Economy
Nigeria’s Inflation Rises to 11.23% in August after 18th Consecutive Decline
By Dipo Olowookere
Inflation rate in Nigeria suffered a slight decline in the month of August 201 after recording an 18th consecutive decline, data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) has revealed.
The inflation numbers released on Friday afternoon by the stats office said the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which measures the average change over time in prices of goods and services consumed by people for day-to-day living (inflation), increased by 0.09 percent to 11.23 percent (year-on-year) in August 2018 from 11.14 percent in July 2018.
This is the first year-on-year rise in headline inflation following 18th consecutive disinflation in headline inflation.
NBS said increases were recorded in all COICOP divisions that yielded the Headline index.
On month-on-month basis, the headline index moderated to 1.05 percent in August 2018, down by 0.08 percent points from the rate recorded in July 2018, 1.13 percent.
The percentage change in the average composite CPI for the twelve months period ending August 2018 over the average of the CPI for the previous twelve months period was 13.55 percent, showing 0.4 percent point from 13.95 percent recorded in July 2018.
The urban inflation rate increased by 11.67 percent (year-on-year) in August 2018 from 11.66 percent recorded in July 2018, while the rural inflation rate increased by 10.84 percent in August 2018 from 10.83 percent in July 2018.
On a month-on-month basis, the urban index rose by 1.00 percent in August 2018, down by 0.23 from 1.23 percent recorded in July, while the rural index also rose by 0.96 percent in August 2018, down by 0.22 percent from the rate recorded in July 2018, 1.18 percent.
The corresponding twelve-month year-on-year average percentage change for the urban index is 13.95 percent in August 2018. This is less than 14.33 percent reported in July 2018, while the corresponding rural inflation rate in August 2018 is 13.21 percent compared to 13.64 percent recorded in July 2018.
A look at the composite food index showed a rise to 13.16 percent in August 2018 from 12.85 percent in July 2018.
This rise in the food index was caused by increases in prices of Bread and cereals, Potatoes, yam and other tubers, Meat, Vegetables, Fish, Fruits and Oils and Fat, the stats office said.
On month-on-month basis, the food sub-index increased to 1.42 percent in August 2018, up by 0.02 percent points from 1.40 percent recorded in July.
The average annual rate of change of the Food sub-index for the twelve-month period ending August 2018 over the previous twelve-month average was 16.50 percent, 0.6 percent points from the average annual rate of change recorded in July, 17.10 percent.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Brent neared the $80 price mark on Friday, gaining $2.84 or 3.7 per cent to sell fr $79.76 per barrel as traders braced for supply disruptions from the broadest US sanctions package targeting Russian energy revenue.
President Joe Biden’s administration imposed fresh sanctions on Russian oil producers, tankers, intermediaries, traders, and ports, aiming to affect every stage of Russia’s oil production and distribution chains.
The move is meant to cut Russia’s revenues for continuing the war as the sanctions also include networks that trade petroleum.
According to the US Government, close to 180 vessels, several senior Russian oil executives, dozens of traders and two major oil companies were targeted by the sanctions.
Many of the sanctioned tankers have been used to ship oil to India and China as a price cap imposed by the Group of Seven countries in 2022 has shifted trade in Russian oil from Europe to Asia. Some tankers have shipped both Russian and Iranian oil.
This followed US sanctions in November on banks including Gazprombank, Russia’s largest conduit to the global energy business, and earlier last year on dozens of tankers carrying Russian oil.
Market analysts note that India and China, which have always patronised Russia, will have to find alternatives.
This move just a few days before President-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration, making it likely that he will keep the sanctions in place and use them as a negotiating tool for a Ukraine peace treaty.
Oil prices were also buoyed as extreme cold in the US and Europe has lifted demand for heating oil while fire rages on in California affecting supply.
JPMorgan analysts said in a note on Friday that the weather in the US could record a significant year-over-year increase in global oil demand of 1.6 million barrels a day in the first quarter of 2025, primarily boosted by demand for heating oil, kerosene, and Liquified Petroleum Gas (LPG), by-products of crude oil.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange dropped 0.37 per cent on Thursday, January 9 as investors booked profit in Geo-Fluids and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc.
The sell-offs in the two securities brought down the value of the bourse by N4.13 billion at the close of business to N1.052 trillion from N1.056 trillion.
In the same vein, the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) made a loss of 12.05 points to wrap the session at 3,069.86 points compared with 3,081.91 points recorded at the previous session.
There were two price losers and three price gainers at the Thursday session, indicating a weak investor sentiment.
Geo-Fluids depleted by 25 Kobo to close at N4.60 per unit compared with midweek’s price of N4.85 per unit and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc went down by N1.78 to trade at N38.22 per share versus Wednesday’s value of N40.00 per share.
Conversely, Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc appreciated by 2 Kobo to end at 24 Kobo per unit compared with the preceding day’s 22 Kobo per unit, UBN Property Plc gained 2 Kobo to close at N2.00 per share versus N1.98 per share, and Afriland Properties Plc expanded by 1 Kobo to N16.01 per unit from N16.01 per unit.
The volume of trades recorded yesterday increased by 82.9 per cent to 6.6 million units from 3.6 million units, but the value of transactions declined by 24.8 per cent to N27.5 million from N36.6 million, and the number of deals went up by 157 per cent to 36 deals from the 14 deals.
FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc remained the most active stock by value (year-to-date) with 1.9 million units worth N74.2 million, 11 Plc came next with 12,963 units valued at N3.2 million, and Industrial and General Insurance (IGI )Plc was in third with 10.7 million units sold for N2.1 million.
IGI Plc closed the day as the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 10.6 million units sold for N2.1 million, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc came next with 1.9 million units valued at N74.2 million, and Acorn Petroleum Plc occupied the third spot with 1.2 million units worth N1.9 million.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Pressure eased on the Naira on Thursday, January 9, in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM) segment of the currency market.
It was the first time the local currency was appreciating against the United States Dollar in the official market this week.
The value of the Naira improved against the greenback yesterday by 0.03 per cent or 47 Kobo to sell for N1,541.23/$1 compared with the preceding day’s N1,541.70/$1.
Equally, the domestic currency gained against the Pound Sterling in the spot market during the trading session by N41.11 to quote at N1,858.51/£1, in contrast to Wednesday’s closing price of N1,899.62/£1 and improved its value against the Euro at NAFEM by N5.78 to trade at N1,589.29/€1 versus N1,584.96/€1.
As for the black market, the Nigerian Naira was stable against the Dollar on Thursday as it remained unchanged at N1,650/$1.
In the cryptocurrency market, profit-taking continued after a major fourth-quarter 2024 rally spurred by Donald Trump’s November victory and the hope of a friendlier regulatory environment out of Washington DC.
Also supporting the market was the US Federal Reserve having cut its overnight interest rate by 100 basis points since September. However, that has been cut out after a series of economic reports showed the US economy and inflation have been far stronger than markets and the US central bank expected.
Bitcoin (BTC) went down yesterday by 0.03 per cent to finish at $94,130.63, Dogecoin (DOGE) recorded a value depreciation of 1.9 per cent to sell at $0.3314, Ripple (XRP) also slumped by 1.9 per cent to $2.30, Solana (SOL) fell 1.7 per cent to trade at $190.50, Ethereum (ETH) dropped 1.5 per cent to end at $3,268.93, and Binance Coin (BNB) went south 0.9 per cent to settle at $692.52.
On the flip side, Litecoin (LTC) increased its price by 1.9 per cent end at $104.26 and Cardano (ADA) leapt by 0.6 per cent to close at $0.9359, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 apiece.
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