Economy

Crude Oil Trades at Nigeria’s 2020 Budget Benchmark, $57/Barrel

Published

5 years ago

19/02/2020

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Brent crude futures continued to trade around the $57 mark on Tuesday, giving Nigeria a hope of being able to get something from oil revenue to fund its 2020 budget as envisaged.

The price of the commodity had been facing south lately, no thanks to the deadly coronavirus, nicknamed CONVID-19 by the World Health Organisation (WHO), which originated from China, causing low demand for oil.

The bearish performance of the Brent Crude this year had seen it drop by more than $10. However, since last week, the commodity started a recovery that has brought it up to its present level.

On Tuesday night, the international crude benchmark, on which Nigeria’s oil is priced, rose by 0.06 percent equivalent to 3 cents to trade at $57.65 per barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude also moved up marginally by 0.03 percent or 2 cents to trade at $52.02 per barrel.

When the federal government prepared the 2020 budget last year, it was estimated that oil prices would average in the year at $57 per barrel on the hopes that the US-China trade deal agreement would push demand higher, causing rise in the price. Though at the beginning of this year, oil was rising, mainly due to an escalation of the US/Iran enmity. However, the coronavirus brought pains to oil.

The outbreak put pressure on Nigeria’s plan to raise N2.64 trillion in revenue from crude oil sales from output of two million barrels a day.

But the 2 million production estimate may be under threat as the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), which Nigeria belongs to, is planning to further ask its members to reduce what they produce so as to support prices.

Last year, Nigeria, which has previously been exempted from output cut due to unrest in the Niger Delta that affected its supply, agreed to a 57,000 barrels per day cut in order to support prices.

In January 2020, Nigeria pumped 1.776 million barrels of oil per day (bpd), according to OPEC’s secondary sources in its monthly report, and with already unsteady revenue, a further cut will mean less production.

There has been delay in implementing the latest proposal, which may have Nigeria further cut its production by another 57,000 barrels per day or less. Russia, a member of OPEC+, is yet to agree to the further 600,000 bpd being recommended by the group.

Oil ministers of OPEC and non-OPEC countries, known as OPEC+, will next meet in Vienna on March 6 as initially planned, it was revealed on Tuesday.

Mr Pavel Sorokin, Russian deputy energy minister, said the country’s energy ministry still expected the meeting to take place on March 6, as announced by OPEC in December.

He also stated that the country will make its stance on the cut know in a few days and market investors will be waiting because any possible positive outcome will help prices up, by extension – a good news for Nigeria.

Economy

Nigeria Led Africa’s Upstream Oil, Gas Investments in 2024

Published

16 hours ago

21/01/2025

Adedapo Adesanya

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria ranked as Africa’s leading destination for upstream oil and gas investment in 2024, new research from market intelligence firm, Wood Mackenzie, has shown, accounting for three out of four Final Investment Decisions (FIDs) announced by global oil and gas majors, totaling $13.5 billion.

The FIDs announced within the Nigerian market included Shell’s $122 million investment in the Iseni Gas Project, TotalEnergies’ $566 million commitment to the Ubeta Gas Project and Shell’s approval of the Bonga North Tranche 1 project valued at around $5 billion.

According to the Special Adviser to President Bola Tinubu on Energy, Ms Olu Verheijen, these investments reflected Nigeria’s ongoing efforts to unlock its hydrocarbon potential through investor-friendly policies and strategic global partnerships.

Last year, Nigeria introduced several initiatives to create a conducive environment for oil and gas investors, including new tax incentives aimed at attracting up to $10 billion in natural gas investments.

Nigeria, which is Africa’s largest oil producer, also offered tax relief for gas investors, reducing corporate income tax and extending capital allowance benefits – for deepwater gas projects.

Other policies include the Presidential Directive on Local Content Compliance Requirements 2024 to address the reduction in oil and gas investments caused by high operating costs compared to global markets.

Also, the Presidential Directive on Reduction of Petroleum Sector Contracting Costs and Timelines 2024 reduces the time spent to award contracts for oil and gas projects.

In addition to the directives, Nigeria also launched its 2024 oil and gas licensing round, offering 19 blocks for exploration, demonstrating its commitment to continued collaboration with local, regional and international partners.

Market analysts note that with this momentum, further FIDs are anticipated, including TotalEnergies’ expected $750 million commitment to the Ima Shallow Gas Project in 2025.

Economy

UBN Property Triggers 0.22% Loss at NASD OTC Exchange

Published

20 hours ago

21/01/2025

Adedapo Adesanya

By Adedapo Adesanya

The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange recorded a 0.22 per cent decline on Monday, January 20, with the market capitalisation shedding N2.35 billion to close at N1.073 trillion compared with the preceding session’s N1.075 trillion and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) going down by 6.79 points to wrap the session at 3,105.12 points compared with 3,111.91 points recorded in the previous session.

It was observed that the loss recorded on the first trading day of the week was triggered by UBN Property Plc, which crashed by 20 Kobo to trade at N2.00 per share versus last Friday’s N2.20 per share.

However, the share price of Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc went up by 4 Kobo to 40 Kobo per unit from 36 Kobo per unit, it could not stop the bourse from going down at the close of transactions.

The activity chart showed that on Monday, the volume of securities traded by investors increased by 57.9 per cent to 767,610 units from the 486,215 units traded in the preceding session, while the value of shares traded yesterday slumped by 17.7 per cent to N2.3 million from the N2.8 million recorded in the preceding trading day, as the number of deals declined by 14.3 per cent to 12 deals from the 14 deals carried out in the previous trading day.

At the close of transactions, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc remained the most active stock by value on a year-to-date basis with the sale of 4.1 million units worth N162.9 million, followed by Geo-Fluids Plc with a turnover of 9.1 million units valued at N44.0 million, and 11 Plc with the sale of 55,358 for N14.5 million.

Also, Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc closed the day as the most active stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 25.3 million units sold for N5.9 million, Geo-Fluids Plc came next with 9.1 million units valued at N44.0 million, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc with 4.1 million units worth N162.9 million.

Economy

Naira Weakens to N1,550/$1 at Official Market, Gains N5 at Black Market

Published

20 hours ago

21/01/2025

Adedapo Adesanya

By Adedapo Adesanya

The value of the Naira weakened against the US Dollar at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM) on Monday, January 20 amid FX pressures associated with this period.

Most people who came into the country for Christmas and New Year holidays are already going back and are in need of forex, putting pressure on the local currency.

Also, the poor performance of the domestic currency could be attributed to end to the 42-day access granted by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to Bureaux de Change (BDC) operators to buy forex at official price.

According to data from the FMDQ Securities Exchange, the Nigerian Naira lost 0.16 per cent or N2.47 on the greeback yesterday to sell at N1,550.05/$1, in contrast to last Friday’s rate of N1,547.58/$1.

Similarly, the Naira slumped against the Pound Sterling in the spot market on Monday by N23.39 to trade at N1,906.98/£1 versus N1,883.59/£1 and depreciated against the Euro by N23.14 to sell for N1,613.48/€1 compared with last Friday’s N1,590.34/€1.

However, in the parallel market, the Nigerian currency improved its value against the Dollar during the session by N5 to quote at N1,665/$1 compared with the previous session’s N1,670/$1.

As for the cryptocurrency market, it turned red yesterday as the US President, Mr Donald Trump, didn’t bring up the much-expected subject of crypto in his inauguration speech on Monday afternoon.

Mr Trump had promised a far more friendly crypto policy stance than the previous administration but in the long speech that announced his plans in the coming days, he didn’t make mention of Bitcoin or crypto.

Just over the weekend, the President ignited a speculative frenzy with the Friday evening launch of the Trump meme coin, which was shortly followed by a meme coin associated with his wife, Melania.

Dogecoin (DOGE) crumbled yesterday by 6.3 per cent to $0.3419, Solana (SOL) slumped by 4.7 per cent to $235.32, Cardano (ADA) fell by 3.6 per cent to $0.9777, and Litecoin (LTC) moderated by 1.9 per cent to $114.98.

Further, Ethereum (ETH) went down by 1.7 per cent to $3,241.36, Binance Coin (BNB) retreated by 1.4 per cent to $693.30, Ripple (XRP) depreciated by 1.2 per cent to $3.06, and Bitcoin (BTC) tumbled by 0.8 per cent to $101,746.99, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 each.