Economy

Inflation to Drop Further to 15.84% in November—Analysts

Published

8 years ago

10/12/2017

By Dipo Olowookere

Analysts at FSDH Research have predicted that inflation rate for the month of November will further ease to 15.84 percent from 15.91 percent recorded in October.

In its Inflation Watch report released last Friday, FSDH Research explained that the expected marginal decline in the inflation rate was premised on a slower increase in the food and non-food divisions, compared with the previous month.

The October inflation rate was the ninth consecutive month of decrease in the headline inflation in 2017. Based on the data release calendar on the website of the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), the stats office will release the inflation rate for the month of November 2017 on December 19, 2017.

The monthly Food Price Index (FPI) from the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) shows that the Index averaged 175.8 points. This is 0.46 percent lower than the revised value for October 2017, but 2.26 percent higher than the November 2016 figure.

According to the FAO, the sharp fall in the price of dairy products largely offset the increases recorded in the prices of sugar and vegetable oil. The FAO Dairy Price Index recorded the highest drop, dropping by 4.92 percent from October 2017. The FAO Meat Price Index was marginally down by 0.09 percent largely unchanged from the revised October value.

On the flip side, the FAO Sugar Price Index was up 4.53 percent, the highest level recorded in the last three months. The increase was supported by declining exports from Brazil.

The FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index was up by 1.24 percent. The rise in the Index mainly reflects higher prices for soy, rapeseed and sunflower oils. The FAO Cereal Price Index was up by 0.29 percent in November 2017 as a result of the increase in the prices of wheat and maize.

“Our analysis indicates that the value of the Naira depreciated at both the inter-bank and parallel markets. The Naira lost by 0.07 percent and 0.28 percent to close at $/N306.00 and $/N363.50 at both the inter-bank and parallel markets respectively.

“The drop in the international prices of food moderated the effect of the depreciation in the value of Naira on local prices.

The prices of most of the food items we monitored in November 2017 moderated downwards, while a few items recorded price appreciation. The movement in the prices of food items during the month resulted in 0.8 percent increase in our Food and Non-Alcoholic Index to 258.03 points.

“Our Food and Non-Alcoholic Index increased by 20.15 percent from 214.76 points in November 2016.

“We also noticed increase in the prices of Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas & Other Fuels divisions between October 2017 and November 2017.

“Our model indicates that the general price movement in the consumer goods and services in November 2017 increased the Composite Consumer Price Index (CCPI) to 244.81 points, representing a month-on-month increase of 0.73 percent.

“We estimate that the increase in the CCPI in November 2017 would produce an inflation rate of 15.84 percent lower than the 15.91 percent recorded in October 2017,” the report said.

Economy

Tinubu Okays Extension of Ban on Raw Shea Nut Export by One Year

Published

5 hours ago

26/02/2026

Aduragbemi Omiyale

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The ban on the export of raw shea nuts from Nigeria has been extended by one year by President Bola Tinubu.

A statement from the Special Adviser to the President on Information and Strategy, Mr Bayo Onanuga, on Wednesday disclosed that the ban is now till February 25, 2027.

It was emphasised that this decision underscores the administration’s commitment to advancing industrial development, strengthening domestic value addition, and supporting the objectives of the Renewed Hope Agenda.

The ban aims to deepen processing capacity within Nigeria, enhance livelihoods in shea-producing communities, and promote the growth of Nigerian exports anchored on value-added products, the statement noted.

To further these objectives, President Tinubu has authorised the two Ministers of the Federal Ministry of Industry, Trade and Investment, and the Presidential Food Security Coordination Unit (PFSCU), to coordinate the implementation of a unified, evidence-based national framework that aligns industrialisation, trade, and investment priorities across the shea nut value chain.

He also approved the adoption of an export framework established by the Nigerian Commodity Exchange (NCX) and the withdrawal of all waivers allowing the direct export of raw shea nuts.

The President directed that any excess supply of raw shea nuts should be exported exclusively through the NCX framework, in accordance with the approved guidelines.

Additionally, he directed the Federal Ministry of Finance to provide access to a dedicated NESS Support Window to enable the Federal Ministry of Industry, Trade and Investment to pilot a Livelihood Finance Mechanism to strengthen production and processing capacity.

Shea nuts, the oil-rich fruits from the shea tree common in the Savanna belt of Nigeria, are the raw material for shea butter, renowned for its moisturising, anti-inflammatory, and antioxidant properties. The extracted butter is a principal ingredient in cosmetics for skin and hair, as well as in edible cooking oil. The Federal Government encourages processing shea nuts into butter locally, as butter fetches between 10 and 20 times the price of the raw nuts.

The federal government said it remains committed to policies that promote inclusive growth, local manufacturing and position Nigeria as a competitive participant in global agricultural value chains.

Economy

NASD Bourse Rebounds as Unlisted Security Index Rises 1.27%

Published

5 hours ago

26/02/2026

Adedapo Adesanya

By Adedapo Adesanya

The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange expanded for the first session this week by 1.27 per cent on Wednesday, February 25.

This lifted the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) above 4,000 points, with a 50.45-point addition to close at 4,025.25 points compared with the previous day’s 3,974.80 points, as the market capitalisation added N30.19 billion to close at N2.408 trillion versus Tuesday’s N2.378 trillion.

At the trading session, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc grew by N5.00 to trade at N100.00 per share compared with the previous day’s N95.00 per share, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc improved by N4.18 to sell at N70.00 per unit versus N65.82 per unit, and First Trust Mortgage Bank Plc increased by 14 Kobo to trade at N1.59 per share compared with the previous day’s N1.45 per share.

However, the share price of Geo-Fluids Plc depreciated by 27 Kobo at midweek to close at N3.27 per unit, in contrast to the N3.30 per unit it was transacted a day earlier.

At the midweek session, the volume of securities went down by 25.3 per cent to 8.7 million units from 11.6 million units, the value of securities decreased by 92.5 per cent to N80.7 million from N1.2 billion, and the number of deals slipped by 33.3 per cent to 32 deals from the preceding session’s 48 deals.

At the close of business, CSCS Plc remained the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 34.1 million units exchanged for N2.0 billion, trailed by Okitipupa Plc with 6.3 million units traded for N1.1 billion, and Geo-Fluids Plc with 122.0 million units valued at N478.0 million.

Resourcery Plc ended the trading session as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 1.05 billion units valued at N408.7 million, followed by Geo-Fluids Plc with 122.0 million units sold for N478.0 million, and CSCS Plc with 34.1 million units worth N2.0 billion.

Economy

Investors Lose N73bn as Bears Tighten Grip on Stock Exchange

Published

6 hours ago

26/02/2026

Dipo Olowookere

By Dipo Olowookere

The bears consolidated their dominance on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited on Wednesday, inflicting an additional 0.09 per cent cut on the market.

At midweek, the market capitalisation of the domestic stock exchange went down by N73 billion to N124.754 trillion from the preceding day’s N124.827 trillion, and the All-Share Index (ASI) slipped by 114.32 points to 194,370.20 points from 194,484.52 points.

A look at the sectoral performance showed that only the consumer goods index closed in green, gaining 1.19 per cent due to buying pressure.

However, sustained profit-taking weakened the insurance space by 3.79 per cent, the banking index slumped by 2.07 per cent, the energy counter went down by 0.24 per cent, and the industrial goods sector shrank by 0.22 per cent.

Business Post reports that 25 equities ended on the gainers’ chart, and 54 equities finished on the losers’ table, representing a negative market breadth index and weak investor sentiment.

RT Briscoe lost 10.00 per cent to sell for N10.35, ABC Transport crashed by 10.00 per cent to N6.75, SAHCO depreciated by 9.98 per cent to N139.35, Haldane McCall gave up 9.93 per cent to trade at N3.99, and Vitafoam Nigeria decreased by 9.93 per cent to N112.50.

Conversely, Jaiz Bank gained 9.95 per cent to settle at N14.03, Okomu Oil appreciated by 9.93 per cent to N1,765.00, Trans-nationwide Express chalked up 9.77 per cent to close at N2.36, Fortis Global Insurance moved up by 9.72 per cent to 79 Kobo, and Champion Breweries rose by 5.39 per cent to N17.60.

Yesterday, 1.4 billion shares worth N46.2 billion were transacted in 70,222 deals compared with the 1.1 billion shares valued at N53.4 billion traded in 72,218 deals a day earlier, implying a rise in the trading volume by 27.27 per cent, and a decline in the trading value and number of deals by 13.48 per cent and 2.76 per cent, respectively.

Fortis Global Insurance ended the session as the busiest stock after trading 193.7 million units for N152.7 million, Zenith Bank transacted 120.7 million units worth N11.1 billion, Japaul exchanged 114.8 million units valued at N407.0 million, Ellah Lakes sold 98.4 million units worth N999.2 million, and Access Holdings traded 63.1 million units valued at N1.7 billion.