Economy
Oil Mixed as Chinese Demand Improves, US Interest Rate Cut Remains Unclear
By Adedapo Adesanya
The oil market was mixed on Monday amid hopes of stronger demand backed by higher factory activity in China as concerns emerged that the US Federal Reserve would not cut interest rates again at its December meeting.
Yesterday, Brent crude futures depreciated by 1 cent to trade at $71.83 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose by 10 cents or 0.15 per cent to $68.10 per barrel.
New data showed China’s factory activity expanded in November at the fastest pace in five months as the Caixin/S&P Global manufacturing PMI rose to 51.5 in November from 50.3 the previous month, the highest since June.
This boosted Chinese business optimism after US President-elect Donald Trump pledged an additional 10 per cent tariff on imports from China.
He had previously threatened to end China’s most-favoured-nation trading status and slap tariffs on Chinese imports as high as 60 per cent, which is much higher than those imposed during his first term.
On the geopolitical front, a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, which took effect last Wednesday, appeared to be shaky as it has not halted fighting.
Israel said on Monday that it was currently striking terror targets in Lebanon amid mutual accusations of ceasefire violations between Israel and the Lebanese armed group Hezbollah.
Meanwhile, the US, which was instrumental in the deal said the ceasefire between Israel and Lebanese armed group Hezbollah was holding.
Traders also watched developments in Syria, weighing whether recent escalation could widen tensions across the Middle East and affect supply.
Rebels linked to Al-Qaeda took some territories in the high-conflict country over the weekend, and this has added to more worries about the stability of the Middle East region. This may trigger another spate of crises after years of civil war in the country.
The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, together known as OPEC+, postponed the group’s next meeting to December 5.
The meeting will discuss delaying a planned oil output increase scheduled to start in January.
Market analysts noted that attention will be on the potential delay of the planned production hike, as an indefinite delay could alleviate downward pressure on prices.
This Thursday’s meeting will decide policy for the early months of 2025.
There are also signals that the US may decide not to cut interest rates again at the Federal Reserve’s December meeting, with upcoming data on jobs important in shaping the decision.
Higher interest rates increase the cost of borrowing, which can slow economic activity and dampen demand for oil.
Pressure also came as the Dollar strengthened after Mr Trump on Saturday threatened 100 per cent tariffs on BRICS member countries if they create a new currency or support another currency that could replace the Dollar in trade.
A stronger greenback makes Dollar-denominated oil more expensive for investors holding other currencies, hurting demand.
By Modupe Gbadeyanka
The federal government has been asked by the Nigerian Bar Association (NBA) to suspend the implementation of the controversial tax laws.
In a reaction to the tax reform acts, the president of the group, Mr Afam Osigwe (SAN), the suspension of the laws would allow for a proper investigation into allegations of alterations in the gazetted and harmonised copies.
A member of the House of Representatives, Mr Abdussamad Dasuki, alleged that some parts of the laws passed by the parliament were different from the gazetted copy.
To address the issues raised, the NBA said it is “imperative that a comprehensive, open, and transparent investigation be conducted to clarify the circumstances surrounding the enactment of the laws and to restore public confidence in the legislative process.”
“Until these issues are fully examined and resolved, all plans for the implementation of the Tax Reform Acts should be immediately suspended,” the association declared.
It noted that the controversies “raise grave concerns about the integrity, transparency, and credibility of Nigeria’s legislative process.”
“These developments strike at the very heart of constitutional governance and call into question the procedural sanctity that must attend lawmaking in a democratic society,” it noted.
“Legal and policy uncertainty of this magnitude has far-reaching consequences. It unsettles the business environment, erodes investor confidence, and creates unpredictability for individuals, businesses, and institutions required to comply with the law. Such uncertainty is inimical to economic stability and should have no place in a system governed by the rule of law.
“Nigeria’s constitutional democracy demands that laws, especially those with profound economic and social implications, emerge from processes that are transparent, accountable, and beyond reproach. Anything short of this undermines public trust and weakens the foundation upon which lawful governance rests.
“We therefore call on all relevant authorities to act swiftly and responsibly in addressing this controversy, in the overriding interest of constitutional order, economic stability, and the preservation of the rule of law,” the organisation stated.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Demand for hot stocks, including MRS Oil Plc, buoyed the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange by 0.52 per cent on Tuesday, December 23.
The energy company was one of the three price gainers for the session as it chalked up N19.69 to sell at N216.59 per share versus the previous day’s value of N196.90 per share.
Further, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc gained N2.95 to close at N56.75 per unit versus N53.80 per unit and Golden Capital Plc appreciated by 84 Kobo to N9.29 per share from Monday’s N8.45 per share.
Consequently, the market capitalisation went up by N10.95 billion to N2.125 trillion from N2.125 trillion and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) rose by 18.31 points to 3,570.37 points from 3,552.06 points.
Yesterday, the NASD bourse recorded a price loser, the Central Securities Clearing System Plc (CSCS), which gave up 17 Kobo to close at N33.70 per unit against the previous trading value of N33.87 per unit.
The volume of securities traded at the session went down by 97.6 per cent to 297,902 units from the previous day’s 12.6 million units, the value of securities decreased by 98.5 per cent to N10.5 million from N713.6 million, and the number of deals remained flat at 32 deals.
By value, Infrastructure Credit Guarantee Company (InfraCredit) Plc ended as the most actively traded stock on a year-to-date basis with 5.8 billion units exchanged for N16.4 billion. This was followed by Okitipupa Plc, which traded 178.9 million units valued at N9.5 billion, and MRS Oil Plc with 36.1 million units worth N4.9 billion.
In terms of volume, also on a year-to-date basis, InfraCredit Plc led the chart with a turnover of 5.8 billion units traded for N16.4 billion. Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc ranked second with 1.2 billion units sold for N420.7 million, while Impresit Bakolori Plc followed with the sale of 536.9 million units valued at N524.9 million.
By Dipo Olowookere
It was another bullish trading session for the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited as it closed higher by 0.59 per cent on Tuesday.
The market further rallied due to continued interest in large and mid-cap stocks on the exchange by investors rebalancing their portfolios for the year-end.
Yesterday, Aluminium Extrusion sustained its upward trajectory after it further appreciated by 9.96 per cent to N14.90, as Austin Laz gained 9.81 per cent to close at N2.91, Custodian Investment improved by 9.69 per cent to N38.50, and First Holdco soared by 9.35 per cent to N50.30.
Conversely, Royal Exchange declined by 7.22 per cent to N1.80, Champion Breweries shrank by 6.57 per cent to N15.65, NASCON lost 5.36 per cent to trade at N105.05, Sovereign Trust Insurance depreciated by 5.28 per cent to N3.77, and Japaul went down by 4.51 per cent to N2.33.
At the close of business, 29 shares ended on the gainers’ table and 27 shares finished on the losers’ log, representing a positive market breadth index and bullish investor sentiment.
This raised the All-Share Index (ASI) by 895.06 points to 153,354.13 points from 152,459.07 points and lifted the market capitalisation by N579 billion to N97.772 trillion from the previous day’s N97.193 trillion.
VFD Group finished the day as the busiest stock after it recorded a turnover of 192.0 million units worth N2.1 billion, GTCO exchanged 63.5 million units valued at N5.6 billion, Access Holdings traded 49.8 million units for N1.0 billion, First Holdco sold 45.8 million units valued at N2.3 billion, and Secure Electronic Technology transacted 38.3 million units worth N28.4 million.
In all, market participants bought and sold 677.4 million units valued at N20.8 billion in 27,589 deals compared with the 451.5 million units worth N13.0 billion traded in 33,327 deals on Monday, showing an improvement in the trading volume and value by 50.03 per cent and 60.00 per cent apiece, and a shortfall in the number of deals by 17.22 per cent.
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