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Economy

Attention Shifts to Dividend-Paying Stocks as Earnings Season Nears

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By Dipo Olowookere

In the first week, month, and quarter of 2024, dividend-paying stocks will be the toast of investors at the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited as the earnings season approaches.

From next month, a few companies listed on the stock exchange, like United Capital and Secure Electronic Technology, will begin to release their financial statements for the 2023 fiscal year, though more are expected in March and April 2024, especially those in the banking sector.

The performance of the equity market and the sharp price appreciation posted by some equities last year will spur investors to quickly buy shares of companies they are sure will declare dividends. These include Dangote Cement, Zenith Bank, GTCO, UBA, and MTN Nigeria, among others.

As the market resumes trading activity today, Tuesday, January 2, 2024, after a break on Monday for the New Year’s Day celebration, Business Post analysts expect a mixture of bargain-hunting and profit-taking.

However, the core activity expected today is portfolio rebalancing, as traders will want to take another look into their investment strategies, deciding whether to raise their risk level or not. This will make them to decide if to remain in the stock market or concentrate on the fixed-income market.

With the NGX outpacing inflation last year, gaining 45.90 per cent, and Transcorp Hotels surging by 1,022.9 per cent in the year, and others rising above 500 per cent, one may not need a seer to project where the decision will tilt.

But one of the major factors that would shape their decision on this is another look at the economic reforms of President Bola Tinubu. Investors will chew on his nationwide broadcast yesterday and see if they can go to the bank with his words.

The Nigerian economy has been struggling since he assumed office on May 29, 2023, especially after he declared an end to the payment of petrol subsidies.

A few weeks later, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) unified the exchange rates, and since then, the Naira has suffered, hitting its worst level of N1,099/$1 last month at the official market and selling above N1,300/$1 at a time in the parallel market in 2023, making the cost of goods and services rise, with inflation reaching 28.20 per cent in November.

In his speech yesterday, Mr Tinubu admitted that these two policy decisions have brought hardships to Nigerians but maintained they were in the best interest of the country.

“Over the past seven months of our administration, I have taken some difficult and yet necessary decisions to save our country from fiscal catastrophe.

“One of those decisions was the removal of fuel subsidies, which had become an unsustainable financial burden on our country for more than four decades.

“Another was the removal of the chokehold of a few people on our foreign exchange system that benefited only the rich and the most powerful among us.

“Without a doubt, these two decisions brought some discomfort to individuals, families, and businesses,” he said.

“Dear Compatriots, take this from me: the time may be rough and tough; however, our spirit must remain unbowed because tough times never last,” he added.

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Economy

Nigeria Accesses $1.5bn from UAE Lender’s $5bn Swap Deal

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria has received the first tranche of its $5 billion derivatives financing arrangement with the First Abu Dhabi Bank (FAB), the United Arab Emirates’ largest lender.

According to a Bloomberg report published on Friday, the federal government drew about $1.5 billion over the past two weeks through a Total Return Swap (TRS) transaction with the lender.

The report stated that Nigeria will provide naira-denominated securities valued at 133.3 per cent of the loan amount as collateral for the transaction, while international financial institutions continue to express concerns about the risks associated with such derivative-based financing structures.

The financing is expected to support the government’s debt management strategy by replacing more expensive borrowings while helping finance the country’s fiscal deficit.

The first tranche is priced at 395 basis points above the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR), rising to SOFR plus 400 basis points thereafter.

The transaction further expands Nigeria’s financial relationship with First Abu Dhabi Bank, which had earlier provided about $1.2 billion to support the construction of a section of the ongoing Lagos-Calabar Coastal Highway.

The swap deal has come with much scrutiny from critics and international organisations. Recall that the International Monetary Fund (IMF), after a consultation visit, warned Nigeria against the deal, noting that such transactions are ‌often opaque and complex.

“Our view is that the transactions in these types of structures carry risks. Usually they are opaque, so the terms are not always ⁠very transparent when we reviewed these instruments across countries,” according to the IMF’s mission chief in Nigeria, Mr Christian Ebeke.

Mr Ebeke said Nigeria could instead issue eurobonds to finance its deficits or other means to raise funding, including on concessional terms.

The Senate in April gave its approval to the agreement put forward by President Bola Tinubu, who said his administration intends to use proceeds from the total return swap to refinance expensive debt and pay for infrastructure.

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Economy

Nigeria Needs More Taxpayers, Not Higher Taxes—Oyedele

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By Adedapo Adesanya

The Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr Taiwo Oyedele, yesterday clarified that the federal government is not increasing taxes but making efforts to raise the tax net.

Mr Oyedele made this remark on Thursday while receiving a delegation from the Chartered Institute of Taxation of Nigeria (CITN) at his office in Abuja.

He hailed the institute for introducing a National Tax Awareness Day and for supporting the current tax reforms of the federal government.

The minister charged the institute to double its effort in public enlightenment, stressing that many Nigerians still view taxation as a means for the government to take money from citizens.

He reiterated that the priority of the government is not to increase tax rates but to broaden the tax base by ensuring that all eligible taxpayers meet their obligations.

“We are still not getting enough revenue from taxes.

“It is not about increasing taxes but making sure that those who are supposed to pay taxes. We want to promote fairness in tax administration,” he said.

Nigeria is challenged by the inability to generate adequate revenue from taxation despite ongoing reforms, stressing that a significant number of eligible taxpayers have yet to fulfil their civic obligations.

He said the challenge facing the country was not necessarily about raising tax rates but ensuring that individuals and businesses that ought to pay taxes do so in a fair and transparent system.

The minister also commended the institute for supporting the federal government’s tax reform agenda and promoting public understanding of taxation, but urged it to intensify its advocacy efforts, noting that many Nigerians still harbour misconceptions about taxation.

According to him, many citizens continue to view taxation merely as a tool for the government to take money from the people rather than as a critical instrument for national development.

“We are still not getting enough revenue from taxes. It is not about increasing taxes, but making sure that those who are supposed to pay taxes. We want to promote fairness in tax administration,” he added.

Mr Oyedele stressed that if Nigeria succeeds in building an efficient and equitable tax system, the impact on infrastructure, public services and economic development would be transformative, challenging the institute to introduce annual awards for the country’s most tax-compliant individuals and organisations as a means of encouraging voluntary compliance and recognising responsible taxpayers.

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Economy

Akara, Kulikuli, Roasted Corn Business Not Capital Intensive—Remi Tinubu

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​By Modupe Gbadeyanka

Nigeria’s First Lady, Mrs Oluremi Tinubu, has given Nigerians business advice that may not involve a lot of money to start.

Speaking with newsmen recently, the wife of President Bola Tinubu said businesses like akara (fried bean cake), kulikuli (a crunchy snack from roasted peanuts or groundnuts) and roasted corn can be set up without breaking the bank.

She disclosed that to support her husband’s Renewed Hope agenda, she has provided funding packages to traders and others to the tune of N3.5 billion.

“To start akara business doesn’t take a lot of money. To start roasting corn and kuli-kuli doesn’t take much. We didn’t give them a loan; we gave it to them as a grant,” she stated.

She further said, “We’ve encouraged Nigerians as best as we could, what is within our hands, I have given, and I keep giving. Those are the things we’ve done.”

“I remember giving for TB (tuberculosis) when I heard of many TB cases; I gave N2 billion, to breast cancer, I gave N1 billion, and to [tackle] malnutrition, I gave N500 million.

“These are the things we’ve been doing to assist the government. So, we’ve had impact in agriculture, social investment, education (as scholarship and ICT training) and others. We are still open to doing more,” she disclosed.

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