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Economy

Nigeria’s 2020 Trades Drop 10.5% Despite Improvement in Q4

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Nigeria's Foreign Trade

By Adedapo Adesanya

Despite an increase in trade activities in the final quarter of last year, Nigeria’s total trade dropped 10.5 per cent in 2020, data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) has revealed.

In the Foreign Trade in Good Statistics for the fourth quarter released on Tuesday by the agency, it was disclosed that the country recorded a total of N32.4 trillion in both its import and export for the year compared to N36.2 trillion in 2019.

An analysis of the report by Business Post showed that Nigeria recorded higher imports than exports in the year due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.

The value of total imports in 2020 stood at N19.9 trillion, 17.8 per cent higher than N16.9 trillion in 2019, while total exports dropped by 34.9 per cent to N12.5 trillion from N19.2 trillion in the previous period.

This brought about a trade deficit of N7.4 trillion in the year under review.

However, as earlier stated, in the fourth quarter of the year, the value of trade was the highest recorded over the past year as total merchandise trade stood at N9.1 trillion, representing an increase of 8.9 per cent over the level recorded in the third quarter of 2020 but was 9.9 lower when compared to the fourth quarter of 2019.

The export component of trade stood at N3.2 trillion, an increase of 6.7 per cent over the preceding quarter but a drop of 33 per cent over the previous year. Further, the share of exports in total trade declined to 35 per cent in Q4 2020 from 47 per cent a year earlier.

On the other hand, total imports reached a record high at N5.9 trillion in Q4 2020, an increase of 10.1 per cent over the preceding quarter, and 10.8 per cent over the preceding year. Imports also accounted for 65 per cent of total trade in Q4 2020, compared to 53 per cent the previous year.

As the value of imports nearly doubled the value of exports, the trade deficit rose to its highest level and a fifth consecutive quarterly deficit at N2.7 trillion, signifying an increase of 14.3 per cent compared to the preceding quarter.

In a breakdown of the import figures during the whole year, machinery and transport equipment accounted for 36.6  per cent, chemicals and related products recorded 18.2 per cent while mineral fuels followed with 15.3 per cent.

By destination, Asia also accounted for the largest imports to Nigeria, representing 49.3 per cent of total imports during the period, this was valued at N9.8 trillion in 2020.

This was followed by Europe with imports valued at N6.6 trillion, equivalent to 33.3 per cent of total imports, while America, recorded N2.6 trillion or 13.2 per cent of total imports for the period.

By country of origin for the full year, imported goods originated mainly from China and were valued at N1.7 trillion representing 28.3 per cent of total imports. This was followed by India (N506 billion or 8.5 per cent), the United States (N408.6 billion or 7.6 per cent), the Netherlands (N424.5 billion, or 7.2 per cent) and Denmark (N319.9 billion, or 5.4 per cent).

During the period, there were declines in agricultural, solid minerals, energy goods, manufactured, crude and other oil exports.

Crude oil exports accounted for the chunk of Nigeria’s exports as 75.2 per cent of the total figure was gotten from the black gold. This amounted to N9.4 trillion for the year under review while non-crude oil exports accounted for N3.1 trillion (24.8 per cent) of the export figure in the year.

The stats office said in the fourth quarter of last year, India was the major country Nigeria exported its products to, accounting for 17.1 per cent. Spain followed with 9.8 per cent, South Africa accounted for 8.0 per cent, The Netherlands accounted for 6.1 per cent, while the United States contributed 5.3 per cent.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Naira Extends Losing Streak, Falls to N1,356/$1 at NAFEX

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NAFEX

By Adedapo Adesanya

A 74 Kobo or 0.05 per cent decline was recorded by the Naira against the United States Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Wednesday, February 25, trading at N1,356.11/$1 compared with the N1,355.37/$1 it was traded on Tuesday.

The Nigerian currency also further depreciated against the Pound Sterling during the session in the official market by N6.70 to settle at N1,834.96/£1 versus the preceding day’s rate of N1,828.26/£1, and against the Euro, it tumbled by N4.94 to quote at N1,598.59/€1 compared with the previous session’s N1,596.36/€1.

In the same vein, the Nigerian Naira lost N6 against the Dollar at the GTBank forex desk to close at N1,367/$1, in contrast to N1,361/$1 it was exchanged a day earlier, and in the parallel market, it traded flat at N1,365/$1.

The continuation of the decline of the local currency has been tied to the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) buying US Dollars from the market to slow the rapid rise of the Naira.

The apex bank bought about $189.80 million to reduce excess Dollar supply and control how fast the Naira was gaining value.

The monetary policy committee (MPC) of the CBN on Tuesday reduced interest rates by 50 basis points to 26.50 per cent from 27 per cent after inflation eased in January 2026, a move analysts say is the best not to unsettle FX market, especially the Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPI_ inflows which have anchored much of the recent supply and weakened the recently restored monetary credibility.

“The 50bps move therefore provides a clear directional signal while still keeping overall monetary conditions restrictive, indicating the start of a shallow, data-dependent easing cycle rather than a radical shift to accommodative policy,” said Mr Kayode Akindele, CEO, Coronation Capital and Head, Coronation Research in an email.

As for the cryptocurrency market, benchmarked tokens rebounded in double digits, driven by bearish positioning and thin liquidity rather than by clear fundamental catalysts, with Cardano (ADA) growing by 16.2 per cent to $0.3015, and Solana (SOL) appreciating by 12.3 per cent to $88.66.

Further, Ethereum (ETH) surged 11.9 per cent to $2,076.66, Litecoin (LTC) expanded by 11.5 per cent to $57.15, Dogecoin (DOGE) rose by 11.5 per cent to $0.1025, Binance Coin (BNB) advanced by 7.6 per cent to $629.76, Ripple (XRP) jumped 7.2 per cent to $1.45, and Bitcoin (BTC) added 6.4 per cent to sell for $68,136.72, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 apiece.

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Economy

Oil Prices Stabilise as US Crude Build Counters Supply Disruption Threat

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Crude Oil Prices

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil prices settled largely unchanged on Wednesday amid a build in American crude stockpile and the threat to oil supply from potential military conflict between the US and Iran.

Brent futures chalked up 8 cents to trade at $70.85 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures settled lost 21 cents to close at $65.42 per barrel.

Crude oil inventories in the US increased by 16 million barrels during the week ending February 20, according to new data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) released on Wednesday.

The decrease brings commercial stockpiles to 435.8 million barrels according to government data, which is still 3% below the five-year average for this time of year.

The EIA’s data release follows figures by the American Petroleum Institute (API) that were released a day earlier, which reported that crude oil inventories rose by a massive 11.4 million barrels in the period.

The market continued to weigh the possibility extended conflict could disrupt supplies from Iran, the third-biggest crude producer in the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and other countries in the Middle East.

US President Donald Trump verbally attacked Iran, saying he would not allow a country he described as the world’s biggest sponsor of terrorism to have a nuclear weapon.

This comes as US envoys are due to meet an Iranian delegation for a third round of talks on Thursday in Geneva, Switzerland.

Reuters reported that OPEC+ is considering raising its oil output by 137,000 barrels per day for April to end a three-month pause in production increases. This is as the group prepares for peak summer demand and tensions between the US and Iran boost prices.

Eight OPEC+ producers – Saudi Arabia, Russia, the United Arab Emirates, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Iraq, Algeria and Oman – meet on March 1.

An increase of 137,000 barrels per day for April would be the same as those agreed for December, November and October last year.

In a separate development, Saudi Arabia has activated a plan for a short-term oil output and export surge in case a US strike on Iran disrupts flows from the Middle East, said two sources familiar with the Saudi plan.

Tariff uncertainty also further worried investors after President Trump’s temporary global tariff of 10 per cent took effect on Tuesday after the Supreme Court’s sweeping ruling last week. He later said the levy would be 15 per cent, but it was unclear when and if it would apply.

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Economy

LIRS Urges Taxpayers to File Annual Returns Ahead of Deadline

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Lagos taxpayers

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

All individual taxpayers in Lagos State have been advised to file their annual tax returns ahead of the March 31 deadline.

This appeal was made by the Lagos State Internal Revenue Service (LIRS) in a statement issued by its Head of Corporate Communications, Mrs Monsurat Amasa-Oyelude.

The notice quoted the chairman of LIRS, Mr Ayodele Subair, as saying that timely filing remains both a constitutional and statutory obligation as well as a civic responsibility.

The statutory filing requirement applies to all taxable persons, including self-employed individuals, business owners, professionals, persons in the informal sector, and employees under the Pay-As-You-Earn (PAYE) scheme.

In accordance with Section 24(f) of the 1999 Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria, Sections 13 &14(3) of the Nigeria Tax Administration Act 2025 (NTAA), every individual with taxable income is required to submit a true and correct return of total income from all sources for the preceding year (January 1 to December 31, 2025) within 90 days of the commencement of a new assessment year.

“Filing of annual tax returns is not optional. It is a legal requirement under the Nigeria Tax Administration Act 2025. We encourage all Lagos residents earning taxable income to file early and accurately.

“Early and accurate filing not only ensures full adherence with statutory requirements, but supports effective monitoring and forecasting, which are critical to Lagos State’s fiscal planning and long-term sustainability,” Mr Subair stated.

He further noted that failure to file returns by the statutory deadline attracts administrative penalties, interest, and other enforcement measures as prescribed by law.

To enhance convenience and efficiency, all individual tax returns must be submitted electronically via the LIRS eTax portal at https://etax.lirs.net. The platform enables taxpayers to register, file returns, upload supporting documents, and manage their tax profiles securely from anywhere.

In keeping with global best practices, Mr Subair reiterated that LIRS continues to prioritise digital tax administration and taxpayer support services. He affirmed that the LIRS eTax platform is secure and accessible worldwide. Taxpayers requiring assistance may visit any of the LIRS offices or other channels.

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