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Accelerating New Investments in Nigeria’s Multi-Billion-Dollar Electricity Sector

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Electricity Sector

After more than a decade of reforms and continuous repositioning of Nigeria’s electricity sector to attract private investments, the outlook remains positive and bullish but not much traction has been gained. While it appears that investors are seeking footholds in the sector, efforts must be intensified by stakeholders to accelerate and accommodate these new potential investments.

As Nigeria strides forward to consolidate its pride of place as Africa’s economic powerhouse, configuring its power supply architecture for optimum performance remains critical to realizing the lofty goal of an economic resurgence.

Nigeria’s electricity sector presents a significant untapped investment potential, given the country’s vast energy needs and the current supply deficit. While estimating the precise investment potential is challenging due to various factors, several reports and analyses provide insights into the magnitude of opportunities available.

Power generation investment potential According to the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC), the country requires an estimated investment of $3.5 billion yearly over the next 20 years to achieve its desired power generation capacity. This translates to a potential investment of $70 billion in the generation segment alone.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) estimates that Nigeria needs to invest approximately $10 billion in its transmission and distribution networks to improve the reliability and efficiency of the electricity supply chain. Nigeria’s renewable energy potential, particularly in solar and hydropower, remains largely untapped.

The Rural Electrification Agency (REA) estimates that the country’s solar potential alone is around 25,000 megawatts (MW), requiring an investment of $23 billion to harness this potential fully.

The Nigerian Electrification Project (NEP), supported by the World Bank, also aims to attract $350 million in investments for off-grid and mini-grid solutions, targeting the electrification of underserved communities and remote areas. However, while the allure of renewable energy solutions is undeniable, the existing infrastructure needs more immediate attention, and optimizing it offers a pragmatic and potentially more immediate pathway to improving the overall efficiency and reliability of the electricity sector.

According to the African Development Bank (AfDB), Nigeria’s overall power sector requires an estimated investment of $100 billion over the next decade to address the current supply deficit and meet the country’s growing energy demands, while these estimates may vary based on different assumptions, scenarios, and timelines.

However, even with conservative estimates, the untapped investment potential in Nigeria’s electricity sector remains substantial, ranging from tens to hundreds of billions of dollars across various segments of the value chain.

For serious and ready investors looking to tap into the Nigerian electricity sector, there are several “low-hanging fruits” or relatively low-risk, high-potential opportunities that can be explored. Beyond the core generation, transmission, and distribution activities, several ancillary services also offer investment opportunities.

With the persistent power supply challenges faced by industries and commercial establishments, there is a significant demand for embedded generation solutions.

Investors can establish captive power plants or independent power projects (IPPs) specifically designed to cater to the energy needs of industrial clusters, estates, or large commercial complexes. This approach mitigates transmission and distribution risks while providing a dedicated and reliable power supply to customers.

The recently commissioned Geometric Power Plant in Aba, Abia State, serves as a compelling case study on how effective investment in power generation and distribution can buoy manufacturing and industrial hubs across Nigeria.

Aba, once the thriving commercial hub of south-eastern Nigeria, had suffered from a prolonged power crisis that crippled its once-vibrant industrial sector. However, the recent commissioning of the $142 million Geometric Power Plant, a 141MW integrated power project, has ushered in a new era of hope and economic revival for the city.

The Geometric Power Plant, a collaborative effort between the Abia State Government and private investors, has provided a reliable and cost-effective power supply to the Aba industrial cluster. This has had a profound impact on the region’s manufacturing sector, addressing one of the critical bottlenecks that had stifled its growth for decades.

The Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) has also introduced a distribution franchising model that allows private investors to operate and manage specific distribution areas within the existing Distribution Companies (DisCos) networks.

This model presents an opportunity for investors to focus on improving service delivery, reducing losses, and enhancing revenue collection in targeted areas, potentially leading to better returns on investment. Promoting energy efficiency and demand-side management can help reduce the strain on Nigeria’s electricity supply chain.

Investors can partner with utilities or technology providers to implement energy efficiency programs, deploy energy-efficient technologies, or offer demand response services to industrial and commercial customers. These projects can generate revenue streams while contributing to the overall sustainability of the electricity sector.

Integrating smart grid technologies, such as advanced metering infrastructure (AMI), grid automation, and outage management systems, can significantly improve the efficiency and reliability of the electricity supply chain.

Investors can partner with utilities or technology providers to deploy these solutions, leveraging the growing demand for modernization and digitalization in the sector. In remote areas or underserved communities where grid extension is challenging, investors can explore the development of mini-grid systems or off-grid solutions powered by renewable energy sources.

These projects provide access to electricity and contribute to rural electrification and economic development. To capitalize on these investment opportunities, investors must carefully assess the regulatory environment, market dynamics, and risk factors associated with each value chain.

Partnering with experienced local firms, engaging with relevant stakeholders, and leveraging available government incentives and development finance can further enhance the viability and success of investments in Nigeria’s electricity sector.

In 2013, the Nigerian government embarked on a comprehensive privatization program, unbundling the state-owned Power Holding Company of Nigeria (PHCN) and selling majority stakes in generation and distribution companies to private investors. This move aimed to introduce competition, improve efficiency, and attract much-needed capital into the sector.

However, key attention has to be paid to the plethora of challenges and opportunities that continue to define this critical sector, such as revamping an underwhelmed infrastructure and retooling power-generating and delivery vehicles with 21st-century technology and management efficiency.

On the government’s side, removing bureaucratic bottlenecks and stabilizing the Naira to safeguard investments, need to be prioritized to boost investor confidence. The Nigerian Bulk Electricity Trading Plc (NBET) continues to play a critical role in the Nigerian electricity sector ecosystem, and its functions directly benefit investors in several ways.

As an off-taker and bulk purchaser, the NBET acts as the off-taker and bulk purchaser of electricity from generation companies (GenCos) in Nigeria. It enters into Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) with GenCos and buys their generated electricity in bulk, which it then resells to distribution companies (DisCos) through vesting contracts.

Another primary role of NBET is to provide creditworthiness and payment assurance to GenCos and independent power producers (IPPs). NBET’s strong financial backing, guarantees, and government support help mitigate the risk of non-payment or default, which is crucial for attracting investments in power generation projects.

NBET also facilitates the negotiation and execution of Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) between GenCos/IPPs and DisCos. These long-term PPAs provide revenue certainty and predictability for investors, enabling them to secure financing and ensure the viability of their power generation projects.

NBET also helps mitigate risks associated with the electricity market by acting as a buffer between GenCos and DisCos. It manages the payment and settlement processes, reducing the exposure of GenCos to the credit risk of individual DisCos and ensuring timely payments for electricity supplied.

By consolidating and managing the bulk purchase and resale of electricity, NBET helps stabilize the Nigerian electricity market. This stability and predictability create a more attractive environment for investors, as it reduces market volatility and uncertainty.

Overall, NBET’s role as a central counterparty in the Nigerian electricity market helps mitigate risks, provide payment assurances, facilitate project financing, and promote investments in energy generation projects. Its functions directly address some of the key challenges and concerns faced by investors in the sector, making it an essential component of the ecosystem.

Indeed, the federal government has established a robust Public-Private Partnership (PPP) framework to facilitate private sector participation in the development of power infrastructure.

This includes the establishment of the Infrastructure Concession Regulatory Commission (ICRC) and the National Integrated Infrastructure Master Plan (NIIMP).

The Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) has also implemented various reforms to improve the regulatory framework and attract investments. These include the introduction of cost-reflective tariffs, the development of a Transmission Expansion Plan, and the establishment of guidelines for independent power projects (IPPs) and embedded generation.

Despite being a major oil and gas producer, Nigeria’s electricity supply has consistently lagged behind demand, with a current installed capacity of 12,522MW but an available capacity of just 3,876MW as of Q3 2022.

This supply deficit, coupled with ageing infrastructure and inefficiencies in the transmission and distribution networks, has resulted in frequent power outages and a reliance on expensive off-grid solutions.

The current state of Nigeria’s electricity sector presents a complex challenge, but within this challenge lies a transformative opportunity. While inadequate and unreliable power supply hinders the nation’s progress, it also unveils a compelling investment frontier brimming with untapped potential. The statistics speak volumes.

The Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) reports that the nation’s industrial capacity stands at a mere 50%, far below its true potential. This underutilization stems primarily from the unreliable power supply, forcing many industries to rely on expensive and inefficient self-generation methods.

MAN further estimates that the manufacturing sector alone requires 10,000 MW to operate at full capacity, a demand that will only grow with intensifying industrialization efforts. However, these challenges are not insurmountable.

They paint a clear picture: Nigeria craves a robust and efficient electricity sector. This hunger for reliable power presents a lucrative opportunity for strategic investors seeking long-term returns and positive societal impact.

As Africa’s largest economy and most populous nation, Nigeria’s energy needs are vast and growing, creating a conducive environment for investors who are not only driven by profit but also passionate about supporting the nation’s sustainable and equitable development.

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Why Creativity is the New Infrastructure for Challenging the Social Order

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Professor Myriam Sidíbe

By Professor Myriam Sidíbe

Awards season this year was a celebration of Black creativity and cinema. Sinners directed by Ryan Coogler, garnered a historic 16 nominations, ultimately winning four Oscars. This is a film critics said would never land, which narrates an episode of Black history that had previously been diminished and, at some points, erased.

Watching the celebration of this film, following a legacy of storytelling dominated by the global north and leading to protests like #OscarsSoWhite, I felt a shift. A movement, growing louder each day and nowhere more evident than on the African continent. Here, an energetic youth—representing one-quarter of the world’s population—are using creativity to renegotiate their relationship with the rest of the world and challenge the social norms affecting their communities.

The Academy Awards held last month saw African cinema represented in the International Feature Film category by entries including South Africa’s The Heart Is a Muscle, Morocco’s Calle Málaga, Egypt’s Happy Birthday, Senegal’s Demba, and Tunisia’s The Voice of Hind Rajab.

Despite its subject matter, Wanuri Kahiu’s Rafiki, broke the silence and secrecy around LGBTQ love stories. In Kenya, where same sex relationships are illegal and loudly abhorred, Rafiki played to sold-out cinemas in the country’s capital, Nairobi, showing an appetite for home-grown creative content that challenges the status quo.

This was well exemplified at this year’s World Economic Forum in Davos when alcoholic beverages firm, AB InBev convened a group of creative changemakers and unlikely allies from the private sector to explore new ways to collaborate and apply creativity to issues of social justice and the environment.

In South Africa, AB inBev promotes moderation and addresses alcohol-related gender-based violence by partnering with filmmakers to create content depicting positive behaviours around alcohol. This strategy is revolutionising the way brands create social value and serve society.

For brands, the African creative economy represents a significant opportunity. By 2030, 10 per cent of global creative goods are predicted to come from Africa. By 2050, one in four people globally will be African, and one in three of the world’s youth will be from the continent.

Valued at over USD4 trillion globally (with significant growth in Africa), these industries—spanning music, film, fashion, and digital arts—offer vital opportunities for youth, surpassing traditional sectors in youth engagement.

Already, cultural and creative industries employ more 19–29-year-olds than any other sector globally. This collection of allies in Davos understood that “business as usual” is not enough to succeed in Africa; it must be on terms set by young African creatives with societal and economic benefits.

The key question for brands is: how do we work together to harness and support this potential? The answer is simple. Brands need courage to invest in possibilities where others see risk; wisdom to partner with those others overlook; and finally, tenacity – to match an African youth that is not waiting but forging its own path.

As the energy of the creative sector continues to gain momentum, I am left wondering: which brands will be smart enough to get involved in our movement, and who has what it takes to thrive in this new world?

Professor Sidíbe, who lives in Nairobi, is the Chief Mission Officer of Brands on a Mission and Author of Brands on a Mission: How to Achieve Social Impact and Business Growth Through Purpose.

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Why President Tinubu Must End Retirement Age Disparity Between Medical and Veterinary Doctors Now

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Tinubu Türkiye

By James Ezema

To argue that Nigeria cannot afford policy inconsistencies that weaken its already fragile public health architecture is not an exaggeration. The current disparity in retirement age between medical doctors and veterinary professionals is one such inconsistency—one that demands urgent correction, not bureaucratic delay.

The Federal Government’s decision to approve a 65-year retirement age for selected health professionals was, in principle, commendable. It acknowledged the need to retain scarce expertise within a critical sector. However, by excluding veterinary doctors and veterinary para-professionals—whether explicitly or by omission—the policy has created a dangerous gap that undermines both equity and national health security.

This is not merely a professional grievance; it is a structural flaw with far-reaching consequences.

At the heart of the issue lies a contradiction the government cannot ignore. For decades, Nigeria has maintained a parity framework that places medical and veterinary doctors on equivalent footing in terms of salary structures and conditions of service. The Consolidated Medical Salary Structure (CONMESS) framework recognizes both professions as integral components of the broader health ecosystem. Yet, when it comes to retirement policy, that parity has been abruptly set aside.

This inconsistency is indefensible.

Veterinary professionals are not peripheral actors in the health sector—they are central to it. In an era defined by zoonotic threats, where the majority of emerging infectious diseases originate from animals, excluding veterinarians from extended service retention is not only unfair but strategically reckless.

Nigeria has formally embraced the One Health approach, which integrates human, animal, and environmental health systems. But policy must align with principle. It is contradictory to adopt One Health in theory while sidelining a core component of that framework in practice.

Veterinarians are at the frontline of disease surveillance, outbreak prevention, and biosecurity. They play critical roles in managing threats such as anthrax, rabies, avian influenza, Lassa fever, and other zoonotic diseases that pose direct risks to human populations. Their contribution to safeguarding the nation’s livestock—estimated in the hundreds of millions—is equally vital to food security and economic stability.

Yet, at a time when their relevance has never been greater, policy is forcing them out prematurely.

The workforce realities make this situation even more alarming. Nigeria is already grappling with a severe shortage of veterinary professionals. In some states, only a handful of veterinarians are available, while several local government areas have no veterinary presence at all. Compelling experienced professionals to retire at 60, while their medical counterparts remain in service until 65, will only deepen this crisis.

This is not a theoretical concern—it is an imminent risk.

The case for inclusion has already been made, clearly and responsibly, by the Nigerian Veterinary Medical Association and the Federal Ministry of Livestock Development. Their position is grounded in logic, policy precedent, and national interest. They are not seeking special treatment; they are demanding consistency.

The current circular, which limits the 65-year retirement age to clinical professionals in Federal Tertiary Hospitals and excludes those in mainstream civil service structures, is both administratively narrow and strategically flawed. It fails to account for the unique institutional placement of veterinary professionals, who operate largely outside hospital settings but are no less critical to national health outcomes.

Policy must reflect function, not merely location.

This is where decisive leadership becomes imperative. The responsibility now rests squarely with Bola Ahmed Tinubu to address this imbalance and restore coherence to Nigeria’s health and civil service policies.

A clear directive from the President to the Office of the Head of the Civil Service of the Federation can correct this anomaly. Such a directive should ensure that veterinary doctors and veterinary para-professionals are fully integrated into the 65-year retirement framework, in line with existing parity policies and the realities of modern public health.

Anything less would signal a troubling disregard for a sector that plays a quiet but indispensable role in national stability.

This is not just about fairness—it is about foresight. Public health security is interconnected, and weakening one component inevitably weakens the entire system.

Nigeria stands at a critical juncture, confronted by complex health, food security, and economic challenges. Retaining experienced veterinary professionals is not optional; it is essential.

The disparity must end—and it must end now.

Comrade James Ezema is a journalist, political strategist, and public affairs analyst. He is the National President of the Association of Bloggers and Journalists Against Fake News (ABJFN), National Vice-President (Investigation) of the Nigerian Guild of Investigative Journalists (NGIJ), and President/National Coordinator of the Not Too Young To Perform (NTYTP), a national leadership development advocacy group. He can be reached via email: [email protected] or WhatsApp: +234 8035823617.

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N4.65 trillion in the Vault, but is the Real Economy Locked Out?

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CBN Gov & new Bank logo

By Blaise Udunze

Following the successful conclusion of the banking sector recapitalisation programme initiated in March 2024 by the Central Bank of Nigeria, the industry has raised N4.65 trillion. No doubt, this marks a significant milestone for the nation’s financial system as the exercise attracted both domestic and foreign investors, strengthened capital buffers, and reinforced regulatory confidence in the banking sector. By all prudential measures, once again, it will be said without doubt that it is a success story.

Looking at this feat closely and when weighed more critically, a more consequential question emerges, one that will ultimately determine whether this achievement becomes a genuine turning point or merely another financial milestone. Will a stronger banking sector finally translate into a more productive Nigerian economy, or will it be locked out?

This question sits at the heart of Nigeria’s long-standing economic contradiction, seeing a relatively sophisticated financial system coexisting with weak industrial output, low productivity, and persistent dependence on imports truly reflects an ironic situation. The fact remains that recapitalisation, by design, is meant to strengthen banks, enhancing their ability to absorb shocks, manage risks and support economic growth. According to the apex bank, the programme has improved capital adequacy ratios, enhanced asset quality, and reinforced financial stability. Under the leadership of Olayemi Cardoso, there has also been a shift toward stricter risk-based supervision and a phased exit from regulatory forbearance.

These are necessary reforms. A stable banking system is a prerequisite for economic development. However, the truth be told, stability alone is not sufficient because the real test of recapitalisation lies not in stronger balance sheets, but in how effectively banks channel capital into productive economic activity, sectors that create jobs, expand output and drive exports. Without this transition, recapitalisation risks becoming an exercise in financial strengthening without economic transformation.

Encouragingly, early signals from industry experts suggest that the next phase of banking reform may begin to address this long-standing gap. Analysts and practitioners are increasingly pointing to small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) as a key destination for recapitalisation inflows, which is a fact beyond doubt. Given that SMEs account for over 70 per cent of registered businesses in Nigeria, the logic is compelling. With great expectation, as has been practicalised and established in other economies, a shift in credit allocation toward this segment could unlock job creation, stimulate domestic production, and deepen economic resilience. Yet, this expectation must be balanced with reality. Historically, and of huge concern, SMEs have received only a marginal share of total bank credit, often due to perceived risk, lack of collateral, and weak credit infrastructure.

Indeed, Nigeria’s broader financial intermediation challenge remains stark. Even as the giant of Africa, private sector credit stands at roughly 17 per cent of GDP, and this is far below the sub-Saharan African average, while SMEs receive barely 1 per cent of total bank lending despite contributing about half of GDP and the vast majority of employment. These figures underscore the structural disconnect between the banking system and the real economy. Recapitalisation, therefore, must be judged not only by the strength of banks but by whether it meaningfully improves this imbalance.

Nigeria’s economic challenge is not merely one of capital scarcity; it is fundamentally a problem of low productivity. Manufacturing continues to operate far below capacity, agriculture remains largely subsistence-driven, and industrial output contributes only modestly to GDP. Despite decades of banking sector expansion, credit to the real sector has remained limited relative to the size of the economy. Instead, banks have often gravitated toward safer and more profitable avenues such as government securities, treasury instruments, and short-term trading opportunities.

This is not irrational. It reflects a rational response to risk, policy signals, and market realities. However, it has created a structural imbalance in which capital circulates within the financial system without sufficiently reaching the productive economy. The result is a pattern where financial sector growth outpaces real sector development, a phenomenon widely described as financialisation without productivity gains.

At the centre of this challenge is the issue of credit allocation. A recapitalised banking sector, strengthened by new capital and improved buffers, should theoretically expand lending. But this is, contrarily, because the more important question is where that lending will go. Will Nigerian banks extend long-term credit to manufacturers, finance agro-processing and value chains, and support scalable SMEs, or will they continue to concentrate on low-risk government debt, prioritise foreign exchange-related gains, and maintain conservative lending practices in the face of macroeconomic uncertainty? Some of these structural questions call for immediate answers from policymakers.

Some industry voices are optimistic that the expanded capital base will translate into a broader loan book, increased investment in higher-risk sectors, and improved product offerings for depositors; this is not in doubt. There are also expectations that banks will scale operations across the continent, leveraging stronger balance sheets to expand their regional footprint. Yes, they are expected, but one thing that must be made known is that optimism alone does not guarantee transformation. The fact is that without deliberate incentives and structural reforms, capital may continue to flow toward low-risk assets rather than high-impact sectors.

Beyond lending, experts are also calling for a shift in how banking success is measured. The next phase of reform, according to the experts in their arguments, must move from capital thresholds to customer outcomes. This includes stronger consumer protection frameworks, real-time complaint management systems and more transparent regulatory oversight. A more technologically driven supervisory model, one that allows regulators to monitor customer experiences and detect systemic risks early, could play a critical role in strengthening trust and accountability within the system.

This dimension is often overlooked but deeply significant. A banking system that is well-capitalised but unresponsive to customer needs risks undermining public confidence. True financial development is not only about capital strength but also about accessibility, fairness, and service quality. Nigerians must feel the impact of recapitalisation not just in improved financial ratios, but in better banking experiences, more inclusive services, and greater economic opportunity.

The recapitalisation exercise has also attracted notable foreign participation, signalling confidence in Nigeria’s banking sector. However, confidence in banks does not necessarily translate into confidence in the broader economy. The truth is that foreign investors are typically drawn to strong regulatory frameworks, attractive returns, and market liquidity, though the facts are that these factors make Nigerian banks appealing financial assets; it must be made explicitly clear that they do not automatically reflect confidence in the country’s industrial base or productivity potential.

This distinction is critical. An economy can attract capital into its financial sector while still struggling to attract investment into productive sectors. When this happens, growth becomes financially driven rather than fundamentally anchored. The risk, therefore, is that recapitalisation could deepen Nigeria’s financial markets, but what benefits or gains when banks become stronger or liquid without addressing the structural weaknesses of the real economy.

It is clear and explicit that the current policy direction of the CBN reflects a strong emphasis on stability, with tightened supervision, improved transparency, and stricter prudential standards. These measures are necessary, particularly in a volatile global environment. However, there is an emerging concern that stability may be taking precedence over growth stimulation, which should also be a focal point for every economy, of which Nigeria should not be left out of the equation.  Central banks in emerging markets often face a delicate balancing act, and this is putting too much focus on stability, which can constrain credit expansion, while too much emphasis on growth can undermine financial discipline, as this calls for a balance.

In Nigeria’s case, the question is whether sufficient mechanisms exist to align banking sector incentives with national productivity goals. Are there enough incentives to encourage long-term lending, sector-specific financing, and innovation in credit delivery? Or does the current framework inadvertently reward risk aversion and short-term profitability?

Over the past two decades, it has been a herculean experience as Nigeria’s economic trajectory suggests a growing disconnect between the financial sector and the real economy. Banks have become larger, more sophisticated and more profitable, yet the irony is that the broader economy continues to struggle with high unemployment, low industrial output, and limited export diversification. This divergence reflects the structural risk of financialization, a condition in which financial activities expand without a corresponding increase in real economic productivity.

If not carefully managed, recapitalisation could reinforce this trend. With more capital at their disposal, banks may simply scale existing business models, expanding financial activities that generate returns without contributing meaningfully to production. The point is that this is not solely a failure of the banking sector; it is a systemic issue shaped by policy design, regulatory priorities, and market incentives, which needs the urgent attention of policymakers.

Meanwhile, for recapitalisation to achieve its intended purpose and truly work, it must be accompanied by a deliberate shift or intentional policy change from capital accumulation to productivity enhancement and the economy to produce more goods and services efficiently. This begins with creating stronger incentives for real sector lending with differentiated capital requirements based on sector exposure, credit guarantees for high-impact industries, and interest rate support for priority sectors, which can encourage banks to channel funds into productive areas, and this must be driven and implemented by the apex bank to harness the gains of recapitalisation.

This transformative process is not only saddled with the CBN, but the Development finance institutions also have a critical role to play in de-risking long-term investments, making it easier for commercial banks to participate in financing projects that drive economic growth. At the same time, one of the missing pieces that must be taken into cognisance is that regulatory frameworks should discourage excessive concentration in risk-free assets. No doubt, banks thrive in profitability, as government securities remain important; overreliance on them can crowd out private sector credit and limit economic expansion.

Innovation in financial products is equally essential. Traditional lending models often fail to meet the needs of SMEs and emerging industries, as this has continued to hinder growth. Banks must explore new approaches, including digital lending platforms, supply chain financing, and blended finance solutions that can unlock new growth opportunities, while they extend their tentacles by saturating the retail space just like fintech.

Accountability must also be embedded in the system. One fact is that if recapitalisation is justified as a tool for economic growth, then its outcomes and gains must be measurable and not obscure. Increased credit to productive sectors, higher industrial output and job creation should serve as key indicators of success. Without such metrics, the exercise risks being judged solely by financial indicators rather than its real economic impact.

The completion of the recapitalisation programme represents more than a regulatory achievement; it is a defining moment for Nigeria’s economic future. The country now has a banking sector that is better capitalised, more resilient, and more attractive to investors. These are important gains, but they are not ends in themselves.

The ultimate objective is to build an economy that is productive, diversified, and inclusive. Achieving this requires more than strong banks; it requires banks that actively power economic transformation.

The N4.65 trillion recapitalisation is a significant step forward. It strengthens the foundation of Nigeria’s financial system and enhances its capacity to support growth. However, capacity alone is not enough and truly not enough if the gains of recapitalisation are to be harnessed to the latter. What matters now is how that capacity is deployed.

Some of the critical questions for urgent attention are as follows: Will banks rise to the challenge of financing Nigeria’s productive sectors, particularly SMEs that form the backbone of the economy? Will policymakers create the right incentives to ensure credit flows where it is most needed? Will the financial system evolve from a focus on profitability to a broader commitment to the economic purpose of fostering a more productive Nigerian economy and the $1 trillion target?

The above questions are relevant because they will determine whether recapitalisation becomes a catalyst for change or a missed opportunity if not taken into cognisance. A well-capitalised banking sector is not the destination; it is the starting point. The real journey lies in building an economy where capital works, productivity rises, and growth becomes both sustainable and inclusive.

Blaise, a journalist and PR professional, writes from Lagos and can be reached via: [email protected]

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