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Persistent Bearish Sentiment Drags NGX Index Below 53000 points

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Kemi Adetiba Nigerian Exchange

By Dipo Olowookere

The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited further declined by 0.05 per cent on Thursday, the last trading session before the Easter break, due to persistent profit-taking by investors.

This brought down the All-Share Index (ASI) by 24.84 points to 52,994.13 points from 53,018.97 points amid sustained weak investor sentiment.

Equally, the market capitalisation of the exchange depreciated by N14 billion to N28.869 trillion from N28.883 trillion after 19 stocks closed on the losers’ table and nine stocks finished on the gainers’ chart, indicating a negative market breadth.

Data showed that University Press went down by 10.00 per cent yesterday to sell at N1.80, Sterling Bank declined by 7.50 per cent to N1.48, Coronation Insurance fell by 6.98 per cent to 40 Kobo, Eterna depreciated by 5.98 per cent to N5.50, and FTN Cocoa dropped 3.57 per cent to quote at 27 Kobo.

On the flip side, AIICO Insurance gained 5.26 per cent to trade at 60 Kobo, Academy Press rose by 4.65 per cent to N1.35, Chams appreciated by 4.35 per cent to 24 Kobo, UBA expanded by 2.40 per cent to N8.55, and Champion Breweries jumped by 2.00 per cent to N5.10.

At the close of business, a total of 267.0 million shares valued at N1.9 billion exchanged hands in 3,651 deals compared with the 197.3 million shares valued at N2.7 billion traded in 3,506 deals on Wednesday, representing a decline in the trading value by 29.63 per cent, an increase in the trading volume by 35.33 per cent, and an increase in the number of deals by 4.14 per cent.

Business Post reports that Transcorp was the busiest stock of the day as it transacted 147.2 million units worth N205.7 million and was trailed by Zenith Bank, which sold 19.1 million units worth N487.1 million. UBA traded 18.0 million shares worth N152.4 million, Access Holdings exchanged 12.1 million equities valued at N108.9 million, and Axa Mansard sold 7.4 million stocks for N16.3 million.

A look at the sectorial performance revealed that the insurance space grew by 0.10 per cent on Thursday, as the banking counter improved by 0.08 per cent.

However, the consumer goods index lost 0.17 per cent, the energy sector also fell by 0.17 per cent, and the industrial goods space depreciated by 0.04 per cent.

There would be no trading of stocks at Customs Street on Friday as a result of the public holidays declared by the federal government for the celebration of Easter. The market is expected to open next Tuesday.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

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Economy

Again, OPEC Cuts 2024, 2025 Oil Demand Forecasts

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OPEC output cut

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has once again trimmed its 2024 and 2025 oil demand growth forecasts.

The bloc made this in its latest monthly oil market report for December 2024.

The 2024 world oil demand growth forecast is now put at 1.61 million barrels per day from the previous 1.82 million barrels per day.

For 2025, OPEC says the world oil demand growth forecast is now at 1.45 million barrels per day, which is 900,000 barrels per day lower than the 1.54 million barrels per day earlier quoted.

On the changes, the group said that the downgrade for this year owes to more bearish data received in the third quarter of 2024 while the projections for next year relate to the potential impact that will arise from US tariffs.

The oil cartel had kept the 2024 outlook unchanged until August, a view it had first taken in July 2023.

OPEC and its wider group of allies known as OPEC+ earlier this month delayed its plan to start raising output until April 2025 against a backdrop of falling prices.

Eight OPEC+ member countries – Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman – decided to extend additional crude oil production cuts adopted in April 2023 and November 2023, due to weak demand and booming production outside the group.

In April 2023, these OPEC+ countries decided to reduce their oil production by over 1.65 million barrels per day as of May 2023 until the end of 2023. These production cuts were later extended to the end of 2024 and will now be extended until the end of December 2026.

In addition, in November 2023, these producers had agreed to voluntary output cuts totalling about 2.2 million barrels per day for the first quarter of 2024, in order to support prices and stabilise the market.

These additional production cuts were extended to the end of 2024 and will now be extended to the end of March 2025; they will then be gradually phased out on a monthly basis until the end of September 2026.

Members have made a series of deep output cuts since late 2022.

They are currently cutting output by a total of 5.86 million barrels per day, or about 5.7 per cent of global demand. Russia also announced plans to reduce its production by an extra 471,000 barrels per day in June 2024.

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Economy

Aradel Holdings Acquires Equity Stake in Chappal Energies

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Aradel Holdings

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

A minority equity stake in Chappal Energies Mauritius Limited has been acquired by a Nigerian energy firm, Aradel Holdings Plc.

This deal came a few days after Chappal Energies purchased a 53.85 per cent equity stake in Equinor Nigeria Energy Company Limited (ENEC).

Chappal Energies went into the deal with Equinor to take part in the oil and gas lease OML 128, including the unitised 20.21 per cent stake in the Agbami oil field, operated by Chevron.

Since production started in 2008, the Agbami field has produced more than one billion barrels of oil, creating value for Nigerian society and various stakeholders.

As part of the deal, Chappal will assume the operatorship of OML 129, which includes several significant prospects and undeveloped discoveries (Nnwa, Bilah and Sehki).

The Nnwa discovery is part of the giant Nnwa-Doro field, a major gas resource with significant potential to deliver value for Nigeria.

In a separate transaction, on July 17, 2024, Chappal and Total Energies sealed an SPA for the acquisition by Chappal of 10 per cent of the SPDC JV.

The relevant parties to this transaction are working towards closing out this transaction and Ministerial Approval and NNPC consent to accede to the Joint Operating Agreement have been obtained.

“This acquisition is in line with diversifying our asset base, deepening our gas competencies and gaining access to offshore basins using low-risk approaches.

“We recognise the strategic role of gas in Nigeria’s energy future and are happy to expand our equity holding in this critical resource.

“We are committed to the cause of developing the significant value inherent in the assets, which will be extremely beneficial to the country.

“Aradel hopes to bring its proven execution competencies to bear in supporting Chappal’s development of these opportunities,” the chief executive of Aradel Holdings, Mr Adegbite Falade, stated.

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Economy

Afriland Properties Lifts NASD OTC Securities Exchange by 0.04%

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Afriland Properties

By Adedapo Adesanya

Afriland Properties Plc helped the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange record a 0.04 per cent gain on Tuesday, December 10 as the share price of the property investment rose by 34 Kobo to N16.94 per unit from the preceding day’s N16.60 per unit.

As a result of this, the market capitalisation of the bourse went up by N380 million to remain relatively unchanged at N1.056 trillion like the previous trading day.

But the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) closed higher at 3,014.36 points after it recorded an addition of 1.09 points to Monday’s closing value of 3,013.27 points.

The NASD OTC securities exchange recorded a price loser and it was Geo-Fluids Plc, which went down by 2 Kobo to close at N3.93 per share, in contrast to the preceding day’s N3.95 per share.

During the trading session, the volume of securities bought and sold by investors increased by 95.8 per cent to 2.4 million units from the 1.2 million securities traded in the preceding session.

However, the value of shares traded yesterday slumped by 3.7 per cent to N4.9 million from the N5.07 million recorded a day earlier, as the number of deals surged by 27.3 per cent to 14 deals from 11 deals.

Geo-Fluids Plc remained the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 1.7 billion units sold for N3.9 billion, trailed by Okitipupa Plc with 752.2 million units valued at N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc with 297.5 million units worth N5.3 million.

Also, Aradel Holdings Plc remained the most active stock by value (year-to-date) with 108.7 million units worth N89.2 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 752.2 million units valued at N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc with 297.5 million units sold for N5.3 billion.

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