Economy
Oil Market Drops Amid Wider Global Equities Selloff
By Adedapo Adesanya
The oil market dropped on Monday as a beating gripped the global stock markets, with Brent crude losing 51 cents or 0.66 per cent to $76.30 a barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude down by 58 cents or 0.79 per cent to $72.94 per barrel.
Equities markets tumbled from Asia to North America to Europe on fear of US recession as investors fled riskier assets while wagering that rapid interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve will be needed to drive US economic growth.
A weaker US payroll data for July had begun a sell-off on Friday when market bets for a US Federal Reserve September rate decrease had quadrupled to 50 basis points. The dismal news on Friday followed disappointing earnings reports from several top technology giants.
The market tumbling was limited by fears that Iran may retaliate the assassination of a Hamas leader in Tehran which may lead to a wider war in the Middle East.
Market analysts noted that traders are expecting Iran’s response to be short, making crude futures more vulnerable to fears of a US recession like those that affected markets on Monday.
Reuters reported that Israel and the US are prepared for a major regional escalation after Iran and its allies Hamas and Hezbollah promised to respond against Israel over the deaths of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh and a key Hezbollah military commander last week.
The US embassy in Lebanon has urged citizens to leave the country as soon as possible, further highlighting the risk of escalation in the region.
Slumping diesel consumption in China, the world’s biggest contributor to oil demand growth is also weighing on oil.
Meanwhile, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) said on Monday that services sector activity rebounded from a four-year low in July with rising orders and employment, easing recession fears.
Its non-manufacturing purchasing managers (PMI) index rose to 51.4 from 48.8 in June, ahead of expectations for 51.0. A PMI reading above 50 indicates growth in services, which accounts for more than two-thirds of the U.S. economy.
The Dollar index, which measures its performance against a basket of currencies, fell 0.53 per cent to 102.60. A weaker greenback makes oil cheaper for holders of other currencies.
Economy
Naira Falls 2.6% Against Dollar as FX Pressure Mounts
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira returned from break with more pressure, losing 2.6 per cent or N35.38 against the Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Monday, March 23, to trade at N1,388.38/$1 compared with last Wednesday’s closing price of N1,353.00/$1.
It was the same outcome for the Nigerian Naira against the Pound Sterling in the official market, where it tumbled by N58.36 to sell for N1,860.29/£1 versus the preceding session’s N1,801.93/£1, and crashed against the Euro by N53.19 to N1,609.41/€1 from N1,556.22/€1.
Similarly, the domestic currency depreciated against the US Dollar at the GTBank FX counter by N8 yesterday to close at N1,371/$1 versus the previous rate of N1,363/$1, and in the black market, it depreciated by N5 to quote at N1,400/$1 versus N1,395/$1.
The projection for the Naira appears to be changing course as it edged towards consecutive weaknesses due to disruptions to global oil supply, which have increased volatility in energy markets, making investors jittery.
This is also causing outflow for international payments, as evidenced by Nigeria’s external reserves recording drops.
Regardless, Coronation Merchant Bank’s research subsidiary expects the Naira to trade within a relatively stable range in the near term, supported by sustained foreign portfolio inflows (FPI) and improved exporter participation in the FX market.
Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market saw the price of Bitcoin rise by 4.5 per cent to $70,827.12 after US President Donald Trump announced a five-day pause to airstrikes against Iranian energy infrastructure, citing “productive” diplomatic talks. Meanwhile, Iranian officials denied the existence of talks, but the crypto market largely brushed it off.
Solana (SOL) improved by 6.7 per cent to $91.66, Ethereum (ETH) expanded by 5.8 per cent to $2,157.56, Dogecoin (DOGE) grew by 5.7 per cent to $0.095, Cardano (ADA) jumped 5.2 per cent to $0.2630, Ripple (XRP) soared 4.2 per cent to $1.43, and Binance Coin (BNB) climbed 2.3 per cent to s$639.92.
However, TRON (TRX) dropped 2.8 per cent to $0.3049, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) traded flat at $1.00 each.
Economy
Customs Street Resumes With 1.07% Loss as Traders Book Profit
By Dipo Olowookere
The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited resumed trading activity on Monday after a two-day break last Thursday and Friday for Eid al-Fitr.
At the resumption of trading of shares yesterday, investors embarked on profit-taking, crashing Customs Street by 1.07 per cent at the close of transactions.
The sell-offs were mainly in the banking, consumer goods and insurance sectors, which closed lower by 2.02 per cent, 1.13 per cent, and 0.16 per cent, respectively.
The trio made nonsense of the 0.31 per cent growth posted by the energy index and the 0.17 per cent increase recorded by the industrial goods counter.
Consequently, the All-Share Index (ASI) contracted by 2,142.83 points to 199,014.02 points from last Wednesday’s 201,156.85 points, and the market capitalisation decreased by N1.376 trillion to finish at N127.750 trillion compared with the previous N129.126 trillion.
Consolidated Hallmark was the worst-performing stock for the day after it lost 9.64 per cent to close at N4.50, Deap Capital depreciated by 8.37 per cent to N5.91, GTCO declined by 8.18 per cent to N105.00, International Energy Insurance lost 7.67 per cent to trade at N2.77, and Nigerian Breweries slumped by 7.29 per cent to N70.00.
Conversely, Presco appreciated by 10.00 per cent to N1,871.20, Zichis improved by 9.91 per cent to N9.43, John Holt expanded by 9.70 per cent to N13.00, Premier Paints grew by 9.62 per cent to N25.65, and Sovereign Trust Insurance gained 8.74 per cent to settle at N2.24.
Market participants transacted 848.8 million equities worth N53.3 billion in 139,458 deals on the first trading session of this week compared with the 6.1 billion equities valued at N130.1 billion traded in 58,562 deals in the preceding trading day, indicating a spike in the number of deals by 138.14 per cent, and a shrink in the trading volume and value by 86.09 per cent and 59.03 per cent apiece.
UBA was the most active stock on Monday, with a turnover of 114.2 million units worth N5.5 billion. Wema Bank traded 112.0 million units valued at N2.9 billion, Access Holdings transacted 54.8 million units for N1.4 billion, Zenith Bank exchanged 38.2 million units worth N4.1 billion, and Zichis sold 32.2 million units valued at N272.6 million.
Economy
Oil Prices Fall Below $100 as US Holds Off on Iran Attack
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil prices dropped over 10 per cent on Monday after US President Donald Trump said he would postpone any military strikes against Iranian power plants for five days.
Brent futures fell by $12.25 or 10.9 per cent to settle at $99.94 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude lost $10.10 or 10.3 per cent to trade at $88.13 per barrel.
President Trump claimed that constructive talks to resolve hostilities in the Middle East were going, hours before a deadline that threatened to escalate the four-week-old war over the Strait of Hormuz, where roughly 20 per cent of global oil and liquefied petroleum gas (LNG) flows through and which disruption has already driven a sharp spike in crude prices and heightened fears of a prolonged supply shock.
The Iranian media claimed there had been no direct or indirect contact with President Trump.
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards had said they would attack Israel’s power plants and those supplying US bases across the Gulf region if America follows through with Mr Trump’s threat to “obliterate” Iran’s power network. The war has already damaged major energy facilities in the Gulf and effectively halted shipping through the strait.
Amid the tussle, it was reported that two tankers bound for India sailed through the Strait of Hormuz on Monday carrying LNG loaded in the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait.
The head of the International Energy Agency (IEA), Mr Fatih Birol, estimated that since the current crisis, which started with bombings against the regime in Tehran on 28 February, there have been losses of 11 million barrels of oil per day and about 140 billion cubic metres of gas.
Mr Birol said that about 5 million barrels of oil had been lost in the two previous crises in 1973 and 1979, while Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine removed about 75 billion cubic metres of natural gas from international markets.
The supply crunch has led to a temporary waiver of US sanctions on Russian and Iranian oil already at sea. Indian refiners plan to resume buying Iranian oil while refiners elsewhere in Asia are examining such a move.
There was a surplus in global oil markets at the start of 2026, but recent developments have sparked shortages and growing anxieties around the world.
Beyond supply, some demand has also been affected as global air travel remains severely disrupted after the Iran war forced the closure of key Middle Eastern hubs including Dubai, Doha and Abu Dhabi, stranding tens of thousands of passengers.
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