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Nigeria Hit with the Worst Fuel Scarcity Yet

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Nigeria is the main oil producer in Africa and is currently the continent’s largest crude oil exporter. This status however holds no value for Nigerians who have now been accustomed to fuel scarcity in varying degrees being a constant challenge.

In 2024 alone, the country has been hit with two fuel scarcity crises. The first occurred from April to May when the fuel cost increased by 68.01% on a year-on-year basis from N842. 25 per litre in April 2023 to N1415. 06 per litre in April 2024. The second crisis is ongoing. It has seen the petrol price rise to N1,050 per liter in a matter of days from the average of N770.54 recorded in July 2024. This fuel scarcity is another addition to the ongoing cost of living crisis Africa’s largest economy is experiencing.

Nigeria’s Cost of Living Crisis Continues to Soar

During his inaugural speech on May 29, 2023, President Tinubu announced an end to fuel subsidies in the country, citing that continuing subsidies were unsustainable and a drain on public finances. The president acknowledged in another address on June 12, 2023, that although halting the subsidies added a burden on the people of Nigeria it was crucial to the country’s economic survival. Over a year after this bold move by the government, most Nigerians are struggling to make ends meet sparking protests across the country.

NOIPolls, an independent pollster in West Africa disclosed in 2023 that 63% of adult Nigerians surveyed across the country desire to relocate to other countries. The lack of economic opportunities is the primary motivator for leaving Nigeria. As the “Japa”— a colloquial term for emigration— itch among Nigerians intensifies, the youth who can’t leave have sought to earn an income remotely working for foreign companies, gambling on international online casinos, and working multiple low-level jobs.

The prices of food, cooking gas, medication, and public transport have risen since President Tinubu assumed office in May 2023. This rising cost of living has been a result of the naira’s poor performance against the dollar and the instability of the country’s economy. Nigerians have had to survive through high levels of inflation not experienced before in the country for three decades.

According to the World Food Programme, 26.5 million people across the country are projected to face acute hunger between June and August 2024. This is an almost 40% increase from the 18.6 million Nigerians recorded to have faced food insecurity at the end of 2023. This new fuel scarcity crisis has seen Nigerians make long queues at filling stations to access petrol, led to significant increases in transport fares, and resulted in losses for businesses that rely on fuel to power them.

NNPC Explains Cause of Current Fuel Scarcity

In response to rising concerns about fuel scarcity in the country, the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation Limited (NNPCL) through Dapo Segun, the Vice President, attributed the ongoing fuel scarcity to the impact of the recent heavy rains, lightning, and thunderstorms across the country. Mr Segun explained that the rains had caused saltation in the Estragos channel making navigation difficult and thus hindering the transportation of petroleum products across the country. Additionally, Seun reported that fuel discharge from both onshore and tankers had been suspended occasionally due to lightning and thunderstorms. These three natural extreme weather conditions have made distributing petroleum products across the country challenging.

As the NNPCL vows to resolve the fuel scarcity crisis soon, Nigerians are looking to two other refineries that were set to begin operations to ease the cost of fuel burden. The Dangote Refinery is expected to begin selling petrol in Nigeria by the end of this August. The chairman of the Dangote Group, Aliko Danknote, who had committed to this milestone is positive that his company will meet the target. Additionally, the Port Harcourt refinery is expected to be operational and supplying petroleum products across the country by September 2024 as assured by the group chief executive officer of the NNPCL, Mele Kyari. This will be the third time the refinery’s operational month has been moved this year following its mechanical completion in December 2023.

The Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria (IPMAN), on the other hand, has accused the NNPCL of actively contributing to fuel scarcity by failing to provide petroleum products to its members even after payment. IPMAN disclosed that even though payment to the state oil company was made three months ago members have been forced to purchase petroleum products from private depots whose prices are significantly higher. IPMAN is now calling on the government and other key stakeholders in the oil industry to intervene in the situation to lessen these hardships.

Citizens of Africa’s largest crude oil producer and exporter are now no longer surprised by fuel scarcity in their cities. While many try to find ways to survive under the new economic hardships, others opt to leave the country in search of greener pastures. It is evident that Africa’s largest economy is on the brink of collapsing should the government not turn around the economic situation soon.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

Economy

NASD Exchange Extends Bearish Run After 0.56% Drop

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By Adedapo Adesanya

The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange extended its stay in the south territory with a decline of 0.56 per cent on Wednesday, April 2.

This brought down the market capitalisation by N13 billion to N2.417 trillion from N2.430 trillion, and downed the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) by 22.57 points to 4,062.87 points from the previous session’s 4,062.87 points.

It was observed that the NASD exchange ended with three price gainers and three price losers during the trading day.

MRS Oil Plc depreciated by N19.00 to close at N171.00 per unit compared with the previous price of N190.00 per unit, NASD Plc lost N4.14 to trade at N37.36 per share compared with Wednesday’s N41.50 per share, and Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc gave up N2.00 to sell at N78.00 per unit versus N80.00 per unit.

On the flip side, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc appreciated by 19 Kobo to N93.00 per share from N92.81 per share, Food Concepts Plc expanded by 15 Kobo to N2.87 per unit from N2.72 per unit, and Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc improved by 2 Kobo to 52 Kobo per share from 50 Kobo per share.

Yesterday, the volume of securities dipped by 91.8 per cent to 260.2 million units from 3.2 billion units, the value of securities went down by 98.1 per cent to N154.2 million from N8.3 billion, while the number of deals soared by 53.3 per cent to 46 deals from 30 deals.

GNI Plc was the most active stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, followed by CSCS Plc with 56.9 million units valued at N3.9 billion, and Okitipupa Plc with 27.5 million units traded for N1.8 billion.

The most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis was also GNI Plc with 3.4 billion units sold for N8.2 billion, trailed by Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units exchanged for N415.7 million, and Infrastructure Guarantee Credit Plc with 400 million units transacted for N1.2 billion.

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Naira Slips to N1,380/$1 at Official Market, Remains N1,405/$1 at Black Market

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By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira dropped N2.09 or 0.15 per cent against the United States Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Thursday, April 2, to trade at N1,380.79/$1 compared with Wednesday’s rate of N1,378.70/$1.

However, it appreciated against the Pound Sterling in the official market by N2.77 to quote at N1,824.86/£1 versus the N1,836.57/£1 it was traded at midweek, and improved its value against the Euro by N10.54 to N1,591.92/€1 from N1,602.46/€1.

Yesterday was the last trading session of the week for the local currency in the spot market, as the market will be closed on Friday and Monday for the Easter Holiday.

At the black market, the Nigerian Naira maintained stability against the greenback yesterday at N1,405/$1, but gained N8 at the GTBank FX counter to settle at N1,388/$1, in contrast to the previous session’s N1,396/$1.

Pressure eased on the domestic currency as strong policy indicators have helped calm the majority of worries within the financial systems. Particularly in the remittance segment, the apex bank has directed all International Money Transfer Operators (IMTOs) to route remittance transactions through designated Naira settlement accounts in banks, a move aimed at boosting transparency and channelling more foreign exchange into the formal market.

This helps take off pressure from the foreign reserves, which have fallen below the $50 billion mark as they are gradually decreasing rather than falling sharply.

Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market was bullish on Thursday, as macro sentiment shifted against recent optimism after reports that Iran is drafting a protocol with Oman to manage traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, easing concerns about disruptions to a key global oil route.

The remarks came after U.S. President Trump on Wednesday night vowed to hit Iran “extremely hard” in the coming weeks and that the Strait of Hormuz would “open naturally” once the war ends.

Cardano (ADA) chalked up 1.9 per cent to trade at $0.2435, Dogecoin (DOGE) grew by 1.2 per cent to $0.0912, Ethereum (ETH) appreciated by 0.8 per cent to $2,066.37, Bitcoin (BTC) added 0.5 per cent to sell at $67,080.53, Solana (SOL) increased by 0.5 per cent to $79.91, and Ripple (XRP) jumped 0.2 per cent to $1.31.

Conversely, Binance Coin (BNB) dipped 0.7 per cent to $586.90, and TRON (TRX) depreciated by 0.3 per cent to $0.3147, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) closed flat at $1.00 each.

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Economy

Bulls, Bears Share Customs Street’s Spoils Amid Bullish Investor Sentiment

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By Dipo Olowookere

The local stock market was relatively flat on Friday, as the bears and the bulls shared the spoils of war, though investor sentiment turned bullish compared with the preceding session’s bearish posture.

Data from the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited showed that the All-Share Index (ASI) was marginally down by 4.66 points as it ended at 201,698.89 points versus Wednesday’s 201,703.55 points, and the market capitalisation slightly contracted by N3 billion to N129.806 trillion from N129.809 trillion.

Customs Street was shut on Friday because of the public holidays declared by the federal government today and next Monday.

Business Post reports that John Holt declined by 9.91 per cent to N15.45, Abbey Mortgage Bank shed 9.60 per cent to trade at N8.95, International Energy Insurance slipped by 6.48 per cent to N3.32, Chams shrank by 5.30 per cent to N3.75, and Tantalizers depreciated by 5.18 per cent to N4.03.

On the flip side, Unilever Nigeria improved by 10.00 per cent to N103.40, Fortis Global Insurance gained 9.82 per cent to trade at N1.23, Multiverse appreciated 9.81 per cent to N20.15, Legend Internet advanced by 9.38 per cent to N6.30, and Zichis grew by 9.02 per cent to N14.14.

The market breadth index was positive during the trading session, as there were 35 appreciating stocks and 24 depreciating stocks.

Yesterday, investors traded 560.0 million equities valued at N19.3 billion in 49,676 deals, in contrast to the 815.5 million equities worth N33.3 billion transacted in 52,641 deals in the preceding day, representing a drop in the trading volume, value, and number of deals by 31.33 per cent, 42.04 per cent, and 5.63 per cent, respectively.

Secure Electronic Technology dominated the activity log with 59.7 million shares valued at N61.1 million, Wema Bank exchanged 52.0 million equities worth N1.4 billion, VFD Group transacted 36.0 million stocks for N410.5 million, Access Holdings sold 35.3 million shares valued at N914.8 million, and Chams traded 31.0 million equities worth N115.0 million.

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