Economy
Oil Rises as Global Supplies Tighten Further
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil rose by 1 per cent as top producers like Saudi Arabia and Russia extended supply cuts through September, adding to undersupply concerns.
Brent moved up by 1.3 per cent or $1.10 to $86.24 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude appreciated by 1.6 per cent or $1.27 to $82.82 a barrel.
Saudi Arabia on Thursday extended a voluntary oil production cut of 1 million barrels per day to the end of September, keeping the door open for another extension.
As it took the decision, Russia also elected to reduce its oil exports by 300,000 barrels per day next month.
With the production cut extended, market analysts anticipate a market deficit of more than 1.5 million barrels per day in September, following an estimated deficit of around 2 million bpd in July and August.
The Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) affirmed on Friday the current levels of oil production of the group and didn’t make any recommendation to change the output at this time.
In a very short meeting, the JMMC panel, which regularly discusses the situation on the market and the need for OPEC+ intervention, authorised the OPEC+ decisions from June 4, when the current cuts which were initially set for May through December 2023 – were extended to the end of 2024.
The OPEC+ panel agreed there was no need for further market intervention at present, as widely expected. But the panel noted that it could intervene if necessary.
“The committee will continue to closely assess market conditions noting the willingness of the DoC countries to address market developments and stand ready to take additional measures at any time, building on the strong cohesion of OPEC and participating non-OPEC oil-producing countries,” OPEC said in a statement after the short panel meeting.
The panel also “reiterated its appreciation” to Saudi Arabia for the extension of its unilateral cut into September, “aimed at supporting the stability of the oil market,” and acknowledged Russia’s commitment to cut oil exports in September by 300,000 barrels per day.
The next meeting of the JMMC is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2023.
On the demand front, global oil consumption could grow by 2.4 million barrels per day this year, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said on Friday after the meeting.
In the week, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported that the country’s crude oil inventory declined by a record 17 million barrels last week, a record level.
However, data released on Friday which showed the US economy maintained a moderate pace of job growth in July, weighed on prices. Despite this, solid wage gains and a decline in the unemployment rate pointed to continued tightness in labour market conditions in the world’s largest economy.
Additionally, the downturn in euro zone business activity worsened more than initially thought in July, and the Bank of England raised its interest rate to a 15-year peak on Thursday.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange recorded a 0.22 per cent decline on Monday, January 20, with the market capitalisation shedding N2.35 billion to close at N1.073 trillion compared with the preceding session’s N1.075 trillion and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) going down by 6.79 points to wrap the session at 3,105.12 points compared with 3,111.91 points recorded in the previous session.
It was observed that the loss recorded on the first trading day of the week was triggered by UBN Property Plc, which crashed by 20 Kobo to trade at N2.00 per share versus last Friday’s N2.20 per share.
However, the share price of Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc went up by 4 Kobo to 40 Kobo per unit from 36 Kobo per unit, it could not stop the bourse from going down at the close of transactions.
The activity chart showed that on Monday, the volume of securities traded by investors increased by 57.9 per cent to 767,610 units from the 486,215 units traded in the preceding session, while the value of shares traded yesterday slumped by 17.7 per cent to N2.3 million from the N2.8 million recorded in the preceding trading day, as the number of deals declined by 14.3 per cent to 12 deals from the 14 deals carried out in the previous trading day.
At the close of transactions, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc remained the most active stock by value on a year-to-date basis with the sale of 4.1 million units worth N162.9 million, followed by Geo-Fluids Plc with a turnover of 9.1 million units valued at N44.0 million, and 11 Plc with the sale of 55,358 for N14.5 million.
Also, Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc closed the day as the most active stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 25.3 million units sold for N5.9 million, Geo-Fluids Plc came next with 9.1 million units valued at N44.0 million, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc with 4.1 million units worth N162.9 million.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The value of the Naira weakened against the US Dollar at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM) on Monday, January 20 amid FX pressures associated with this period.
Most people who came into the country for Christmas and New Year holidays are already going back and are in need of forex, putting pressure on the local currency.
Also, the poor performance of the domestic currency could be attributed to end to the 42-day access granted by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to Bureaux de Change (BDC) operators to buy forex at official price.
According to data from the FMDQ Securities Exchange, the Nigerian Naira lost 0.16 per cent or N2.47 on the greeback yesterday to sell at N1,550.05/$1, in contrast to last Friday’s rate of N1,547.58/$1.
Similarly, the Naira slumped against the Pound Sterling in the spot market on Monday by N23.39 to trade at N1,906.98/£1 versus N1,883.59/£1 and depreciated against the Euro by N23.14 to sell for N1,613.48/€1 compared with last Friday’s N1,590.34/€1.
However, in the parallel market, the Nigerian currency improved its value against the Dollar during the session by N5 to quote at N1,665/$1 compared with the previous session’s N1,670/$1.
As for the cryptocurrency market, it turned red yesterday as the US President, Mr Donald Trump, didn’t bring up the much-expected subject of crypto in his inauguration speech on Monday afternoon.
Mr Trump had promised a far more friendly crypto policy stance than the previous administration but in the long speech that announced his plans in the coming days, he didn’t make mention of Bitcoin or crypto.
Just over the weekend, the President ignited a speculative frenzy with the Friday evening launch of the Trump meme coin, which was shortly followed by a meme coin associated with his wife, Melania.
Dogecoin (DOGE) crumbled yesterday by 6.3 per cent to $0.3419, Solana (SOL) slumped by 4.7 per cent to $235.32, Cardano (ADA) fell by 3.6 per cent to $0.9777, and Litecoin (LTC) moderated by 1.9 per cent to $114.98.
Further, Ethereum (ETH) went down by 1.7 per cent to $3,241.36, Binance Coin (BNB) retreated by 1.4 per cent to $693.30, Ripple (XRP) depreciated by 1.2 per cent to $3.06, and Bitcoin (BTC) tumbled by 0.8 per cent to $101,746.99, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 each.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil prices settled lower on Monday after Mr Donald Trump was sworn in for a second time as President of the United States.
On assumption of office, Mr Trump declared a national energy emergency immediately, promising to replenish strategic reserves and export American energy worldwide.
Consequently, Brent crude futures went down by 64 cents or 0.8 per cent to settle at $80.15 per barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate crude futures depreciated by $1.30 or 1.7 per cent to trade at $76.58 per barrel.
Mr Trump and his allies have signalled they would use the authority to rapidly approve new oil, gas, and electricity projects that typically take years to permit, and during his speech said he plans to unleash new oil and gas development on federal lands while reversing the Biden-Harris administration’s de-growth climate regulations.
Market analysts noted that while many of the executive actions will simply kick off a lengthy regulatory process, they extend by a large degree to the US energy industry, from oil fields to car dealerships.
These also underscore Mr Trump’s determination to reorient federal government policy behind oil and gas production, a sharp pivot from Biden’s efforts to curb fossil fuels.
He also said in his inaugural speech that he would impose tariffs and tax countries and promised an overhaul of the trade system.
Last week, prices rose for a fourth-consecutive weekly gain after the Biden administration imposed sanctions on more than 100 tankers and two Russian oil producers. This led to a scramble by top buyers China and India for prompt oil cargoes and a rush for ship supply.
Meanwhile, dealers of Russian and Iranian oil sought tankers not under sanctions for oil shipment.
While the new sanctions could cut supply from Russia by nearly 1 million barrels per day, market analysts noted that recent price gains could be short-lived depending on Trump’s actions as the new American president promised to help end the Russia-Ukraine war quickly.
Russian President Vladimir Putin congratulated Mr Trump on taking office hours, saying he was open to dialogue with the new US administration on Ukraine and nuclear arms.
Pressure was reduced based on easing tension in the Middle East after Hamas and Israel exchanged hostages and prisoners on Sunday which marked the first day of a ceasefire after 15 months of war.
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