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Oil Slides Further on Economic Slowdown Fears

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crude oil market

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil prices showed no signs of stopping their fall on Tuesday, May 10 as fears of an economic slowdown saw the market bleed by more than 3 per cent.

Specifically, the Brent crude fell by 3.2 per cent or $3.40 to sell at $102.50 per barrel, while the United States West Texas Intermediate (WTI) went down by $3.24 or 3.14 per cent to $99.85 per barrel.

The demand outlook is pressured by coronavirus lockdowns in China with oil demand being threatened by the extended measures as part of its Zero COVID policy.

Some of China’s biggest cities have been hit by major COVID lockdowns this spring and it’s having a disruptive effect on the country’s economy.

Last week, Chinese President Xi Jinping reiterated that his government has no intention of turning away from the controversial Zero-COVID commitment, as well as urged officials to unswervingly adhere to the general policy and warned against any criticism or doubting of the policy.

Also, a slowdown in plans by the European Union (EU) over whether or not it is going to embargo Russian oil also pressured prices.

The EU Commission has delayed acting on the proposal as it will need all the approval of the 27 members before it can fully implement that plan.

The commission plans to offer Eastern European EU nations that have so far objected to an embargo on Russian oil (Hungary, Slovakia, and the Czech Republic) more money to upgrade oil infrastructure, though their sanctions waivers are still to be agreed upon.

There are indications that the bloc could reach an agreement this week.

Joining the pressure factors, the US Dollar held near a two-decade high ahead of a reading on inflation that could hint at the outlook for Fed policy.

On the supply side, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) trimmed its US crude oil production forecasts for 2022 and 2023. It now expects output in 2022 to average 11.9 million barrels per day compared with its previous estimate of 12 million barrels per day.

In the US, crude inventories likely fell last week, this will be confirmed by data from the EIA on Wednesday.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Oil Gains Over 3% Amid Escalating Middle East Conflict

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Oil License Bidders

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil was up more than 3 per cent on Tuesday as renewed Iranian attacks on the ​United Arab Emirates (UAE) heightened concerns about the worsening outlook for global supply.

Brent crude futures appreciated by $3.21 or 3.2 per cent to $103.42 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures gained $2.71 or 2.9 per cent to trade at $96.21 per barrel.

Prices had fallen previously after some vessels sailed through the critical ​Strait of Hormuz, a vital gateway for ​about 20 per cent of the world’s oil and liquefied natural gas trade

The Iran war shows no signs of abating as it renewed attacks on the United Arab Emirates (UAE) on ​Tuesday, causing oil loading at the port of Fujairah to be at least partly halted after the third attack in four days ignited a fire at the export terminal.

Fujairah, located on the Gulf of Oman just outside the Strait of Hormuz, is a critical exit point for oil volumes equivalent to roughly 1 per cent of global ​demand.

The ​attacks on oil installations by Iran and the ongoing disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz have traders worried for long-term impairment to ⁠supply that could keep prices elevated.

The effective closure of the strait has forced the UAE, which is the third-largest producer in the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), to reduce its output by more ​than half.

Several allies of the US rebuffed President Donald Trump’s call on Monday to send warships to escort shipping through the strait.

On Tuesday, French President Emmanuel Macron said France would never take part in operations to unblock the strait, and would only participate ​in a coalition that could provide ​freedom of navigation once hostilities ⁠ended.

Meanwhile, the Trump administration reiterated its position that they see the Iran conflict lasting weeks, not months.

The head of the International Energy Agency (IEA), Mr Fatih Birol, has suggested member countries could release more oil, in addition to the 400 million barrels they have ​already agreed to draw from strategic reserves.

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Economy

Odu’a Investment Buys 10% Stake in FCMB Pensions

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FCMB Pensions

By Adedapo Adesanya

A 10 per cent equity stake has been acquired by Odu’a Investment Company Limited in a subsidiary of FCMB Group Plc, FCMB Pensions Limited.

The move is aimed at strengthening its presence in Nigeria’s growing pension industry.

The company disclosed that the transaction was completed after receiving all required regulatory approvals from the National Pension Commission (PenCom) and the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), while the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has also been duly notified.

Odu’a Investment said the acquisition represents a strategic investment in a resilient and steadily expanding segment of Nigeria’s financial services sector.

The company added that the deal also reinforces FCMB Pensions’ shareholder base through the entry of a long-term institutional investor.

Chairman of Odu’a Investment Company Limited, Mr Bimbo Ashiru, said the investment aligns with the organisation’s strategy of partnering with strong institutions operating in sectors critical to Nigeria’s long-term economic stability.

“This investment reflects Odu’a’s strategy of partnering with strong institutions operating in sectors that are central to Nigeria’s long-term economic stability and growth,” he said in a statement.

“The pension industry plays a critical role in mobilising long-term savings and strengthening the financial system. FCMB Pensions has built a solid platform serving contributors across Nigeria, and we see a significant opportunity to support its continued growth and impact,” he added.

Also commenting on the transaction, the Managing Director of Odu’a Investment Company Limited, Mr Abdulrahman Yinusa, described the deal as a vote of confidence in FCMB Pensions’ leadership and long-term prospects.

“Our partnership with FCMB Group Plc reflects confidence in FCMB Pensions’ strategy, leadership, and long-term potential. Together, we will work to expand its reach, support its strategic objectives, and deliver sustained value to contributors and other stakeholders,” Mr Yinusa said.

The investment brings together two established institutions with complementary strengths and a shared focus on long-term value creation. According to the company, the partnership positions FCMB Pensions to deepen market penetration and enhance service delivery within Nigeria’s contributory pension scheme.

Odu’a Investment Company Limited is an investment holding company jointly owned by the governments of the six South-West states of Nigeria.

The firm manages a diversified portfolio spanning real estate, financial services, hospitality, agriculture, and industrial investments, with a mandate to generate sustainable economic value and support regional development.

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Economy

Global Investors Now Interest in Nigeria Because of Reforms—Popoola

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temi popoola NGX

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The chief executive of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Group Plc, Mr Temi Popoola, has said Nigeria’s capital market is undergoing a re-rating as global investors begin to reassess the country’s economic trajectory and investment potential.

“What we are seeing is a gradual re-rating of Nigeria. investors are beginning to look at the data more closely, the returns, the reforms, and the improving macroeconomic direction, and that is changing sentiment,” he said during a live interview on BBC Newsday in London.

He is in the United Kingdom as part of broader investor and stakeholder engagements during President Bola Tinubu’s state visit to Buckingham Palace.

Mr Popoola explained that Nigeria’s equity market has delivered strong returns in recent months, positioning it more competitively among emerging and frontier markets. According to him, this performance is helping to recalibrate long-held risk perceptions and attract renewed interest from international investors.

He added that improvements in Nigeria’s energy landscape, including increased domestic refining capacity and ongoing sector reforms, are helping to reduce the economy’s exposure to external oil price shocks, further strengthening investor confidence.

Mr Popoola emphasised that beyond short-term market movements, consistency in policy implementation will be critical in sustaining this shift in perception. “Global capital responds to clarity and consistency. As those elements become more evident, Nigeria naturally becomes more investable.”

He also highlighted the importance of sustained engagement with global financial centres, noting that platforms such as London play a key role in connecting Nigeria’s capital market to international pools of capital.

According to him, Nigeria’s evolving market structure, combined with ongoing reforms, is strengthening its position as a viable destination for long-term investment. “There is a broader recognition that Nigeria offers significant opportunities. The focus now is ensuring that this recognition translates into sustained capital flows.”

The NGX group chief concluded that Nigeria’s capital market is increasingly being viewed through a more balanced and data-driven lens, reflecting both its resilience and its long-term growth potential.

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