By Adedapo Adesanya
The prices of the two major crude oil grades rose on Wednesday from a two-month low in the prior session as the market balanced bullish US economic and crude storage data against weaker global demand growth forecasts.
Brent futures went up by 37 cents or 0.5 per cent to $82.75 a barrel, and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures gained 61 cents or 0.8 per cent to end at $78.63 per barrel.
Earlier in the session, a bearish report from the International Energy Agency (IEA) helped push both benchmarks up.
The IEA trimmed its forecast for 2024 oil demand growth, widening the gap with the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) in terms of expectations for this year’s global demand outlook.
Global oil demand this year will grow by 1.1 million barrels per day (bpd), the Paris-based agency said in a monthly report, down 140,000 barrels per day from the previous forecast, largely citing weak demand in developed OECD nations.
The agency said the lower 2024 forecast was linked to poor industrial activity and lower consumption, particularly in Europe, where a declining share of diesel cars was already undercutting consumption.
In its monthly report on Tuesday, OPEC stuck by its expectation that world oil demand will rise by 2.25 million barrels per day in 2024. The 1.15 million barrels per day difference is about 1 per cent of world demand.
Prices reversed direction after US data showed a bigger-than-expected crude drawdown and lukewarm inflation that fueled expectations of a cut in interest rates later this year.
US crude inventories last week fell 2.5 million barrels, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said.
This inventory change compared with a modest draw of 1.4 million barrels for the previous week and an unexpected decline of 3.1 million barrels for the week to May 10, as estimated by the American Petroleum Institute (API) on Tuesday.
US consumer prices increased less than expected in April as it rose 0.3 per cent last month after advancing 0.4 per cent in March and February, the country’s Labor Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics said.
This suggested that inflation resumed its downward trend at the start of the second quarter in a boost to financial market expectations the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in September.
Lower interest rates would reduce borrowing costs for businesses and consumers and could spur economic growth and demand for oil.
With the US central bank expected to cut interest rates later this year, the US Dollar fell to a five-week low against a basket of other currencies.
A weaker Dollar can boost demand as the greenback-denominated commodity becomes less expensive to buy in other currencies.
Reuters reported that OPEC and its allies, OPEC+ are likely to hold its June 1 oil policy meeting online, rather than in its headquarters in Vienna as currently scheduled.
Dipo Olowookere