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Economy

Futures Pointing to Modestly Higher Open on Wall Street

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By Investors Hub

Major U.S. index futures are pointing to a modestly higher opening on Thursday following the mixed performance seen in the previous session.

The upward momentum on Wall Street comes following the release of a report from the Labor Department showing an unexpected drop in initial jobless claims in the week ended October 28th.

A separate report from the Labor Department showed a bigger than expected increase in labor productivity in the third quarter, with output jumping by much more than hours worked.

Traders are also digesting the Bank of England’s decision to raise interest rates for the first time in over a decade.

Later in the day, trading may be impacted by President Donald Trump’s expected announcement of his nominee as the next Federal Reserve Chair.

Multiple media sources have reported that Trump intends to nominate Fed Governor Jerome Powell to replace current Fed Chair Janet Yellen.

House Republicans are also expected to unveil the draft of their tax reform legislation after postponing the release by a day due to disagreements about how to offset the cost of the nearly $6 trillion in tax cuts included in the bill.

Stocks turned mixed over the course of the trading session on Wednesday after initially moving to the upside. The major averages reached record intraday highs early in the session before giving back ground.

The major averages ended the day on opposite sides of the unchanged line. While the Nasdaq edged down 11.14 points or 0.2 percent to 6,716.53, the Dow rose 57.77 points or 0.3 percent to 23,435.01 and the S&P 500 inched up 4.10 points or 0.2 percent to 2,579.36.

The mixed close on Wall Street came following the Federal Reserve’s announcement of its latest monetary policy decision.

The Fed left interest rates unchanged as widely expected and offered support for the December rate hike that most economists are predicting.

The statement from the central bank said data received since the September meeting indicates the labor market has continued to strengthen and that economic activity has been rising at a solid rate despite hurricane-related disruptions.

The Fed said inflation for items other than food and energy remained soft but continued to predict inflation would stabilize around its 2 percent objective over the medium term.

The central bank also reiterated its expectation that economic conditions will evolve in a manner that will warrant gradual increases in the federal funds rate.

“Given the strong economy and jobs market, inflation pressures gradually building and Fed officials broadening out the reasons behind hiking – such as financial conditions, asset valuations and financial stability issues – we are still sticking to our view of a December rate hike,” said ING Senior Economist James Knightley.

He added, “This is 80% priced in by financial markets with the main risk coming from the potential for an economically damaging government shutdown in the absence of an agreement to raise the debt ceiling.”

Earlier in the day, payroll processor ADP released a report showing stronger than expected private sector job growth in the month of October.

ADP said private sector employment climbed by 235,000 jobs in October after rising by a downwardly revised 110,000 jobs in September.

Economists had expected an increase of about 200,000 jobs compared to the addition of 135,000 jobs originally reported for the previous month.

The bigger than expected increase came after private sector employment grew at its slowest rate in nearly a year in September.

A separate report from the Institute for Supply Management showed a slowdown in the pace of growth in the manufacturing sector in October.

The ISM said its purchasing managers index fell to 58.7 in October from 60.8 in September, although a reading above 50 still indicates growth in the manufacturing sector. Economists had expected the index to edge down to 59.5.

The bigger than expected pullback by the manufacturing index came after it jumped to its highest level in over thirteen years in the previous month.

Natural gas stocks turned in a strong performance on the day, with the NYSE Arca Natural Gas Index jumping by 2.2 percent. With the gain, the index ended the session at its best closing level in almost a month.

Within the natural gas sector, Devon Energy (DVN) posted a standout gain after reporting third quarter earnings that exceeded analyst estimates.

Notable strength was also visible among other energy stocks even though the price of crude oil for December delivery edged lower.

Steel stocks also showed a strong move to the upside, driving the NYSE Arca Steel Index up by 1 percent. U.S. Steel (X) led the sector higher after reporting better than expected third quarter results.

On the other hand, telecom stocks saw substantial weakness, dragging the NYSE Arca North American Telecom Index down by 2.8 percent. The index ended finished the day at its lowest closing level in well over a year.

Frontier Communications (FTR) posted a steep loss after reporting a narrower than expected third quarter loss but weaker than expected revenues.

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

Economy

NGX All-Share Index Cross 165,000 points as Market Cap Now N106trn

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By Dipo Olowookere

The bulls have refused to leave the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited as they further lifted the market by 1.59 per cent on Tuesday on the back of continued bargain-hunting.

The bourse recorded a significant rise yesterday as a result of the gains posted by some large-cap equities, including MTN Nigeria and others.

The sterling performance was across the key sectors of Customs Street, except the insurance counter, which went down by 0.06 per cent due to mild profit-taking.

However, the banking segment appreciated by 1.33 per cent, the consumer goods index soared by 0.74 per cent, the energy index grew by 0.39 per cent, the industrial goods space gained 0.10 per cent, and the commodity landscape improved by 0.01 per cent.

As a result, the All-Share Index (ASI) moved up by 2,592.63 points to 165,837.32 points from 163,244.69 points and the market capitalisation increased by N1.661 trillion to N106.182 trillion from N104.521 trillion.

Caverton, PZ Cussons, Deap Capital, eTranzact, and MTN Nigeria all gained 10.00 per cent during the session to settle at N7.70, N58.30, N3.63, N18.15, and N605.00, respectively.

However, Universal Insurance lost 6.25 per cent to close at N1.20, Prestige Assurance declined by 5.81 per cent to N1.62, Regency Alliance slumped by 5.17 per cent to N1.10, Academy Press depreciated by 5.06 per cent to N7.50, and Royal Exchange dropped 3.98 per cent to sell for N1.93.

A total of 55 stocks ended on the advancers’ log and 13 stocks finished on the laggards’ end, indicating a positive market breadth index and bullish investor sentiment.

The activity level was mixed, with the trading value up by 75.00 per cent to N33.6 billion from N19.2 billion.

But the trading volume was slightly down by 8.33 per cent to 1.1 billion shares from the 1.2 billion shares recorded a day earlier, as the number of deals decreased by 17.09 per cent to 49,216 deals from 59,359 deals.

For another trading day, Sovereign Trust Insurance led the activity chart with the sale 343.5 million units shares worth N1.1 billion, Access Holdings traded 86.2 million equities valued at N2.0 billion, eTranzact transacted 61.1 million stocks worth N1.1 billion, Linkage Assurance exchanged 49.9 million shares valued at N88.0 million, and Chams pulled a turnover of 35.4 million equities for N139.2 million.

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Economy

Nigeria’s New Tax System Looking Like Extortion—Peter Obi

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By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The presidential candidate of the Labour Party in the 2023 general elections, Mr Peter Obi, has likened Nigeria’s new tax system to extortion because it fails to clearly state how it intends to deliver “tangible benefits to citizens.”

In a post on X, formerly Twitter on Tuesday, the former Anambra State Governor, therefore, called for the suspension of the implementation of the tax laws, most especially after a renowned global accounting firm, KPMG, highlighted some errors in the laws.

Last week, KPMG Nigeria in a note on its website pinpointed some issues in the new laws, warning that they could discourage investments in the country.

However, the government reacted via the chairman on the Presidential Committee on Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms, Mr Taiwo Oyedele, saying the agency misunderstood the laws.

This week, officials of KPMG had a meeting with the chairman of the National Revenue Service (NRS), Mr Zacch Adedeji, on the issue.

For Mr Obi, “The fact that it took private meetings between the National Revenue Service and KPMG for these serious issues to be acknowledged” makes it more alarming.

He posited that, “It is now undeniable that the tax laws have been fundamentally altered, and even a firm as esteemed as KPMG has pinpointed 31 critical problem areas, from drafting errors to glaring policy contradictions and administrative gaps. This revelation should prompt every responsible government to take immediate action.”

“If experts require closed-door discussions to navigate the complexities of our tax laws, what hope does the average Nigerian have of comprehending the obligations being imposed on them?

“Taxation transcends mere fiscal policy; it represents a social contract between the government and its citizens. You cannot enforce a social contract that isn’t understood or trusted.

“Globally, tax policies are justified by delivering tangible benefits to citizens: improved healthcare, better educational systems, job opportunities, infrastructure development, and social safety nets. This is what the social contract signifies.

“In Nigeria, the narrative is all about how much more the government seeks to extract, rather than what it is prepared to offer in return. A tax system devoid of clear public benefits isn’t reform; it is, quite frankly, extortion,” he stated.

Speaking further, he said, “Typically, months, if not years, are dedicated to consulting with businesses, workers, and civil society before tax drafts are presented for public discussion, with the ramifications clearly explained. People must be informed not only about their financial contributions but also about the benefits that will ensue. This is how legitimacy is cultivated. Yet, in Nigeria, we have seen no such public consultations or discussions regarding the final tax laws, leaving ordinary citizens completely in the dark about both the regulations and the benefits of the taxes they’re expected to pay.

“We have hastily pursued collection without securing a consensus and imposed enforcement without providing adequate explanations. Even after the removal of subsidies, Nigerians remain in limbo, waiting for tangible benefits or relief. Instead, they are grappling with skyrocketing food prices, exorbitant transport costs, dwindling purchasing power, and escalating poverty levels.

“Before we have even begun to address these issues, we are being thrust into an expansive new tax regime, riddled with inconsistencies and producing 31 alarming red flags from a leading global accounting firm. This is not the hallmark of responsible governance.

“Without trust, taxation feels like punishment. Without clarity, it breeds confusion. Without evident public value, it amounts to robbery.

“Nigeria cannot afford to place further burdens on its already struggling citizens. What we need is a government that listens, communicates effectively, and prioritises building national consensus. This is the only viable path to genuine reform, unity, growth, and shared prosperity.”

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Economy

Possible Iranian Crude Disruptions Lift Brent Crude to $65 Per Barrel

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Brent crude hit $65.47 per barrel on Tuesday after it appreciated by 2.5 per cent or $1.60 as the prospect of disruptions to Iranian crude exports overshadowed possible increased supply from Venezuela.

In the same vein, the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude settled at $61.15 a barrel after climbing $1.65 or about 2.8 per cent during the session.

The oil market is looking at some developments in members of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) Iran and Venezuela as well as talks on Russia’s war in Ukraine and US interest in taking control of Greenland.

Iran is facing its biggest anti-government demonstrations in years which have lasted for more than two weeks.

The country autocratic government has cracked down on protesters with about 2,000 people killed and thousands more arrested.

The development has drawn a warning from US President Donald Trump of possible military action. The American President said on Monday that any country that does business with Iran would be subjected to a tariff rate of 25 per cent on any business conducted with the United States.

China, the world’s largest oil importer, is the biggest customer for Iranian crude. Others include United Arab Emirates (UAE), Turkey, Iraq, and the European Union (EU).

Reuters reported that there is a possibility of tighter supplies ahead after four Greek-managed oil tankers were struck by unidentified drones on Tuesday. The tankers were in the Black Sea on the way to load oil at the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC) terminal off the Russian coast.

Drone attacks at or near the CPC terminal have intensified in recent weeks and have affected the loading and departure schedules of Kazakhstan’s crude cargoes.

Kazakhstan’s oil output fell sharply at the end of November and early December after damage at the CPC export terminal disrupted flows.

Markets are also grappling with concern over additional crude supply hitting the market with a resumption in Venezuelan exports.

After the ousting of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, President Trump said last week that the South American producer is set to hand over to the US as much as 50 million barrels of oil subject to Western sanctions.

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