Economy
Weekly Investment in Stocks Drops as Investors Monitor Environment
By Dipo Olowookere
The decision of politicians to stir up the race to Aso Rock in 2023 very earlier in 2022 is already taking its toll on the stock market in Nigeria.
Last week, former Governor of Lagos State and National Leader of the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC), Mr Bola Tinubu, declared his interest to President Muhammadu Buhari to contest the nation’s highest political position next year.
After his open declaration at the Presidential Villa, others started to announce their interest in the same position and the race started to get interesting with some parts of the country rooting for Vice President Yemi Osinbajo, who is believed to be the political godson of Mr Tinubu.
For investors in the capital market, they never expected this to occupy the ecosystem in the first month of 2022. They had thought the race to Aso Rock would get heated up by the second or third quarter of the year.
With the development, some of them had to trade cautiously and this may have caused the decline in the weekly investment in stocks last week.
According to data obtained by Business Post, a total of 1.6 billion shares worth N32.7 billion were traded in 22,607 deals as against the 2.0 billion shares worth N59.0 billion transacted in 15,750 deals in the first week of the year, which only had four trading sessions.
A breakdown showed that financial stocks dominated the activity chart in the week with 731.3 million units valued at 6.5 billion traded in 10,822 deals, contributing 45.71 per cent and 19.92 per cent to the total trading volume and value respectively.
Conglomerate equities trailed with 403.7 million units worth N452.9 million in 1,537 deals, while consumer shares exchanged 314.8 million units worth N17.8 billion in 4,101 deals.
Transcorp, BUA Foods and Jaiz Bank were the most active stocks in the five-day trading week, with the sale of 775.7 million units valued at N16.6 billion executed in 2,644 deals, accounting for 48.49 per cent and 50.82 per cent of the total trading volume and value respectively.
A total of 33 equities appreciated in price during the week, lower than 40 equities in the previous week, while 35 equities depreciated in price, higher than 31 equities in the previous week, with 88 equities closing flat, lower than 84 equities recorded in the previous week.
Analysis indicated that BUA Foods was the biggest price riser as its value went up by 24.06 per cent to N66.00, followed by Transcorp, which gained 16.33 per cent to trade at N1.14.
Jaiz Bank grew by 15.25 per cent week-on-week to sell for 68 kobo, Fidson appreciated by 13.64 per cent to quote at N7.50, while Academy Press improved by 10.00 per cent to trade at 66 kobo.
On the reverse side, Sunu Assurances ended the week as the heaviest price loser after its equity price went down by 16.22 per cent to close at 31 kobo.
Mutual Benefits fell by 12.90 per cent to 27 kobo, Berger Paints dropped 9.94 per cent to N7.70, Northern Nigerian Flour Mills depreciated by 9.66 per cent to N6.55, while Custodian Investment decreased by 9.49 per cent to N7.15.
Despite the low trades, the All-Share Index and market capitalisation of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited appreciated by 1.37 per cent week-on-week to 44,454.67 points and N23.951 trillion respectively.
Similarly, all other indices finished higher with the exception of NGX CG, insurance, NGX AFR Bank Value, consumer goods and Lotus II indices, which depreciated by 0.79 per cent, 1.54 per cent, 0.07 per cent, 4.35 per cent and 1.34 per cent respectively, while the ASem, NGX Growth I and sovereign bond indices closed flat.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has once again trimmed its 2024 and 2025 oil demand growth forecasts.
The bloc made this in its latest monthly oil market report for December 2024.
The 2024 world oil demand growth forecast is now put at 1.61 million barrels per day from the previous 1.82 million barrels per day.
For 2025, OPEC says the world oil demand growth forecast is now at 1.45 million barrels per day, which is 900,000 barrels per day lower than the 1.54 million barrels per day earlier quoted.
On the changes, the group said that the downgrade for this year owes to more bearish data received in the third quarter of 2024 while the projections for next year relate to the potential impact that will arise from US tariffs.
The oil cartel had kept the 2024 outlook unchanged until August, a view it had first taken in July 2023.
OPEC and its wider group of allies known as OPEC+ earlier this month delayed its plan to start raising output until April 2025 against a backdrop of falling prices.
Eight OPEC+ member countries – Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman – decided to extend additional crude oil production cuts adopted in April 2023 and November 2023, due to weak demand and booming production outside the group.
In April 2023, these OPEC+ countries decided to reduce their oil production by over 1.65 million barrels per day as of May 2023 until the end of 2023. These production cuts were later extended to the end of 2024 and will now be extended until the end of December 2026.
In addition, in November 2023, these producers had agreed to voluntary output cuts totalling about 2.2 million barrels per day for the first quarter of 2024, in order to support prices and stabilise the market.
These additional production cuts were extended to the end of 2024 and will now be extended to the end of March 2025; they will then be gradually phased out on a monthly basis until the end of September 2026.
Members have made a series of deep output cuts since late 2022.
They are currently cutting output by a total of 5.86 million barrels per day, or about 5.7 per cent of global demand. Russia also announced plans to reduce its production by an extra 471,000 barrels per day in June 2024.
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
A minority equity stake in Chappal Energies Mauritius Limited has been acquired by a Nigerian energy firm, Aradel Holdings Plc.
This deal came a few days after Chappal Energies purchased a 53.85 per cent equity stake in Equinor Nigeria Energy Company Limited (ENEC).
Chappal Energies went into the deal with Equinor to take part in the oil and gas lease OML 128, including the unitised 20.21 per cent stake in the Agbami oil field, operated by Chevron.
Since production started in 2008, the Agbami field has produced more than one billion barrels of oil, creating value for Nigerian society and various stakeholders.
As part of the deal, Chappal will assume the operatorship of OML 129, which includes several significant prospects and undeveloped discoveries (Nnwa, Bilah and Sehki).
The Nnwa discovery is part of the giant Nnwa-Doro field, a major gas resource with significant potential to deliver value for Nigeria.
In a separate transaction, on July 17, 2024, Chappal and Total Energies sealed an SPA for the acquisition by Chappal of 10 per cent of the SPDC JV.
The relevant parties to this transaction are working towards closing out this transaction and Ministerial Approval and NNPC consent to accede to the Joint Operating Agreement have been obtained.
“This acquisition is in line with diversifying our asset base, deepening our gas competencies and gaining access to offshore basins using low-risk approaches.
“We recognise the strategic role of gas in Nigeria’s energy future and are happy to expand our equity holding in this critical resource.
“We are committed to the cause of developing the significant value inherent in the assets, which will be extremely beneficial to the country.
“Aradel hopes to bring its proven execution competencies to bear in supporting Chappal’s development of these opportunities,” the chief executive of Aradel Holdings, Mr Adegbite Falade, stated.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Afriland Properties Plc helped the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange record a 0.04 per cent gain on Tuesday, December 10 as the share price of the property investment rose by 34 Kobo to N16.94 per unit from the preceding day’s N16.60 per unit.
As a result of this, the market capitalisation of the bourse went up by N380 million to remain relatively unchanged at N1.056 trillion like the previous trading day.
But the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) closed higher at 3,014.36 points after it recorded an addition of 1.09 points to Monday’s closing value of 3,013.27 points.
The NASD OTC securities exchange recorded a price loser and it was Geo-Fluids Plc, which went down by 2 Kobo to close at N3.93 per share, in contrast to the preceding day’s N3.95 per share.
During the trading session, the volume of securities bought and sold by investors increased by 95.8 per cent to 2.4 million units from the 1.2 million securities traded in the preceding session.
However, the value of shares traded yesterday slumped by 3.7 per cent to N4.9 million from the N5.07 million recorded a day earlier, as the number of deals surged by 27.3 per cent to 14 deals from 11 deals.
Geo-Fluids Plc remained the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 1.7 billion units sold for N3.9 billion, trailed by Okitipupa Plc with 752.2 million units valued at N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc with 297.5 million units worth N5.3 million.
Also, Aradel Holdings Plc remained the most active stock by value (year-to-date) with 108.7 million units worth N89.2 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 752.2 million units valued at N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc with 297.5 million units sold for N5.3 billion.
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