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Economy

How Global Food Prices Fell First Time in 12 Months

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Food Import Costs

By Adedapo Adesanya

Global food commodity prices fell in June for the first time in 12 months, according to a benchmark report released last week by the United Nations’ Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO).

According to the Rome-based agency, the FAO Food Price Index averaged 124.6 points in June 2021, down 2.5 per cent from May. The decline in June marked the first drop in the index following 12 consecutive monthly increases.

However, this was still 33.9 per cent higher than its level in the same period last year.

The FAO Food Price Index tracks changes in the international prices of the most globally traded food commodities.

The drop in June reflected declines in the prices of vegetable oils, cereals and, though more moderately, dairy products, which more than offset generally higher meat and sugar quotations.

The FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index fell by 9.8 per cent in the month, marking a four-month low. The sizeable month-on-month drop mainly reflects lower international prices of palm, soy and sunflower oils.

The FAO Cereal Price Index fell by a more moderate 2.6 per cent from May but remained 33.8 per cent higher than its value in June 2020.

International maize prices dropped by 5.0 per cent, led by falling prices in Argentina due to increased supplies from recent harvests as a result of higher-than-earlier expected yields. International wheat prices declined slightly by 0.8 per cent in June, with a favourable global outlook supported by improved production prospects in many key producers outweighing most of the upward pressure from dry conditions affecting crops in North America.

The FAO Dairy Price Index fell by 1 per cent to 119.9 points in June. International quotations for all dairy products represented in the index fell, with butter registering the highest drop. This happened as a result of a fast decline in global import demand and a slight increase in inventories, especially in Europe.

The FAO Sugar Price Index moved against the overall food price trend, rising by 0.9 per cent month-on-month, marking the third consecutive monthly increase and reaching a new multi-year high. Uncertainties over the impact of unfavourable weather conditions on crop yields in Brazil, the world’s largest sugar exporter, exerted upward pressure on prices.

The FAO Meat Price Index also rose by 2.1 per cent over the month to June, continuing the increases for the ninth consecutive month and placing the index 15.6 per cent above its value in the corresponding month last year, but still 8.0 per cent below its peak reached in August 2014.

FAO’s forecast for global cereal production in 2021 has been lowered marginally to 2. 8 billion tonnes, according to the latest Cereal Supply and Demand Brief released today. However, the figure remains 1.7 per cent, or 47.8 million tonnes, higher than in 2020, which would mark a new record high.

Forecasts for world coarse grains production have been cut back to 1.5 billion tonnes, 3 million tonnes below last month’s expectation. A large cut to the Brazilian maize production forecast accounts for the bulk of the expected global decline, with prolonged periods of dry weather dragging down yield expectations.

World wheat output in 2021 has been lowered by 1 million tonnes to 784.7 million tonnes, still 1.2 per cent higher year-on-year, as the dry weather conditions in the Near East cut back yield prospects.

By contrast, the forecast of global rice production in 2021 has undergone a slight upward adjustment since June, with a record of 519.5 million tonnes of rice now expected to be harvested in 2021, up 1.0 per cent from 2020.

World cereal utilization in 2021/22 has been lowered by 15 million tonnes from the previous month to 2.8 billion tonnes, nevertheless still 1.5 per cent higher than in 2020/21. The downward revision comes largely from lower-than-earlier-anticipated utilization of maize in China for animal feed.

World cereal stocks by the close of seasons in 2021/22 are now forecast to rise above their opening levels for the first time since 2017/18, following a sharp upward revision to 836 million tonnes, up 2.4 per cent from last year’s relatively tight level. Higher maize stocks foreseen in China account for the bulk of this month’s upward revision to world cereal inventories.

FAO’s latest forecast for world trade in cereals in 2021/22 has been raised slightly since June and now stands at a record 472 million tonnes, driven primarily by likely large maize purchases from China taking global maize trade to record levels.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Oando Holds AGM December 17 as Former PwC Nigeria Head Joins Board

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Oando

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The much-awaited Annual General Meeting (AGM) of Oando Plc will take place on Tuesday, December 17, 2024, at 10 am in Lagos, a statement from the energy company has revealed.

The day would be used to present the audited financial statements of the organisation for the year ended December 31, 2023, to shareholders.

Oando will also seek the approval of investors to appoint Mr Ken Igbokwe and Mr Bashir Bello to the boards of the company with effect from Monday, November 25, 2024.

Mr Igbokwe is a highly experienced management and consulting professional with over 35 years of expertise in various sectors, including oil and gas, financial services and the public sector.

During his distinguished career at PwC Nigeria, he held key leadership roles in Assurance, Tax and Consulting.

His experience spans a wide range of areas such as statutory, financial and process audits and assurance, business valuations, dispute resolution, financial and information systems risk management, corporate strategy development, corporate performance management, and tax planning.

In his role as Country Leader of PwC Nigeria, Mr Igbokwe was responsible for driving strategic thinking and the visioning that underpinned the growth of the firm.

He was in this leadership position for 10 years during which PwC Nigeria’s business recorded tremendous growth with PwC becoming the leading “Big 4” brand. He led the PwC West Africa business into the Africa-wide PwC merger in 2012.

The new appointee contributes to public discourse and debates on public sector transformation in Nigeria and on matters which focus on corporate governance and the strengthening of the investment climate.

Mr Igbokwe holds a B.Sc. (Eng) degree in Mechanical Engineering from Imperial College, London University, which he attended as a Shell Scholar and graduated from, in 1978.

He is a current member of the Institutes of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales and Nigeria. He is also a current member of the Chartered Institute of Taxation of Nigeria.

On his part, Mr Bello is an oil and gas professional with over 32 years of experience in Technical and Executive Management positions across the industry. His expertise spans all sectors, from Downstream (Refining) to Midstream (LNG) and Upstream (Exploration and Production), with a strong focus on Operations, Engineering, Project Management, and Corporate Governance.

He has served as a Board Member for Shell Petroleum Development Company of Nigeria Limited, Bonny Gas Transport Company, NLNG Ship Manning Company Limited, and various Board Committees of Nigeria LNG.

With a proven ability in Interface and Stakeholder Management, he is skilled at delivering business value in Joint Ventures with diverse shareholder agendas, managing projects with complex interfaces and stakeholder expectations, and overseeing operations with diverse functional requirements and limited resources.

Mr Bello holds a Bachelor of Engineering (B.Eng.) in Mechanical Engineering from Bayero University Kano, Nigeria. He is a Fellow of the Nigeria Society of Engineers (NSE), and a Registered Engineer with the Council for the Regulation of Engineering in Nigeria (COREN).

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Economy

CBN Hikes Interest Rates for Sixth Time to 27.5%

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interest rate hike

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has raised the monetary policy rate by 25 basis points to 27.50 per cent to further tackle rising inflation in Nigeria.

This was disclosed by the Governor of the apex bank, Mr Yemi Cardoso, at the end of the 298th Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting in Abuja.

This is the sixth time that the country has hiked interest rate this year after it announced a 50-basis-point that brought the previous rate to 27.25 per cent in September 2024.

The rationale for increasing interest rates is that higher interest rates increase the cost of borrowing for individuals and businesses. This creates a ripple effect that reduces loans spent on items like homes, cars, and investments and curbs overall spending in the economy.

Normally, low interest rates can lead to excessive borrowing and investments in assets that will then inflate their prices.

Also, increased interest rates make saving more attractive as depositors earn more on their savings. It is widely accepted that saving reduces the demand for goods and services and thus helps to stabilise prices.

Mr Cardoso also used the opportunity to reiterate that the CBN will continue to employ necessary means to bring down inflation.

He projected that Nigeria’s high inflation should moderate by the end of the first quarter of  2025.

The inflation rate continued its upward trend in October 2024, impacted by rises in the price of food, electricity, and fuels, as it came in at 33.88 per cent, relative to the September 2024 headline inflation rate of 32.70 per cent.

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Economy

Unlisted Securities Exchange Falls 0.37%

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NASD Unlisted Securities Index

By Adedapo Adesanya

The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange dropped by 0.37 per cent to open the week on a negative foot on Monday, November 25.

The NASD OTC market capitalisation lost N3.95  billion during the trading day to settle at N1.050 trillion compared with the previous trading day’s N1.054 trillion and the Unlisted Security Index (NSI) decreased by 11.26 points to wrap the session at 2,997.68 points compared with 3,008.94 points recorded in the previous session.

This happened as there was no gainer or loser on record during the session, according to daily trading data.

However, there was a rise in the volume of securities traded during the opening session of the week as investors exchanged 1.7 million units compared with last Friday’s 157,791 units, indicating an increase of 948 per cent.

Also, the value of shares traded yesterday grew by 4.8 per cent to N6.5 million from the N6.2 million recorded in the preceding trading day.

The number of deals carried out in the trading session remained unchanged at 20 deals.

Geo-Fluids Plc remained as the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 1.7 billion units sold for N3.9 billion, Okitipupa Plc came next with 752.2 million units valued at N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc followed with 297.3 million units worth N5.3 billion.

Aradel Holdings Plc remained the most active stock by value (year-to-date) with 108.7 million units worth N89.2 billion, Okitipupa Plc came next with 752.2 million units valued at N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc was in third with 297.3 million units sold for N5.3 billion.

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