Economy
Nigeria’s 2020 Trades Drop 10.5% Despite Improvement in Q4
By Adedapo Adesanya
Despite an increase in trade activities in the final quarter of last year, Nigeria’s total trade dropped 10.5 per cent in 2020, data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) has revealed.
In the Foreign Trade in Good Statistics for the fourth quarter released on Tuesday by the agency, it was disclosed that the country recorded a total of N32.4 trillion in both its import and export for the year compared to N36.2 trillion in 2019.
An analysis of the report by Business Post showed that Nigeria recorded higher imports than exports in the year due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.
The value of total imports in 2020 stood at N19.9 trillion, 17.8 per cent higher than N16.9 trillion in 2019, while total exports dropped by 34.9 per cent to N12.5 trillion from N19.2 trillion in the previous period.
This brought about a trade deficit of N7.4 trillion in the year under review.
However, as earlier stated, in the fourth quarter of the year, the value of trade was the highest recorded over the past year as total merchandise trade stood at N9.1 trillion, representing an increase of 8.9 per cent over the level recorded in the third quarter of 2020 but was 9.9 lower when compared to the fourth quarter of 2019.
The export component of trade stood at N3.2 trillion, an increase of 6.7 per cent over the preceding quarter but a drop of 33 per cent over the previous year. Further, the share of exports in total trade declined to 35 per cent in Q4 2020 from 47 per cent a year earlier.
On the other hand, total imports reached a record high at N5.9 trillion in Q4 2020, an increase of 10.1 per cent over the preceding quarter, and 10.8 per cent over the preceding year. Imports also accounted for 65 per cent of total trade in Q4 2020, compared to 53 per cent the previous year.
As the value of imports nearly doubled the value of exports, the trade deficit rose to its highest level and a fifth consecutive quarterly deficit at N2.7 trillion, signifying an increase of 14.3 per cent compared to the preceding quarter.
In a breakdown of the import figures during the whole year, machinery and transport equipment accounted for 36.6 per cent, chemicals and related products recorded 18.2 per cent while mineral fuels followed with 15.3 per cent.
By destination, Asia also accounted for the largest imports to Nigeria, representing 49.3 per cent of total imports during the period, this was valued at N9.8 trillion in 2020.
This was followed by Europe with imports valued at N6.6 trillion, equivalent to 33.3 per cent of total imports, while America, recorded N2.6 trillion or 13.2 per cent of total imports for the period.
By country of origin for the full year, imported goods originated mainly from China and were valued at N1.7 trillion representing 28.3 per cent of total imports. This was followed by India (N506 billion or 8.5 per cent), the United States (N408.6 billion or 7.6 per cent), the Netherlands (N424.5 billion, or 7.2 per cent) and Denmark (N319.9 billion, or 5.4 per cent).
During the period, there were declines in agricultural, solid minerals, energy goods, manufactured, crude and other oil exports.
Crude oil exports accounted for the chunk of Nigeria’s exports as 75.2 per cent of the total figure was gotten from the black gold. This amounted to N9.4 trillion for the year under review while non-crude oil exports accounted for N3.1 trillion (24.8 per cent) of the export figure in the year.
The stats office said in the fourth quarter of last year, India was the major country Nigeria exported its products to, accounting for 17.1 per cent. Spain followed with 9.8 per cent, South Africa accounted for 8.0 per cent, The Netherlands accounted for 6.1 per cent, while the United States contributed 5.3 per cent.
Economy
Nigerian Stocks Close 1.13% Higher to Remain in Bulls’ Territory
By Dipo Olowookere
The local stock market firmed up by 1.13 per cent on Friday as appetite for Nigerian stocks remained strong.
Investors reacted well to the 2026 budget presentation of President Bola Tinubu to the National Assembly yesterday, especially because of the more realistic crude oil benchmark of $64 per barrel compared with the ambitious $75 per barrel for 2025. This year, prices have been between $60 and $65 per barrel.
Business Post observed profit-taking in the commodity and energy sectors as they respectively shed 0.14 per cent and 0.03 per cent.
But, bargain-hunting in the others sustained the positive run, with the consumer goods index up by 3.82 per cent.
Further, the industrial goods space appreciated by 1.46 per cent, the banking counter improved by 0.08 per cent, and the insurance industry gained 0.04 per cent.
As a result, the All-Share Index (ASI) increased by 1,694.33 points to 152,057.38 points from 150,363.05 points and the market capitalisation chalked up N1.080 trillion to finish at N96.937 trillion compared with Thursday’s closing value of N95.857 trillion.
A total of 34 shares ended on the advancers’ chart, while 24 were on the laggards’ log, representing a positive market breadth index and bullish investor sentiment.
Austin Laz gained 10.00 per cent to close at N2.42, Union Dicon also jumped 10.00 per cent to N6.60, Tantalizers increased by 9.80 per cent to N2.69, Aluminium Extrusion improved by 9.78 per cent to N12.35, and Champion Breweries grew by 9.71 per cent to N16.95.
Conversely, Sovereign Trust Insurance dipped by 7.42 per cent to N3.87, Royal Exchange lost 6.84 per cent to trade at N1.77, Omatek slipped by 6.84 per cent to N1.09, Eunisell depreciated by 5.88 per cent to N80.00, and Eterna dropped 5.63 per cent to close at N28.50.
Yesterday, traders transacted 1.5 billion units worth N21.8 billion in 25,667 deals compared with the 839.8 million units sold for N32.8 billion in 23,211 deals in the preceding session, showing a surge in the trading volume by 76.61 per cent, an uptick in the number of deals by 10.58 per cent, and a shrink in the trading value by 33.54 per cent.
Economy
FrieslandCampina, Two Others Erase N26bn from NASD OTC Bourse
By Adedapo Adesanya
Three stocks stretched the bearish run of the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange by 1.21 per cent on Friday, December 19, with the market capitalisation giving up N26.01 billion to close at N2.121 billion compared with the N2.147 trillion it ended a day earlier, and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) dropping 43.47 points to 3,546.41 points from 3,589.88 points.
The trio of FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc, and NASD Plc overpowered the gains printed by four other securities.
FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc lost N6.00 to sell at N54.00 per unit versus N60.00 per unit, NASD Plc shrank by N3.50 to N58.50 per share from N55.00 per share, and CSCS Plc depleted by N2.91 to N33.87 per unit from N36.78 per unit.
On the flip side, Air Liquide Plc gained N1.01 to close at N13.00 per share versus N11.99 per share, Golden Capital Plc appreciated by 70 Kobo to N7.68 per unit from N6.98 per unit, Geo-Fluids Plc added 39 Kobo to sell at N5.50 per share versus N5.11 per share, and IPWA Plc rose by 8 Kobo to 85 Kobo per unit from 77 Kobo per unit.
During the trading day, market participants traded 1.9 million securities versus the previous day’s 30.5 million securities showing a decline of 49.3 per cent. The value of trades went down by 64.3 per cent to N80.3 million from N225.1 million, but the number of deals jumped by 32.1 per cent to 37 deals from 28 deals.
Infrastructure Credit Guarantee Company (InfraCredit) Plc finished the session as the most active stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 5.8 billion units valued at N16.4 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 178.9 million units transacted for N9.5 billion, and MRS Oil Plc with 36.1 million units traded for N4.9 billion.
The most active stock by volume on a year-to-date basis was still InfraCredit Plc with 5.8 billion units worth N16.4 billion, trailed by Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc with 1.2 billion units sold for N420.7 million, and Impresit Bakolori Plc with 536.9 million units traded for N524.9 million.
Economy
Naira Crashes to N1,464/$1 at Official Market, N1,485/$1 at Black Market
By Adedapo Adesanya
It was not a good day for the Nigerian Naira at the two major foreign exchange (FX) market on Friday as it suffered a heavy loss against the United States Dollar at the close of transactions.
In the black market segment, the Naira weakened against its American counterpart yesterday by N10 to quote at N1,485/$1, in contrast to the N1,475/$1 it was traded a day earlier, and at the GTBank forex counter, it depreciated by N2 to settle at N1,467/$1 versus Thursday’s closing price of N1,465/$1.
In the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) window, which is also the official market, the nation’s legal tender crashed against the greenback by N6.65 or 0.46 per cent to close at N1,464.49/$1 compared with the preceding session’s rate of N1,457.84/$1.
In the same vein, the local currency tumbled against the Euro in the spot market by N2.25 to sell for N1,714.63/€1 compared with the previous day’s N1,712.38/€1, but appreciated against the Pound Sterling by 73 Kobo to finish at N1,957.30/£1 compared with the N1,958.03/£1 it was traded in the preceding session.
The market continues to face seasonal pressure even as the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) is still conducting FX intervention sales, which have significantly reduced but not remove pressure from the Naira. Also, there seems to be reduced supply from exporters, foreign portfolio investors and non-bank corporate inflows.
President Bola Tinubu on Friday presented the government’s N58.47 trillion budget plan aimed at consolidating economic reforms and boosting growth.
The budget is based on a projected crude oil price of $64.85 a barrel and includes a target oil output of 1.84 million barrels a day. It also projects an exchange rate of N1,400 to the Dollar.
President Tinubu said inflation had plunged to an annual rate of 14.45 per cent in November from 24.23 per cent in March, while foreign reserves had surged to a seven-year high of $47 billion.
Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market was dominated by the bulls but it continues to face increased pressure after million in liquidations in previous session over accelerating declines, with Dogecoin (DOGE) recovering 4.2 per cent to trade at $0.1309.
Further, Ripple (XRP) appreciated by 3.9 per cent to $1.90, Cardano (ADA) rose by 3.5 per cent to $0.3728, Solana (SOL) jumped by 3.4 per cent to $126.23, Ethereum (ETH) climbed by 2.9 per cent to $2,982.42, Binance Coin (BNB) gained 2.0 per cent to sell for $853.06, Bitcoin (BTC) improved by 1.7 per cent to $88,281.21, and Litecoin (LTC) soared by 1.2 per cent to $76.50, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) traded flat at $1.00 each.
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