Economy
What to Expect from the Naira in 2021
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira took a large hit in 2020 due to the double-barrelled effect of the coronavirus pandemic and the oil price crash, and although many believe that the local currency will recover, this won’t be the case until February 2021, as per a survey by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).
This was contained in the apex bank’s statistics report titled December 2020 Business Expectations Survey Report.
From December 7-11, CBN conducted an online survey for 1,050 businesses nationwide, with a response rate of 91.3 per cent covering a wide range of sectors such as agriculture /services sector, manufacturing, wholesale/retail trade and construction.
The firms, CBN added, were made up of small, medium and large corporations covering both import-oriented and export-oriented businesses.
It noted that the “respondent firms expect the Naira to depreciate in the current month and next month but appreciate in the next 2 months and next 6 months.”
In 2020, analysis showed that the local currency lost almost 27 per cent in value with devaluation occurring twice within the space of six months. This saw the CBN crash the value of the local currency to N380/$1 from N360/$1 after it was initially devalued from N306/$1.
However, the last few weeks saw the Naira face severe challenges across all the segments as it hit N500/$1 at the black market segment.
Although this pressure has eased, the dollar currently trades around N465/$1. This indicates a disparity across other segments such as the specialised Investors and Exporters (I&E) market which trades at N392/$1 while the Bureau De Change and the Interbank rates remained at N395/$1 and N379/$1 respectively.
It is also important to consider that the nation is in its worst recession as it suffered a 3.62 per cent contraction in its economy in the third quarter of 2020.
This is the second consecutive quarterly GDP decline since the recession of 2016. The cumulative GDP for the first nine months of 2020, therefore, stood at -2.48 per cent.
The last time Nigeria recorded such a cumulative GDP was in 1987 when GDP declined by 10.8 per cent.
However, there are expectations that the country will exit the recession in 2021.
In addition, the CBN survey noted that inflation level is expected to rise in the next six and 12 months as firms expect the average inflation rate in the next six months and the next 12 months to stand at 13.24 and 14.51 per cent respectively.
The borrowing rate is expected to rise in the current month, next month, next two months and the next six months with indices of 19.2, 14.9, 14.7 and 14.3 points respectively.
Economy
Dangote Refinery Shares to be Available to Public in Five Months
By Adedapo Adesanya
The chairman of Dangote Group, Mr Aliko Dangote, has said that within the next five months, Nigerians should be able to purchase shares of Dangote Petroleum and Refinery.
Mr Dangote made this revelation on Sunday during a tour of the facility by the chief executive of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited, Mr Bayo Ojulari, alongside members of the company’s executive management.
The $20 billion refinery is the largest single-train refinery in the world with 650,000 barrels per day refining capacity. There are efforts to boost the capacity to 1.4 million barrels per day soon.
Speaking with journalists, Mr Dangote said, “And the other issue is that they (NNPC) are holding 7.25 per cent of the shares that we have here, which is more than the shares Elon Musk has in Tesla. And they are holding that on behalf of Nigerians,” he said.
“So individually, Nigerians too will have an opportunity in the next, maybe a maximum of four to five months. There will actually be an opportunity to buy the shares.”
He added that shareholders will have the option to receive their dividends in either naira or dollars, as the refinery also earns in dollars.
Commenting on Mr Ojulari’s visit, the billionaire businessman said the NNPC, represented by Mr Ojulari and its management team, was not just a guest but a shareholder.
“Today is really our best day ever” at the facility. I know NNPC invested in us when we were not really sure whether the refinery would be successful.
“So that’s the kind of level of confidence. But right now, the relationship with the new set of people that we have at NNPC, I think the sky is the limit, and we will cooperate and also make sure that we work together to make sure that we make Nigerians proud.”
Speaking on prospects of partnership with NNPC in the upstream sector, he said, “We have block 71, 72, but we’re going to look much deeper”.
“Most likely, depending on our own discussions with them, we will partner with them, maybe in some of the upstream. They, too, will partner with us here because here is not just a refinery, it’s an industrial hub.
“And that’s why we’re doing linear alkaline benzene, which is a raw material for detergents, ” he added.
Economy
NGX Investigates Zichis Stocks After 859% Rise in One Month
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited has launched an investigation into trading activities on the shares of Zichis Agro-Allied Industries Plc.
A notice from Customs Street on Monday disclosed that this has led to the suspension of the company for now.
This development comes about a month after Zichis was listed on the domestic bourse and placed in the growth board of the NGX.
In the circular, it was disclosed that the suspension may be lifted after the conclusion of the findings, but for now, investors will not be able to trade the organisation’s securities on the NGX platform.
“The suspension of trading in Zichis shares shall be lifted upon the conclusion of an investigation into the trading activities on the company’s shares,” a part of the disclosure stated.
The bourse explained that it wielded the big stick on Zichis in compliance with Rule 7.0, Rules on Suspension of Trading in Listed Securities, Rulebook of The Exchange (Issuers’ Rules).
This part of the law states that, “Notwithstanding any of the foregoing provisions, the exchange may, in accordance with any of its rules, place the trading of any security on suspension.
“It may also do so if it is of the view that such suspension will be in the interest of the investing public and in accordance with the SEC Rules.”
In announcing the action on the firm, the NGX declared that, “The shares of Zichis Agro-Allied Industries Plc have been suspended from trading on the facilities of Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX), effective today, Monday, February 23, 2026.”
Business Post reports that last week, shares of Zichis appreciated by 60.74 per cent to N17.36. It joined the stock exchange at N1.81, indicating it has gained N15.55 or 859.12 per cent in one month.
Economy
Nigeria Investment Fund, Japan Unveil $50m Innovation Fund for Startups
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Nigeria Investment Authority (NSIA) and Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) have finalised agreements to launch a $50 Sovereignmillion impact innovation fund aimed at strengthening the Nigerian start-up ecosystem.
The fund is expected to provide patient capital to pre-seed, seed, and early-stage startups addressing critical social challenges in sectors such as agriculture, healthcare, education, energy, waste and water management.
JICA will provide $14 million in grant support, while NSIA contributes up to $20 million to match the grant.
Structured as an onshore public fund, the initiative combines financial support with technical assistance to help startups refine products, scale operations, and expand into new markets.
The fund is expected to create jobs, improve livelihoods, and contribute to sustainable economic development across Nigeria.
Speaking at the agreement signing ceremony between NSIA and JICA at the Ministry of Budget and Economic Planning, Mr Aminu Umar-Sadiq, the chief executive of NSIA, said: “The Fund represents a transformative step for Nigeria’s startup ecosystem. By providing early-stage ventures in high-impact sectors with the capital and support they need to grow, we are enabling innovators to tackle some of Nigeria’s most pressing challenges. Our collaboration with JICA underscores our commitment to entrepreneurship, inclusive growth, and sustainable development.”
Preparations are underway to operationalise the Fund and develop a pipeline of high-impact startups ready for investment. NSIA remains committed to advancing socio-economic development through strategic partnerships that scale impact, expand innovative solutions, and unlock access to capital.
On his part, the Japanese Ambassador to Nigeria, Mr Suzuki Hideo, said, “The Government of Japan hopes this new project will take root in Nigeria and bear fruit swiftly.”
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