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Nigeria’s Inflation to Close 2018 in Double Digits at 10.4%—Analysts

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inflation rate Nigeria

By Dipo Olowookere

If the forecast of analysts at FSDH Research is anything to go by, Nigeria will likely not meet the target of a single digit inflation rate set for 2018 at the beginning of this year.

This is because those at the investment research firm said with the present situation, that target will likely not be met.

In its weekly insight released on Monday, August 6, 2018, FSDH Research is predicting that the inflation rate will likely end the year at 10.40 percent.

Business Post reports that in June 2018, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) disclosed that the year-on-year inflation dropped to 11.23 percent.

Analysts at FSDH Research are forecasting that inflation will likely moderate to 11.01 percent.

The stats office is expected to release the inflation figures on Wednesday, August 15, 2018, with the GDP for Q2 2018 due for release on August 20, 2018.

“FSDH Research notes that the June inflation figure recorded the highest month-on-month increase since June 2017.

“Although the inflation rate may continue to drop, it may remain in double digits in 2018. Under the current situation, FSDH Research expects the inflation rate to end the year in the region of 10.4 percent.

“The expected drop in the inflation rate may lead to a further drop in the yields on Nigerian Treasury Bills (NTBs),” the report said.

Also in the report, FSDH Research said the drop in the inflation rate for July would be largely due to the base effect of the previous year.

“In addition, we observe a slowdown in the price movement of some food items. The prevailing crisis in the food producing states in Nigeria is putting an upward pressure on food prices. This is a major risk to the achievement of a single digit inflation rate in 2018.

“The prices of most of the food items we monitored in July 2018 showed a slower increase compared with June 2018.

“The movement in the prices of food items increased our Food and Non-Alcoholic Index by 1.18 percent in July compared with an increase of 1.56 percent recorded in June. This Index increased year-on-year by 12.57 percent, up from 248.82 points recorded in July 2017.

“We also observed increases in the prices of Transport and Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas & Other Fuels divisions between June and July 2018,” it added.

The investment company also stated that it observed an expansion in the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) published by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) for the month of July 2018.

The Manufacturing PMI at 56.8 points in July grew at a slower rate than the 57.0 points recorded for June.

“Meanwhile, the Non-Manufacturing PMI increased to 57.7 points in July 2018 from 57.5 points in June 2018. We note that both PMI figures are above the baseline of 50 points.

“Additional fiscal measures to improve the ease of doing business in Nigeria would lead to a further expansion in the PMI,” it said.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

Economy

LIRS Shifts Deadline for Annual Returns Filing to February 7

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Annual Tax Returns

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The deadline for filing of employers’ annual tax returns in Lagos State has been extended by one week from February 1 to 7, 2026.

This information was revealed in a statement signed by the Head of Corporate Communications of the Lagos State Internal Revenue Service (LIRS), Mrs Monsurat Amasa-Oyelude.

In the statement issued over the weekend, the chairman of the tax collecting organisation, Mr Ayodele Subair, explained that the statutory deadline for filing of employers’ annual tax returns is January 31, every year, noting that the extension is intended to provide employers with additional time to complete and submit accurate tax returns.

According to him, employers must give priority to the timely filing of their annual returns, noting that compliance should be embedded as a routine business practice.

He also reiterated that electronic filing through the LIRS eTax platform remains the only approved method for submitting annual returns, as manual filings have been completely phased out. Employers are therefore required to file their returns exclusively through the LIRS eTax portal: https://etax.lirs.net.

Describing the platform as secure, user-friendly, and accessible 24/7, Mr Subair advised employers to ensure that the Tax ID (Tax Identification Number) of all employees is correctly captured in their submissions.

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Economy

Airtel on Track to List Mobile Money Unit in First Half of 2026—Taldar

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Airtel Money

By Adedapo Adesanya 

The chief executive of Airtel Africa Plc, Mr Sunil Kumar Taldar, has disclosed that the company is still on track to list its mobile money business, Airtel Money, before the end of June 2026.

Recall that Business Post reported in March 2024 that the mobile network operator was considering selling the shares of Airtel Money to the public through the IPO vehicle in a transaction expected to raise about $4 billion.

The firm had been in talks with possible advisors for a planned listing of the shares from the initial public offer on a stock exchange with some options including London, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), or Europe.

However, so far no final decisions have been made regarding the timing, location, or scale of the IPO.

In September 2025, the telco reportedly picked Citigroup Incorporated as advisors for the planned IPO which will see Airtel Money become a standalone entity before it can attain the prestige of trading on a stock exchange.

Mr Taldar, noted that metrics continued to show improvements ahead of the listing with its customer base hitting 52 million, compared to around 44.6 million users it had as of June 2025.

He added that the subsidiary processed over $210 billion in a year, according to the company’s nine-month financial results released on Friday.

“Our push to enhance financial inclusion across the continent continues to gain momentum with our Mobile Money customer base expanding to 52 million, surpassing the 50 million milestone. Annualised total processed value of over $210 billion in Q3’26 underscores the depth of our merchants, agents, and partner ecosystem and remains a key player in driving improved access to financial services across Africa.

“We remain on track for the listing of Airtel Money in the first half of 2026,” Mr Taldar said.

Estimating Airtel Money at $4 billion is higher than its valuation of $2.65 billion in 2021. In 2021, Airtel Money received significant investments, including $200 million from TPG Incorporated at a valuation of $2.65 billion and $100 million from Mastercard. Later that same year, an affiliate of Qatar’s sovereign wealth fund also acquired an undisclosed stake in the unit.

The mobile money sector in Africa is expanding rapidly, driven by a young population increasingly adopting technology for financial services, making the continent a key market for fintech companies.

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Economy

Crypto Investor Bamu Gift Wandji of Polyfarm in EFCC Custody

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Bamu Gift Wandji of Polyfarm

By Dipo Olowookere

A cryptocurrency investor and owner of Polyfarm, Mr Bamu Gift Wandji, is currently cooling off in the custody of the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC).

He was handed over to the anti-money laundering agency by the Nigerian Security and Civil Defence Corps (NSCDC) on Friday, January 30, 2026, after his arrest on Monday, January 12, 2026.

A statement from the EFCC yesterday disclosed that the suspect was apprehended by the NSCDC in Gwagwalada, Abuja for running an investment scheme without the authorisation of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which is the apex capital market regulator in Nigeria.

It was claimed that Mr Wandji created a fraudulent crypto investment platform called Polyfarm, where he allegedly lured innocent Nigerians to invest in Polygon, a crypto token that attracts high returns.

Investigation further revealed that he also deceived the public that his project, Polyfarm, has its native token called “polyfarm coin” which he sold to the public.

In his bid to promote the scheme, the suspect posted about this on social media platforms, including WhatsApp, X (formally Twitter) and Telegram. He also conducted seminars in some major cities in Nigeria including Kaduna, Lagos, Port Harcourt and Abuja where he described the scheme as a life-changing programme.

Further investigation revealed that in October, 2025, subscribers who could not access their funds were informed by the suspect that the site was attacked by Lazarus group, a cyber attacking group linked to North Korea.

Further investigations showed that Polyfarm is not registered and not licensed with SEC to carry out crypto transactions in Nigeria.  Also, no investment happened with subscribers’ funds and that the suspect used funds paid by subscribers to pay others in the name of profit.

Investigation also revealed that native coin, polyfarm coin was never listed on coin market cap and that the suspect sold worthless coins to the general public.

Contrary to the claim of the suspect that his platform was attacked, EFCC’s investigations revealed that the platform was never attacked or hacked by anyone and that the suspect withdrew investors’ funds and utilized the same for his personal gains.

The EFCC, in the statement, disclosed that Mr Wandji would be charged to court upon conclusion of investigations.

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