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Why Africa’s Investment Market May Look Very Different Soon

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west africa trade hub

Africa’s investment market is entering a phase of visible transition, driven not by a single shock but by the gradual accumulation of structural changes. For years, the continent was often discussed through simplified narratives — either as an untapped frontier or as a high-risk environment requiring exceptional tolerance. That framing is beginning to lose relevance as investors reassess how and where capital actually performs under evolving global conditions.

What is changing first is not the volume of interest, but its direction. Capital is becoming more selective, less patient with inefficiency, and more focused on how investments interact with trade, logistics, and regional demand rather than isolated national stories. This shift is subtle, but it alters the underlying logic of how Africa is evaluated as an investment destination.

In this context, the growing attention around platforms and ecosystems such as westafricatradehub reflects a broader reorientation toward connectivity and execution. Investment discussions increasingly revolve around trade flows, supply chains, and integration mechanisms instead of abstract growth potential. The emphasis is moving from “where growth exists” to “where growth can realistically be accessed.”

Several forces are converging to accelerate this change. Global capital is operating under tighter constraints, with higher financing costs and stronger pressure to demonstrate resilience. At the same time, African markets are becoming more internally differentiated. Some regions benefit from improved infrastructure, digital adoption, and regulatory clarity, while others struggle to convert opportunity into consistent returns. This divergence makes generalized strategies less effective.

As a result, investors are adjusting their approach in practical ways, including:

  • Prioritizing regions with established trade corridors rather than standalone markets
  • Favoring business models tied to everyday demand instead of long-term speculation
  • Structuring investments in stages rather than committing large amounts upfront
  • Placing greater value on operational partners with local execution capacity

These adjustments do not signal reduced confidence, but a more disciplined allocation mindset.

Another factor reshaping the market is the changing perception of risk. Traditional concerns such as political stability and currency volatility remain relevant, but they are now weighed alongside newer considerations. Execution risk, infrastructure reliability, and regulatory consistency often matter more than macroeconomic projections. In some cases, smaller but better-connected markets outperform larger economies where friction remains high.

This evolution also affects which sectors attract attention. Instead of broad category enthusiasm, interest clusters around areas where investment aligns with trade and consumption realities. Logistics, processing, digital services, and trade-enabling infrastructure increasingly define where capital feels comfortable operating. Growth still exists elsewhere, but it is approached more cautiously.

Importantly, this transformation is not uniform or immediate. Africa’s investment market will not change overnight, nor will it move in a single direction. What makes the current moment distinct is the fading dominance of legacy assumptions. Investors are no longer satisfied with potential alone; they want visibility, access, and durability, mentioned the editorial team of https://westafricatradehub.com/.

In the near future, Africa’s investment landscape may look very different not because opportunities disappear, but because the criteria for recognizing them have changed. The market is becoming less about promise and more about precision — and that shift is quietly redefining where growth is expected to emerge next.

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Economy

LIRS Urges Taxpayers to File Annual Returns Ahead of Deadline

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Lagos taxpayers

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

All individual taxpayers in Lagos State have been advised to file their annual tax returns ahead of the March 31 deadline.

This appeal was made by the Lagos State Internal Revenue Service (LIRS) in a statement issued by its Head of Corporate Communications, Mrs Monsurat Amasa-Oyelude.

The notice quoted the chairman of LIRS, Mr Ayodele Subair, as saying that timely filing remains both a constitutional and statutory obligation as well as a civic responsibility.

The statutory filing requirement applies to all taxable persons, including self-employed individuals, business owners, professionals, persons in the informal sector, and employees under the Pay-As-You-Earn (PAYE) scheme.

In accordance with Section 24(f) of the 1999 Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria, Sections 13 &14(3) of the Nigeria Tax Administration Act 2025 (NTAA), every individual with taxable income is required to submit a true and correct return of total income from all sources for the preceding year (January 1 to December 31, 2025) within 90 days of the commencement of a new assessment year.

“Filing of annual tax returns is not optional. It is a legal requirement under the Nigeria Tax Administration Act 2025. We encourage all Lagos residents earning taxable income to file early and accurately.

“Early and accurate filing not only ensures full adherence with statutory requirements, but supports effective monitoring and forecasting, which are critical to Lagos State’s fiscal planning and long-term sustainability,” Mr Subair stated.

He further noted that failure to file returns by the statutory deadline attracts administrative penalties, interest, and other enforcement measures as prescribed by law.

To enhance convenience and efficiency, all individual tax returns must be submitted electronically via the LIRS eTax portal at https://etax.lirs.net. The platform enables taxpayers to register, file returns, upload supporting documents, and manage their tax profiles securely from anywhere.

In keeping with global best practices, Mr Subair reiterated that LIRS continues to prioritise digital tax administration and taxpayer support services. He affirmed that the LIRS eTax platform is secure and accessible worldwide. Taxpayers requiring assistance may visit any of the LIRS offices or other channels.

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Economy

NNPC Targets 230% LPG Supply Surge to 5MTPA Under Gas Master Plan 2026

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Domestic LPG

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited has said the Gas Master Plan 2026 targets over 230 per cent scale-up of Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) supply from 1.5 million tonnes per annum (MTPA) to 5 MTPA this year.

The Executive Vice President for Gas, Power and New Energy at NNPC, Mr Olalekan Ogunleye, unveiled the strategic direction of the NNPC Gas Master Plan 2026, outlining an aggressive expansion drive to position Nigeria as a regional and global gas powerhouse.

Mr Ogunleye delivered the keynote address at the 2026 Lagos Energy Week, organised by the Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE), where he detailed plans to accelerate gas development, deepen infrastructure and significantly scale domestic supply.

According to him, the Gas Master Plan targets a scale-up of LPG or cooking gas supply from 1.5 MTPA to 5 MTPA, alongside expanded feedstock for Mini-LNG and Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) projects.

“The NNPC Gas Master Plan 2026 is a blueprint to unlock Nigeria’s vast gas potential and translate it into tangible economic value,” Mr Ogunleye said.

He added that the strategy would also drive exponential growth in Gas-Based Industries, GBIs, strengthening local manufacturing, fertiliser production and power generation.

“Our renewed focus is on turning abundant gas resources into inclusive economic growth and improved quality of life for Nigerians,” he stated.

Mr Ogunleye said the plan aligns with the Federal Government’s Decade of Gas initiative and the presidential production targets of achieving 10 billion cubic feet per day by 2027 and 12 BCF/D by 2030.

Industry leaders at the event, including executives from Chevron Corporation, Esso Exploration and Production Nigeria Limited, Midwestern Oil and Gas Company Limited, Abuja Gas Processing Company and Shell Nigeria Gas, commended the plan and praised Ogunleye’s leadership in driving implementation excellence.

The new blueprint signals NNPC’s determination to anchor Nigeria’s energy transition on gas, leveraging infrastructure expansion and domestic utilisation to consolidate the country’s status as Africa’s largest gas reserve holder.

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Economy

Shettima Blames CBN’s FX Intervention for Naira Depreciation

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Kashim Shettima

By Adedapo Adesanya

Vice President Kashim Shettima has attributed the Naira’s recent depreciation to the intervention of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) in the foreign exchange (FX) market, stating that the currency could have strengthened to around N1,000 per Dollar within weeks if the apex bank had allowed market forces to prevail.

The local currency has dropped over N8.37 on the Dollar in the last week, as it closed at N1,355.37/$1 on Tuesday at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM), after it went on a spree late last month and into the early weeks of February.

However, speaking on Tuesday at the Progressive Governors’ Forum (PGF), Renewed Hope Ambassadors Strategic Summit in Abuja, the Nigerian VP said the intervention was to ensure stability.

“In fact, if not for the interventions by the Central Bank of Nigeria yesterday, the 1,000 Naira to a Dollar we are going to attain in weeks, not in months. But for the purpose of market stability, the CBN generously intervened yesterday.

“So, for some of my friends, especially one of our party leaders who takes delight in stockpiling dollars, it is a wake-up call,” the vice president said.

He was alluding to CBN buying US Dollars from the market to slow down the rapid rise of the Naira.

Latest information showed that last week, the apex bank bought about $189.80 million to reduce excess Dollar supply and control how fast the Naira was gaining value.

The move was aimed at preventing foreign portfolio investors from exiting Nigeria’s fixed-income market, as large-scale sell-offs could heighten demand for US Dollars, intensify capital flight, and exert further pressure on the exchange rate.

Amid this, speaking after the 304th meeting of the monetary policy committee (MPC) of the CBN on Tuesday, Governor of the central bank, Mr Yemi Cardoso, said Nigeria’s gross external reserves have risen to $50.45 billion, the highest level in 13 years.

This strengthens the country’s foreign exchange buffers, enhances the apex bank’s capacity to defend the Naira when needed, and boosts investor confidence in the stability of the Nigerian FX market.

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