AfCFTA to Increase Africa’s Export by $560bn—Mene

By Adedapo Adesanya

The African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) has the potential to increase Africa’s export by $560 billion, mostly in the manufacturing sector.

This was the view of Mr Wamkele Mene, the Secretary-General of AfCFTA at the Africa Special Day hosted by the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI) at the ongoing Lagos International Trade Fair (LITF) in Lagos.

He said that the manufacturing sector was exactly what Africa needed for transformative production capacity to take place, noting that intra-Africa exports are projected to increase by 81 per cent, while the AfCFTA may generate combined business spending of $600 trillion by 2030.

He said: “The AfCFTA could not have come at a better time, currently as evident by several reports, the continent accounts for just two per cent of global trade and less than three per cent of global output.

“Intra-African exports are less than 18 per cent compared to 59 per cent for Asia and almost 70 per cent for Europe.

“The AfCFTA presents the potential for market expansions supported by value addition from manufacturing across the African continent.

“AfCFTA offers West Africa the opportunity to expand to new dynamic markets in East Africa, Southern and North Africa.”

Mr Mene explained that the AfCFTA would create the largest free trade area in the world, connecting 1.3 billion people across 55 countries with a combined Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of close to $3.4 trillion.

He also explained that the AfCFTA would address some of the bottlenecks in intra-Africa trade.

“The AfCFTA is to reduce cost and integrate further into global supply chains, establishing regional value chains and richer supply chains.

“By the 13th year, we will be eliminating 97 per cent of goods traded in Africa, eliminate long-term barriers, which for so long limited Africa’s ability to boost intra-Africa trade, simplifying household procedures and facilitating trade across borders and beyond.

“AfCFTA will address the movement of business persons, investment projections and intellectual property owners.

“A report by the World Bank showed that the AfCFTA can boost the regional income by 7 per cent and lift 30 million Africans from extreme poverty and 70 million Africans out of moderate poverty by the year 2035,” he said.

He also spoke on Nigeria’s contributions to the implementation of the AfCFTA as Africa’s largest economy.

Mr Mene said that the Micro Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) had been the drivers of intra-African trade and highlighted the roles of the private sector in the successful implementation of the AfCFTA.

The President of the LCCI, Mrs Toki Magbogunje, on her part, said that Africa Day was to showcase Africa’s potential in natural resources, rich culture, large market among others.

Mr Magbogunje said that LCCI believed that intra-African trade, networking, capacity building, and technology transfer are critical to facilitating the integration of African economies, highlighting the benefits of the African Hub Initiative.

“No doubt, AfCFTA has the potential to accelerate the socio-economic development of the African continent.

“We are of the firm belief that a well-implemented AfCFTA will stimulate economic growth through linkage opportunities in trade, commerce, and industry to generate job opportunities, and help to facilitate the economic diversification of African economies.

“Estimations by the United Nations Economic Commission for Africa (UNECA) revealed that AfCFTA can expand Africa’s manufacturing output to $930 billion by 2025, from $500 billion in 2019.

“The Brookings Institution sees Africa’s economic size rising to $6.7 trillion by 2030 from $3.4 billion in 2019 on the back of a well-implemented AfCFTA,” she said.

Mrs Magbogunje, however, called for urgent attention to address some issues surrounding the AfCFTA which include the establishment of special economic zones; rules around the rules of origin; creating value addition, conclude pending negotiations among others.