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KPMG: Government reserves remain robust, advocates for expanded asset management and innovation industries to boost economic growth
Resilient response to challenges, highlighting AI and Northern Metropolis
HONG KONG SAR – Media OutReach Newswire – 28 February 2025 – KPMG welcomes the Hong Kong Government’s Budget, recognising it as a well-considered strategy that balances the needs of society with economic development goals. The Budget focuses on key areas such as Artificial Intelligence (AI), infrastructure investment, and innovative industries, creating new opportunities for high-quality economic growth in Hong Kong while further strengthening its international competitiveness.
The Hong Kong SAR Government has revised its 2024/25 Budget, projecting a consolidated deficit of HKD 87.2 billion. By the end of March 2025, Hong Kong’s fiscal reserves are expected to reach HKD 647.3 billion, closely aligning with KPMG’s estimates of HKD 89.7 billion deficit and HKD 645 billion in reserves, indicating that fiscal reserves remain relatively robust. The projected GDP growth rate for 2025/26 has been adjusted to between 2% and 3%, down from the previous year’s forecast of 3.2%. KPMG attributes this revision to ongoing geopolitical uncertainties and a slower-than-expected decline in interest rates. To address these challenges, KPMG recommends that the government allocate more resources to high-growth sectors such as asset management and innovation, aiming to stimulate economic growth in Hong Kong and deliver benefits to the general public.
John Timpany, Head of Tax in Hong Kong, KPMG China, says: “In the Budget, the HKSAR Government has clearly positioned AI as the core driver for cultivating new quality productive forces, and is promoting its development through a series of policy measures, fully demonstrating Hong Kong’s ambition as an international innovation and technology hub. We are pleased to see the Government leveraging the advantages of ‘One Country, Two Systems’ to actively establish Hong Kong as an international exchange hub for the AI industry, and strengthening the integration of scientific research and industrial applications through projects such as Cyberport’s AI Supercomputing Centre, Hong Kong Microelectronics Research and Development Institute, and the soon-to-be-established Hong Kong Artificial Intelligence Research and Development Institute. This not only creates opportunities for local technology companies but also injects new momentum into the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries, narrowing the gap with other leading jurisdictions.”
Stanley Ho, Tax Partner, KPMG China, says: “To ensure the strategic infrastructure projects stay on schedule, KPMG believes that raising capital by issuing government bonds at a moderate pace is a wise move. We support the government’s commitment to using bond proceeds exclusively for infrastructure investments, ensuring they are not directed towards recurring government expenditures. This disciplined approach, outlined in the new bond program, should keep the government debt-to-GDP ratio at a manageable level and protect Hong Kong’s credit rating. We encourage the government to proactively explore ways to make infrastructure projects more cost-effective. Embracing technological innovations and encouraging public-private partnerships are two promising avenues for expense optimisation.”
Alice Leung, Tax Partner, KPMG China, says: “We welcome the Financial Secretary’s proposal to expand the classes of investments permitted under the family office tax regime. To make Hong Kong even more attractive to family offices, it makes sense to include digital assets and art as eligible investments. These are already common asset classes for family offices, so adding them to the regime could encourage more family offices to set up in Hong Kong. This would be a win-win, creating jobs and boosting demand across a range of professional services. Additionally, it is encouraging to see the government actively pursuing tax treaties with 17 jurisdictions – this is a significant step in supporting Hong Kong taxpayers investing overseas. We also applaud the government’s initiative to attract more commodity trading activity to Hong Kong through a competitive 8.25% tax rate. These measures will inject vitality into the local market, enhance liquidity, and further solidify Hong Kong’s role as an international financial centre.”
Chi Sum Li, Head of Government & Public Sector in Hong Kong SAR, KPMG China, said: “We support the government’s prioritisation of investment in developing the Northern Metropolis. The focus on key industries such as innovation and technology, high-end professional services, modern logistics, tertiary education, cultural, sports, and tourism in the area demonstrates a commitment to a diversified development blueprint. Meanwhile, the accelerated progress of projects like Kwu Tung North / Fanling North, along with the implementation of transport infrastructure including the Northern Link and Hong Kong-Shenzhen Western Railway, will enhance connectivity in the region and lay a solid foundation for commercial and innovation technology development. We believe the development of the Northern Metropolis will inject new vitality into Hong Kong’s economy and create better living and career prospects for citizens.”
In terms of nurturing and attracting talent, KPMG welcomes the government’s proposal to enhance the “New Capital Investment Entrant Scheme”. It is encouraging to know the scheme has already received over 880 applications with an expected HKD 26 billion in investments. We suggest lowering the residential property price threshold from HKD50 million to HKD 30 million. This would open up the scheme to a broader range of talents looking to invest in Hong Kong real estate and we don’t anticipate this change having a major impact on housing affordability for the general public. Additionally, the government can consider shortening the current seven-year waiting period for permanent residency applicants, to make the scheme even more attractive.
Amid fiscal constraints, the government has taken measures to control expenditure growth. For 2026/27 and 2027/28, the Financial Secretary announced a 2% annual reduction in the civil service, with an estimated reduction of approximately 10,000 positions by April 1, 2027. Additionally, a salary freeze for all personnel across the executive, legislative, judicial branches, and district councils has been proposed for 2025/26. KPMG believes that job cuts and the salary freeze are signals to the public that the government is closely monitoring its spending, as taxpayers would expect during a period of fiscal deficits. This demonstrates the Hong Kong government’s commitment to prudent management of public finances.
In light of the fiscal deficit and the aging population, KPMG supports the government’s proposed optimisation of the “HKD 2 Public Transport Fare Concession Scheme.” The proposal maintains eligibility for individuals aged 60 and above but introduces a monthly cap of 240 trips. Additionally, for fares of HKD 10 or more, the subsidy will be adjusted to a 20% discount of the full fare. These measures aim to balance the travel needs of the elderly and the silver economy with smarter use of public funds. At the same time, this will enable the government to more accurately forecast related expenditures in the future.
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About KPMG
KPMG in China has offices located in 31 cities with over 14, 000 partners and staff, in Beijing, Changchun, Changsha, Chengdu, Chongqing, Dalian, Dongguan, Foshan, Fuzhou, Guangzhou, Haikou, Hangzhou, Hefei, Jinan, Nanjing, Nantong, Ningbo, Qingdao, Shanghai, Shenyang, Shenzhen, Suzhou, Taiyuan, Tianjin, Wuhan, Wuxi, Xiamen, Xi’an, Zhengzhou, Hong Kong SAR and Macau SAR. It started operations in Hong Kong in 1945. In 1992, KPMG became the first international accounting network to be granted a joint venture licence in the Chinese Mainland. In 2012, KPMG became the first among the “Big Four” in the Chinese Mainland to convert from a joint venture to a special general partnership.
KPMG is a global organisation of independent professional services firms providing Audit, Tax and Advisory services. KPMG is the brand under which the member firms of KPMG International Limited (“KPMG International”) operate and provide professional services. “KPMG” is used to refer to individual member firms within the KPMG organization or to one or more member firms collectively.
KPMG firms operate in 142 countries and territories with more than 275, 000 partners and employees working in member firms around the world. Each KPMG firm is a legally distinct and separate entity and describes itself as such. Each KPMG member firm is responsible for its own obligations and liabilities.
Celebrating 80 years in Hong Kong
In 2025, KPMG marks “80 Years of Trust” in Hong Kong. Established in 1945, we were the first international accounting firm to set up operations in the city. Over the past eight decades, we’ve woven ourselves into the fabric of Hong Kong, working closely with the government, regulators, and the business community to help establish Hong Kong as one of the world’s leading business and financial centres. This close collaboration has enabled us to build lasting trust with our clients and the local community – a core value celebrated in our anniversary theme: “80 Years of Trust”.
Beyond Balance: The Next Regime
HONG KONG SAR – Media OutReach Newswire – 13 January 2026 – Today, KGI has released its 2026 Global Market Outlook, covering markets in the US, Mainland China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and Singapore.
After a turbulent year of trade disruptions and policy uncertainty under President Trump, investors face new questions. China has unveiled its 15th Five-Year Plan, as policymakers aim to support domestic growth amid global challenges. The market outlook for 2026 is shaped by interest rate decisions, economic resilience, and shifting international dynamics.
Under this backdrop, we propose the “LEAD” strategy for 2026:
- Liquidity Shift
- Earnings Focused
- Adding Credit
- Diversified Assets
Cusson Leung, Chief Investment Officer at KGI, says: “Looking ahead to 2026, investors can adopt a LEAD strategy: L stands for Liquidity Shift, benefiting from a weakening US dollar and interest rate cuts, with funds expected to flow to non-US dollar and Asian currencies; E stands for Earnings Focused, focusing on earnings growth to support valuations and allocating to US, European, and Japanese stocks; A stands for Adding Credit, locking in the credit of leading companies and increasing holdings of A-rated investment grade bonds; and D stands for Diversified Assets, responding to the upward trend in both stocks and bonds by including alternative assets to optimize asset allocation.”
Macro & US Markets
The US economy will experience a more pronounced downturn in 4Q25, which will extend into 1H26, and this will have a negative impact on consumption, slowing investment activity. Nevertheless, AI-driven productivity gains should provide some support, with US GDP growth in 2026 forecast at 2.2%. The eurozone will see moderate growth, with Germany benefiting significantly from fiscal expansion and economic improvement. Japan’s economy will strengthen on domestic demand, aided by additional fiscal stimulus. China has demonstrated resilience under trade protectionism in 2025. With inflation risks easing and labor market risks rising, the US Fed cut the interest rates in September 2025, with a total reduction of 75 bps in 2025, followed by an additional 50-75 bps in 2026.
Regarding US stocks, AI-driven productivity gains and cost reductions should sustain solid profitability, with S&P 500 earnings projected to grow by 13.55% year-on-year (YoY) in 2026. However, higher risk premiums may cap valuation upside, leading us to project a year-end target of 7,650 points. Market performance will reflect risk-driven declines in 1Q26, stabilize and recover in 2Q26, and rally significantly around the midterm elections in 4Q26. By sector, among AI-related themes we favor technology, semiconductors, utilities (on higher power demand), machinery for advanced manufacturing, and industrial REITs. Non-AI beneficiaries include aerospace and defense (on higher military spending), pharmaceuticals (on tariff benefits), and capital market segments (supported by active investment banking). As for fixed income, US economic weakness and Fed rate cuts will drive Treasury yields lower, with 10-year yields expected to fall to 3.5-3.7% by 2Q26. We recommend allocating to US Treasuries or high-rated investment-grade corporate bonds in 1H26, then rotating into high-yield bonds in 2H26 as policy rates and economic conditions reach a bottom.
James Chu, Chairman at KGI Securities Investment Advisory, says: “AI is triggering a new productivity revolution, supporting economic growth and strengthening corporate earnings. While the US economy is expected to slow, a recession remains unlikely, and the short-term impact of tariff policies should gradually fade by the first quarter of 2026. Although the Fed may shift from cutting rates at every meeting to cutting at alternating meetings, the overall environment remains a rate-cutting cycle. In a non-recession backdrop, lower interest rates should continue to support equity market performance.”
Mainland China and Hong Kong Markets
In terms of the macroeconomy, with the conclusion of trade agreements among many countries, risks have subsided. However, due to external drag, China’s GDP growth is expected to slow slightly to 4.6% in 2026. In 2026, investors should focus on four key areas for Hong Kong and mainland China markets: (1) In the consumption sector, domestic demand continued to be the core growth driver, contributing more than half of GDP. As the “trade-in” effect diminishes, the central government is expected to implement the “15th Five-Year Plan” and economic conference plans, launching a new round of subsidies covering culture, entertainment, and sports to continuously boost consumer spending. (2) In the financial market, risk appetite has increased. Given the narrowing spread between bond yields and fixed deposit rates, large amounts of savings are flowing into the capital market seeking returns. The fundamentals of the banking and insurance industries have bottomed out, and the credit structure is accelerating its shift from real estate to supporting the real economy. (3) Regarding the issue of “anti-involution,” the PPI remains weak, and capacity reduction has become a focus. Compared to 2015, this round involves more downstream private enterprises and needs to consider employment, presenting greater challenges. While industry consolidation is expected to be lengthy, the impact is controllable and beneficial for long-term healthy development. (4) Regarding new quality productive forces, this will replace real estate and infrastructure as the main investment focus. Digital infrastructure supports AI and embodied intelligence, and humanoid robots are expected to see commercialization in 2026, “iPhone moment.” Leading companies with core technological autonomy in innovative drugs will enjoy higher valuation premiums.
Overall, we are optimistic on Hang Seng Index. We expect the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cuts to drive fund inflows to the Hong Kong and mainland stock markets. Based on an upward revision of the forward PE ratio to 13.5x and 8% earnings growth, we set a target of 30,000 points for the Hang Seng Index by the end of 2026, representing a potential upside of approximately 14%. As confidence recovers, the investment style is expected to shift from defensive to growth stocks. Recommended 12 stocks: XPeng Motors (9868), UBTECH (9880), Tencent Holdings (700), Alibaba (9988), China Hongqiao (1378), AIA Group (1299), Ping An Insurance (2318), China Merchants Bank (3968), Akeso Biopharma (9926), Pop Mart (9992), Tencent Music (1698), and Sino Land (83).
Cusson Leung, Chief Investment Officer at KGI, says: “2026 marks a crucial turning point for the Chinese economy. While the market anticipates GDP growth to slow to 4.6%, “new quality productive forces,” resembling humanoid robots, is taking over as a new growth engine. The most critical signal in the market is the “awakening” of idle cash—massive savings are flowing from low-interest fixed deposits to the capital market seeking returns. With risk appetite returning and policy support intensifying, now is the time to shift investment strategies from “defensive” to “growth.” Driven by both valuation repair and earnings growth, we are optimistic that the Hang Seng Index will reach 30,000 points, and the allocation value of Hong Kong and mainland China stocks has reappeared.”
Taiwan Market
Compared to the dot-com era bull run, which lasted almost five years, the current AI frenzy has been around for about three years, suggesting that the uptrend is still in its middle phase and could extend through 2026.
AI plays are trading at high PEs, such valuations are backed by strong fundamentals. In fact, the PEG ratio of Taiwan’s AI supply chain has yet to surpass 1x. We estimate that aggregate earnings of AI plays will grow by 21% YoY in 2026, following impressive upticks of 35% in 2024 and 43% in 2025. AI stocks now account for more than 60% of TAIEX earnings, and with the ongoing AI arms race, overall TAIEX earnings growth is projected to accelerate from 14% in 2025F to 20% in 2026.
Although the AI frenzy should keep the bull market intact, volatility will rise in tandem due to: (1) substantial cumulative gains, and the fact that valuations are approaching historic highs; (2) policy and political uncertainty surrounding the US midterm elections; and (3) potential changes in the US Fed’s rate-cut pace. We expect the TAIEX to repeat a “smile-curve” pattern, featuring continued strength in 1Q26, followed by healthy corrections in 2Q-3Q26 before closing the year with a renewed upswing.
We think investors need to pay attention to two major themes. The first is a broad-based product spec upgrade trend across the AI supply chain, which will drive the industry into a new growth phase, with beneficiaries including foundries, GPU and ASIC designers, advanced packaging (such as CoWoS), and ODMs, as well as testing interfaces, memory, thermal solutions, CCL, ABF substrates, PCBs, switches, and power component suppliers amid strong AI computing demand and ongoing GPU platform upgrades. The second is diversification and defensive asset allocation. Innovations in consumer electronics, such as foldable iPhones and smart wearables, will provide growth opportunities, while companies with resilient domestic demand and stable high dividend yields offer a balanced strategy combining growth and income. Overall, investors should strike a balance between growth and resilience against volatility in their portfolios, in the face of market fluctuations.
James Chu, Chairman at KGI Securities Investment Advisory, says: “The solid earnings growth driven by AI and still reasonable valuations form a strong foundation for the ongoing bull market in Taiwanese equities. With AI adoption accelerating across enterprises and consumers, demand for computing power is rising rapidly. Yet supply remains constrained by chip and power bottlenecks, meaning hardware suppliers are likely to face continued shortages through 2026. Taiwan’s AI supply chain is set to remain a key beneficiary, particularly those tied to next-generation specification upgrades.”
Singapore Market
In 9M25, the overall performance of Singapore’s economy was better than expected as the global trade tensions eased after the US pivoted on its reciprocal tariffs and reached deals with its major trading partners. The manufacturing, wholesale trade and finance & insurance sectors remained the growth pillars of the Singapore economy, and each sector delivered decent growth. In particular, manufacturing’s growth has been robust, driven by the electronics, transport engineering and biomedical manufacturing clusters. The full year outlook is upbeat, as the growth momentum shall continue till the end of the year.
Looking ahead, the global economic outlook for 2026 suggests slower GDP growth for most of Singapore’s key trading partners, including China and the Eurozone, largely due to the impact of US tariffs, which will temper demand for Southeast Asian exports, though US growth is expected to remain resilient from AI investment. Consequently, Singapore’s outward-oriented sectors, particularly manufacturing and trade-related services, are projected to expand at a slower pace than in 2025, although the electronics and related sectors will benefit from AI demand, while some precision engineering and biomedical output may moderate domestically, the construction sector is set to grow, but consumer-facing sectors are likely to remain subdued. However, the relatively low interest rates and continuous government support shall buffer the impact of the slowdown, and the capital market will still benefit from the upward re-rating catalysts.
Chen Guangzhi, Head of Research at KGI Singapore, says: “Thanks to trade de-escalation and the AI wave, Singapore experienced significant economic expansion in 2025. Proactive government initiatives turbo-charged the equity bull run, and this strong momentum is expected to deliver an optimistic economic outlook for 2026.”
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KGI
KGI* has been a leading financial institution in Asia since 1997. Our scope of business encompasses wealth management, brokerage, fixed income, and asset management. We are committed to offering a comprehensive range of financial products and services to corporate, institutional, and individual clients throughout Asia. Backed by KGI Financial Group, we have a robust footprint in Asia, covering Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, Indonesia, and Thailand^.
*KGI refers to KGI Asia Limited and its affiliates.
^an investee enterprise of KGI Securities, not a subsidiary.
Representing an Increase of approximately 11.6%
HONG KONG SAR – Media OutReach Newswire – 13 January 2026 – BBSB International Limited (“BBSB” or the Company”, together with its subsidiaries, the “Group”; stock code: 8610.HK), an established civil engineering contractor in Malaysia, announces its successful listing on the GEM of The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited (“SEHK”) today.
The closing price of BBSB’s shares was HK$0.67 per share. The highest share price of the day was HK$3.11 per share. On its first trading day, trading volume of the shares of BBSB reached approximately 120 million with a total turnover of approximately HK$180 million.
Lego Corporate Finance Limited is the Sole Sponsor. Lego Securities Limited is the Sole Overall Coordinator. Lego Securities Limited and Fortune Origin Securities Limited are the Joint Bookrunners and Joint Lead Managers.
Datuk Tan, Chairman of the Board and Executive Director of the Group, said, “The successful listing of the Group’s shares on the GEM of the SEHK today signifies a major milestone in the Group’s development, while also reflecting investors’ strong confidence in our business and future prospects. Looking ahead, we will continue to capitalise on our professional expertise in the civil engineering sector, actively seize development opportunities in Malaysia and other regions and remain dedicated to maximising value for our shareholders.”
Hashtag: #BBSB #IPO #Trading
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BBSB International Limited
BBSB International Limited is a civil engineering contractor in Malaysia with over 16 years of experience, specialising in providing bridge engineering services for large-scale transportation infrastructure engineering projects owned or initiated by the government or government-linked companies in Malaysia. The Group has strategically expanded its civil engineering works to include flood mitigation works. The Group has participated in a number of notable transportation infrastructure engineering projects in Malaysia, such as Eastern Dispersal Link, Duta-Ulu Kelang Expressway, Damansara-Shah Alam Elevated Expressway and the SUKE Highway. The Group currently holds a CIDB Grade G7 qualification in Category CE (Civil Engineering Construction), Category B (Building Construction) and Category ME (Mechanical and Electrical) in Malaysia, which is the highest grade of contractor licence under the Construction Industry Development Board of Malaysia, allowing it to undertake civil and structural works of unlimited tender/contract value.
Media OutReach
Swiss-Belhotel International Strengthens Africa Portfolio with the Launch of The Gama by Swiss-Belhotel, Kilimani, Nairobi
Scheduled to open within the next 12 months, The Gama by Swiss-Belhotel, is strategically located in Kilimani, one of Nairobi’s most dynamic and sought-after districts. It features 155 well-appointed guest rooms, complemented by an extensive range of lifestyle and business facilities, including two food and beverage outlets, a fully equipped gym, a rooftop swimming pool, a dedicated ladies’ sauna, and expansive ballroom and meeting facilities.
Dr. Sheikh Mohamed Shakul, CEO of Albushra Real Estate Limited, said: “The Gama by Swiss-Belhotel represents a bold and future-focused development for Nairobi. Our vision was to create a modern hospitality and lifestyle destination that reflects the energy of the city while meeting the evolving expectations of today’s traveller. Partnering with Swiss-Belhotel International, with its global expertise and strong operational standards, ensures that this project will set a new benchmark in the market.”
Mr. Gavin M. Faull, Chairman and President of Swiss-Belhotel International, added: “The launch of The Gama by Swiss-Belhotel marks a significant milestone for our group as we introduce a new brand to our global portfolio. Africa continues to be a key focus market for Swiss-Belhotel International, and Nairobi, in particular, offers tremendous potential. This signing reflects our confidence in the city’s long-term growth and our commitment to delivering brands that are relevant, contemporary, and market-driven.”
Highlighting the strategic importance of the project, Mr. Laurent A. Voivenel, SVP – Operations & Development, EMEA and India, Swiss-Belhotel International, stated: “The Gama by Swiss-Belhotel has been carefully conceptualised to resonate with the next generation of travellers – those seeking authenticity, smart design, and social connectivity without compromising on comfort or service quality. This signing not only strengthens our footprint in Kenya but also underscores our broader expansion strategy across Africa and emerging markets.”
Hashtag: #swissbelhotel #swissbelhotelinternational #thegamabyswiss-belhotel #hotelkenya #hotelnairobi #kenya #nairobi
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