Economy
COVID-19 Second Wave Scare to Impact Oil Prices This Week
By Adedapo Adesanya
Price of crude oil will likely decline this week as a possible second wave of coronavirus spread across Asia is spurring fresh lockdowns, which will only worsen demand and likely increase oversupply with more output expected from oil producers from next week.
Demand has been unstable for the past few weeks despite the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies having optimistic projections for world oil demand to recover during the second half of 2020 and into 2021.
Both the International Energy Agency (IEA) and the Energy Information Administration (EIA) anticipate global oil demand to increase in the months ahead as well.
In China, infections not involving people returning from overseas hit the highest number since early March, with a total of 57 domestic transmissions reported out of 61 new cases.
According to reports, in the northeast city of Liaoning province, there was a fifth straight day of new infections and Jilin province reported two new cases, its first since late May.
Hong Kong is also expected to announce further restrictions this week including a ban on restaurant dining and mandated face masks outdoors.
This aligns with other countries like Australia as authorities warned a six-week lockdown in parts of south-eastern Victoria state may last long after the country registered its highest daily increase in infections.
In Japan, the government said it would urge businesses to increase telecommuting and enhance other social distancing measures amid a rise in coronavirus cases among workers. A record surge in cases during the past week in Tokyo and other urban centres has experts worried the country faces a second wave.
Last week, prices were pressured by escalating tensions between the United States and China but turned higher after a Euro Zone report lifted market sentiment. Euro Zone business activity grew in July for the first time since the coronavirus pandemic hit.
The reports showed the economy improved from June, but they came in lower than the forecast, which suggested the economic recovery may be slower than previously expected, which was not able to sustain the gains.
On the US-China front, tension may continue well into this week after China retaliated a US -closure of its consulate by ordering a counter-closure. The market will be on alert to the next line of action that might be taken by either side.
Still, Brent is on track for a fourth straight monthly gain in July while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is set to rise for a third month due to the supply cuts from OPEC+ which has served its purpose to prop up prices.
However, investors are also watching for any impact from storm Hanna which battered the Texas coast over the weekend, threatening heavy rains in Texas and Mexico. Oil and gas producers and refiners said that they did not expect the storm to affect operations.
As at the time of this report, Brent crude was down by 28 cents or 0.67 per cent to $43.05 a barrel, while the WTI crude was at $41.04 a barrel, down by 25 cents or 0.61 per cent.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange opened the week on a sad note after it depreciated by 0.41 per cent on Monday, April 14.
The loss was influenced by the decline in the share price of Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc during the session by N1.80 to close at N20.90 per unit compared with the N22.70 per unit it closed last Friday.
This brought down the market capitalisation of the trading platform by N7.78 billion to N1.911 trillion from N1.919 trillion as the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) was also pulled down by 13.28 points to 3,264.29 points from the previous session’s 3,277.57 points.
Business Post reports that the bourse crumbled yesterday despite two securities on the platform finishing on the gainers’ chart.
UBN Property Plc appreciated by 19 Kobo on Monday to sell for N2.17 per share versus the preceding session’s N1.98 per share, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc gained 8 Kobo to settle at N35.63 per unit, in contrast to last Friday’s N35.55 per unit.
Yesterday, there was a 99.7 per cent decline in the volume of securities traded by the market participants to 436,357 units from the 152.3 million units recorded in the previous trading day.
There was also a 99.8 per cent fall in the value of transactions to N10.1 million from N4.6 billion, while the number of deals increased by 218.8 per cent to 51 deals from 16 deals.
At the close of business, Impresit Bakolori Plc remained the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 533.9 million units valued at N520.9 million, trailed by Okitipupa Plc with 153.6 million units worth N4.9 billion, and Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc with 71.2 million units sold for N24.2 million.
Okitipupa Plc was the most traded stock by value (year-to-date) with 153.6 million worth N4.9 billion, followed by FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc with 14.7 million units sold for N566.9 million, and Impresit Bakolori Plc with 533.9 million units valued at N520.9 million.
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
Offices of a popular Ponzi scheme operator, CBEX, in Ibadan and a few other places in Nigeria have been looted by some aggrieved investors.
This followed news that the company has shut down its services, with funds of several investors trapped.
Last week, there were speculations that CBEX has crashed following the inability of members to withdraw their funds.
The company quickly dispelled this, noting that it locked the wallets of its investors because of the bonuses gifted members, which must be used for trading before withdrawal.
CBEX, thereafter, assured that from Tuesday, April 15, 2025, members of the Ponzi scheme would be able to withdraw their funds without ease.
However, on Monday, it was gathered that funds in the accounts of investors were wiped off, with a notice to members that they would only be access their money upon the payment of a reactivation fee, a similar pattern of other defunct operators.
“All accounts need to undergo the following verification steps to ensure their authenticity.
“For accounts with funds below $1,000 before any losses, a deposit of $100 is required.
“For accounts with funds exceeding $1,000, a deposit of $200 is required.
“Additionally, please keep your deposit receipts to ensure you can prove the authenticity of the account during future withdrawal reviews,” the message from CBEX stated.
This development shattered the hopes of some investors, triggering a looting spree of the company’s offices.
Some videos of the internet showed moments some irate youth stormed the Ibadan office of the organisation, carting away with some valuables, including office items and others.
Many Nigerians have expressed shock at the level of acceptance of the Ponzi scheme in the country despite the harrowing experience of MMM some years ago.
Business Post reports that some weeks ago, a similar Ponzi scheme operator, Cheersway, went away with investors’ funds after it claimed its platform was hacked.
Just like CBEX, it asked members to pay a reactivation fee of their exact level, which ranges from $50, $150, $400, and $1,000, to have access to their money, but most of those who paid were never granted any access until the company folded up.
Also, those who invested in a new investment vehicle it came up with, TikTok Shop, could not receive their capital and return-on-investment as promised.
It later assured investors that it would move them to a new company established last month known as C&P Capital, noting that they would get their funds back after the new organisation makes profit, probably after two years of operations.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira further strengthened against the US Dollar at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Monday, April 14, by N5.83 or 0.36 per cent to settle at N1,605.25/$1, in contrast to the N1,611.08/$1 it was traded in the previous session, which was last Friday.
Equally, the local currency appreciated against the Pound Sterling in the official FX market during the session by N34.55 to quote at N2,056.03/£1 versus the preceding trading day’s value of N2,090.58/£1 and gained N45.66 on the Euro to finish at N1,770.14/€1 compared with the N1,815.82/€1 it was exchanged in the previous trading session.
In the same vein, the domestic currency improved its exchange rate against the Dollar yesterday by N5 in the black market to sell for N1,615/$1 compared with the preceding session’s N1,620/$1.
The pressure on the Nigerian currency eased on Monday as tariffs from the United States were paused, and recent signals showed that the government was complementing efforts to stabilise the market via adequate liquidity and supporting orderly market functioning.
A look at the cryptocurrency market showed a mixed outcome as President Donald Trump of the United States, after pausing sweeping global tariffs, made some concessions on electronics imports.
Further easing concerns was the European Commission, the executive arm of the EU, confirming to hold off on retaliatory tariffs on US goods worth €21 billion until July 14 to allow space for negotiations.
The US Federal Reserve also signalled that a return of the original punitive Mr Trump tariffs would trigger the need for sizable “bad news” rate cuts.
Dogecoin (DOGE) depreciated yesterday by 3.5 per cent to sell at $0.1593, Solana (SOL) which lost 1.2 per cent to trade at $130.99, Litecoin (LTC) went down by 0.6 per cent to $77.74, and Cardano (ADA) dropped 0.3 per cent to close at $0.6405.
On the flip side, Bitcoin (BTC) grew by 1.2 per cent to $85,435.17, Ethereum (ETH) rose by 0.9 per cent to $1,636.35, Ripple (XRP) appreciated by 0.5 per cent to $2.14, and Binance Coin (BNB) went up by 0.08 per cent to $588.65, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 apiece.
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