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GCR Affirms AIICO Insurance A(NG) Rating

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AIICO Insurance

By Dipo Olowookere

Global Credit Ratings has affirmed the national scale claims paying ability rating assigned to AIICO Insurance Plc of A(NG), with the outlook accorded as Negative.

GCR explained in a statement yesterday that the rating was affirmed because the insurer’s assets continue to be conservatively managed, with the bulk of investments in risk free Federal Government of Nigeria (FGN) bonds and treasury bills.

It noted that in this regard, cash and equivalent constituted about 83 percent of the investment portfolio at FY16, translating into a strong coverage of technical provisions (1.2x) and average monthly claims (48 months).

This is supported by sound asset liability matching for the long term business, as confirmed by the actuarial valuation report. Key liquidity measures are likely to register within a sound range over the rating horizon.

Capitalisation has moderated over the review period as sustained losses eroded the capital base. In this respect, consolidated capital declined to N7.6 billion at 3QFY17 from N7.9 billion at FY16 compared to N11.6 billion at FY12.

It said while the solvency levels in the short term business remain strong, the long term business evidences material capital shortfalls, especially considering the scale of the book.

However, comfort is derived from the sound asset liability matching, with bulk of the policyholders’ liabilities backed by risk free FGN bonds. Furthermore, statutory solvency on a consolidated basis reflects adequate coverage of assets over liabilities at FY16.

AIICO Insurance has evidenced notable earnings volatility throughout the review period, underpinned by a relatively elevated cost structure, coupled with the declining premium base and an increasing claims level.

Although FY16 reported a significant increase in operating profitability (underpinned by reserve releases due to the slow down on annuity uptake), this was eroded by the net losses on available for sale assets during the year. Going forward, the inherent variability in overall cost structure might continue to impact on the insurer’s earnings capacity, albeit, net profitability is expected to be supported by sound investment returns.

Notwithstanding the consistent decline in gross premiums for the short term business, AIICO’s competitive position remains moderate.

In this regard, consolidated premiums registered a compound annual growth rate of 6.3 percent for the five-year review period, albeit with a declining market share of 8.1 percent in FY16 (FY15: 11.3 percent).

GCR said going forward, continued focus on long term business, coupled with expanded retail exposure may gradually enhance the business profile.

AIICO’s reinsurance program consist counterparties with a sound aggregated credit profile. Note is taken of the elevated level (13 percent) of deductibles per risk and event relative to capital at FY16.

The rating agency said an upward movement of the rating or outlook may follow a sustainable strengthening of solvency metrics and business profile, coupled with the maintenance of liquidity metrics at strong levels.

Conversely, downward movement may result from a sustained weakening in capitalisation levels, and a significant loss of market share or sustained poor operating performance.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via dipo.olowookere@businesspost.ng

Economy

FG Move to Fix Nigeria’s Fiscal Data Discrepancies

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wale edun finance minister

By Adedapo Adesanya

The federal government is looking to remedy discrepancies in fiscal data across government institutions, which have affected Nigeria’s credit ratings and borrowing capacity.

This came as the Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr Wale Edun, has spearheaded a high-level Fiscal Data Harmonisation Meeting (FDHM).

The meeting was part of a bold move to revolutionize Nigeria’s economic landscape, marking a significant milestone in the country’s quest for economic stability and transparency.

The meeting which was held in his office in Abuja, brought together key stakeholders, including the Honourable Minister of State for Finance, Mrs Doris Uzoka-Anite; the Accountant General of the Federation, Mr Shamsedeen Babatunde Ogunjimi; and the Director General of the Budget Office, Mr Tanimu Yakubu.

Mr Edun emphasised the need for synergy between agencies such as the Budget Office, the Accountant General’s Office, and the Debt Management Office (DMO).

“Delivering accurate and comprehensive fiscal data is critical to economic stability and investor confidence,” he stated.

According to a statement, attendees agreed on the establishment of a Fiscal Data Coordination Framework, which includes a main committee, a subcommittee, and technical teams dedicated to standardising fiscal reporting methodologies and economic assumptions.

Mr Edun reaffirmed that Nigeria must take ownership of its fiscal data credibility, reducing dependence on external institutions.

The meeting concluded with a firm commitment to implementing the framework, reinforcing transparency, strengthening investor confidence, and enhancing Nigeria’s economic outlook.

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Economy

Senate Blocks Sale of Lafarge to Chinese Investors

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Lafarge Africa

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Senate has directed the Bureau of Public Procurement (BPP) to halt the planned sale of Lafarge Africa to Chinese cement maker, Huaxin Cement.

The legislators made the move on national security and economic sovereignty grounds.

“The Senate notes that discussions are underway regarding the divestment of Lafarge Cement Plc, with reports indicating potential Chinese investors. This has sparked concerns over the possibility of foreign dominance in a key sector of the Nigerian economy,” the motion stated.

It further observed that Holcim AG, the majority shareholder, is planning to offload its 83.8 per cent stake in Lafarge Africa to Huaxin Cement Co., a Chinese cement manufacturer.

The $1 billion deal is expected to be finalized in 2025, pending regulatory approval.

“The cement manufacturing industry is vital to national security due to its role in infrastructure projects, including roads, bridges, housing, and public works,” the motion continued.

“Excessive foreign control in this sector could pose risks to Nigeria’s economic sovereignty and security interests.”

Some of the senators who backed the call included Mr Shuaib Afolabi Salisu, who said, “We cannot afford to wake up one day and realise that our cement industry, one of the backbones of our economy, is entirely in foreign hands. We must ensure that strategic assets like Lafarge Africa remain in the hands of those who have the country’s best interests at heart.”

On his part, Mr Olamilekan Adeola said, “The company is about to be divested and the transaction has been shrouded in secrecy. What the motion is simply asking for is that we want this transaction to be as transparent as possible. By the time the eventual sale of this company is done, we will be fully satisfied that Nigeria’s economy will be protected.”

Concerns have reportedly been raised that the deal could lead to capital flight, job losses and reduced regulatory oversight over a sector vital to national development.

Mr Jimoh Ibrahim cautioned against using the Senate to obstruct the federal government’s efforts to attract foreign investment.

He argued that investors should not feel restricted when they decide to exit or divest from their holdings.

His sentiment was echoed by Mr Sunday Karimi, advising against any legislative action that might hinder the sale.

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Economy

NASD OTC Exchange Crashes 0.14% as Five Stocks Decline

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Five stocks kept the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange in the negative territory by 0.14 per cent on Thursday, March 27.

When the alternative stock exchange ended trading activities for the day, the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) was down by 4.70 points to 3,310.51 points from the previous trading day’s 3,315.21 points.

In the same vein, the market capitalisation of the bourse fell further by N2.72 billion at session to settle at N1.912 trillion compared with the preceding day’s N1.914 trillion.

The volume of securities traded at the bourse yesterday rose by 2,272.7 per cent to 712,439 units from the 30,026 units recorded on Wednesday just as the value of securities traded went up by 728.2 per cent to N30.5 million from the N3.7 million quoted at the preceding session, with the number of deals executed at the Thursday session increasing by 253.9 per cent to 46 deals from 13 deals.

Okitipupa Plc lost N16.00 to sell at N240.50 per unit versus Wednesday’s value of N256.50 per unit, Afriland Properties Plc dropped 58 Kobo to trade at N18.92 per share compared with the previous day’s N19.50 per share, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc depreciated by 27 Kobo to N36.73 per unit from N37.00 per unit, Geo-Fluids Plc crashed by 15 Kobo to trade at N2.50 per share versus N2.65 per share and Food Concepts Plc fell by 5 Kobo to N1.30 per unit from N1.35 per unit.

On the flip side, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc improved by N1.68 to N25.21 per share from N23.53 per share and Nipco Plc gained 70 Kobo to settle at N200.50 per unit, in contrast to the previous rate of N199.80 per unit.

FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc became the most traded stock by value (year-to-date) with 13.7 million units valued at N528.90 million, Impresit Bakolori Plc followed with 533.9 million units worth N520.9 million, and Afriland Properties Plc with 17.8 million units valued at N364.2 million.

However, Impresit Bakolori Plc remained the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 533.9 million units worth N520.9 million followed by Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc with 70.0 million units worth N23.8 million and Geo-Fluids Plc with 44.0 million units valued at N89.0 million.

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