Economy
Market Cements Gains by N76bn as Activity Level Improves
By Dipo Olowookere
The stock market in Nigeria appreciated by 0.36 per cent on Tuesday, following the renewed interest in the market by investors, who have started to take a position on some value equities ahead of the earnings season.
Most companies are beginning to announce their closed periods and yesterday, the big banks released information about their forthcoming board meetings for the consideration of their 2020 full-year earnings.
During the trading day, the buying pressure witnessed skyrocketed the market capitalisation by N76 billion to N21.070 trillion from N20.994 trillion and improved the All-Share Index (ASI) by 145.17 points to 40,295.95 points from 40,150.78 points.
Business Post reports that the insurance sector appreciated yesterday by 3.61 per cent, while the industrial goods segment grew by 0.99 per cent, with the consumer goods counter rising by 0.36 per cent. But the banking space lost 0.62 per cent, while the energy index depreciated by 0.05 per cent.
The activity level significantly improved on Tuesday as investors traded 1.2 billion shares worth N8.0 billion executed in 5,591 deals in contrast to the 335.7 million stocks worth N2.5 billion traded in 5,338 deals the previous session, indicating a 247.46 per cent rise in the trading volume, a 220.11 per cent growth in the trading value and a 4.74 per cent spike in the number of deals.
UPDC REIT was the most active stock yesterday with the sale of 775.0 million units valued at N4.2 billion, with Axa Mansard Insurance trailing for the sale of 49.5 million units worth N59.1 million.
Transcorp transacted 44.3 million shares valued at N41.8 million, Japaul traded 29.4 million stocks for N34.0 million, while Sterling Bank exchanged 26.2 million equities worth N51.9 million.
On the price movement list, Dangote Cement occupied the top spot with a price appreciation of N5 to settle at N230 per unit.
Ardova gained N1.75 to close at N19.70 per share, NASCON grew by N1.45 to end at N15.95 per unit, Dangote Sugar rose by 30 kobo to N19.65 per share, while May & Baker improved by 26 kobo to sell at N3.85 per unit.
Conversely, GTBank suffered the heaviest loss on Tuesday, going down by 35 kobo to close at N32.50 per share and was trailed by MTN Nigeria, which went down by 20 kobo to N165 per unit.
Oando depreciated by 20 kobo to N3.50 per share, Julius Berger deflated by 20 kobo to N17.70 per unit, while UBA declined by 10 kobo to trade at N8.80 per share.
Economy
Nigerian Exchange Recovers 1.39% on Bargain-hunting
By Dipo Olowookere
The hunt for dividend-paying stocks rebounded the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited by 1.39 per cent on Monday after a spate of sell-offs last week.
According to data, energy equities were the toast of investors yesterday, with the sector closing higher by 4.68 per cent when the closing gong was struck at 2:30 pm on the stock exchange.
Further, the industrial goods space appreciated by 2.49 per cent, the consumer goods index improved by 0.36 per cent, and the banking segment appreciated by 0.26 per cent, while the insurance counter lost 1.49 per cent to profit-taking.
As a result, the All-Share Index (ASI) gained 2,687.46 points to finish at 195,514.23 points compared with the 192,826.77 points it ended last Friday, and the market capitalisation grew by N1.725 trillion to N125.488 trillion from N123.763 trillion.
NGX Group, which announced a final dividend of N2 and a bonus share of 1-for-3 last Friday, was the best-performing equity on Monday after it gained 10.00 per cent to trade at N136.40.
In addition, Aradel Holdings appreciated by 9.99 per cent to N1,192.30, Union Homes REIT grew by 9.96 per cent to N76.15, Sovereign Trust Insurance advanced by 9.95 per cent to N2.43, and PZ Cussons rose 9.72 per cent to N79.00.
On the flip side, Custodian Investment ended as the worst-performing equity with a 10.00 per cent loss to settle at N61.20, McNichols shed 9.92 per cent to N7.63, Africa Prudential depleted by 9.75 per cent to N16.20, Chams crashed by 9.11 per cent to N4.09, and Neimeth depreciated by 8.23 per cent to N10.60.
The most active stock for the session was Fortis Global Insurance with 109.1 million units sold for N109.2 million, Japaul traded 54.7 million units valued at N218.9 million, UBA transacted 43.0 million units worth N2.1 billion, Access Holdings exchanged 30.7 million units for N799.4 million, and Oando sold 28.5 million units worth N1.3 billion.
In all, market participants bought and sold 789.9 million shares valued at N35.1 billion in 84,259 deals yesterday compared with the 823.8 million shares worth N34.8 million traded in 63,759 deals in the preceding session, indicating a decline in the trading volume by 4.16 per cent, and growth in the trading value and number of deals by 0.86 per cent, and 32.15 per cent apiece.
Economy
Naira Crashes to N1,378/$1 as FX Demand Outpaces Supply
By Adedapo Adesanya
The gradual fall of the Naira against the United States Dollar continued on Monday after it further lost N14.63 or 1.07 per cent to close at N1,378.02/$1 compared with the N1,363.39/$1 it was traded at last Friday at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX). This was due to an insufficient supply of FX to meet the demand of customers at the currency market.
The Nigerian currency also depreciated against the Pound Sterling in the same market segment during the session by N9.65 to trade at N1,846.14/£1 compared with the previous trading day’s rate of N1,836.49/£1, and declined against the Euro by N3.76 to settle at N1,612.98/€1 versus the preceding session’s N1,609.22/€1.
In the same vein, the Nigerian Naira tumbled against the greenback in the black market yesterday by N5 to quote at N1,375/$1, in contrast to the previous value of N1,370/$1, as forex demand pressure gradually mounts.
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) sold $200 million to boost the supply side and moderate demand pressures. For February, the CBN operated on both sides of the market, selling $225 million and purchasing $261.80 million. However, as FX demand continued to outpace available supply, pressure mounted further in the market.
Meanwhile, the research subsidiary of Coronation Merchant Bank said FX liquidity improved significantly last week. Total FX inflows into the official window rose to $1.07 billion from $648.20 million in the prior week.
Analysts maintain that the exchange rate is still trading within its projected N1,350 to N1,450 per Dollar band, dismissing panic concerns.
Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market was bullish on Monday after macro shocks triggered repositioning across markets, and digital currencies benefited as some investors rotated back into risk.
After weeks of US military buildup and deadlocked nuclear diplomacy, the war with Iran increases the danger of a wider regional confrontation in a strategically vital economic corridor, adding to the risk gains for the market.
Ethereum (ETH) gained 5.5 per cent to trade at $2,050.07, Solana (SOL) appreciated by 5.2 per cent to $87.76, Bitcoin (BTC) added 4.9 per cent to sell for $69,322.35, Binance Coin (BNB) rose 3.2 per cent to $637.94, and Litecoin (LTC) expanded by 3.0 per cent to $52.39.
Further, Ripple (XRP) jumped 2.9 per cent to $1.40, Cardano (ADA) improved by 2.1 per cent to $0.2801, and Dogecoin (DOGE) increased by 1.9 per cent to $0.0946, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 apiece.
Economy
Oil Prices Surge as Strait of Hormuz Traffic Freezes Amid Iran-Israel Row
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil prices surged 8 per cent on Monday as Israel and US strikes on Iran and retaliation by the Islamic Republic forced shutdowns of oil and gas facilities across the Middle East and disrupted shipping in the crucial Strait of Hormuz.
Brent crude rose 8.7 per cent or $6.36 to trade at $79.23 per barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude expanded by $7.8 per cent or 5.27 per cent to $72.29 per barrel.
Oil’s surge on the restart of trading after the weekend, however, was smaller than expected. On Sunday, some analysts had predicted oil would open above $90 a barrel and closer to $100.
The widening Iranian conflict is disrupting oil flows to several Asian countries as vessels are bottled up within the Middle East Gulf, and crude and transport costs are rising.
US President Donald Trump signalled the US-Israel military assault could continue for weeks, which could mean a prolonged disruption of traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, through which around 20 per cent of global oil output and a similar share of liquefied natural gas transits via ships from Middle East producers.
On Monday, Saudi Arabia shut its biggest domestic oil refinery after a drone strike. Qatar halted production of liquefied natural gas, and state-owned QatarEnergy was set to declare force majeure on LNG shipments.
The widening Iran conflict also left 150 ships stranded at anchor around the Strait of Hormuz after a seafarer was killed and at least three tankers were damaged.
The disruptions highlight the risks to Asia, the world’s biggest oil-consuming region, which sources 60 per cent of its oil from Middle Eastern producers. For instance, an extended disruption of the Strait would push oil prices higher and could cause supply shortages to China and India, the world’s biggest and third-biggest oil importers, forcing countries to tap stockpiles and reducing refinery operations.
In the view of the International Energy Agency (IEA) and other analysts, the oil market is well supplied with additions to supply from producers such as the United States, Guyana and the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) expected to outpace global demand this year.
Eight members of OPEC+ agreed on Sunday to raise oil output by 206,000 barrels per day in April.
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