Economy
Nigeria’s FDIs Shrink Amid Drop in Investment Flows to Africa
By Adedapo Adesanya
Foreign direct investments (FDIs) into Nigeria turned negative by $187 million, according to the latest report, which showed that foreign flows to Africa slumped to $45 billion in 2022 from the record $80 billion set in 2021.
According to United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) World Investment Report 2023, FDI flows accounted for 3.5 per cent of global FDI.
Meanwhile, the number of greenfield project announcements rose by 39 per cent to 766. Six of the top 15 greenfield investment megaprojects (those worth more than $10 billion) announced in 2022 were in Africa.
Giving a breakdown of the investments, UNCTAD noted that in North Africa, Egypt saw FDI more than double to $11 billion as a result of increased cross-border merger and acquisition (M&A) sales.
Announced greenfield projects more than doubled in number to 161. International project finance deals rose in value by two-thirds, to $24 billion. Flows to Morocco decreased slightly, by 6 per cent, to $2.1 billion.
In West Africa, Nigeria’s FDI flows which turned negative to -$187 million, happened as a result of equity divestments.
The report showed that announced greenfield projects, however, rose by 24 per cent to $2 billion.
Flows to Senegal remained flat at $2.6 billion, while foreign flows to Ghana fell by 39 per cent to $1.5 billion.
In East Africa, flows to Ethiopia decreased by 14 per cent to $3.7 billion; the country remained the second-largest FDI recipient on the continent. FDI to Uganda grew by 39 per cent to $1.5 billion on investment in extractive industries and FDI to Tanzania increased by 8 per cent to $1.1 billion.
In Central Africa, FDI in the Democratic Republic of the Congo remained flat at $1.8 billion, with investment sustained by flows to offshore oil fields and mining.
In Southern Africa, flows returned to prior levels after the anomalous peak in 2021 caused by a large corporate reconfiguration in South Africa. FDI in South Africa was $9 billion – well below the 2021 level but double the average of the last decade. Cross-border M&A sales in the country reached $4.8 billion from $280 million in 2021 and in Zambia, after two years of negative values, FDI rose to $116 million.
The UN agency noted that in the past five years, FDI inflows have risen in four of the regional economic groupings on the African continent.
FDI in the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (CMESA) grew by 14 per cent to $22 billion. Flows also rose in the Southern African Development Community (SADC) quadrupled to $10 billion, and the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) doubled to $5.2 billion) and the East African Community (ECA) saw its inflows up 9 per cent to $3.8 billion).
The report showed that intraregional investment remained relatively small, despite an increase over the past five years. In 2022, intraregional greenfield project announcements represented 15 per cent of all projects in Africa (2 per cent in terms of value), as compared with 13 per cent (2 per cent in value) in 2017.
However, looking at announced projects invested in by only African multinational enterprises, three-quarters of their value remained on the continent.
In 2022, the biggest increase in announced greenfield projects was in energy and gas supply (to $120 billion from $24 billion in 2021). Project values in construction and extractive industries also rose, to $24 billion and $21 billion, respectively. The information and communication (ICT) sector registered the highest number of projects.
International project finance deals targeting Africa showed a decline of 47 per cent in value ($74 billion, down from $140 billion in 2021) but a 15 per cent increase in project numbers to 157.
European investors remain, by far, the largest holders of FDI stock in Africa, led by the United Kingdom ($60 billion), France ($54 billion) and the Netherlands ($54 billion).
Economy
NECA DG Warns of Growing Pressure on Businesses, Households
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The Director General of the Nigeria Employers’ Consultative Association (NECA), Mr Adewale-Smatt Oyerinde, has run to the rooftop to warn of the negative impact of rising crude oil prices on businesses and households in the country.
In a statement on Monday, he said the Middle East crisis was pushing up domestic energy costs, placing pressure on businesses and eroding the purchasing power of citizens, warning that without urgent intervention, the situation could escalate.
According to him, fuel prices have risen sharply in recent days, with petrol exceeding N1,300 per litre in some locations and diesel approaching N1,800 per litre, reflecting the impact of global oil price movements.
He stressed that energy costs sit at the heart of Nigeria’s economy, and energy is the engine of production and distribution, noting that businesses, particularly in manufacturing, agriculture, and logistics, are already under significant pressure. “What we are witnessing is Nigeria’s oil paradox. Rising crude oil prices are pushing up domestic energy costs, squeezing businesses and worsening the cost of living for citizens.
“Once fuel prices rise, the effects are immediate and widespread: transport costs increase, food prices rise, and the overall cost of doing business escalates.
“For many firms that rely on diesel for operations, current price levels are becoming increasingly difficult to sustain. Profit margins are shrinking, and businesses are being forced to either pass on costs or scale down operations,” Mr Oyerinde stated.
The NECA DG further noted that global oil prices have surged amid geopolitical tensions, with Brent crude rising above $110 per barrel, intensifying cost pressures across energy markets.
He clarified that while the Middle East conflict has contributed to the rise in oil prices, the impact is exposing deeper structural weaknesses, underinvestment, weak infrastructure, and inefficiencies in Nigeria’s energy value chain.
“This situation is not only driven by external factors, but it is also reflecting ongoing constraints within the energy value chain, including supply inefficiencies and infrastructure limitations,” he disclosed.
“The government must act swiftly to ease supply constraints, stabilise prices, and provide targeted relief to critical sectors, he declared, emphasising that, “If this trend continues unchecked, we risk business closures, job losses, and a deeper cost-of-living crisis.”
On the long-term outlook, Mr Oyerinde emphasised the need for structural reforms. Nigeria’s resilience will not be determined by oil prices, but by how effectively we manage them. This is a moment to strengthen institutions, improve transparency, and invest in sustainable energy solutions.
He concluded with a caution that if properly managed, “this could strengthen our economy. If not, the gains from rising oil prices will be completely eroded by inflation and economic hardship.”
Economy
NAICOM Rules Out Extension of July 31 Recapitalisation Deadline
By Adedapo Adesanya
The National Insurance Commission (NAICOM) has stressed that it has no intention of extending the deadline of the ongoing insurance recapitalisation exercise fixed for July 31, 2026.
The Commissioner for Insurance, Mr Olusegun Omosehin, at a high-level media briefing in Lagos, emphasised that “The 31 July deadline is sacrosanct.”
Mr Omosehin rationalised that NAICOM said it was not worried by the sluggishness of some underwriting companies towards the exercise.
“It is embedded in the law, and as a regulator, we do not have the powers to alter a date set by an Act of the National Assembly,” he explained, noting that the timeline is a statutory requirement under the Nigeria Insurance Industry Reform Act of 2025.
“We would not be drawn into a last-minute rush or entertain pleas for extensions,” Mr Omosehin warned, adding that any adjustment to the schedule would require a formal amendment of the Act by the National Assembly and subsequent presidential assent, a path he stated the commission is not prepared to take.
He further noted that while 20 insurance companies have officially stepped forward to begin their capital verification process, the level of urgency across the board does not match the requirements of the law.
“We want a stronger, more resilient industry that can support Nigeria’s target of a $1tn economy,” the Commissioner added, stressing that the ultimate goal is not just capital but the capability to underwrite large risks and protect policyholders.
“Capital alone is not the goal; it is about the capability to underwrite large risks,” he reiterated, while urging operators who may lack the “stand-alone stamina” to meet the new requirements to consider mergers and acquisitions immediately rather than waiting.
“We warn against ‘emergency marriages’ concluded at the eleventh hour, as such ad hoc arrangements often lead to lingering liabilities and post-merger integration crises,” Mr Omosehin said.
The NAICOM chief also confirmed that the regulator is currently scanning all operating firms and will soon make the results of this regulatory assessment public.
While re-emphasising the July 31 deadline, he warned that all funds raised must be deposited in designated escrow accounts.
Economy
BudgIT Raises Alarm Over Poor Transparency in Nigeria’s Local Government Budgets
By Adedapo Adesanya
Governance transparency platform, BudgIT, has expressed worry that only 10 states provided publicly accessible budget information for their Local Government Areas (LGAs).
The report, titled The Missing Tier: Mapping Local Government Budget Transparency in Nigeria, found that while six states offer partial or outdated disclosures, as many as 18 states do not publish any LGA budget data at all.
Despite the existence of these budgets at council secretariats nationwide, BudgIT noted that access remains largely restricted, particularly online.
“For most of Nigeria’s 774 local governments, those budgets are not publicly accessible online,” the report stated.
Among the states assessed, Ekiti emerged as the top performer, with a comprehensive system that includes detailed, up-to-date budget documentation for its councils.
Other states identified as making LGA budget information available include Ebonyi, Osun, Kebbi, Kogi, Enugu, Kaduna and Yobe.
However, the report cautioned that even among these states, data quality remains inconsistent, with several budgets either incomplete, outdated, or poorly structured.
BudgIT highlighted notable examples of improved accountability practices.
Ekiti State, for instance, publishes individual 2026 budgets for all its LGAs and LCDAs, accompanied by signed documents, consultation records, and standardised financial templates.
Cross River State also stood out for releasing individual council budgets, audited accounts, and quarterly performance reports.
Similarly, Borno State was commended for maintaining a consolidated 2025 budget alongside supporting financial documents, suggesting a structured and functional reporting system.
The report identified six states with limited transparency, providing only fragmented or outdated information.
Kano State, for example, publishes quarterly performance reports but lacks full-year approved budgets.
In Imo State, no LGA budgets were found, although a financial statement from the Accountant-General was available.
Ondo State reportedly released documents for only a portion of its LGAs, while Anambra published an appropriation law without detailed breakdowns. Ogun State, meanwhile, only provided data for 2024.
BudgIT further disclosed that a large number of states fail entirely to make LGA budgets public.
These include Abia, Adamawa, Akwa Ibom, Bauchi, Bayelsa, Benue, Delta, Edo, Gombe, Jigawa, Katsina, Lagos, Nasarawa, Niger, Oyo, Plateau, Rivers, Sokoto, Taraba, and Zamfara.
According to the organisation, the issue is not the absence of budget documents but the lack of public access to them.
“Yet for most of Nigeria’s 774 local governments, those budgets are not publicly accessible online,” the civic tech firm said.
BudgIT stressed that improving transparency at the local government level does not require complex reforms but rather a deliberate policy decision.
“Since state governments already publish their own budgets online, extending the same standard to local councils is neither complex nor costly; it is a matter of institutional choice,” the organisation said.
It added, “This choice is a critical one; Nigeria’s post-1999 experience with democracy has not had Local Governments with significant autonomy. Be that as it may, LGAs still have the opportunity to make public what they budget, what they spend and what they earn.”
Highlighting the benefits of openness, the report noted that transparency enables citizens to track public spending and hold officials accountable.
“Where they are withheld, accountability stops at the state level, leaving the tier closest to citizens financially opaque,” BudgIT said.
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