Economy
Why Investors Should SELL Unilever Nigeria, HOLD Dangote Sugar Stocks
By Dipo Olowookere
Recently, the boards of Unilever Nigeria Plc and Dangote Sugar Plc released their financial statements for the first half of this year and while the former recorded a poor performance, the latter was below expectations.
For Unilever Nigeria, its total revenue went down by 11.36 percent to N42.66 billion from N48.12 billion in H1 2018 as a result of the firm’s dismal performance of its Household and Personal Care (HPC) unit, which fell by 18.05 percent due to intense price discounting amongst brands in the sub sector.
According to Meristem Research, when in the second quarter of the year the company made an aggressive marketing effort with a partnership with Jumia on Everyday Essentials, things marginally improved as the business segments as the food and HPC grew by 6.31 percent and 9.03 percent respectively.
Meristem Research noted that, “On a general note, the downward trend in consumer purchasing power foretells a tough environment for FMCGs as companies utilise price discounting strategies and sales promotion to edge out one another.
“Especially, the dismal performance of the HPC segment continues to weigh on the revenue generation capability of the company. Hence, we project a revenue growth of -7.00 percent in 2019, resulting in absolute 2019FY revenues of N86.40 billion.
“Given our expectation of a 29 percent reduction in 2019FY net profits, we forecast 2019FY EPS of N1.10 and 2019 target PE of 20x implying a target price of N22. This portends a downside of 31.26 percent from the closing price of N32 on August 6, 2019, hence we rate the stock a SELL.”
For Dangote Sugar, the revenue generated by the company went down by 4.42 percent to N80.36 billion from N84.08 billion in H1 2018.
According to Meristem Research, the performance on a regional basis was mixed with the Lagos and West regions suffering declines of 9.30 percent and 28.31 percent respectively as a result of increased competition and market share grabbing by other market players while the North and East grew by 10.42 percent and 7.01 percent respectively.
“As stated in our Q1:2019 earnings note, the implementation of alternative logistics such as barges and third-party trucks in clearing raw materials from the ports and factory continues to yield positive results as revenues grew by 10.67 percent from N38.15 billion in Q1:2019 and the streak of negative YoY revenue growth narrowed down to 1.68 percent from 7.27 percent in Q1:2019.
“Following the release of H1:2019 results, the performance of the company continues to stay in line with our expectation and as such, we retain our projected 7 percent growth in sales volume over 2018, however, with a lower average price of N12,000, implying 2019FY revenues of N149.33bn.
“The outlook is bleak with an expectation of lower revenues and profits at the end of the year. Given this outlook, market risk and company’s idiosyncratic risks, we have revised our target PE and 2019 FY EPS down to 5.7x and N1.67 respectively from 6.5x and N1.85 in Q1:2019.
“This indicates a target price of N9.55 with a downside of 2.60 percent from the closing price of N9.80 on August 7, 2019. Hence, we place a HOLD rating on the stock.”
Economy
UK Backs Nigeria With Two Flagship Economic Reform Programmes
By Adedapo Adesanya
The United Kingdom via the British High Commission in Abuja has launched two flagship economic reform programmes – the Nigeria Economic Stability & Transformation (NEST) programme and the Nigeria Public Finance Facility (NPFF) -as part of efforts to support Nigeria’s economic reform and growth agenda.
Backed by a £12.4 million UK investment, NEST and NPFF sit at the centre of the UK-Nigeria mutual growth partnership and support Nigeria’s efforts to strengthen macroeconomic stability, improve fiscal resilience, and create a more competitive environment for investment and private-sector growth.
Speaking at the launch, Cynthia Rowe, Head of Development Cooperation at the British High Commission in Abuja, said, “These two programmes sit at the heart of our economic development cooperation with Nigeria. They reflect a shared commitment to strengthening the fundamentals that matter most for our stability, confidence, and long-term growth.”
The launch followed the inaugural meeting of the Joint UK-Nigeria Steering Committee, which endorsed the approach of both programmes and confirmed strong alignment between the UK and Nigeria on priority areas for delivery.
Representing the Government of Nigeria, Special Adviser to the President of Nigeria on Finance and the Economy, Mrs Sanyade Okoli, welcomed the collaboration, touting it as crucial to current, critical reforms.
“We welcome the United Kingdom’s support through these new programmes as a strong demonstration of our shared commitment to Nigeria’s economic stability and long-term prosperity. At a time when we are implementing critical reforms to strengthen fiscal resilience, improve macroeconomic stability, and unlock inclusive growth, this partnership will provide valuable technical support. Together, we are laying the foundation for a more resilient economy that delivers sustainable development and improved livelihoods for all Nigerians.”
On his part, Mr Jonny Baxter, British Deputy High Commissioner in Lagos, highlighted the significance of the programmes within the wider UK-Nigeria mutual growth partnership.
“NEST and NPFF are central to our shared approach to strengthening the foundations that underpin long-term economic prosperity. They sit firmly within the UK-Nigeria mutual growth partnership.”
Economy
MTN Nigeria, SMEDAN to Boost SME Digital Growth
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
A strategic partnership aimed at accelerating the growth, digital capacity, and sustainability of Nigeria’s 40 million Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) has been signed by MTN Nigeria and the Small and Medium Enterprises Development Agency of Nigeria (SMEDAN).
The collaboration will feature joint initiatives focused on digital inclusion, financial access, capacity building, and providing verified information for MSMEs.
With millions of small businesses depending on accurate guidance and easy-to-access support, MTN and SMEDAN say their shared platform will address gaps in communication, misinformation, and access to opportunities.
At the formal signing of the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) on Thursday, November 27, 2025, in Lagos, the stage was set for the immediate roll-out of tools, content, and resources that will support MSMEs nationwide.
The chief operating officer of MTN Nigeria, Mr Ayham Moussa, reiterated the company’s commitment to supporting Nigeria’s economic development, stating that MSMEs are the lifeline of Nigeria’s economy.
“SMEs are the backbone of the economy and the backbone of employment in Nigeria. We are delighted to power SMEDAN’s platform and provide tools that help MSMEs reach customers, obtain funding, and access wider markets. This collaboration serves both our business and social development objectives,” he stated.
Also, the Chief Enterprise Business Officer of MTN Nigeria, Ms Lynda Saint-Nwafor, described the MoU as a tool to “meet SMEs at the point of their needs,” noting that nano, micro, small, and medium businesses each require different resources to scale.
“Some SMEs need guidance, some need resources; others need opportunities or workforce support. This platform allows them to access whatever they need. We are committed to identifying opportunities across financial inclusion, digital inclusion, and capacity building that help SMEs to scale,” she noted.
Also commenting, the Director General of SMEDAN, Mr Charles Odii, emphasised the significance of the collaboration, noting that the agency cannot meet its mandate without leveraging technology and private-sector expertise.
“We have approximately 40 million MSMEs in Nigeria, and only about 400 SMEDAN staff. We cannot fulfil our mandate without technology, data, and strong partners.
“MTN already has the infrastructure and tools to support MSMEs from payments to identity, hosting, learning, and more. With this partnership, we are confident we can achieve in a short time what would have taken years,” he disclosed.
Mr Odii highlighted that the SMEDAN-MTN collaboration would support businesses across their growth needs, guided by their four-point GROW model – Guidance, Resources, Opportunities, and Workforce Development.
He added that SMEDAN has already created over 100,000 jobs within its two-year administration and expects the partnership to significantly boost job creation, business expansion, and nationwide enterprise modernisation.
Economy
NGX Seeks Suspension of New Capital Gains Tax
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited is seeking review of the controversial Capital Gains Tax increase, fearing it will chase away foreign investors from the country’s capital market.
Nigeria’s new tax regime, which takes effect from January 1, 2026, represents one of the most significant changes to Nigeria’s tax system in recent years.
Under the new rules, the flat 10 per cent Capital Gains Tax rate has been replaced by progressive income tax rates ranging from zero to 30 per cent, depending on an investor’s overall income or profit level while large corporate investors will see the top rate reduced to 25 per cent as part of a wider corporate tax reform.
The chief executive of NGX, Mr Jude Chiemeka, said in a Bloomberg interview in Kigali, Rwanda that there should be a “removal of the capital gains tax completely, or perhaps deferring it for five years.”
According to him, Nigeria, having a higher Capital Gains Tax, will make investors redirect asset allocation to frontier markets and “countries that have less tax.”
“From a capital flow perspective, we should be concerned because all these international portfolio managers that invest across frontier markets will certainly go to where the cost of investing is not so burdensome,” the CEO said, as per Bloomberg. “That is really the angle one will look at it from.”
Meanwhile, the policy has been defended by the chairman of the Presidential Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms Committee, Mr Taiwo Oyedele, who noted that the new tax will make investing in the capital market more attractive by reducing risks, promoting fairness, and simplifying compliance.
He noted that the framework allows investors to deduct legitimate costs such as brokerage fees, regulatory charges, realised capital losses, margin interest, and foreign exchange losses directly tied to investments, thereby ensuring that they are not taxed when operating at a loss.
Mr Oyedele also said the reforms introduced a more inclusive approach to taxation by exempting several categories of investors and transactions.
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