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Economy

Oil Prices up as US Makes Progress in Debt Ceiling Deal

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oil prices driving up Trump

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil prices edged higher in choppy trading on Monday as markets weighed a tentative debt ceiling deal in the United States that would avert a default by the world’s top oil consumer.

Brent crude futures grew by 12 cents or 0.2 per cent to $77.07 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate crude was up by 25 cents or 0.3 per cent to $72.92 a barrel.

Both benchmarks flip-flopped between positive and negative territories, as trade was subdued on Monday because of the public holidays in the UK and the US. Also, Nigeria, an oil-producing country, observed a work-free day yesterday for the swearing-in of its 16th president, Mr Bola Tinubu.

The US President, Mr Joe Biden and House of Representatives Speaker, Mr Kevin McCarthy, over the weekend, forged an agreement to suspend the $31.4 trillion debt ceiling and cap government spending for the next two years.

The deal, if approved, will prevent the US government from defaulting on its debt and comes after weeks of heated negotiations between Biden and House Republicans.

It still needs to pass through Congress, which doesn’t entirely see eye to eye on this, before June 5, when the US Treasury says it would run short of money to cover all of its obligations.

The agreement would suspend the debt limit through January 1 of 2025, cap spending in the 2024 and 2025 budgets, claw back unused COVID funds, speed up the permitting process for some energy projects and include extra work requirements for food aid programs for poor Americans.

The market is also looking at expectations that the US Federal Reserve will raise rates by another 25 basis points at its June 13-14 meeting.

At its last policy meeting on May 2-3, the Federal Reserve signalled it was open to pausing its most aggressive rate-hiking cycle since the early 1980s in June.

Support also came from a stronger US Dollar as the debt ceiling deal lifted risk appetite in world markets and dented the greenback’s safe-haven appeal.

A lower greenback helps demand for oil, which is priced in Dollars.

The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, including Russia, known as OPEC+, are due to meet on June 4.

Last week, Saudi Energy Minister, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, warned short-sellers betting that oil prices will fall to “watch out,” in a possible signal that OPEC+ may further cut output.

However, comments from Russian oil officials and sources, including Deputy Prime Minister, Mr Alexander Novak, indicate the world’s third-largest oil producer is leaning toward leaving output unchanged.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Economy

Oil Market Rises 2% on Fresh Iran-US Confrontation

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crude oil market

By Adedapo Adesanya

The oil market was up by nearly 2 per cent on Tuesday after the United States shot down an Iranian drone approaching an aircraft carrier and armed boats in the Strait of Hormuz, stoking concerns talks aimed at de-escalating US-Iran tensions could be disrupted.

This action caused the Brent futures to rise by $1.03 or 1.6 per cent to $67.33 per barrel, as the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures jumped by $1.07 or 1.7 per cent to $63.21 a barrel.

Both crude benchmarks dropped more than 4 per cent on Monday after President Donald Trump said Iran was seriously talking with America.

However, the US military shot down an Iranian drone that “aggressively” approached the Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier in the Arabian Sea on Tuesday.

In the Strait of Hormuz between the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman, Iranian gunboats approached a US-flagged oil tanker in what US and British maritime security sources describe as a failed attempt to interfere with the vessel’s transit.

Members of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) including Saudi Arabia, Iran, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Iraq export most of their crude via the strait, mainly to Asia. The Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly a fifth of the world’s oil supply passes, remains Iran’s most obvious pressure point.

Despite the latest development, the UAE urged Iran and the US on Tuesday to use the resumption of nuclear talks this week to resolve a standoff that has led to mutual threats of air strikes. Iran, meanwhile, is demanding that talks be held in Oman not Turkey.

In Ukraine, President Volodymyr Zelenskiy accused Russia on Tuesday of exploiting a US-backed energy truce to stockpile munitions, and using them to attack Ukraine a day before peace talks. This boosted worries that Russia’s oil would remain sanctioned for longer.

On Monday, President Trump announced a trade deal with India, one of the world’s biggest economies and oil importers, on Monday to cut tariffs to 18 per cent from 50 per cent in exchange for the country halting Russian oil purchases and lowering trade barriers.

The American Petroleum Institute (API) estimated that crude oil inventories in the US decreased by 11.1 million barrels in the week ending January 30. Crude oil inventories decreased by 247,000 barrels in the week prior.

Official data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) will be published later on Wednesday.

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AFC Commits Support to Transformative Reforms in Nigeria’s Power Sector

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By Adedapo Adesanya

The Africa Finance Corporation (AFC), the continent’s leading infrastructure solutions provider, has reiterated its commitment to playing a pivotal role to support transformative reforms in Nigeria’s power sector.

This is as it act as co-Financial Adviser to the Nigerian government on the successful issuance of the recent N501 billion inaugural tranche under the Presidential Power Sector Financial Reforms Programme (PPSFRP), as part of the N4 trillion Power Sector Bond Programme, aimed at resolving over a decade of legacy debt obligations in Nigeria’s electricity supply industry and restoring financial stability across the sector.

AFC provided comprehensive financial advisory services to the federal government, including the design of the Programme’s negotiation strategy framework, support in negotiating and executing Settlement Agreements with Power Generation Companies (GenCos), and structuring the bond issuance. Working in partnership with CardinalStone Partners as co-Financial Advisers, AFC deployed its deep sector expertise and strong local market knowledge to deliver the landmark transaction.

The programme was overseen by the Presidential Power Sector Debt Reduction Committee (PPSDRC), with technical leadership from the Office of the Special Adviser to the President on Energy, and implemented through NBET Finance Company Plc, a special purpose vehicle of Nigerian Bulk Electricity Trading Plc (NBET). Proceeds from the issuance will be used to settle verified, overdue receivables owed to GenCos for electricity supplied between February 2015 and March 2025, injecting liquidity into the power sector and extinguishing long-standing claims.

Commenting on AFC’s involvement, Mr Banji Fehintola, Executive Board Member and Head, Financial Services at Africa Finance Corporation, said: “The successful issuance of the inaugural tranche under the Power Sector Bond Programme underscores AFC’s commitment to supporting transformative reforms in Nigeria’s power sector. By resolving long-standing liquidity challenges and restoring confidence among investors and operators, this transaction lays the foundation for sustainable growth and improved electricity supply across the country.”

When fully implemented, the programme is expected to impact approximately 5,398MW of electricity generation capacity by Nigerian GenCos and finalise settlement for 290,644.84GWh of electricity billed since 2015. It will also strengthen companies serving about 12 million active registered customers, creating a solid platform for new investments in capacity enhancement and expansion.

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NASD Reiterates Commitment to Strategic Direction, Strong Governance

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Eguarekhide Longe NASD Exchange

By Adedapo Adesanya

NASD Plc, which operates Nigeria’s Over-the-Counter (OTC) securities exchange, has reaffirmed its commitment to reinforcing its long-term strategic direction and governance framework.

The exchange recently convened its major shareholders, board members, and executive management at a high-level stakeholder retreat in Lagos.

NASD said, “The retreat held in Lagos brought together key institutional stakeholders for in-depth discussions on NASD’s evolving role within Nigeria’s capital market ecosystem.

“The engagement provided a structured platform for shareholders and management to align on strategic priorities necessary to deepen institutional strength, enhance market relevance, and support sustainable growth.”

The company noted that deliberations focused on the importance of strong shareholder collaboration, disciplined strategy execution, and equitable governance practices to further strengthen investor confidence and long-term value creation.

The statement added that participants exchanged views on navigating market complexity, adapting to regulatory and economic changes, and ensuring that the Exchange continues to operate in line with global best practices while addressing the specific needs of Nigeria’s over-the-counter market.

NASD emphasised that the retreat highlighted the critical role of close alignment among shareholders, the Board, and executive leadership in shaping the Exchange’s next phase of development. By encouraging open dialogue and shared strategic intent, the engagement reaffirmed NASD’s commitment to transparency, institutional resilience, and leadership within the capital market.

The session concluded with a group engagement reflecting the depth of experience, governance oversight, and collective responsibility guiding NASD’s strategic outlook as it continues to enhance its contribution to Nigeria’s financial market architecture.

NASD posted a standout performance in 2025, with its market diversification strategy delivering a surge in listings, deeper market activity, and a sharp expansion in market value across its alternative trading platforms.

Last year, the market capitalisation on the exchange more than doubled to N2.12 trillion, representing a 106 per cent increase from N1.03 trillion in 2024. The number of admitted securities also rose marginally to 47, up from 45 in the prior year, reflecting a 4 per cent growth.

The NASD Securities Index (NSI) rose by 18 per cent to 3,543.74 points, compared with 3,002.68 points in 2024. Similarly, the NASD Pension Index advanced by 21 per cent to 1,032.88 points, up from 954.33 points.

Trading volumes surged significantly during the year. Total volume traded climbed to 14.03 billion units, marking a 377 per cent increase from 2.98 billion units in 2024. However, this sharp rise in volume contrasted with a decline in transaction value, which fell by 43 per cent to N59.29 billion, down from N103.96 billion in 2024.

The total number of deals executed on the platform dropped to 6,456, representing a 26 per cent decline from 8,724 deals recorded the previous year, indicating fewer but larger or more strategic transactions.

The exchange also recorded notable listings in 2025, with Infrastructure Credit Guarantee Company PLC (InfraCredit), Paintcom Investment Nigeria PLC (Paintcom), and MRS PLC admitted to trading.

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