Economy
Oil Drops on Rise in US Dollar After Steady Rate
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil prices depreciated on Wednesday on a rising US Dollar after the US Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady as expected but signalled a possible hike.
Brent futures fell by 39 cents or 0.5 per cent to settle at $84.63 a barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude declined by 58 cents or 0.7 per cent to close at $80.44 per barrel.
The US lender, which started raising interest rates in March 2022, held rates steady but left the door open to a further increase due to a strong US economy.
The US central bank boss, Mr Jerome Powell, said the situation remained something of a riddle, with officials willing to raise rates again if progress on inflation stalls.
He said the better course of action for now, given the uncertainties, was to maintain the benchmark overnight interest rate in the current 5.25 per cent -5.50 per cent range and see how job and price data evolve between now and the next policy meeting in December.
Interest rate hikes can slow economic growth and dampen oil demand.
The US Dollar rose to a four-week high against a basket of other currencies.
A strong Dollar makes it more expensive to buy fuel using other currencies, pressuring prices.
Crude futures were also pressured by an increase in US crude stocks last week as refiners undergoing seasonal maintenance restarted units more slowly than expected to avoid even larger gasoline stock builds.
The Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported an inventory build of a modest 800,000 barrels for the week to October 27.
A day earlier, the American Petroleum Institute (API) had estimated an inventory increase of 1.35 million barrels for the period, also reporting declines in gasoline and distillate stocks.
The EIA’s latest weekly estimate compares with a crude oil inventory build of 1.4 million barrels for the third week of October.
Meanwhile, efforts to contain the conflict in the Middle East appear to be productive, leading to a decline in the war premium to oil benchmarks.
Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei called on Muslim states to cease oil and food exports to Israel, demanding an end to its bombardment of the Gaza Strip.
Economy
NGX Rallies 0.53% as Airtel Africa, First Holdco Top Gainers’ Log
By Dipo Olowookere
The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited further appreciated by 0.53 per cent on Tuesday on the back of strong appetite for some large and mid-cap equities.
During the session, Airtel Africa led the gainers’ log after it appreciated by 10.00 per cent to sell for N4,021.20, International Energy Insurance grew by 9.90 per cent to N8.77, Abbey Mortgage Bank advanced by 9.76 per cent to N11.25, Infinity Trust Mortgage Bank improved by 9.63 per cent to N10.25, and First Holdco surged by 8.49 per cent to N69.00.
Conversely, Learn Africa, Trans-Nationwide Express, Okomu Oil, Unilever Nigeria, and NAHCO lost 10.00 per cent each to trade at N9.45, N4.41, N1,575.00, N140.40, and N170.55, respectively.
Business Post reports that the bears and the bulls shared the spoils on the price movement index, after Customs Street ended with 33 price gainers and 33 price losers.
The bourse witnessed sell-offs yesterday, which caused three of the five key sectors to close in the red.
The industrial goods space lost 0.99 per cent, the consumer goods index declined by 0.83 per cent, and the energy sector shed 0.14 per cent.
However, a 1.33 per cent surge posted by the banking counter and the 0.24 per cent growth recorded by the insurance sector offset the losses.
As a result, the All-Share Index (ASI) went up by 990.55 points to 244,697.62 points from 243,707.07 points, and the market capitalisation increased by N636 billion to N156.944 trillion from N156.308 trillion.
A total of 1.3 billion stocks valued at N57.9 billion exchanged hands in 59,956 deals during the trading day versus the 717.2 million stocks worth N56.7 billion traded in 73,321 deals on Monday, indicating an improvement in the trading volume and value by 81.26 per cent and 2.12 per cent, respectively, and a shortfall in the number of deals by 18.23 per cent.
Sterling Holdings transacted 715.7 million shares for N5.4 billion, GTCO sold 49.2 million stocks worth N6.7 billion, FCMB exchanged 34.4 million equities valued at N412.8 million, Veritas Kapital traded 29.1 million shares worth N48.0 million, and Access Holdings exchanged 27.3 million stocks for N680.8 million.
Economy
Oil Market Falls 3% as Trump Signals Confidence in Iran Deal
By Adedapo Adesanya
The oil market fell about 3 per cent to a seven-week low on Tuesday after Iran and Israel said they had halted attacks on each other following an appeal from US President Donald Trump.
Brent futures dropped $2.80 or 3.0 per cent to settle at $91.45 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude slid $3.10 or 3.4 per cent to trade at $88.20 a barrel.
President Trump said he remained confident a deal with Iran could be reached soon, even as many expressed scepticism. He also said Iran shot down an American helicopter in the Strait of Hormuz, threatening retaliation.
Tensions were still simmering between Israel and Iran, after the two countries struck each other for the first time in weeks, and CNN noted that the American President had promised an impending deal on at least 37 occasions.
Meanwhile, the rift between the US president and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu widened further, complicating any agreement.
According to Reuters, Iran has so far held back from attacking even though Israel struck the historic port city of Tyre in southern Lebanon, killing at least eight people.
However, Iran continued to block most shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, which, before the war, carried a fifth of the world’s crude oil and liquefied natural gas. The US has imposed its own blockade of Iranian ports.
Market analysts noted that when the strait ultimately reopens, Iran and Oman will set new conditions for passage, including transit fees.
China’s May crude imports slumped 29 per cent to their lowest level in eight years, extending a sharp decline in the world’s largest oil importer that is helping keep a lid on global oil prices.
The American Petroleum Institute (API) estimated that crude oil inventories in the United States fell by 9.119 million barrels in the week ending June 5. Official data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) will be released later on Wednesday.
The EIA projected the Iran war would slash world petroleum production to an average of 99.0 million barrels per day in 2026, down from a record 106.1 million barrels per day in 2025. The agency also forecast that world oil demand would slide to 102.9 million barrels per day in 2026 from a record 104.0 million barrels per day in 2025.
Economy
IMF Warns Over Nigeria’s Proposed $5bn Swap Deal with First Abu Dhabi Bank
By Adedapo Adesanya
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned of risks surrounding Nigeria’s plan to borrow up to $5 billion through a derivatives agreement with First Abu Dhabi Bank.
In its latest Article IV review following the conclusion of its latest mission in Nigeria, the global lender said such transactions are often opaque and complex.
The Senate in April gave its approval to the agreement put forward by President Bola Tinubu, who said his administration intends to use proceeds from the total return swap to refinance expensive debt and pay for infrastructure.
“Our view is that the transactions in these types of structures carry risks. Usually they are opaque, so the terms are not always very transparent when we reviewed these instruments across countries,” according to the IMF’s mission chief in Nigeria, Mr Christian Ebeke.
Mr Ebeke said Nigeria could instead issue eurobonds to finance its deficits or other means to raise funding, including on concessional terms.
The Fund also praised Nigeria’s sweeping reforms, saying they had strengthened economic stability and investor confidence, but warned that the benefits had yet to reach millions of citizens and could be undermined by global shocks, including the Middle East conflict.
“Strong reforms over the past three years have yielded improved macroeconomic outcomes and built resilience. Still, conditions for many Nigerians remain difficult,” the IMF stated.
However, it cautioned that the reforms were also contributing to social strain, with poverty levels at 63 per cent and millions facing food insecurity, underscoring a widening gap between macro gains and household realities.
“Conditions remain difficult for many Nigerians, with poverty and food insecurity likely to worsen in the current external environment,” the IMF Executive Board stated.
The IMF said improved policy credibility and forex reforms had helped Nigeria regain access to international capital markets and attract portfolio inflows, while reducing risk premiums.
It, however, warned that reliance on volatile foreign portfolio investment poses rollover risks and urged a shift towards more stable, long-term capital such as foreign direct investment.
The lender also warned that non-performing loans had risen to eight per cent in the third quarter of 2025, above prudential limits.
The IMF then urged Nigerian authorities to accelerate structural reforms in electricity, infrastructure, agriculture and human capital development to drive inclusive growth and economic diversification.
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