Economy
Cautious US, Europe Interest Rate Cuts Approach Weakens Crude Oil
By Adedapo Adesanya
It was a bad day for the crude oil market on Thursday after central banks in the US and Europe signalled caution over further easing of monetary policy amid concerns that weak economic activity could dent oil demand next year.
Brent crude futures fell by 51 cents or 0.7 per cent during the session to $72.88 a barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures for January delivery lost 67 cents or 1 per cent to trade at $69.91 per barrel.
The Federal Reserve cut rates by a quarter percentage point to the 4.25 per cent – 4.50 per cent range as expected on Wednesday.
However, the Chairman of the US central bank, Mr Jerome Powell, warned that stubborn inflation would make the bank more cautious about cutting rates next year.
Market analysts warned that the remarks showed that policymakers are starting to align with the prospects for sweeping economic changes under the Trump administration set to commence on January 20.
The US Dollar rose to a two-year high, making oil more expensive for buyers holding other currencies.
The Bank of England policymakers held interest rates steady on Thursday, while officials disagreed over how to respond to the UK’s slowing economy.
Also on Thursday, the Bank of Japan kept ultra-low interest rates as Mr Donald Trump’s vows to impose tariffs cast a shadow over the country’s export-reliant economy.
The oil market is widely expected to be in a surplus next year, with analysts predicting that supply will outpace demand by at least 1 million barrels per day.
Oil supply could tighten next year if Trump, a Republican, delivers on campaign promises of cracking down on Iranian oil exports.
Meanwhile, President Joe Biden’s administration has also ramped up sanctions on Iranian entities, with three vessels involved in trading Iranian petroleum and petrochemicals sanctioned on Thursday.
In China, the world’s top oil importer, there are early signs of further decline in demand with the state-backed energy giant Sinopec saying it expects China’s petroleum consumption to peak in 2027 as fuel demand weakens.
Brent futures prices have shed more than 5 per cent so far this year, setting up a second consecutive annual loss, as a faltering Chinese economy weighed heavily on crude oil demand.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange recorded a 0.46 per cent gain on Thursday, December 19, boosted by three stocks, which closed higher at the close of transactions.
Nipco Plc improved its closing price by N13.64 during the trading day to N150.10 per share compared with the preceding trading day’s N136.46 per share, Geo-Fluids Plc gained 33 Kobo to end the session at N3.88 per unit versus Wednesday’s closing value of N3.55 per unit, and UBN Property Plc appreciated by 16 Kobo to settle at N1.89 per share, in contrast to midweek’s closing price of N1.73 per share.
On the flip side, Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc depreciated by 1 kobo to trade at 17 Kobo per unit compared with the preceding trading session’s 18 Kobo per unit.
At the close of business, the market capitalisation of the bourse increased by N4.73 billion to finish the trading day at N1.034 trillion compared with the midweek trading session’s N1.029 trillion.
In the same vein, the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) went up by 13.77 points to wrap the session at 3,017.07 points compared with 3,003.30 points recorded in the previous session.
On Thursday, the volume of securities traded by investors surged by 603.9 per cent to 2.3 million units from the 59.624 units recorded a day earlier.
However, the value of shares traded yesterday slumped by 48.9 per cent to N2.3 million from N4.6 million as the number of deals declined by 12 per cent to 22 deals from the 25 deals carried out on Wednesday.
Geo-Fluids Plc remained the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 1.7 billion units worth N3.9 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 752.3 million units valued at N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc with 297.7 million units sold for N5.3 million.
Aradel Holdings Plc also remained the most active stock by value (year-to-date) with 108.7 million units valued at N89.2 billion, trailed by Okitipupa Plc with 752.3 million units sold for N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc with 297.7 million units worth N5.3 billion.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira improved its value against the US Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Thursday, December 19 by 0.18 per cent or N12.82 to sell at N1,541.38/$1 compared with the preceding trading day’s N1,554.20/$1.
Equally, the Nigerian Naira strengthened its value against the Pound Sterling in the official market yesterday by N17.84 to trade at N1,936.23/£1 compared with the preceding session’s N1,954.07/£1.
In the same vein, the local currency appreciated against the Euro at the same market segment by N77.46 to quote at N1,537.43/€1 versus midweek’s closing rate of N1,614.89/€1.
Also, the Naira gained N10 against the greenback during the trading session to settle at N1,650/$1, in contrast to the previous day’s closing value of N1,666/$1.
A look at the digital currency market showed that the price of Bitcoin (BTC) plunged below the $100,000 level to the $96,000 mark on Thursday, triggered by the US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell disappointing investors with his comments on US interest rate cut expectations for next year.
US Federal Reserve’s projection of a slower pace of rate cuts for next year and Mr Powell’s hawkish tone on rising inflation expectations led to a broad-market selloff across assets like crypto.
Business Post reports that BTC lost 4.9 per cent yesterday to quote at $96,330.89.
Dogecoin (DOGE) went down by 13.7 per cent to sell at $0.313, Cardano (ADA) slid by 10.5 per cent to trade at $0.8796, Solana (SOL) slid by 9.7 per cent to finish at $189.95, and Ethereum (ETH) recorded a loss of 9.2 per cent to finish at $3,342.61.
Further, Litecoin (LTC) shrank by 8.1 per cent to settle at $99.51, Binance Coin (BNB) slumped by 5.1 per cent to close at $666.49, Ripple (XRP) recorded a 4.5 per cent fall to end the trading day at $2.25, and the US Dollar Tether (USDT) lost 0.02 per cent to quote at $0.9994, while the US Dollar Coin (USDC) traded flat at $1.00.
By Dipo Olowookere
The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited continued its positive run on Thursday with a 0.77 per cent growth as its year-to-date (YtD) return increased to 35.41 per cent.
This means that the nation’s stock market has grown above the inflation rate of 34.60 per cent recorded in November 2024, according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), and a benchmark interest of 27.50 per cent.
Business Post reports that the local bourse has remained resilient amid the challenging business environment in Nigeria, giving investors succour.
Yesterday, the All-Share Index (ASI) went up by 770.56 points to 101,248.02 points from 100,477.46 points and the market capitalisation increased by N467 billion to close at N61.375 trillion compared with Wednesday’s N60.908 trillion.
There were 47 appreciating shares and 17 depreciating shares on Thursday, representing a positive market breadth index and strong investor sentiment.
Honeywell Flour, UAC Nigeria and Aradel Holdings gained 10.00 per cent each to close at N5.50, N27.50, and N730.40 apiece, NAHCO expanded by 9.96 per cent to N41.95, and MRS Oil rose by 9.96 per cent to N175.60.
Conversely, Tantalizers declined by 9.77 per cent to N1.57, Multiverse slumped by 9.73 per cent to N5.10, John Holt lost 9.73 per cent to trade at N5.88, Caverton crashed by 7.78 per cent to N2.26, and Omatek shrank by 7.35 per cent to 63 Kobo.
A total of 411.4 million stocks valued at N26.3 million exchanged hands in 10,260 deals during the session versus the 389.7 million stocks worth N9.2 billion transacted in 9,573 deals at midweek, implying a jump in the trading volume, value and number of deals by 5.57 per cent, 185.87 per cent and 7.18 per cent, respectively.
The most traded equity for the day was Universal Insurance with 38.2 million units valued at N14.9 million, AIICO traded 21.0 million units worth N31.2 million, GTCO transacted 20.4 million units for N1.1 billion, UBA exchanged 18.6 million units worth N623.0 million, and Prestige Assurance sold 15.6 million units valued at N12.6 million.
When the market closed for the session at 2:30 pm, the insurance index was up by 3.79 per cent, the banking sector grew by 0.73 per cent, the consumer goods counter improved by 0.69 per cent, and the energy space rose by 0.32 per cent, while the industrial goods sector depreciated by 0.63 per cent.
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