Connect with us

Economy

Why Nigeria’s Foreign Reserves Lost $2b in 2 Months

Published

on

Reserves

By Dipo Olowookere

For the second consecutive month, Nigeria’s external reserves depreciated, closing at $45.8 billion at the end of August 2018.

In July and August 2018, the total amount lost by the foreign reserves of Africa’s largest economy was $1.95 billion.

In August alone, the sum of $1.28 billion was lost, while the sum of $670 million was the amount lost in the month of July.

According to analysts at FBNQuest Research, the decline recorded in the month of July was mainly due to the repayment by the Federal Government of Nigeria (FGN) of $500 million to holders of a maturing Eurobond that is yet to be refinanced.

It further said, “This latest decline can be attributed to the changed stance of some players in the offshore community.”

Nigeria has suffered from contagion emanating from large and liquid emerging markets such as Argentina and Turkey. Policy flaws have contributed to the very large hits taken by these two markets.

According to FBNQuest Research, there have been no obvious flaws adding to the much smaller hit taken by Nigeria. It appears that offshore fixed-income players have sometimes exited the market on the maturity of their investments. Their remaining holdings have been credibly estimated at $20 billion.

The trend in weekly transactions at the investors’ and exporters’ forex window (NAFEX) has been downwards. Last week, they rose well above $1 billion for the first time since late June. (The transactions cover both sides of trades.)

Separate data collated by FMDQ showed that the CBN has been the largest source of inflows in the last five weeks reported.

Reserves at end-August covered 16.4 months’ merchandise imports, and 9.9 months when we add services on the basis of the balance of payments through to March 2018. This is a healthy fiscal buffer by any criteria.

The CBN’s definition of gross reserves excludes gold and SDR holdings but includes swap transactions with local banks, for which the largest independent estimate we have seen is $7 billion. It also includes Eurobonds, which can be justified on the grounds that these are FGN borrowings lodged with the CBN.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via dipo.olowookere@businesspost.ng

Economy

NMDPRA Calculations Show 67% Decline in Nigeria’s Petrol Imports

Published

on

Petroleum marketers

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) has confirmed that the daily importation of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), known as petrol, dropped by 67.04 per cent from 44.6 million litres in August 2024 to 14.7 million litres as of April 13, 2025.

This disclosure was part of revelations made by the chief executive of NMDPRA, Mr Farouk Ahmed, during the Meet-the-Press briefing series organised by the Presidential Communications Team (PTC) at the State House in Abuja on Tuesday.

He explained that the 30-million-litre drop in imports was due to increased contributions from local refineries, revealing that domestic production of petrol surged by 670 per cent during the same period.

He credited the rise to the gradual restart of the Port Harcourt Refining Company in November 2024, along with added output from modular refineries across the country.

“After contributing virtually nothing in August 2024, local plants delivered 26.2 million litres per day in early April, a jump from the 3.4 million litres recorded in September 2024, which was the first month with measurable output,” he said.

He, however, said that in spite the growth in domestic supply, total national supply exceeded the government’s 50 million litres per day consumption benchmark.

“Only twice within the eight-month period—56 million litres in November 2024 and 52.3 million litres in February, 2025.

He added that the month of March 2025 saw a slight dip to 51.5 million litres per day, while the first half of April recorded an even lower average of 40.9 million litres per day.

Mr Ahmed emphasised that the NMDPRA issues import licenses strictly in line with national supply requirements, underscoring the authority’s commitment to balancing imports with growing local production capacity.

He called for a collective national effort in protecting and maintaining Nigeria’s oil and gas infrastructure.

According to him, all stakeholders – including security agencies, political leaders, traditional rulers, youths, and oil companies must work together to secure national energy assets.

“It takes all of us—government, traditional institutions, companies, and the youth—to collaborate and resist criminal activities that threaten our infrastructure,” he said.

The CEO also stressed that local government authorities and international oil companies (IOCs) such as the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited, as well as indigenous companies, must take responsibility in ensuring that oil assets are protected and maintained.

“Until we all commit to safeguarding these national assets, we should stop pointing fingers,” he added.

Mr Ahmed reaffirmed NMDPRA’s commitment to transparency and accountability in the midstream and downstream sectors.

Continue Reading

Economy

Trump’s Tariffs Will Significantly Affect Nigerian Manufacturers—Ajayi-Kadir

Published

on

Beer manufacturers in Nigeria

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) has said the US imposition of 14 per cent tariff on imported products may have a significant impact on Nigeria’s trade and industrial landscape.

The Director-General of MAN, Mr Segun Ajayi-Kadir, in a statement noted that the US remained one of Nigeria’s most significant trade partners, accounting for approximately 7 per cent of its non-oil exports.

President Donald Trump had earlier slammed a reciprocal tariff on all trading partners with the US with Nigeria getting a 14 per cent share. Although, it recently made a pause to the tariffs for a 90-day period, the possible impact remains.

Mr Ajayi-Kadir said the new tariff regime directly threatened this trade dynamic, particularly as Nigeria projected an ambitious N55 trillion budget and was experiencing a downward trend in global crude oil prices.

According to him, the hike has come at a vulnerable moment when the country is just recovering from the impact of the government’s policy mix that has had negative effects on the manufacturing sector.

“Nigeria’s manufacturing sector, which contributed 8.64 per cent to the country’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 2024, is one of the most predisposed sectors of the economy when it comes to trade policy shifts.

“The imposition of a 14 percent tariff on Nigerian exports significantly undermines the competitiveness of locally manufactured goods in the US market.

“Manufacturers who are exporters in agro-processing, chemicals and pharmaceutical, basic metal, iron and steel, non-metallic mineral products and other light industrial manufacturing rely heavily on the U.S. for market access.

“With increased costs for American buyers due to the tariffs, demand for Nigerian products is expected to decline,” he noted.

Mr Ajayi-Kadir stated that in addition to revenue losses, the new tariffs posed a significant disincentive to firms investing in value-added manufacturing.

He noted that over the past decade, manufacturers had made concerted and strategic efforts to support the country’s transition from exporting raw commodities to semi-processed and finished goods.

“However, higher market-entry costs because of higher tariff on Nigerian products will reduce the profitability of such investments, making it more attractive for firms to revert to exporting raw materials.

“This is counterproductive to Nigeria’s industrialisation agenda and compromises the long-term goal of achieving export diversification under platforms such as the African Continental Free Trade Agreement (AfCFTA),” he said.

The MAN DG added that the implications of the tariff imposition on employment in the manufacturing sector were dire.

He noted that as export revenues fall, many companies may reduce their production scale or downsize their workforce to cut costs.

He added that beyond the manufacturing sector, the Nigerian economy was not insulated from the effects of the U.S. tariff decision with its direct impact on Nigeria’s trade balance.

Mr Ajayi-Kadir said with the country already grappling with a fragile external sector, any significant reduction in exports to the U.S. would erode the current trade surplus, potentially pushing the balance into deficit.

He expressed worry about potential pressure on Nigeria to reciprocate by reducing its own tariffs on U.S. goods.

He noted that while the U.S. may frame this as a step toward “fair trade,” the reality was that lowering tariffs on U.S. imports could flood the Nigerian market with subsidised goods, thereby undermining local producers.

“Nigeria has, in recent years, made commendable strides toward achieving self-sufficiency in several manufacturing segments and diversifying away from oil.

“However, succumbing to external pressures to liberalise trade prematurely would reverse these gains.

“Furthermore, the absence of institutional capacity to engage in sophisticated trade negotiations places Nigeria in a vulnerable position.

“While countries with advanced legal and economic institutions may be able to negotiate favourable terms, Nigeria is at a disadvantage due to capacity constraints,” he said.

Continue Reading

Economy

Nigeria Issues 77 Licenses to Refiners for Robust Oil Market

Published

on

Port Harcourt Refinery

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria issued 47 Licenses to Establish (LTE) and 30 Licenses to Construct (LTC) refineries in the last year as it seeks to boost oil production in the country.

The move, according to the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA), marks a significant step towards enhancing Nigeria’s refining capacity and boosting petroleum products availability.

The chief executive of NMDPRA, Mr Farouk Ahmed, during the sixth Meet-the-Press briefing in Abuja on Tuesday, said the 47 issued licenses have a combined refining capacity of nearly three million barrels per day.

Detailing the breakdown of the licenses, Mr Ahmed stated: “We have issued 47 LTE translating to 1.75 million barrels per day and 30 LTC translating to 1.23 million barrels per day. Currently, only four plants hold LTC with a steady output of 27,000 barrels per day.”

Giving a further breakdown, he said the LTC projects included five which were at the commissioning or construction stage, including the Dangote Petroleum Refinery with a capacity of 650,000 barrels per day while other smaller projects include; AIPCC Energy’s 30,000 barrels per day plant and Waltersmith’s second train with a capacity of 5,000 barrels per day.

Mr Ahmed also highlighted the current state of refining operations in Nigeria, saying six licensed private refineries and four public ones are producing a total of 1.12 million barrels per day.

Other private plants contribute 679,500 barrels per day, led by Dangote’s single-train plant with a refining capacity of 650,000 barrels per day.

Other modular refineries include; Aradel (11,000 barrels per day), OPAC (10,000 barrels per day), Waltersmith (5,000 barrels per day), Duport Midstream Limited (2,500 barrels per day), and Edo Refining and Petrochemicals Company Limited (1,000 barrels per day).

He explained further that publicly owned facilities operated by the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited add another 445,000 barrels per day from the refurbished plants in Port Harcourt (150,000 barrels per day), Warri (125,000 barrels per day), Kaduna (110,000 barrels per day), and the old Port Harcourt plant (60,000 barrels per day).

“These developments underline our commitment to reducing dependency on imported refined products.”

He added that ongoing licensing efforts aimed at expanding domestic refining capacity were ongoing to further support economic growth through job creation and energy security.

The NMDPRA’s recent licensing activities also include approvals for modular refineries in Edo, Delta, and Abia states, expected to add an additional 140,000 barrels per day upon completion.

Continue Reading

Trending