World
International Food Prices Dip Further in January 2024—FAO
By Adedapo Adesanya
Global food prices fell further in January 2024, mainly on lower wheat and maize prices, according to the latest data from the United Nations’ Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO).
The FAO Food Price Index (FFPI), which is used to gauge aggregate pricing, stood at 118.0 points in January 2024, down 1.2 points (1.0 per cent) from its revised December level.
Decreases in the price indices for cereals and meat more than offset an increase in the sugar price index, while those for dairy and vegetable oils only registered slight adjustments. The index stood 13.7 points (10.4 per cent) below its corresponding value one year ago.
The FAO Cereal Price Index averaged 120.1 points in January, down 2.7 points (2.2 per cent) from December and as much as 27.4 points (18.6 per cent) from its January 2023 value.
Global wheat export prices declined in January, driven by continued strong competition among exporters and the arrival of recently harvested supplies in the southern hemisphere countries. Maize export prices fell sharply month-on-month, reflecting improved crop conditions and the start of the harvest in Argentina as well as larger supplies in the United States of America following an upward revision of its production estimates.
In tandem with wheat and maize prices, world prices of barley and sorghum also decreased in January.
By contrast, the FAO All Rice Price Index increased by a further 1.2 per cent in January, largely reflecting a rise in prices of higher quality Indica rice due to a strong pace of Thai and Pakistani shipments and additional purchases by Indonesia.
The FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index averaged 122.5 points in January, up marginally by 0.2 points (0.1 per cent) from the previous month, but still 17.9 points (12.8 per cent) below its January 2023 reading. The steadiness in the price index month-on-month reflected the combined effects of higher global palm and sunflower seed oil prices offsetting lower soy and rapeseed oil quotations.
International palm oil prices increased moderately in January, primarily underpinned by seasonally lower production in major producing countries and concerns over unfavourable weather conditions in Malaysia. Meanwhile, world sunflower seed oil quotations edged up, driven by increased import demand, particularly from Turkey.
By contrast, international soy and rapeseed oil prices declined on account of, respectively, prospects for large supplies from South America and lingering ample availabilities in Europe.
The FAO Dairy Price Index averaged 118.9 points in January, virtually unchanged from its revised December value and standing 25.8 points (17.8 per cent) below its value in the corresponding month a year ago.
In January, international price quotations for butter and whole milk powder (WMP) increased, nearly offsetting declines in those for skim milk powder (SMP) and cheese. World butter prices rose due to increased demand from Asian buyers, coupled with more robust demand from the retail sector for replenishing stocks and lighter inventories in Western Europe.
Meanwhile, WMP prices also increased, reflecting increased demand for medium-term deliveries, especially by China, and seasonally falling production in New Zealand. By contrast, international prices of SMP and cheese declined as demand for spot supplies remained muted and immediate requirements of buyers were adequately covered.
The FAO Meat Price Index averaged 109.8 points in January, down 1.5 points (1.4 per cent) from December, marking the seventh consecutive monthly decline and standing 1.3 points (1.2 per cent) below its corresponding value last year. International price quotations for poultry meat fell further in January, underpinned by persistent subdued global demand and ample exportable availabilities in leading exporting countries.
Similarly, pig meat quotations declined slightly due to a drop in import purchases by China in line with rising national pig meat production and abundant supplies from some producing countries. World bovine meat prices also fell marginally, primarily reflecting high export supplies from Oceania and South America.
By contrast, international ovine meat prices increased on high global import demand and lower supplies of animals for slaughter in Oceania as recent rains have incentivised farmers to retain animals longer.
The FAO Sugar Price Index averaged 135.3 points in January, up 1.1 points (0.8 per cent) from December and 18.5 points (15.9 per cent) from its value a year ago. The increase in world sugar prices was mainly driven by concerns over the likely impact of below-average rains in Brazil on sugarcane crops to be harvested from April, coupled with the slow start of the new season and unfavourable production prospects in Thailand and India, two major producing countries.
However, large supplies from the recently completed harvest and lower returns from ethanol sales in Brazil, together with the weakening of the Brazilian Real against the United States Dollar, contributed to limiting the month-on-month increase in world sugar prices.
World
Russian Researchers Roadmap Africa’s Investment Sectors for Entrepreneurs
By Kestér Kenn Klomegâh
The Centre for Transition Economy Studies of the Institute for African Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences held a two-day scientific conference under the theme: “Industrial Development Strategies of African Countries” on March 18-19. The conference was opened by Professor Irina Abramova, Director of the Institute for African Studies. More than 40 researchers and experts from Russia, South Africa, Nigeria, Egypt and North Macedonia took part in the event.
The conference focused on a wide range of significant issues related to Africa’s industrial development, the modernisation of the African production base, and the potential for Russian-African cooperation. The in-person part of the conference focused on the development of the manufacturing and extractive industries, special economic zones, energy and transport infrastructure, digitalisation, and the agro-industrial complex. The second day of the conference was conducted as an online discussion in English, featuring African colleagues on the localisation of production chains in Africa, covering both agricultural and mineral processing.
Topics of the Conference included:
- Continental, regional and national programs and plans of industrial development in Africa. Prospects of continental and regional production chains.
- Study of the manufacturing market in African countries: manufacturing and agro-industrial complexes
- Energy, transport, and digitalisation: necessary infrastructure for industrial development.
- Interests of Multinational Corporations in Africa: conditions, forms of activities and geographical distribution. The role of free economic zones.
- Government policy regarding Multinational Corporations and control over export-import flows.
- The role of international organisations and activities of external actors.
- Possible areas and prospects for expanding mutually beneficial cooperation for Russian companies in Africa.
Experts in African studies from Russia, as well as representatives of the Russian government and business circles involved in trade and economic cooperation with African countries, actively participated. One of the significant outputs presented at the plenary session of the conference was the full-text on the African Development Strategy database created by Professors D. A. Degterev and A. D. Novikov, together with the staff of the IAS. The database covers more than 400 official strategic planning documents across 53 countries on the continent for the period 1997–2025. It systematises them under six thematic areas: long-term and medium-term development strategies, industrial policy, ICT, agriculture and the water sector.
The plenary session featured nine reports covering key dimensions of Africa’s industrial development. There were issues of trade and industrial potential of the continent that were highlighted in the report on the export specificity of African machine-building industries: based on ITC Trade Map data (2019–2024) that shows duties of South Africa, Tunisia, and industrial production, including on intracontinental markets.
Institutional mechanisms of Russian-African economic cooperation were reviewed in the report on the activities of Intergovernmental Commissions: the number of these ICC increased from four (4) in 2023 to nine (9) in 2025, and the volume of investment funds to support African projects is planned to increase, at least, to Rouble 5 billion for 2026–2027.
The conceptual dimension of financing industrialisation was presented through a critique of universal Western narratives and the justification for the need for an “application finance strategy”—a country model that takes into account the economy of Africa. Practical aspects of Russia’s investment presence in Africa are characterized on the example of projects in the countries of the Alliance of Sahel States (AES) with an emphasis on the specific risks of the subregion (DM Sinitsyn, VEB.RF). Digitalisation and artificial intelligence development in sub-Saharan African countries were also analysed and presented at the conference.
Russian-African cooperation in the field of technologies and education was covered in the reports on the transfer of agrobiotechnologies through the Afro-Russian Centre for Technology Development in Kampala, within which, in 2025/2026, this period, in which concretely 467 citizens of African countries were trained in Russian universities (NA Goncharova, FGBU “Agroexport”).
The competitive struggle of foreign players for African markets and the possibilities of Russian participation were considered in the reports on the position of the continent on the world energy markets, supplies of ground vehicles, and activities of pharmaceuticals for Africa. The digital dimension of industrialisation was covered by the reports on the cyber potential of West Africa, the formation of data processing centres in the industrial strategy of South Africa, and the digitalisation strategies of Algeria and Morocco.
The theme of most speeches, at the conference, became a reflection on the ‘disconnection’ between the proclaimed goals of industrialisation and the actual structure of African economies: despite the widespread proliferation of pre-national strategic documents, industries in the continent’s total GDP has not exceeded 10–12% for more than two decades, and exports still comprise mainly unprocessed raw materials.
In this regard, a number of reports justify the need to transition from external financial models formed by international organisations to sovereign country strategies based on state political, industrial and human resources. Global South—including, to deepen Russian-African cooperation in the spheres of technology, education and investment.
A collective monograph is, however, planned for publication following the conference. The event included the presentation of the full-text database on African development strategies, prepared by the team of the Institute for African Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences.
World
Court Finds Lafarge, Eight ex-Employees Guilty of Terrorism Financing
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
A court in Paris, France, has found notable French cement manufacturer, Lafarge, and eight of its former employees guilty of terrorism financing.
Delivering the judgment on Monday, Judge Isabelle Prevost-Desprez held that Lafarge paid some members of the Islamic State (IS or ISIS) in Syria about $6.5 million (€5.59 million; £4.83 million) between 2013 and 2014 to protect its plant operating in northern Syria.
The court said this action provided oxygen for the terror group to operate and carry out its violent acts.
The former chief executive of the company, Mr Bruno Lafont, was also found complicit and has been sentenced to six years.
“It is clear to the court that the sole purpose of the funding of a terrorist organisation was to keep the Syrian plant running for economic reasons. Payments to terrorist entities enabled Lafarge to continue its operations,” the judge said, adding that, “These payments took the form of a genuine commercial partnership with IS.”
The factory in Jalabiya, northern Syria, was bought by Lafarge in 2008 for $680 million and began operations in 2010, months before the civil war began in March 2011, following opposition to then-president Bashar al-Assad’s brutal repression of anti-government protests.
ISIS jihadists seized large swathes of Syria and neighbouring Iraq in 2014, declaring a so-called cross-border “caliphate” and implementing their brutal interpretation of Islamic law.
To keep its plant running and protect its employees, Lafarge, between 2013 and September 2014, paid about €800,000 to secure safe passage and €1.6 million to purchase source materials from quarries under the control of the jihadist groups.
According to the BBC, Lafarge acknowledged the court’s finding, which it said “concerns a legacy matter involving conduct that occurred more than a decade ago and was in flagrant violation of Lafarge’s code of conduct,” describing the decision as an “important milestone” in the company’s actions to “address this legacy matter responsibly.”
World
Afreximbank Grows Assets to $48.5bn as Profit Hits $1.2bn
By Adedapo Adesanya
African Export-Import Bank (Afreximbank) has posted a robust financial performance for the 2025 financial year, with total assets and contingencies climbing to $48.5 billion.
This further shows its growing influence in financing trade and development across Africa and the Caribbean.
The Cairo-based multilateral lender, in its audited results released on April 9, reported a 21 per cent surge in total assets from $40.1 billion in 2024, underscoring sustained balance sheet expansion despite global economic headwinds and rating concerns.
Net loans and advances rose by 16 per cent to $33.5 billion, driven by strong disbursements into critical sectors including manufacturing, infrastructure, food security and climate adaptation, areas seen as pivotal to Africa’s long-term economic resilience.
Profitability remained strong, with net income climbing 19 per cent to $1.2 billion, up from $973.5 million in the previous year. Gross income also edged higher by 6.06 per cent to $3.5 billion, reflecting steady revenue growth supported by the bank’s expanding portfolio of trade finance and advisory services.
Afreximbank maintained solid asset quality, with its non-performing loan (NPL) ratio at 2.43 per cent, broadly stable compared to 2.33 per cent in 2024. This performance highlights disciplined risk management even as lending volumes increased across diverse markets.
Liquidity remained a key strength. Cash and cash equivalents rose significantly to $6.0 billion from $4.6 billion, while liquid assets accounted for 14 per cent of total assets, comfortably above the bank’s internal minimum threshold of 10 per cent.
Shareholders’ funds grew 17 per cent to $8.4 billion, supported by the strong profit outturn and fresh equity inflows of $299.4 million under its General Capital Increase II programme. The bank’s capital adequacy ratio stood at 23 per cent, well above regulatory benchmarks, providing a solid buffer for future growth.
Operating expenses increased to $459.2 million from $367.7 million, reflecting staff expansion and inflationary pressures. However, Afreximbank retained cost discipline, with a cost-to-income ratio of 21 per cent, still significantly below its 30 per cent ceiling.
The bank successfully tapped international capital markets, raising over $800 million through Samurai and Panda bond issuances in Japan and China during the year. The move helped counter concerns raised by some rating agencies and reaffirmed Afreximbank’s strong funding access and credibility.
Commenting on the results, Senior Executive Vice President, Mrs Denys Denya, said the performance reflects resilience and strategic execution amid a challenging global environment.
“Despite continuing global geopolitical challenges and disruptions caused by some rating actions, the Group delivered excellent financial performance in 2025,” he said.
He noted that the results cap a decade of transformative leadership under the erstwhile President, Mr Benedict Oramah, with the bank already ahead of most targets under its Sixth Strategic Plan, which runs through 2026.
Mr Denya added that newer subsidiaries, including the Fund for Export Development in Africa (FEDA) and AfrexInsure, are now profitable, contributing to earnings growth and strengthening the group’s diversified structure.
“The Group’s balance sheet is at its strongest level ever, with liquidity levels and capitalisation well above target and good asset quality,” he said.
Afreximbank said it is entering the 2026 financial year with strong momentum, positioning itself to scale impact, deepen trade integration and drive value addition across “Global Africa.”
Return metrics remained stable, with return on average equity at 15 per cent and return on average assets improving slightly to 3.04 per cent, signalling efficient use of capital.
With a fortified balance sheet, rising profitability and sustained investor confidence, Afreximbank said it is firmly on track to consolidate its role as a key engine of trade-led growth across the continent.
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