier.

The growth recorded during the session was powered 55 equities, which outweighed the losses recorded by 19 other equities.

Guinea Insurance expanded by 10.00 per cent to N1.43, Seplat Energy grew by 10.00 per cent to N7,370.00, RT Briscoe increased by 9.95 per cent to N11.49, Neimeth chalked up 9.90 per cent to close at N11.10, and Zichis rose by 9.89 per cent to N6.11.

At the other side, Deap Capital lost 9.62 per cent to trade at N6.20, Universal Insurance slipped by 9.43 per cent to N1.44, Haldane McCall declined by 9.09 per cent to N4.00, Red Star Express went down by 9.04 per cent to N15.60, and UPDC depreciated by 7.02 per cent to N5.30.

Business Post reports that the energy index was up by 4.68 per cent, the industrial goods improved by 0.79 per cent, the banking space grew by 0.64 per cent, and the consumer goods sector soared by 0.11 per cent, while the insurance counter lost 0.31 per cent.

Yesterday, market participants traded 713.0 million stocks valued at N22.3 billion in 46,104 deals versus the 694.8 million stocks worth N20.6 billion transacted in 42,095 deals on Wednesday, showing a spike in the trading volume, value, and number of deals by 2.62 per cent, 8.25 per cent, and 9.52 per cent, respectively.

Access Holdings sold 106.6 million shares valued at N2.5 billion, Chams transacted 44.5 million equities worth N201.3 million, Champion Breweries traded 44.5 million stocks for N774.3 million, Universal Insurance exchanged 34.8 million shares worth N53.6 million, and Deap Capital sold 22.7 million equities valued at N141.9 million.

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