Economy
Implication of Emefiele’s Reappointment on Financial Markets
By United Capital Research
Last week, President Buhari reappointed the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Governor, Godwin Emefiele, for another 5-year term in office.
The reappointment, which was confirmed by a letter sent to the Senate for legislative confirmation, marks the first key strategic economic decision made by President Buhari since his re-election in February 2019.
Analysing market reactions to the news, the fixed income market responded somewhat positive as yields on fixed income instruments on Friday (a day after the announcement) trended lower across board, owing to increased demand by foreign investors evident in the high influx of FX recorded on the I & E window during this period.
Notably, the total amount of FX traded on the window on Friday settled at $367.2 million, accounting for 37.8 percent of the total FX turnover for the week.
For the equities, the bearish theme that characterized the market, even before the announcement, continued, as the All-Share Index dipped further by 0.2 percent on Friday, predicating a weaker YTD return of -8.2 percent.
Overall, the reappointment of the CBN governor signals stability in the monetary policy environment and points to further support a consistent exchange rate policy, which could predicate increased confidence for fixed income investors.
Nonetheless, the likelihood for reforms to stay tepid implies that activities in the equity market may continue bearish in the interim.
Economy
Profit-taking in Heavyweight Stocks Pulls Back Nigerian Exchange by 0.50%
By Dipo Olowookere
The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited was further pulled back by 0.50 per cent on Tuesday as a result of profit-taking in some heavyweight stocks.
Like the preceding session, the key sectors of Customs Street were depressed yesterday, with the banking index down by 2.82 per cent. The consumer goods declined by 0.52 per cent, the insurance space lost 0.10 per cent, and the energy counter shrank by 0.03 per cent, while the industrial goods segment was flat.
Consequently, the All-Share Index (ASI) eased by 1,437.54 points to 241,984.80 points from 243,422.34 points, and the market capitalisation contracted by N922 billion to N155.204 trillion from N156.126 trillion.
The worst-performing stock was International Energy Insurance, which gave up 10.00 per cent to close at N5.76. Vitafoam dipped by 10.00 per cent to N189.00, Austin Laz crashed by 9.93 per cent to N3.90, SUNU Assurances depleted by 9.82 per cent to N3.58, and Sovereign Trust Insurance lost 8.37 per cent to finish at N2.30.
On the flip side, Conoil gained 9.79 per cent to trade at N213.00, Prestige Assurance also expanded by 9.79 per cent to N1.57, Neimeth jumped 9.74 per cent to N8.45, eTranzact chalked up 9.40 per cent to close at N16.30, and Cornerstone Insurance improved by 9.09 per cent to N5.40.
The bourse witnessed heavy sell-offs in some equities, with Sterling Holdings recording the sale of 100.9 million units worth N782.8 million to lead the activity log. UAC Nigeria transacted 49.4 million units valued at N9.1 billion, Access Holdings sold 28.8 million units for N699.3 million, Zenith Bank exchanged 29.4 million units worth N3.0 billion, and GTCO traded 20.2 million units valued at N2.7 billion.
At the close of transactions, market participants bought and sold 535.5 million shares worth N36.8 billion in 55,123 deals compared with 569.1 million shares valued at N31.4 billion traded in 77,652 deals on Monday. This implied that the trading value went up by 17.20 per cent, while the trading volume and the number of deals went down by 5.90 per cent and 29.01 per cent, respectively.
Economy
Naira Weakens to N1,357/$1 at Official Market, N1,385/$1 at Black Market
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira suffered a 0.55 per cent or 91 Kobo loss against the US Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Tuesday, June 16, closing at N1,357.18 /$1 compared with the previous day’s N1,356.27/$1.
It also weakened against the Pound Sterling at the official market during the session by N11.53 to trade at N1,820.39/£1 versus Monday’s rate of N1,808.86/£1, but appreciated against the Euro by N2.06 to quote at N1,573.79/€1 versus the preceding session’s N1,575.85/€1.
In the black market, the Nigerian currency crashed against the Dollar yesterday by N5 to sell for N1,385/$1, in contrast to the N1,380/$1 it was traded a day earlier, and at the GTBank FX desk, it traded flat at N1,373/$1.
Nigeria’s gross external reserves surged to $50.505 billion, the highest international Dollar balance since January 2009, affirming expectations that the local currency will remain along a stable band. The FX reserves position was buoyed by inflows from oil sales.
In its Article IV consultation report on Nigeria, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said that the Naira remains significantly undervalued despite recent gains from FX reforms. It noted that its Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) assessment showed the local currency was still trading below levels supported by the country’s economic fundamentals, saying the Naira should have traded around N1,142.04/$1 using the end-of-2025 exchange rate benchmark, or N1,130.88/$1 when calculated using the average exchange rate for the year.
As for the cryptocurrency market, prices showed renewed risk appetite as total 24-hour trading volume jumped 51 per cent to $207 billion, open interest rose 2.4 per cent to $113.41 billion, and liquidations surged 64 per cent to $561 million, with shorts accounting for the bulk of the forced exits, according to Coindesk data.
Cardano (ADA) slid 2.7 per cent to $0.1731, Binance Coin (BNB) slumped 1.6 per cent to $605.80, Ripple (XRP) declined by 1.5 per cent to $1.22, Bitcoin (BTC) fell 0.8 per cent to $65,739.70, Dogecoin (DOGE) also tumbled by 0.6 per cent to $0.0873, and TRON (TRX) depreciated by 0.6 per cent to $0.3166.
However, Ethereum (ETH) grew by 0.5 per cent to $1,795.40, and Solana (SOL) rose by 0.2 per cent to $73.81, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 apiece.
Economy
Brent Crude Falls Below $80 as Middle East Peace Deal Eases Risk
By Adedapo Adesanya
The price of Brent crude fell below $80 per barrel following a 5 per cent slide for a second day in a row as details emerged of an interim deal to end the war in the Middle East and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, including an agreement to allow Iran to sell oil on Tuesday.
Brent futures lost $4.21 or 5.1 per cent yesterday to settle at $78.96 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell $4.70 or 5.8 per cent to $76.05 per barrel.
Details of the interim deal to end the war began to emerge on Tuesday, with US President Donald Trump saying it will rule out a nuclear weapon for Iran. He said the text of the deal states clearly that Iran will not have a nuclear weapon, and the full agreement would be made public in a formal setting in a few days.
Speaking at the G7 meetings in France, the American President added that he liked the idea of sending the Iran deal to Congress for review, a request by some Republican lawmakers.
According to Reuters, a senior US official said the deal allows Iran to immediately begin selling oil and fuel, and included banking, transportation and insurance services to facilitate the sales. The official added the agreement has conditions.
The deal would extend a tenuous ceasefire announced in April by another 60 days and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, which Iran has effectively blocked since the US and Israel first attacked Iran.
Under the agreement, Iran will be allowed to immediately resume oil and fuel sales, according to the Wall Street Journal, along with the banking, insurance, and shipping services needed to move those cargoes. The deal effectively reconnects one of the world’s largest oil producers to global energy markets overnight.
The market is also betting that traffic through Hormuz will normalise, easing fears over a chokepoint that normally handles roughly a fifth of global oil flows.
The speed of the decline highlights just how much of crude’s rally had become tied to geopolitical risk.
Other factors weighing on oil prices included worries about China’s economy, rising global inflation and interest rates, and US calls for peace between Russia and Ukraine.
The American Petroleum Institute (API) estimated that crude oil inventories in the United States fell by 8.33 million barrels in the week ending June 12. Official data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) will be released later on Wednesday.
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