Economy
Weak German, US Data Depress Oil Prices
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil prices fell by 2 per cent on Tuesday on weak economic news from the US and Germany as Brent futures lost $1.76 or 2.4 per cent to settle at $73.02 per barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude depreciated by $1.77 or 2.5 per cent to close at $68.93 a barrel.
Indicators of weakness in the US and Europe’s largest economy, Russia, fed fears of slower energy demand, along with signs from several countries that oil output was on track to increase.
Data from the US, the world’s largest oil producer, showed consumer confidence in February deteriorated at its sharpest pace in over 3 years.
The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index dropped 7 points, the biggest decline since August 2021, to 98.3 this month.
Analysts said President Donald Trump’s stated plans for higher tariffs have raised inflation worries at the US Federal Reserve.
This could lead the US central bank to keep interest rates higher, which in turn could slow economic growth and energy demand.
Meanwhile, tariffs against Canadian and Mexican imports, scheduled to start on March 4, may boost oil prices by reducing supplies from both countries.
Data also showed that the German economy shrank by 0.2 per cent in the final quarter of 2024 from the previous quarter.
However, oil prices could be affected by the possibility of a peace deal between Russia and Ukraine, that could lead to the lifting of Russian sanctions and increase Russian oil in the market.
Rising production from the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, OPEC+ could also deter prices.
In Iraq, the second-largest OPEC producer, oil major BP signed a deal to redevelop four oil and gas fields.
The country is also waiting for Turkey’s approval soon to restart oil flows from the Iraqi Kurdistan region.
In Nigeria, another OPEC member, oil production rose to 1.8 million barrels per day from just 1 million barrels per day over a year ago.
The American Petroleum Institute (API) estimated that crude oil inventories in the United States fell by 640,000 barrels for the week ending February 21.
This offsets just a small part of the 18 million barrels of builds in US crude oil inventories during the last four weeks.
Official data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) will be released later on Wednesday.
Economy
Crude Deliveries Double to Dangote Refinery in Mix of Naira, Dollar Supply
By Adedapo Adesanya
Crude oil deliveries from the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited to the Dangote Petroleum Refinery doubled in March, boosting prospects for improved fuel availability.
This was revealed by the chief executive of Dangote Industries Limited, Mr Aliko Dangote, on Tuesday, when he received the Deputy Secretary-General of the United Nations, Mrs Amina Mohammed, at the industrial complex in Ibeju-Lekki, Lagos.
While speaking on feedstock supply, Mr Dangote commended the NNPC for increasing crude deliveries to the refinery in March, noting that volumes rose to 10 cargoes—six supplied in Naira and four in Dollars—to support domestic fuel availability, according to a statement by the Refinery.
“Last month, they gave us six cargoes for Naira and four cargoes for Dollars,” he said.
Despite the improvement, Mr Dangote noted that the supply remains below the 19 cargoes required for optimal operations, with the refinery continuing to bridge the gap through imports from the United States and other African producers.
He also expressed concern over the unwillingness of international oil companies operating in Nigeria to sell to the refinery, stating that their preference for selling crude to traders forces it to repurchase at higher costs, with broader implications for the economy.
Mr Dangote added that the refinery is seeking increased access to domestically priced crude under local currency arrangements as part of efforts to moderate fuel costs and enhance long-term energy and food security across the continent.
On her part, Mrs Mohammed underscored the strategic importance of Dangote Industries Limited -particularly Dangote Fertiliser Limited—in addressing Africa’s mounting food security challenges, while calling for stronger global partnerships to scale its impact.
Mrs Mohammed said the United Nations would prioritise amplifying scalable solutions capable of mitigating the continent’s food crisis, describing Dangote’s integrated industrial model as a critical pathway.
“I think the UN’s job here is to amplify and to put visibility on the possibilities of mitigating a food security crisis, and this is one of them,” she said. “I hope that when we go back, we can continue to engage partners and countries that should collaborate with Dangote Industries.”
Economy
SEC Okays 50% Hike in X-Alert Fee for Capital Market Transactions
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has approved a 50 per cent hike in the X-Alert service fee per transaction in the Nigerian capital market.
The X-Alert fee is a flat rate charged for sending real-time SMS/email notifications for transactions to investors from both buy and sell sides.
It was introduced by the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) to replace percentage-based charges, aimed at increasing transparency and reducing total transaction costs for investors.
Investors were earlier charged N4 per SMS, but the country’s apex capital market regulator has approved a 50 per cent increase in X-Alert service fee, meaning the new rate is N6 per SMS.
Business Post gathered from one of the players in the ecosystem that the effective date for the new price was Thursday, March 26, 2026.
“We wish to inform you of a revision to the X-Alert (SMS) service fee applicable to transactions executed on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX).
“Following approval by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the X-Alert fee has been reviewed upward from N4.00 to N6.00 per transaction,” the notice sighted by this newspaper read.
Economy
World Bank Projects 4.2% Growth for Nigeria Amid Risks
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria’s economy is projected to remain resilient in the face of mounting global uncertainties, with the World Bank forecasting a 4.2 per cent growth rate in 2026.
However, the global lender has warned that rising fuel costs and persistent inflation, worsened by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, could undermine household incomes and slow poverty reduction.
Speaking in Abuja, the bank’s lead economist for Nigeria, Mr Fiseha Haile, noted that while the ongoing US-Israel-Iran conflict has pushed up prices, overall economic activity has remained largely intact.
“Overall business activity has been expanding over the past few months, suggesting the impact on growth has been relatively contained. But the shock is still being felt through higher inflation,” Mr Haile said.
According to him, business activity has continued to expand in recent months, indicating that the broader impact on growth has been “relatively contained,” even as inflationary pressures intensify.
Nigeria’s inflation rate, though significantly reduced from around 33 per cent in December 2024 to 15.06 per cent in February 2026, remains elevated compared to regional peers.
“Inflation is still elevated and under increasing pressure, and that poses risks to incomes and poverty reduction,” Mr Haile said.
The renewed surge in fuel prices, reportedly rising by over 50 per cent during the Iran conflict, has had a ripple effect on transportation, food, and production costs, amplifying the cost-of-living crisis.
The World Bank urged Nigerian authorities to adopt prudent macroeconomic measures, including tightening monetary policy, avoiding blanket subsidies, and saving windfalls from higher oil prices to strengthen fiscal buffers.
It also recommended reconsidering restrictions on fuel imports as a potential tool to ease inflationary pressures.
The economic reforms under President Bola Tinubu — including the removal of fuel subsidies, exchange rate unification, and tax restructuring — were acknowledged as ambitious steps aimed at stabilising the economy.
These reforms have contributed to improved external buffers, with rising foreign exchange reserves and reduced volatility.
Additionally, Nigeria’s fiscal deficit stood at 3.1 per cent of GDP in 2025, while the debt-to-GDP ratio declined for the first time in a decade.
Yet, the World Bank cautioned that tighter global financial conditions could still pose risks to capital inflows, borrowing costs, and remittances.
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